CMP = 148 |
Omkar Speciality Chemicals Ltd. (OSCL) is primarily engaged in the production of specialty chemicals and pharma intermediates. Diversified portfolio of over 200 products which include inorganic intermediates of Selenium derivatives, Iodine derivatives, Molybdenum derivatives, Cobalt derivatives, Bismuth derivatives, Tungsten derivatives and the organic intermediates include Tartaric acid derivatives and derivative of several other rare elements. These products find niche applications in various industries like pharmaceutical industry, chemical industry, glass industry, cosmetics, ceramic, pigments and cattle and poultry feeds.
OSCL has 4 subsidiary companies (Lasa Labs, Rishichem Research Ltd, Urdhwa Chemicals and Desh Chemicals) with 9 manufacturing units in state of Maharashtra.
OSCL is importing and exporting several raw material from and to abroad. Its location of all manufacturing is close proximity to consumption area of product or raw material and to the ports like Dharamtar, Jaigad and JNPT besides connectivity to road and rail. It will saves transportation time and costs significantly.
OSCL has a strong and well diversified customer base developed over the last 3 decades from different industry segments like pharmaceuticals, chemicals, glass, cosmetics, ceramic pigments, poultry, veterinary feed etc. Further the enhanced processes to cater to the specific needs of the customers gives OSCL an added advantage. Some of its major customers in the pharmaceutical segment include Cipla, Ranbaxy, Glenmark, Wockhardt and Ipca and Dr Reddy’s being its most vital customers in pharmaceuticals segment. Its other prominent customers in chemicals segment are Clariant-UK, BASF, Dupont, Asahi India Glass, Suguna Poultry, Venky’s India, Gharda Chemicals etc.
OSCL has good R&D capabilities and infrastructure to develop new high value added products and APIs. R&D facilities are accredited by Department of Scientific and Industrial Research (DSIR) recognition. Mr. Pravin Herlekar himself chemical Engineer from the IIT Mumbai and he has a team of experienced scientist. With various product and process patents filed, OSCL’s Intellectual Property (IP) plays an integral role in developing a rich patent portfolio of the company. It has filed claim for 18 patents of which 3 have already been granted. OSCL has acquired Rishichem Research Ltd in 2010 to strengthen its R&D. It has developed several new niche value added products like 5 iodo 2 methylbenzoic acid (used in anti-diabetic & brain tumour imaging), di-azo salicylic acid (used in veterinary APIs), iodo benzoic acid (used as a pharma intermediate). Selenium anhydride (used in steroid manufacturing), cuprous iodide (used in tyre manufacturing) etc.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/370607F0_C6AF_4012_9187_D0B6B85B04AA_182226.pdf
OSCL management has initiated process to demerge Lasa Laboratory in March 2016 and it is expected to be completed in March 2017.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/982350B0_957E_4346_BBD4_DC4E8546CED4_153801.pdf
Investment Rationale
Increased restrictions due environmental issues have forced the chemical and API manufacturers to close unsafe units in China. It has created demand and supply gap and sharp rise in chemicals prices. Specialty chemicals are key ingredients for pharmaceuticals (APIs) manufacturing and APIs are main raw material for drugs manufacturing thus both are going to be key growth driver for OSCL and LASA.
Companies with higher production capacities will benefit most. OSCL has already got environment clearance for unit 5 which will double its current operational production capacity from 5,350 metric tonnes to 10,750 metric tonnes in next 4 -5 months. Company has expanded its capacity from 950 metric tonnes in FY 2011E to 10,750 metric tonnes FY 2016E.
Recently OSCL has posted best ever result for H1. Aggressive capacity expansion and strong R&D work in past 3- 4 years has started yielding reward and sales growth is coming through niche value-added chemicals.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/953A9FD0_F62E_400F_98ED_AB04FD2F91B2_170133.pdf
OSCL has developed high entry barrier manufacturing processes for new niche high value added molecules for specialty chemicals and APIs. The company is also working in new fields like retroviral protease inhibitors (anti HIV) and oncology space. All these technical capabilities gives it clear edge over its competitors.
Lasa Lab (Veterinary API) to contributes higher revenue due to capacity expansion & also company has developed advanced intermediaries in Iodine Derivative segment like Anti-Diabetic which is in process of receiving approvals & will start commercial production post approval in coming quarters.
OSCL will continue to launch new high value added products, which find application in various end user markets, which offer significant growth opportunities to the company going forward.
OSCL has large product portfolio and strong customer base which covers several sectors. It has insulated the company from risk over dependency on specific sector or customer.
OSCL does not have direct competitor and it has an edge over its peers mainly on the back of its R&D focus, operational flexibility, product diversity and its ability to launch new products with IPR filing.
Even though OSCL has very strong fundamental but in the last 3 -4 months it has not participated in rally of chemical sector because promoters have pledged and sold some portion of their shareholding.
