Saturday, June 17, 2017

KCP Limited - Old is Gold




CMP - 107



KCP  is  a  75  years  old  diversified business group, with business interests in cement, heavy engineering, power, sugar and hospitality.  It has manufacturing units at nine locations over various geographies in India and Vietnam. KCP started as a small cooperative sugar plant in 1941 by its founder Sri. V. Ramakrishna. It has over the years expanded rapidly enthused by the leadership of its founder and inspired on the lines of the technological foresight into other areas like Heavy Engineering (1955), Cement (1958), Power (1998) and Hospitality (2016). The Engineering workshop at Tiruvottiyur Chennai was set up to provide technical and mechanical support to Sugar and Cement factories. The well-crafted strategy turned out to be being at the right place at the right time. The cement factory at Macherla was initially set up to cater to the needs of the then prestigious construction of the Nagarjuna Sagar Dam, a momentous irrigation project.



KCP has state of the art manufacturing facilities , cutting edge technology  and strong project management capabilities. Heavy Engineering division has set up over 40 sugar plants and 12 cement factories in India and overseas. Manufacturing of  critical industrial equipment for mineral processing and chemical industries, steel plants, space  applications, defence , nuclear  and hydro power installations.  Fives Cail KCP Limited is a JV with French engineering pioneer to build turnkey sugar plants.



KCP has been a pioneer in developing the Sugar industry in Vietnam since 1990's as a supplier of sugar machinery to plants in Vietnam. On the invitation of the Vietnam Government to develop sugar cane in rural areas, a 2,500 tcd sugar plant was commissioned by KCP Vietnam Industries Limited since then it has expanded its capacity to 8,000 tcd.



 The KCP Limited - (Corporate) - A Video Profile



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzcdSvTIbqY



Cement




KCP has two cement manufacturing plants in Macherla & Muktyala in the state Andhra Pradesh with captive supply of high grade limestone and producing a combined annual capacity of 2.3 million tons. Both cement plants are having captive power plants. KCP and Shreshtaa Cement brand are sold in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Orissa.







Company has supplied the high grade cement to various landmarks project in like Nagarjuna Sagar Dam, Sri Sailam Dam and Prakasam Barrage, Godavari Railroad Bridge in Andhra Pradesh.



Heavy Engineering




KCP Heavy Engineering (KCP HE) division has two engineering units located in Tamil Nadu at Tiruvottiyur in Chennai and at Arakkonam. Both units have heavy manufacturing capabilities with a fully integrated steel foundry, heavy fabrication, and heavy machine shops with assembly facilities to manufacture heavy equipments for Cement, Sugar, Power, Mining (Minerals), Mineral Processing, Metals, Oil & Gas, Chemicals & Fertilizers, Industrial Gases, Space & Defence and General Engineering Infrastructure.






KCP HE is strategically located in the northern suburbs of the southern coastal port city of Chennai with very close proximity (9 km) to the Chennai / Kattupalli / Kamarajar (Ennore) port for sea transport. Over the last 5 decades, it has become synonymous with uncompromising commitment to quality and delivery of equipments to the diversified global customer base in Australia, Malaysia, Mauritius, Vietnam, Korea, Indonesia, China, Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Madagascar, Nigeria, Uganda, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, France, Germany, Austria, Russia, Brazil and USA.



KCP HE has been at the forefront of introducing new processes, products and materials. It offerers some unique advantages to its customers as



  • Globally recognized by OEM, EPC Companies & Technology Process licensors

  • World Class ASME approved Manufacturing facilities with automated comprehensive welding capabilities and Precision Machining.
  • Single point source for critical Heavy Engineering equipment.
  • Design & Engineering capabilities using international codes & standard.
  • Globally recognized Quality Assurance (QA) systems and standards.




KCP HE has a team of highly qualified engineers and technicians, who are specialists in their area of expertise, i.e, engineering, planning, manufacturing and after-sales support.



The KCP Limited - (Heavy Engineering) - A Video Profile



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HriYQGsJ_Ek


http://he.kcp.co.in/




Power






The power division of KCP  generate power through Hydel, Wind, Waste Heat based and Thermal based plants at its various locations to meet the power needs of the cement and HE business. As a result of captive generation of power, the company has been able to save on its power and fuel costs.