It is very easy to understand from above mentioned investment rationale that in the past 6 years OSCL has acquired 4 companies, increased its manufacturing capacity 10 x fold, product portfolio increased from 80 to 200 +, patent filing for 18 product and 3 approval, same time company has paid good dividend every years since listing in 2011. Working capital cycle is on the high side because major raw materials like Iodine and Selenium are imported from Chile with transit time more than 2 months. Now demerger and listing of Lasa Lab is in process. All these activities are need significant capex and sufficient working capital to day-to-day business operations. Company has not gone for any enhancement in working capital or equity dilution.
In this case if promoters has pledged or sold some portion of their shareholding to meet the business requirement than nothing wrong with it. In fact company has created huge asset and intellectual property in past 6 years. In future they have option to buyback or issue preferential shares against loan of 27.2 Cr to the company. Pledge shares will released before end of December 2016 as per guidelines given by management.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/27CE8A56_19BF_44DD_95EB_151271EF4FF9_145815.pdf
Conclusion
Omkar Speciality Chemicals is one of the most trusted name for quality products and serving to all major customers like Cipla, Ranbaxy, Glenmark, Biocon and Dr Reddy’s being its most vital customers in pharmaceuticals segment. Its customers in chemicals segment are Clariant-UK, BASF, Dupont, Asahi India Glass. Suguna Poultry. The company excels in supplying products to both the segments which have stringent quality concerns, reflecting its significant supplier credibility.
Company has received environmental clearance for Unit V of Chiplun and expected to start commercial production in coming quarter. Overall it will increase the production capacity of Lasa laboratory more than double and sales growth is expected to grow at a robust rate in future. Listing of Lasa laboratory is expected to be completed in Q4 it is going unlock decent value for investors.
OSCL has corrected heavily in recent market correction due to demonetisation. At cmp 148 it is providing best investment opportunity for short term as well as for long term. Allocation can be given upto 10%.
Grt sound and strong fundamental of the company in this volatile MKT.
ReplyDeleteA big thank you for this one. Will market correct further. As I told you earlier my HDFC guy insists on 7500 as a certainty in the uncertainty. your views
ReplyDeleteBut still HDFC has not sold its mutual fund holding. They are buying more. If your HDFC guy will understand this process than definitely he will quit the job and start the business because it is very easy to make the money from stock market.
DeleteMarket correction is solely linked with demonetisation and market will bounce back very strongly once cash liquidity will improve. It will take another 10 -15 days.
Aditya birla fashion purchase Kar Sakura hu Kya ?
ReplyDelete3 year ka Kya target h
Yes you can buy it with 300% target in 3-4 years
DeleteThank you very much madam.
ReplyDeleteThank a lot man.. can I pls let us know how much can we expect for both the short term and long term
ReplyDeleteYes, it can give around 100 return in one year and 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteThank u so much dolly jee.....
DeleteThanks dollyji for all the efforts which u put for small investors
ReplyDeleteThank you for ur good work
ReplyDeleteThank you for your commitment towards to small investors....
ReplyDeleteTHANK YOU MAM FOR THE NEW PICK
ReplyDeleteHi
ReplyDeleteThank you for the recommendation. Volumes of this stock seems on lower side. What could be the reason for this? Can you kindly let me know.
Stock has enough liquidity and trading near 2 year low
Deleteis it advisable to sell skm egg bought at rs
ReplyDelete95 & buy Omkar Speciality Chemicals?
No comparison between above stocks. Definitely Omkar Speciality Chemicals much better option. You have to take decision about it because SKM still trading 20% above our buying target.
DeleteMadam can omkar be better pick in comparison to sudarshan,meghmani,clariant chem etc?how much return we can expect?
ReplyDeleteYes, it can give much better % return than above mentioned stock. It can give around 100 return in one year and at least 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteCan I switch Shree pushkar with omkar.which has better future growth?
ReplyDeleteBoth are very good companies in their business segment. Buying price is important and at cmp Omkar is better option because you will also get shares of Lasa Lab (200+ crore turnover pharmaceutical company).
DeleteThanks a lot for the recommendation mam. Is abfrl a value buy at a CPM of 132₹.how much can I allocate in my portfolio. What is the time period ?
ReplyDeleteThank you.
Regards
Yes you can buy it and keep allocation around 20%
DeleteDolly-ji, thanks again for an excellent opportunity - you are really putting in a lot of effort & finding these gems in an otherwise frothy small/midcap market. Thank you!
ReplyDeleteSome thoughts / Qs
a. OSCL seems to be occupying a niche in the value-chain.
b. Some competitors, but (much?) smaller product portfolios
c. competitors have lesser cost advantages as compared to OSCL?
d. OSCL's 30+ year history gives it long-standing & diverse relationships - which is also a big barrier for other speciality chemical companies?
1. Am trying to understand - if it is really quite hard for a competitor to replace what OSCL offers its customers - then OSCL is actually a very good business & may even trade at a premium to this sector later?
2. Debt has increased ~2x last 4 years, you think they will have any further needs to borrow more?
3. Any chance of working capital to reduce?
Thank you for your time..
Uday
Also adding to Uday's point... The Shareholding has continuously gone down.
DeleteLast few Quarters:
Mar-16: 65.70%
Jun-16: 56.18%
Sep-16: 53.09%
This looks alarming. Please let us know you thoughts no the same.
Debt is related to production capacity expansion. There was delay in environmental clearance for unit #5 now the issue is settled and it is going to start commercial production in coming quarter which will boost the current operational production capacity from 5,350 metric tonnes to 10,750 metric tonnes.
DeleteBigger business need higher working capital so no chance to go back at 2011 level.
It is very easy to understand from above mentioned investment rationale that in the past 6 years OSCL has acquired 4 companies, increased its manufacturing capacity 10 x fold, product portfolio increased from 80 to 200 +, patent filing for 18 product and 3 approval, same time company has paid good dividend every years since listing in 2011. Working capital cycle is on the high side because major raw materials like Iodine and Selenium are imported from Chile with transit time more than 2 months. Now demerger and listing of Lasa Lab is in process. All these activities are need significant capex and sufficient working capital to day-to-day business operations. Company has not gone for any enhancement in working capital or equity dilution.
DeleteIn this case if promoters has pledged or sold some portion of their shareholding to meet the business requirement than nothing wrong with it. In fact company has created huge asset and intellectual property in past 6 years. In future they have option to buyback or issue preferential shares against loan of 27.2 Cr to the company. Pledge shares will released before end of December 2016 as per guidelines given by management.
AMO placed at 155.Hope to get it on Monday
ReplyDeleteThanks Madamji for yet another good pick. It also provides us a good learning experience and some insight in to your thought process while selecting stocks.Thank you once again for eveything that you are doing for the common public.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the advise. ...if I have to choose between OSCL and sri phuskar chemicals. .which is the better company for long term investment. ..thanks
ReplyDeleteBoth are very good companies in their business segment. Buying price is important and at cmp Omkar is better option because you will also get shares of Lasa Lab (200+ crore turnover pharmaceutical company).
DeleteThanks a lot.
ReplyDeleteThank you dolly mam for this great share again..
ReplyDeleteBut mam
1. Donear ind.
2. JK AGRI
both have came down very sharply ...what is your view now.
Some correction in Donear is normal after 400% rise within year. I hope most of people booked profit near 75, they can re-enter again if it come near 20.
DeleteJK Agri - All hybrid seed stocks unable to perform in last 2 years due to poor monsoon and price capping on cotton seeds. Further growth will depend upon climatic conditions, 2-3 good season can bring
desired results. Enough patience required to get decent return from it.
Fresh entry advisable in April -June near 400.
Ma'am as I see this is your new stock posted.. what target or say returns one should expect? And what should be time horizon?
ReplyDeleteIt can give around 100% return in one year and at least 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteThanks mam. For new recommendation.
ReplyDeleteHello Ma'am,
ReplyDeleteThank You for the new stock.
I have some surplus cash, pls advice If i should avg ABFRL which is 7% below your recommended price or buy this new stock.
I have 11% allocation to ABFRL @143.
You can allocate 20% in ABFRL and 20% in Omkar. Generally people invest with long term vision but give up after 10 -15% correction or delay in gain for 1 -2 years.
DeleteDue to this reason it is advisable to keep portfolio balanced with both type of stocks which can give good gain in short term as well as in long term.
Thank you for the pick. What will happen after demerger? Will we get alloted shares of Lasa also.
ReplyDeleteYes, you get the shares of Lasa lab and after year its sales turnover will be higher than OSCL
DeleteThanks Dolly Mam for this new gem.
ReplyDeleteDear Blog Owner. Thank you. Read the report above and also the investor calls and saw the reports. Excellent team in an excellent business in excellent times which it seems are still just at the beginning still for speciality chem part of the business especially. Plus a huge big moat is that they get first emails to develop for customers and then get to patent the developed product. The more I read on speciality chem the more it starts reading like pharma from 5-7 years ago. This company I think I can hold for 5-10 years (Of course, will review results every quarter and also take advise to clarify any questions from you that you so kindly take time to answer). Thank you so much.
ReplyDeleteOSCL has created decent asset in the past 6 years and it has started giving reward to investors.
DeleteLasa Labs was acquired in 2012 for 6 crores with less than 11 crore annual turnover. Now it become big enough to list separately with installed production capacity 7000 metric tonnes year and turnover will be 200 + crores after starting commercial production of unit # 5 in coming quarter.
Similarly Rishichem Research Ltd was acquired in May 2010 for 1.3 crore. Up till now it has intellectual property asset worth 100 crores by developing several new molecules and products.
THANXXXXX
ReplyDeleteis this stock good for short term?
ReplyDeleteIt can give around 100% return in one year and at least 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteHello Mam, This share is been in a range of 98-240 in all this 5-6 years post listing. With such a strong management and niche segment operation where even entry for competitors is tough, why has this share not shown a rally in all these years..