Surplus power  from 18 MW plant in Muktyala is sold to the state electricity board.



Hospitality



Mercure Hyderabad KCP is division of The KCP.  It  is four-star hotel in the upper middle segment  run by a leading international hotel chain under management contract of Accor Hotels Group. It is located at prime location of Banjara Hills in Hyderabad. The local art inspired Hussain Sagar Lake lake view hotel has spacious rooms spread across four categories from Superior (98), Deluxe (11), Suites (8), 5 meeting spaces, 3 F&B offerings, Gym and Wi-Fi. Mercure Hyderabad KCP is an ideal place for business and leisure travelers.






In order to unlock value from one of its several prime properties, KCP has constructed  this business grade four star hotel at Somajiguda, Hyderabad. It was inaugurated in April 2016.



Features


  • 4 - Star business hotel with 128 rooms.
  • Operated by ACCOR Hotel Management under the brand name “Mercure”, which has over 750 hotels worldwide.
  • Located at the heart of Hyderabad in the Somajiguda area, which is a major business centre and shopping destination in the city
  • It has got good response and occupancy level is increasing gradually.



Mercure Hyderabad KCP wins ‘Best Mid-Market Hotel” award at 2017 HICSA AWARDS



http://dfsaw.asia/porto/2017/04/19/mercure-hyderabad-kcp-wins-best-mid-market-hotel-award-at2017-hicsa-awards/


http://www.mercure.com/gb/hotel-8824-mercure-hyderabad-kcp/index.shtml



Sugar & Power EPC






FIVES CAIL - KCP is a joint venture between The KCP Limited, India & Fives Group of France to provide designs and supplies process equipment, turnkey sugar plants, co-generation, refining and bioethanol industries from cane and incineration of effluent from molasses based distilleries. 






Fives Cail specializes on engineering and design aspects of a sugar plant in order to optimize process efficiency of sugar machinery and the general plant layout. Since Fives Cail does not have any manufacturing facilities of its own, it sub - contracts critical equipment  manufacturing with KCP besides other sub-suppliers. Further, KCP also provides after-sales service and supply of spare parts to its customers.



http://www.fivescail-kcp.com/



Sugar




KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary KCP Vietnam Industries. It is a major player in the Vietnam sugar industry. KCP has been involved in developing the Sugar Industry in Vietnam since the early 1990's by supplying core equipment to various sugar factories and also executing turnkey projects. High quality equipment, performance, after-sales-service and experience in growing sugarcane encouraged the Government of Vietnam to invite KCP to set up a sugar factory






The initial production capacity was 2,500 tcd which was further expanded to 8,000 tcd . The company has got the approvals to raise the capacity further to 10,000 tcd in current FY.


The Vietnam economy is growing at good pace and domestic demand is picking up, demand for discretionary products like soft drinks, confectionary would increase will increase the demand of sugar.



http://www.kcp.vn/EN/Introduction/?tn=Detail&tID=3&cID=20



Investment Rationale



Indian economy is moving steady and strongly  with support of optimistic conditions and favourable government policies,  the measures  taken to boost infrastructure and investment, which is  positive for the cement sector, as increased spending on infrastructure will enhances the demand for cement. Spends on smart city development, allocations for Urban Rejuvenation Mission and Mission for Development of 100 Smart Cities, will ensure the cement off  take. The rural push given in the Budget should also spur the rural demand. Adoption of cement in the place of bitumen in new road projects will also help in creating demand for cement. 


KCP cement plants are heaving  great locational advantage. The plants are located within a 125- 175 km range of the proposed Amaravati capital city located centrally in the proposed Andhra Pradesh capital region site. There are a lot of infrastructure projects in the pipeline for Andhra Pradesh and Telangana like the proposed East Coast Economic Corridor, Dedicated Freight Corridor, Diamond Quadrilateral High Speed Rail and National Waterways. The huge infrastructure development concentrated in this region for next 5 years, it will drive cement demand for longer term.


Encouraging economic indicators and the developments in the Capital Region of Andhra Pradesh and other projects taken up in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, company has decided to expand the capacity of the existing plant at Muktyala from 1.8 million tons per annum (TPA) to 3.5 million TPA. The project is likely to go on stream by next year, which will enable KCP  to capture the growth opportunity on right time. 