ReplyDeleteStock has gone up from 26 to 240 with 1000 metric tonne installed production capacity in 2011.
DeleteNow it is ready for next move with 10750 metric tonne installed production capacity. It is going to unlock decent value with demerger of Lasa Lab.
Thank you madam, I have been following the blog for a few months now, I think its great you are blogging. But so many stock recommendations are making it difficult. Some of the previous stocks have also fallen even below recommendation price, I think that is okay as market will fluctuate but will you recommend buying the previous stocks also if they fall below recommendation price?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Omkar and ABFRL are best available option to buy or add.
DeleteJK Agri and Surana Solar are trading upto 6% below suggested price, both are good for long term investment only with allocation up to 10%.
Others are well above suggested price.
Thank you madam, I am just trying to ask will it be better to invest in those or in new stock you have mentioned. ABFRL is also close to suggested price, Normally when you suggest a stock its very difficult to buy it in a week or so but sometimes the stock price gives another opportunity also. Thanks a lot
DeleteOmkar speciality chemicals is undoubtedly a gem but only thing bad was promoter selling the stake , but still if madam has recommended this thing can be overcome ....
ReplyDeletePledge and sold to support company for expansion and working capital requirement. 27 crore of total debt on the company is given by promoter.
DeleteYou have to read the blog and given links to get all information before making investment decision.
When someone doing big thing in his life, some time it need to take such decision to complete this goal.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/entrepreneurship/how-iit-graduate-herlekar-created-omkar-speciality-chemicals-into-a-rs-100-crore-venture/articleshow/17993785.cms
Ma'am just for understanding.. you and your team (if any ) does so much of hard work in analysing n research.. my question is do you also invest in stocks you suggest? or it is only for your followers..
ReplyDeleteDo you think it is possible to write this blog without buying the stock? Definitely all stocks are bought
DeleteMam thanks very much
ReplyDeleteCAN ANY ONE SHARE MADAM EMAIL ID PLS?
ReplyDeletedolly1970.khanna@gmail.com
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeleteMarket cap of omkar is too small..if on monday everyone jumps to buy then it will be locked in circuit or atleast 10% higher then current price..shall we wait for few more days as still us fed hike is also in near term & market is also currently looking weak till december end.
I already have this share in my portfolio but very minimum quantity because i sold few months back when promoters sold there stake.
I also heard full concall which was 2 days back & it seems that promoter holding can further decline to 50.5% or 51% as per Mr herlekar talks.
Please advice..Is it advisable to buy 10% higher then current price or shall we wait for few more days.
Stock has enough liqidity and it can be bought easily near suggested price ( + / - 10 to 15%)
DeletePledge and sold to support company for expansion and working capital requirement. 27 crore of total debt on the company is given by promoter.
You have to read the blog and given links to get all information before making investment decision.
When someone doing big thing in his life, some time it need to take such decision to complete on going work.
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/entrepreneurship/how-iit-graduate-herlekar-created-omkar-speciality-chemicals-into-a-rs-100-crore-venture/articleshow/17993785.cms
ORCL and ABFRL trading at similar price. Which is a better opportunity to invest or can we go 50-50
ReplyDeleteOSCL is good for short term as well as for long term with expected return around 100% in one year and around 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteNo short term target for ABFRL but very good stock for long term investment.
Dear Madam
DeleteDemonitization will affect the business of ABFRL in long run? May be everybody will more conservative in spending and chances to shift branded goods to some local brands. Please clear my dount.
It will have some effect on Q3 but higher sale during Deepavali has compensated it. Within next 10 -15 days all cash liquidity related issues will get settled.
DeleteNo effect on the income of common people but it is to neutralize the black money.
Thanks a lot Madam
DeleteThanks a lot ma'am....
ReplyDeleteMadam, will it perform like Navin flouride and Thirumalai chemicals?
ReplyDeleteEven better in long run
Deletethanks mam for your new recommendation.
ReplyDeletethank you ,madam :) feeling v happy to see this stock as a pick :)
ReplyDeletewhat price could Lasa list at?
Warm Regards
Overall return on investment will be around 100% in one year and at least 300% in 3-4 years.
DeleteMam,
ReplyDeleteDonear daily on LC. Is it due to profit booking? At what level it will sustain
Some correction is normal after 400% rise within year. I hope most of people booked profit near 75, they can re-enter again if it come near 20.
DeleteMam what is good price to add Emkay Global? and expected returns?
ReplyDeleteIt can be bought near 50 with expected return 50 -100% in 2-3 years.
DeleteMadam looking at demonitisation effect and GST on cards how u see coming quarters of OSCL. Further debt also increased 4 fold n contingent liability too of 100 crores. Pls throw some light on this too. Madam do we buy at one go or Sip. Thanks
ReplyDeleteDebt increased 4 fold, Sales revenue and profit also increased 4 fold, Production capacity increased 10 fold, intellectual asset also increased several fold in the past 6 years.
DeleteNow it is ready for next move and it is going to unlock decent value with demerger of Lasa Lab.