The heavy engineering facility in Chennai is having a 4,500 MT foundry and 6,000 MT fabrication capabilities. It is one of the few  heavy engineering workshop in the country which can handle single component casting and machining of more than 200 ton weight. The growth of heavy engineering sector ( capital goods) depends on the pace of industrial activity and state of the economy in general. Now investment cycle is gradually picking up in infrastructure and construction. Specially cement , sugar and infrastructure sectors present a significant growth potential for the KCP HE division.  Uptrend in heavy engineering business will results significant improvement in overall company performance. Company is focusing to make turnaround in the engineering division due to good growth in cement,  sugar and infra sector.



Integrated Heavy Engineering plant is spread over 30 hectare ( 75 acres ) land in dense populated area  in Tiruvottiyur, Chennai suburb. The market value of this land is near to the current market capital of entire company.  Definitely it contains huge value and sooner or later it will unlock substantial value for its shareholders.



KCP has constructed a business grade four star hotel at a prime property in Somajiguda, Hyderabad in order to unlock value of one of the many significant valuable asset created by company since last 75 years. It is operational from last year and occupancy level is increasing. 



After very long gap, sugar sector has shown good growth in past one year and it is expected to remain positive for next 2-3 years. KCP Vietnam Industries has completed the phase-I expansion of sugar unit. Its sugar business in Vietnam is doing well and the company has got government permission to increase their capacity from 8000 tonnes of cane per day (tcd) to 10,000 tcd. The capacity expansion in Vietnam will add significant growth in  top and bottom line.



Company is consistently paying good dividend since last 25 years despite being engaged in highly cyclical business like cement and sugar.



The company saves significantly cost from captive power generating facilities from all possible sources – wind energy, solar, hydel, thermal and power from waste heat recovery system. It also ensure uninterrupted power supply for cement and heavy engineering division.




Conclusion



Future outlook of Cement , Sugar , Hospitality and  Heavy Engineering  ( capital goods) business segments looks very positive in the next  3 -4 years. Government is giving extreme focus on infrastructure, housing , construction and industrial development.  KCP has very good location advantage in every business.   All business segment are expected to perform well in future.  Apart from these businesses company own several valuable properties at different prime locations. In future it will surely unlock huge value for investors. It is giving very good  long term investment opportunity at cmp 107. It can be bought + / - 10% from cmp and   10 -20 % allocation can be given.



850 comments:

  1. Dear Maam, Thank you for the New Stock.

    My allocation in Talbros is 16% on cost basis. My buy price is Rs. 118/-. Pls suggest if I can sell some and buy the new stock or continue to hold it. I do not have any fresh money to invest.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Mam how much returns expected in short and long term?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  3. What is the return can be expected in one year?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thanks for the stock recommendation

    ReplyDelete
  5. Dear Madam, Thank you very much for the new pick

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hi madam.. What is short term n long term target ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  7. Mam,Thanks for new recommendation.Can we allocate 20% to each Kesoram,Pennar,KCP .What return can we expect in 1 year from KCP

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can give above allocation. Need to buy strictly within +/- 10% from suggested price.

      KCP can give 50 -100% in one year

      Delete
    2. I could get at 112 on Monday morning and Happy since 113 is now average CMP.
      Thank you .

      Delete
  8. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. you are too exited which will hurt you for sure, max allocation is 20% why you invest 40-50% in one stock?

      Delete
    2. @Ankit....ur strategy is full of risks..

      Delete
    3. It is not advisable to invest in stock market with borrowed / loan money on interest. Already you have taken the decision, now you can hold as it is with patience and book the profit timely after Q1 results.

      Delete
  9. Great pick mam, As I recently started investing is it fissible to buy pennar @55 & Thank you for the above script, will buy on monday.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Mam, what is return expected in 1 year and also for 2-3 yrs. what would drive that return.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      All sectors ( cement, sugar, infra (heavy engineering), hospitality) belongs to KCP are having high growth potential. Possibility of hotel business demerger and monetization of surplus land at different locations.

      Delete
  11. Thanks mam. Request your next recommendation from non commodity based consumer generic business like ADF foods or value added services.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure we will have at least one similar stock in coming month.

      Delete
  12. Thank you so much madam for all that you do for us. May God bless you with good health and prosperity.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Thanks for wonderful pick with diversified business like cement, construction, sugar and hospitality.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thanks
    Very surprising ..your ability to search gems from in-depth sea

    ReplyDelete
  15. Thank you for recommending one giant conglomerate !! Should give good returns and my big Thank you once again .

    ReplyDelete
  16. Hlo mam..i hv kcp sugar 2000@43.nw cmp is29 wt shd i do.wt is return expected in 1 year..suggest me to hold or exit.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Dollyji thanks for the new reco,I hope the stock has enough liquidity for all of us to buy..regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, it can be bought within given price range

      Delete
  18. Thank you Ma'am for the recommendation.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Thank you for recommending one giant conglomerate !! Should give good returns and my big Thank you once again .

    ReplyDelete
  20. Mam, Can we book profit in Emkay Global or can we wait for further gain?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can book some partial profit and keep remaining for further gain

      Delete
  21. Could you please through some light on OSCL right issue ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is effective and easy way to raise the capital without dilution of stake. It will help the company to manage working capital and reduce the debt.

      Delete
  22. Mam,
    Thanks for recommendation with the depth insight view.

    ReplyDelete
  23. TX mam for ur update on new stock

    ReplyDelete
  24. Thanks mam for the new recomendation.pl. suggest me whether i can purchase omkar speciality at cmp after demerger.I have just joined your blog and after that purchased pennar , kesoram . Thanks once again.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can buy Omkar near 70 on further correction.

      Delete
  25. Thanks Madamji for your new pick. I have seen few comments with regards to number of stock recommendations,i invest on monthly basis with whatever i can save. Hence I would request you to kindly continue the stock recommendation as per earlier plan of 8-9 stocks/ year. It becomes very helpfull for people like me who doesn't have lumpsum to invest. We can continue our SIP this way. Thankyou once again for being so helpful to us.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure, we will have 8 stock in this year. Always try buy the stocks +/- 10% from suggested price. It will ensure decent return on your investment.

      Delete
  26. Omkar comes with right issue-is good for the company @ how to apply for the same.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is effective and easy way to raise the capital without dilution of stake. It will help the company to manage working capital and reduce the debt.

      Delete
  27. Great pick mam.. gud bless u..for helping us....

    ReplyDelete
  28. Tanx mam for giving such a wonderful pick.. god bless u mam..

    ReplyDelete
  29. Mam your view on innovative tech pack limited at CMP for long term view. Business side it is improving.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Mam,

    Kcp and Kesoram both r into cement business n operates mostly in south region. Which one would give returns soon.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Cement business is profit making for both companies and turnaround is expected from other business segments. At present KCP has much stronger balance sheet and asset quality but both companies will give similar return.

      Delete
  31. Madam,
    Is KCP sugar is completely different from KCP.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. KCP sugar is already demerged from KCP Ltd, now no relation except common promoters.

      Delete
  32. Mam, do we enter adf food @cmp of 275.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not advisable to buy ADF at cmp.
      You can buy the stocks +/- 10% from suggested price.

      Delete
    2. Even the promoters of adf foods sold 4 percent shares in the open market so it's a bad sign. Please do not chase this stock at such high levels accumulate only around suggested levels

      Delete
  33. This is the first time for me right issue ?? Can you let us know how it is helpful in case of Omkar and how to apply it ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ok, we will discuss it once the proposal will get approved and right issue price get fixed.

      Delete
  34. Back to back ..2 cement sectors ..looks like huge demand coming.. i have read one survey.. seems there will demand supply gap...? Thank q

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sir can you share the link to that survey?

      Delete
    2. We have picked both cement stocks with diversification in other business segments where growth possibilities are very high and both companies are making turnaround in other business segments. It will give business stability during non performing period of cyclical business.

      For example - How one business supporting other business to sustain during rough period ? You can get clear idea about it if you will analyse standalone and consolidated results of KCP Ltd for last 7 -8 years.

      Delete
  35. Dear Mam

    Thank you for your new stock pick.
    My question is regarding Jubilant Industries. It is significantly down from its high. Is it still a hold ? What explains its slide ?

    Best Regards
    Ajay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is still less than one year and it is trading 56% above suggested price. Slide is for those who chased and bought it at very high price.

      Most of the blog members have bought below 180, they can relax without any worry.