How IIT graduate Herlekar created Omkar Speciality Chemicals into a Rs 100 crore venture
ReplyDeletehttp://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/entrepreneurship/how-iit-graduate-herlekar-created-omkar-speciality-chemicals-into-a-rs-100-crore-venture/articleshow/17993785.cms
Yes, Pravin Herlekar is first generation entrepreneur, he has started the company in his kitchen with 10,000 rupees and turned into 500 crore turnover company.
DeleteInspiring story for new investors
Hi Mam, What is the right price to buy IFB Agro. What percent of the return we can expect in 3-4 years from current price 380.
ReplyDeleteYour valuable views please regarding Cosboard Industries.
Thanks Mam.
IFB is good stock to buy near 300, it can give consistent return around 15% per year
DeleteNot tracking Cosboard Industries
dear Mam,
ReplyDeleteThank you for your hard work and posting the info...
Is there any remote possibility that, management fudging accounts???
It is very difficult to prove at this stage...
They said in Q1 con call that they are not going to sell their holdings, but they did sell some portion.
I have seen many people sold land to arrange money for their daughter marriage , several sold their wife ornament to buy house and several sold their property and other asset to save their business.
DeleteAre they did fraud with their families by taking above decision?
Assessing the depth of water from river bank will never give right reflection.
It is always better to take decision to sacrifice small things to win the situation instead of losing both.
The person who can build 500 crore company with 10k rupees has enough brain to increase the holding easily.
UPL and Tata Chem are two top companies in chemical sector with 30% promoter holding. How and why they have sold their holding?
Thank you mam for all the support ur giving time, knowledge, news , everything thanks a lot ... may God be with all of us ...
ReplyDeleteMam may I please send you my portfolio for review...
ReplyDeleteSure, I will reply it by next weekend.
DeleteHi Madam, Thanks for the great insight - could you please tell what would be the impact of demerger to OSCL? Also, NOCIL has shown stellar performance last quarter, do you think we should accumulate after this correction - do you think Tyre chemical industry has a long way to go? thanks a lot.
ReplyDeleteAround 35% of sales revenue and 80 crore debt will go out from OSCL. Lasa will able to double its sales revenue and profit after start of unit # 5.
DeleteNocil is good stock to add near 40
Namashkar madam...please tell how do you see markets on march 2018... In my opinion markets will be at a new high as demonetisation negative effect will be over by march 17 and only it's positive effect will remain and also the gst will also have been implemented by then... Wat is your opinion please tell... I am asking for investing in good stocks( available at cheap prices now) by keeping a time frame upto march 18
ReplyDeleteYes, some sector like real estate, housing construction and finance will slow down for short to mid term but in other sectors we can see normal growth. Overall demonetisation is big positive for Indian economy and long term investors.
DeleteThank you madam for all of your selfless support to new and small investors like me.
ReplyDeleteAfter lot of pondering decided to overcome the lure of short term gain in Omkar and continue investing in ABFRL for long term gain till it is within your prescribed buying price.
I was overwhelmed by your your detailed analysis and also by your extreme confidence on ABFRL business. Started accumulating in an extremely focused way since I read your blog . Within next 2 months I will be able to accumulate 10000 units in my portfolio. Avg price will be 145/--- will constitute 50% of my portfolio.
Hope I am not taking too much risk considering long term ( 5-10 yrs) horizon ?
Regards
You can allocate 20% in ABFRL and 20% in Omkar. Generally people invest with long term vision but give up after 10 -15% correction or delay in gain for 1 -2 years.
DeleteDue to this reason it is advisable to keep portfolio balanced with both type of stocks which can give good gain in short term as well as in long term.
Thanks a lot mam for that great gem.
ReplyDeleteMam please share your opinion on jk Agri and donear after that drastic fall in both the stocks.
Some correction in Donear is normal after 400% rise within year. I hope most of people booked profit near 75, they can re-enter again if it come near 20.
DeleteJK Agri - All hybrid seed stocks unable to perform in last 2 years due to poor monsoon and price capping on cotton seeds. Further growth will depend upon climatic conditions, 2-3 good season can bring
desired results. Enough patience required to get decent return from it.
Fresh entry advisable in April -June near 400.
Hi mam,what is your opinion on capital first, can we buy post correction for long term
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Capital first
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteThank you for all your work in this, I have been following the blog for a couple of months and I am happy to learn all this. Thanks for everything. So many stocks have been confusing me. Some of the previous stocks have fallen with the market and some of them are also below the recommended price, Will you advice adding them or buying onkar
Omkar and ABFRL are best available option to buy or add.
DeleteJK Agri and Surana Solar are trading upto 6% below suggested price, both are good for long term investment only with allocation up to 10%.
Others are well above suggested price.
Dear Ma'am thank you so much..words are short for this gratitude..
ReplyDeleteI have bought ABFRL buying price is bit Higher @ 154.. also will buy Omkar.. will try to buy at reco price..but sometimes it is difficult to get @ same price..