      Delete
  36. CNBC quaestion: Let us talk about the cement business that expansion that you are undertaking. This is only for one unit that you are looking to up it from around 1.8 or around 3.5 million tonnes, what does it take your total capacity to and by when can we see this entire capacity coming onstream, will it be FY17, FY18?

    A: Current one unit we are expanding, we are doubling the capacity from 1.8 million tonne to 3.5 million tonne, another unit about 0.8 million tonne. So total comes to about 4.3-4.4 capacity of the cement.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect better result in coming quarters from sugar division where capacity addition is already completed. Heavy Engineering division preferred part and equipment supplier to cement and sugar industry. Both cement and sugar sector start performing from last year after long period. Turnaround of cement and sugar sector will result auto turnaround of Heavy Engineering division.

      Delete
  37. Mam ADF food promoter sold 10 lakh share on 14 june in open market its good or bad for share waited for your reply.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is not good or bad until we know the exact intention behind it. We have seen lot of people around us ( neighbours, relatives, friends or any known person) have sold their property due to some reason. It may be due to buy another property or marriage of daughter or gambling in casino. I have not seen people using last option. We have bought stocks with intention to sell with profit but these promoters worked generation after generation to build this company without any intention to sell it.

      Buying and selling of stocks / shares is our business

      Buying and selling of company is not the business of promoters but they buy raw material and sell the finished product.





      Delete
  38. Hello Mam.. Thanks for your new recommendation.. God bless you for all your hardwork you do for all of us and recommend a new gem.. Mam looking at this counter.. Only turnaround story seems cement demand.. Hotel n engineering are still loss making.. What is the main turnaround rationale for the counter which will change the story of this script.. Request your guidance mam

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Other than the Sugar cement we do not have much information how the other divisions are doing. What is the contribution in terms of profit/loss % and what are the triggers going forward that will propel the stock to higher levels.
      Please guide us how to spot such information from company B/S or website.

      Delete
    2. Apart from cement, we can expect better result in coming quarters from sugar division where capacity addition is already completed. Heavy Engineering division preferred part and equipment supplier to cement and sugar industry. Both cement and sugar sector start performing from last year after long period. Turnaround of cement and sugar sector will result auto turnaround of Heavy Engineering division.
      Hospitality business will also start giving positive results in coming quarters.

      Delete
    3. https://www.ibef.org/download/Cement-January-2017.pdf

      Delete
    4. Mam , in a different query, you've clarified that sugar division has already demerged from KCP Ltd's heavy industries. And hence will the better results in sugar division still influence KCP Ltd's stock price?

      Delete
    5. Better read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.

      Presently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.

      Delete
  39. Thanks for the new reco. KCP is highly diversified business. Is there any chance of demerger in future that will unlock value for investors.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, there is possibility of hotel business demerger and monetization of surplus land at different locations.

      Delete
  40. Thanks Mam, for this pick.
    For a novice, it appears that Kesoram and KCP are in same industry as both are involved in cement manufacturing.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We have picked both cement stocks with diversification in other business segments where growth possibilities are very high and both companies are making turnaround in other business segments. It will give business stability during non performing period of cyclical business.

      For example - How one business supporting other business to sustain during rough period ? You can get clear idea about it if you will analyse standalone and consolidated results of KCP Ltd for last 7 -8 years.

      Delete
    2. Thks Mam for New Stock KCP Ltd . Mam I have one query why Promoters Reduced their Holding for continuesly last 3 queters. Any Reasion for that..

      Delete
    3. If they will keeping 100% then how the general public can buy the shares. Definitely all companies ( promoters) have sold the shares to public for money.

      Delete
  41. It's my hobby to buy the recommended stock blindly from this blog. Thank you very much mam for one more multibagger from my state AP/ Telangana .
    Regards
    Venkateswara Reddy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, both AP and Telangana are providing huge growth opportunity.

      http://www.telangana.gov.in/PDFDocuments/Socio-Economic-Outlook-2017.pdf

      https://www.ibef.org/download/Andhra-Pradesh-January-2017.pdf

      Delete
  42. Thank u mam for latest recommendation. Mam,what is future of waterbase ltd.?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Future is bright, need to hold for decent gain.