Which stocks will you suggest after abfrl n omkar (both got 20% allocation) me to buy... please advise
+ / - 10 % from suggested price is OK and 154 is good price.
DeleteYou can allocate 20% in ABFRL and 20% in Omkar. Generally people invest with long term vision but give up after 10 -15% correction or delay in gain for 1 -2 years.
Due to this reason it is advisable to keep portfolio balanced with both type of stocks which can give good gain in short term as well as in long term.
Maam What is your view on ADF foods?
ReplyDeleteIt is good stock to buy around 120 -125
DeleteThanks for the valuable inputs Ma'am. I would also request your inputs on Canfin homes, whether to hold or sell the position at current level. thanks!
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Canfin
DeleteHello mam
ReplyDeleteCan you please reply to my PF advice request email.
Thanks
Srini
Sure , I will reply it during weekend
DeleteThanks madam, i purchased all stocks as you advise , i have pushkar chemicals ,insecticide . i hold or sale . i have a big portfolio , can you revise my portfolio, this will great obligation on me
ReplyDeleteYou can continue to hold Pushkar chemicals and Insecticide for further gain.
DeleteYou can mail your portfolio on excel file
Hi Mam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for an another jem in our protfolio.
Regarding Donear, i thought you asked to book profit at 75 for those who have allocated more than 20% in their protfolio.My allocation is around 10% and i havent sold that off. Is it worth to wait to see Donear at 75 levels again and sell it.
Can you please advise?
Thanks,
Viswa
If any stock has given 300 - 400% gain within year than it is very easy to take decision for some profit booking.
DeleteIt feeling scared about these conditions the better to book profit near 100% and keep free of cost shares
Mam, I don't sell donear at 75 and now price is decreasing heavily. I bought 1000 donear at cmp 22. As my allocation is 5% I don't sell. Should I hold for long term or sell in this bleeding market?
ReplyDeleteSome correction in Donear is normal after 400% rise within year.
DeleteIt feeling scared about market fall then better to always book profit near 100% and keep free of cost shares
Hello mam !
ReplyDeleteDo you track Majesco? What's your view on it for 2 to 3 years?
Sorry not tracking Majesco
DeleteThank you Maam for your insight and recommendation of new stock. Appreciate you taking time out to reply which is indeed so nice of you to do. Don't you track Sugar stocks and if not, could you please give me some rationale behind your decision? Thanks! Sahil
ReplyDeleteIn commodity, tea stocks are better than sugar
DeleteHello Ma'am, Can you give any insight in Vikas Ecotech ltd? Is it a fundamentally strong company for long term investment? Thanks! Sahil
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Vikas Ecotech
DeleteAbfrl still coming down madam , can be added at these levels ? Pls guide
ReplyDeleteYou can buy at any price below 140 for long term investment.
DeleteHello Dolly - Thanks for the detailed analysis. I have one question for you - where does the PE ratio of this company stand in comparison to its peers? Should PE ratio be considered at all while picking stocks?
ReplyDeleteStocks suggestion based on future growth of the company and product demand.
DeleteHello mam,
ReplyDeleteI have bought Shares of ABFRL,Jubilant Ind.& Xpro want to buy more.
Can you suggest me some other stock from your earlier recommendation.
Jubilant and Xpro still 50% above suggested price. Omkar and ABFRL are better option.
DeleteMam, Need your valuable insights on demonetization.I understand due to currency crunch people are selling.When can we expect a rebound in markets as this can impact the results of Q3&Q4 Request you to kindly recommend few stocks which are corrected heavily which can be added for good short term gain.
ReplyDeleteMarket will start recovering within month
DeleteOmkar and ABFRL are better option.
mam..next stock you will be posted in Dec or Jan?
ReplyDeleteNext stock will be posted after 2 months, in mid of Jan
DeleteMam, what is your view on this falling market? Its keep falling, I have positions in 20 stocks, all turned into red in these 7-8 days except Shree Pushkar, TCI (including XPS) and Union Bank. Should I HOLD or EXIT few?
ReplyDeleteMost of the stocks will recover quickly once market will change the trend.
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeleteIt is looking horrible now. Is it because any fundamental change in Economy? As India was counted on the base of consumption. And consumption getting hit by this demonetization. So market is adjusting it? I am quite disturbed this time. If you guide us about how to cope up with the situation.
It is normal in stock market. Once or twice in year market will find some internal or external reason for good correction. Shares will slip from weak hands and move to strong hand, this normal cycle of making loss and profit.
DeleteMam, Pls share your insights on demonetization.We all understand that is good for the nation in longrun. But i understand thatdue to temporary cash crunch situationsand fear people are selling.In the current scenario kindly suggest few stocks which are not part of blog which can be added for decent gain in short term.
ReplyDeleteYou can buy any good stock Cosmo Film, Srikalahasthi Pipes, NOCIL for 20 % gain within one year.
DeleteThanks Mam for UR new Superb Omkar recommendation. Got @158 price 10% little higher from UR recommended price.