      Delete
  43. mam,adf food sell Karen ya hold

    ReplyDelete
  44. Hello Madam,

    Thank you once again for the new pick and the selfless help that you do for us. May God bless you with good health, peace and prosperity.

    Thanks and Regards,
    D Viswambharan

    ReplyDelete
  45. Mam can you please advice on nahar industrial estate

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock, you can continue to hold with expected return around 15% per year.

      Delete
  46. thank you so much for the stock idea

    ReplyDelete
  47. Mam any suggestion for VASCON Engineer...

    ReplyDelete
  48. I had 50 shares of Tech mahindra purchase at Rs 450 and cast 10 shares purchased at Ra 800.what should I do..

    ReplyDelete
  49. Replies
    1. Waterbase is good stock. You can continue to hold, it will give good return in coming quarters.

      Delete
  50. Respected M'm, Any advice regarding Iris Lifesciences IPO. it is very expensive but seeing their location (plant in assam, tax free till 2022 ) and hold in generics. Can this high valuation be agreed upon ? Please advice.

    ReplyDelete
  51. Dear mam,

    Lasa supergenerics financials are posted on lasalab.com website...did u checked it?
    Again it is showing exceptional loss of 30 crores for lasa aswell..
    Could you please explain the results is good or bad for last quarter.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Results is very good. It is very common to adjust the asset valuation and capitalize the fair value during demerger.

      Delete
  52. Hello Mam,

    Thanks a lot for recommendation. Can you please advise on the following queries
    1. the stock price had fallen drastically in the last month. Any particular reason?
    2. Why is the hotel business also making losses.

    best regards,


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stock fall during CFO interview, it means media has misinterpreted the facts.

      Business will grow gradually and cross the break-even point after certain time period to turn profitable. We cannot compare business with monthly salary where there is no chance of loss.

      Delete
  53. Ma'am your views on sakuma exports ?

    ReplyDelete
  54. Mam
    Waterbase is it still a good buy?
    Am planning to buy pennar and kesoram but would like to request your views if i should wait for some time to buy?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If you have not bought Pennar Ind at 45 and kesoram 135 during recent correction in the month of May than very rare chance that you can buy it in future, My views for both stocks are very clearly mentioned in blog. It related to the decision making and you have to decide it.

      Delete
  55. Hello Madam,

    Thanks for nee pick. I just want to know about manappuram finance. please share you view

    ReplyDelete
  56. Dear mam,
    1st of all thanks a lot for doing a selfless service for retail investors like us. My question is about Kesoram. We anticipate your view on their decision to merge the spun pipe and heavy chemical entities, which were demerged in 2015. Also kindly comment on their decesion to allot shares to Indus Ind Bank. Thank you in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Optionally Convertible Preference Shares are issued in the past and Indus Ind Bank has bought it with intention to convert it into shares. It is good for both. Assets were transferred and sold to group company now with availability of above fund, these assets will be acquired again.

      Delete
  57. Mam, one dbt..if kcp sugar is now a seperate demerged company..kcp ltd still has sugar business?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Better read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.

      Presently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.

      Delete
  58. Dear mam, Bought ADF @290..Is it worth to hold for long term.Also what is your view on Amarjothi spinning & Nitin spinners.Tks for new pick KPC...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not advisable to chase any stock at such high price ( ADF and Nitin Spinners)

      All stocks are giving enough chance to enter +/-10% from suggested price.

      Not tracking Amarjothi spinning

      Delete
  59. Hello Mam read in another forum you had purchased Gujarat Narmada valley Fertilizer (GNFC). I bought it at price 325. CMP is around 295. Is it an oppurtunity to average it out. Whats the outlook like? Your suggestions would be helpful.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes , you can add it on further correction near 250

      Delete
  60. Dear Madam - Can I buy waterbase now

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can buy it in case of further correction near 75

      Delete
    2. Agar mam ye 75 tak nahin aya to...