ReplyDeleteNo issue, it is very good price
DeleteHi Mam,
ReplyDeleteCan we buy Shree Pushkar after todays fall.
You can add in small quantities for long term investment.
DeleteABFRL, Shree pushkar, omkar , surana , valuations wise looking great at the moment can one investment more into these stocks @ available prices and on dips with a 2 year view for more than 100 percent returns
ReplyDeleteYes, you can buy Shree pushkar, omkar for 2 years
DeleteHi Madam, i am holding Aarti Drugs and need your views for it. This company has its footprint in API, Speciality chemicals and Pharma intermediates.
ReplyDeleteAt current price, do we have margin of safety to buy it for next 3 years point of view?
Yes it is good stock to add during market correction for consistent gain around 20% per year
DeleteHello Mam.. Just wanted to know one thing.. Oscl is listed 6 years back with the strong management and also it has increased the turnover of subsidiaries after acquisitions with so many innovations over the years.. With all this in place over the years why has its share price is still at 150 after listing at 98 over 6 years back.. What factors has kept it sideways in the market over the years.. Isn't it a concern mam..
ReplyDeleteYou have not checked the price properly. It was trading below 30 in march 2011 and gone up to 250 in January 2016
DeleteFurther detailed update given in recent con call
Deletehttp://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/5C9668CB_6733_4F16_A51A_2B208580EDC8_172204.pdf
Madam why donear is coming from 80 to LC because of quarterly results or general market correction, at what price it will stabilise for LT.
ReplyDeleteMost of the investors booking profit after getting 300% gains within year (who bought it below 20)
DeleteANY VIEWS ON SYBLY INDUSTRIES I AM HOLDING 1300 SHARES @ 9.71
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteMadam please through some light regarding listing date of TCI XPS.
ReplyDeleteStil no update
DeleteNo role of company in new listing but it will be done by Sebi and stock exchanges will list it after getting the approval
HELLO MADAM
ReplyDeleteI AM NEW TO YOUR BLOG, I AM HAVING LOT OF SHARES IN MY PORTFOLIO CAN YOU GUIDE ME REGARDING WHAT TO KEEP OR TO SELL
AWAITING YOUR REPLY
THANKING YOU
Sure, I will reply it during weekend
Deletehi madam,,,first of all, thanks for ur valuable suggestion, i m already having it in my portfolio with the same reason u mentioned,, n i request u to please take a look at another company of same potential...CLARIS Lifescience ltd..this company could also gv 300% return over 2-3 years.. so would u plz take a look of the bussiness of this company n ur views on it?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Claris but promoter are same of Core Healthcare so take your investment decision carefully.
DeleteHi Madam ,Can you please tell me about Vikas Ecotech,i would like to buy for long term.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Vikas Ecotech
DeleteDont you see Promoter holding as a concerned. In the last concall they categorically mentioned that there will no further selling in stake and it will remain as 58 % . But then they again sold stake. How do you see this?
ReplyDeleteMoreover Dont you think that their aggressive expansion plans are constantly putting pressure on their working capital requirements?
I have already replied to several comments and in the blog.
DeleteYou can read recent con call for detailed answer.
http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/5C9668CB_6733_4F16_A51A_2B208580EDC8_172204.pdf
Madam
ReplyDeleteThere has not been much traction in DTIL over
last two years. It goes up to a level of 330-340
and during correction it comes down to a level of 250-260. The pattern has been quite consistent.
My questions:
1) Given your original projection of 3-4 years for a gain of 300-400%, maximum upto 2 years is left. Do you expect the story to turn around in coming 1-2 years drastically to meet your original timeline projection and gain expectation?
The status quo has hardly changed since last two years.
2) If so, will be grateful, if you can explain how that would happen at a very macro level.
3) Do you expect the promoters to split shares in next 1-2 years in order to change the status of this highly illiquid stock.
It's quite difficult to offload this share at such low level of traction, specilly during correction (if somone wishes so).
Thanks for your continuous guidance.
Warm Regards..
Agri and plantation business growth depend on climatic conditions. We can not expect very high return in continuous draught condition as happened in Malawi from last 2 years. Company is working to expand the plantation and retail business.
DeleteGrowth of Indian retail and Malawi business are main factor to achieve the target easily and only 2 -3 good season are sufficient. Stock split or bonus will happen at higher price near four digit.
Mam,
ReplyDeleteCan we enter chem fab Lab after this steep correction.
It is good stock to buy near 100 ( + / - 10% from suggested price)
DeleteMa'am what will be the impact on chemical companies if the oil prices rises substaintially. Since the oil is major cost constituent? Would they be able to pass on the cost to customers?
ReplyDeleteIt will not make much difference until crude oil will maintain price above 80$/b than cost will passed to customer.
DeleteHello madam,
ReplyDeleteIs it a right time to buy textile stocks. I want to buy nandan denim, nitin spinners so which one you suggezt to buy?
I also like lloyd electric so can I buy at current price?