      Delete
  61. Comparing both Kesoram and KCP cement business is common business which both have similar growth possibilities. However coming to other businesses b/w Kesoram tyre and KCP sugar business I assume that tyre business will do better. I assume return rate in Kesoram is more than KCP. Your view on this please

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. KCP is having very strong and stable business which will deliver consistent return for long term. Chances to unlock the value through demerger or hive off properties at prime locations,

      Delete
  62. Maam how do get the information about the quality of business and management before deciding on any stock.Is it that you get info from specific sites majorly.YOur advice would be of great help for us to learn

    ReplyDelete
  63. Maam

    Have a question on valuation to understand your thought process on overall valuation

    - Chennai land worth 1,300 crores
    - 3.5 MTPA worth 3,000 crores (based on Ultratech purchase of another cement; 3000 is a conservative estimate. Shree cements is quoting 2000-2500 crores of marketcap per MPTA)
    - Engineering group about 200-300 crores (group expecting to make 100 crores revenue FY 2018. So 2-3 times revenue seems appropriate?)
    - Sugar interests in Vietnam : not sure. May be a few hundred crores
    - Hotel business: probably tens of crores

    So seems like a 5,000 crores company is selling for 1/3 to 1/4 value.

    Management seems very honest and conservative.

    Do you foresee capacity increase further than 3.5 MPTA?

    I have seen only one management interview that too with a CFO. Hope they appear more on TV and promote the script and target capacity expansions even further to take advantage of expected cement supply gap in the next 5-10 years

    ReplyDelete
  64. 10 crore for 130 room 4 star hotel at prime location is very less , you can assign at least 250 crores for hotel asset and 200 crores 34 MW power assets.

    KCP is asset rich company , slowly but surely it will unlock value for its investors. All business segment will give good return as usual.

    ReplyDelete
  65. Maam

    Housing Finance is being marketed as the next big theme. Any thoughts on this? And whether it's okay to purchase PNB housing now around 1650?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most of the stocks related to Housing Finance are trading at very price, need to wait for good correction near 25 -30%

      Delete
  66. Thanks for the recommendation

    ReplyDelete
  67. Mam..thanks a lot for the suggestions

    ReplyDelete
  68. Dolly Mam

    Your views on Valiant Organics? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  69. Thanks for your recommendation.May God bless you with good health and lots of happiness

    ReplyDelete
  70. Good morning mam..
    Already I had 100 stocks kcp @91 level.. Possible for correction or add at cmp

    ReplyDelete
  71. madame, Surana Solar Ltd is on 20.xx now a days ... need ur valuable suggestions thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Buy it with 5 -10% allocation for at least 3 years investment plan.

      Delete
  72. Dollyji got KCP 500@113..well within the 10% range...thanks & regards,will buy more on correction

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Bought at good price, need hold with patience for decent gain in 2-3 years

      Delete
  73. Mam,kcp Rs 116 per buy kiya hua h

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good price, need hold with patience for decent gain in 2-3 years

      Delete
  74. most of finance companies are moving in new new orbit, like banks, nbfc's, again you are not much interested in the same any specific reason as you had not recommended any stock from that space.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most of the stocks related to NBFC or housing finance are trading at very high price, from past few months we have seen quick rally , need to wait for good correction near 25 -30%

      Delete
  75. Dear mam,

    What is the current promoter stake in omkar speciality?
    As per my calculation it is about 40%...then why on et now interview its mentioned 30%? Below is the link..
    https://www.google.co.in/amp/m.economictimes.com/opinion/interviews/total-debt-in-the-books-is-around-218-crores-pravin-s-herlekar-omkar-speciality/amp_articleshow/59215447.cms

    Have they sold more stake?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes , the right issue is to raise the promoter's shareholding against 60 cr interest free loan

      Delete
    2. Dear mam,

      I was asking what is the current shareholding of promoters?
      If we see et now interview mr herlekar mentioned it as 30%..have they sold more shares?

      Delete
  76. 200 cr right issue on 170 cr MarketCap company....Means high probability of 1:1 Right issue around Price around 200 Rs......Mam, seems after this right issue omkar may debt free or with very less debt...If unit-5 gets approval than it will zoom ....What is your opinion madam ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, now after demerger it will be easy to manage the business for Omkar, Right issue price will be near to 100.

      Delete
  77. Hi Mam . Is Manappuram finance a good buy @CMP 94.25?

    ReplyDelete
  78. Why surana solar is not moving madam?

    ReplyDelete
  79. Respected Mam

    please guide me about how to calculate fair value of a share

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. https://home.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2015/12/fair-value-qa-2015.pdf

      Delete
  80. Maam

    Is Heritage Foods at CMP of about 1150 a good buy?

    Heritage seems to be expanding geographically to North and changing product mix to include high margin and value added products such as ghee, ice cream, curd



    ReplyDelete
  81. Dear Madam,
    Need some information, what are the months when do milk prices gets cooled down.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Milk price is high during the summer months due to low milk yield per cow and milk price gets cool down in winter months due to high milk yield per cow.

      Delete
  82. Mam I m holding 5000 surana solar @ 35 since one and half year.....when can you see turnaround and price moving up.

    ReplyDelete
  83. Mam please suggest me I bought icici 150 sare on rs 326
    Hindelco rs 206

    ReplyDelete
  84. could you please provide your inputs about "LG Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd" and Dhampur Sugar Mills?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are good stocks, you can continue to hold but not advisable to buy at cmp

      Delete
  85. when will we get LASALAB shares?

    ReplyDelete
  86. Before omkar demerger allocation was 26% of portfolio @180. Now after demerger, considering buy price of omkar and lasa 90 each, portfolio allocation is 13% to each. So, do we still have scope of adding both stocks to make 20% allocation or, 20% allocation should be considered before demerger and no need to add more?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You have already given 26% allocation so no need to add further. In case it fall below 60 then you can add some more.

      Delete
  87. Mam as you said OSCL right issue price will be around Rs.100 ,but now its cmp is below Rs.80 & falling further, so shall we add more at this price or wait for more clarity on the right issue & listing of Lassa

    ReplyDelete
  88. As per your previous comment omkar right issue price 100 but currently trading @84 so buy in open market rather than in right issue or it's different thing in right issue.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not advisable to buy above 70 in open market or right issue

      Delete
  89. Madam, Sorry if I'm missing anything. Since the sugar division has been de-merged and is listed as a separate entity. Why should we be considering it in our analysis. It has to be only Cement, Power, Heavy Engineering and Hospitality.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Better read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.

      Presently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.

      "Vietnam" word used in this blog page more than 15 times, how you have missed it?

      Delete
  90. Mam will still LT food has potential to yield multifold and any future is there for sintex textile after demerger as i have purchase 500 stocks @ Rs30.

    ReplyDelete
  91. Mam, is there any further chances of Omkar chemicals correction below 60. Would like to wait for that.

    ReplyDelete
  92. Hi Mam,I buy PDPL @ 28.50,so how many time hold it for good return.

    ReplyDelete
  93. Maam from which sites do you gather information on quality of management and business profile before buying any stock ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Websites give some information but most of the information gathered through personal contacts.

      Delete
  94. Hello Madam !!! Please Blog regarding "How to Identify Multibaggers" in between Your stock Recommendations..I mean 1 0r 2 posts of Educative Articles For Every Month..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure we will cover above topic in blog. We are focusing on practical realization than theoretical example.

      "How to hold the Multibaggers" is more important than "How to Identify Multibaggers" We have already identified several multibaggers stocks but most of the people struggling to buy it on time and lacking patience and focus to hold even for one year. You can realise it from comments posted on this blog

      If anyone able to realise 300% gain with 10 -20% allocation than it will give experience of lifetime.

      Delete
  95. Hi

    I am new to investing and i want to learn how to allocate to a particular stock i have 3 lakh rs to invest out of which i have invest 20 k on kcp is this the right amount of allocation or shall i allocate more when shall i expect next stock to invest

    ReplyDelete
  96. Madam,
    Kindly share some source of information regarding happenings in companies. I read business newspapers but still sometimes find people are having some important information almost on real time basis than me. I will be very thankful, if u can share some good sources. As with ur advice through blog, I m in the learning phase and find bit educated post doing some reading of grahm, Fisher and buffet.
    You may also share periodic magazine, which can be read...
    Thank u in advance

    ReplyDelete
  97. Madam considering the good monsoon, across India can any agri related stock can be bought into , Pls provide ur views on IFB Agro can it be added at Cmp ?

    ReplyDelete
  98. Hi mam, to my understanding, omkar rights issue price will be less than market price. Otherwise, what is the necessity to take omkar shares through right issue.
    Eg: when canfin homes announced last right issue in 2014-15, market price was around rs. 630 and right issue given at rs 450.
    So, can we expect similar thing to be happen here as well. Is my understanding correct?

    ReplyDelete