Thanking You so much.
Yes you can start adding textile stock in small quantities on every correction.
Deletelloyd electric can be bought near 200
Hi Mam: How do you see Promoters of Omkar Speciality? Promoters holding is agan very good at 63%.
ReplyDelete% Share holding of Promoters is not the criteria to measure the quality of management. Otherwise top two chemical companies like UPL and Tata Chem will come into worst managed companies with 30% promoter holding.
DeleteHow does Cosmo Films seem to you Ma'am at CMP for 3-5 years ?
ReplyDeleteIt is good stock for investment with expected gain around 20% per year
DeleteDear Dolly, Thanks for all the information ,I am currently Holding ABFRL 4000 @ 197, With quarterly results to be declared on 24 Nov, Should I add more or Kindly suggest...With the current uncertainty going on in the market.
ReplyDeleteThanks!
You can allocate 20% of your portfolio for long term investment at least for 3-4 years without looking quarterly result. You have shown good patience to hold even buying at very high price 197.
Deletemam, whats ur view on KKalpana industries and DHP India?
ReplyDeleteThanx in advance.
Sorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteHi mam, I need ur view on infra stocks. And why mbl infra quoting at 3.5 pe. Has some debt but any corporate governance issue? Thanks mam.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking MBL Infra. Still not very positive on infra sector.
DeleteThanks a lot mam for your guidance to pick stocks.
ReplyDeletePlease let us know your views on Caplin point labs and Balaji Amines if you are following any of them?
Both are good stock but not advisable to buy at such high price.
Deletedo u track Indag rubber madam?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Indag Rubber
Deletemam,can you please tell me about visagar polytex .how it can perform in next 2years .Thanks for new pick mam.
ReplyDeleteHi Dolly Ma'am!
ReplyDeleteLooking to invest in this stock.. wanted to understand what are the risks associated. Regulatory, suppy side, customer's side..etc.. how do u evaluate the overall risk..
Do you track oriental carbon and chemicals? Is it better bet than pushkar chemicals
ReplyDeleteRespected madam... Everyone is talking about abfrls falling below the recommended price and consider buying it... Same is the case with tci... But no one is talking about tci... Is there any change in view about tci or it is as good as it was earlier to keep in portfolio... I am asking because I want to buy more of tci in this fall...thanks in advance madam
ReplyDeleteMadam I am in your follower list but not got your recommendation in time ,Anyhow at CMP 155 is it still a buy call . If not at level i can enter as learned from your only that entry point has to be assessed for successfull investment.
ReplyDeletekudous for your perseverance and hope i will get benefitted in future from your prudent guidance .Great going madam
Dear Blog owner, What is your view on Havells India. It's down ~30% from 52 WK Hi. Thank you!
ReplyDeletemam,i have bought visagar polytex at 2.75 ,shreenuj at 2.25 ,graphite india at 79 .mam please suggest me whether i sell or hold or buy more at cmp in this falling market.Is any stock is good for long term among these stocks madam.
ReplyDeleteHello Ma'am,
ReplyDeleteI really appreciate the guidance and knowledge you are providing to everyone. Thanks a ton.
My query is regarding Talbros Auto. Should I gain exposure to it at CMP. Also is there any other auto stock which can be bought at CMP. How do you compare Talbros with Pricol and Banco Products.
Looking forward to your valuable thoughts.
Hi Dolly Ma'am!
ReplyDeleteLooking to invest in this stock..what is the reason for its down trend in last 1 yr.. wanted to understand what are the risks associated. Regulatory, suppy side, customer's side..etc.. how do u evaluate the overall risk..
HI if you would have spent some time reading his blog you may not ask this question. please read the blog again you will get the answer for all your question we have answer in the blog.NO PAIN NO GAIN.Hope you understand
DeleteI have samkrgpiston@225 .It is better to buy omkar speciality and to sell samkrgpiston.Thanks for valuable guidance
ReplyDeleteMadam what is your view on JHS Svengard and Cox & Kings?
ReplyDeleteDear Mam...Thanks a lot for replying to each query so patiently and making the effort to bring such gems to our notice...
ReplyDeleteRequest you to kindly give your views on Force Motors...
Hi Mam,
ReplyDeleteThank you very much for the in-depth info and wonderful analysis. I was able to buy 2k shares @158. Planning to buy some more.
When you say 20% allocation for a stock, do you refer to hold value or Market value of the total holdings?
Hi Dolly ma'am
ReplyDeleteWhat are your views on Ifb agro in the current circumstances? Do you expect huge impact on the liquor and seafood businesses?
Dear Ma'm
ReplyDeletewhat is the reason for not publishing my comments?
Do you publish only positive and neutral comments? but not negative comments about the company?
Thanks in advance...
Your comment is already posted yesterday and replied November 21, 2016 at 12:01 AM
DeleteIt would be nice if you have patience and go through the comments before jumping ahead and posting. It would really help others.
DeleteI hope you would have taken the message in a positive spirit.
-Viswa