CMP - 107 |
KCP is a 75 years old diversified business group, with business interests in cement, heavy engineering, power, sugar and hospitality. It has manufacturing units at nine locations over various geographies in India and Vietnam. KCP started as a small cooperative sugar plant in 1941 by its founder Sri. V. Ramakrishna. It has over the years expanded rapidly enthused by the leadership of its founder and inspired on the lines of the technological foresight into other areas like Heavy Engineering (1955), Cement (1958), Power (1998) and Hospitality (2016). The Engineering workshop at Tiruvottiyur Chennai was set up to provide technical and mechanical support to Sugar and Cement factories. The well-crafted strategy turned out to be being at the right place at the right time. The cement factory at Macherla was initially set up to cater to the needs of the then prestigious construction of the Nagarjuna Sagar Dam, a momentous irrigation project.
KCP has state of the art manufacturing facilities , cutting edge technology and strong project management capabilities. Heavy Engineering division has set up over 40 sugar plants and 12 cement factories in India and overseas. Manufacturing of critical industrial equipment for mineral processing and chemical industries, steel plants, space applications, defence , nuclear and hydro power installations. Fives Cail KCP Limited is a JV with French engineering pioneer to build turnkey sugar plants.
KCP has been a pioneer in developing the Sugar industry in Vietnam since 1990's as a supplier of sugar machinery to plants in Vietnam. On the invitation of the Vietnam Government to develop sugar cane in rural areas, a 2,500 tcd sugar plant was commissioned by KCP Vietnam Industries Limited since then it has expanded its capacity to 8,000 tcd.
The KCP Limited - (Corporate) - A Video Profile
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzcdSvTIbqY
Cement
KCP has two cement manufacturing plants in Macherla & Muktyala in the state Andhra Pradesh with captive supply of high grade limestone and producing a combined annual capacity of 2.3 million tons. Both cement plants are having captive power plants. KCP and Shreshtaa Cement brand are sold in Telangana, Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and Orissa.
Company has supplied the high grade cement to various landmarks project in like Nagarjuna Sagar Dam, Sri Sailam Dam and Prakasam Barrage, Godavari Railroad Bridge in Andhra Pradesh.
Heavy Engineering
KCP Heavy Engineering (KCP HE) division has two engineering units located in Tamil Nadu at Tiruvottiyur in Chennai and at Arakkonam. Both units have heavy manufacturing capabilities with a fully integrated steel foundry, heavy fabrication, and heavy machine shops with assembly facilities to manufacture heavy equipments for Cement, Sugar, Power, Mining (Minerals), Mineral Processing, Metals, Oil & Gas, Chemicals & Fertilizers, Industrial Gases, Space & Defence and General Engineering Infrastructure.
KCP HE is strategically located in the northern suburbs of the southern coastal port city of Chennai with very close proximity (9 km) to the Chennai / Kattupalli / Kamarajar (Ennore) port for sea transport. Over the last 5 decades, it has become synonymous with uncompromising commitment to quality and delivery of equipments to the diversified global customer base in Australia, Malaysia, Mauritius, Vietnam, Korea, Indonesia, China, Nepal, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, UAE, Saudi Arabia, Oman, Qatar, Madagascar, Nigeria, Uganda, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, France, Germany, Austria, Russia, Brazil and USA.
KCP HE has been at the forefront of introducing new processes, products and materials. It offerers some unique advantages to its customers as
- Globally recognized by OEM, EPC Companies & Technology Process licensors
- World Class ASME approved Manufacturing facilities with automated comprehensive welding capabilities and Precision Machining.
- Single point source for critical Heavy Engineering equipment.
- Design & Engineering capabilities using international codes & standard.
- Globally recognized Quality Assurance (QA) systems and standards.
KCP HE has a team of highly qualified engineers and technicians, who are specialists in their area of expertise, i.e, engineering, planning, manufacturing and after-sales support.
The KCP Limited - (Heavy Engineering) - A Video Profile
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HriYQGsJ_Ek
http://he.kcp.co.in/
Power
The power division of KCP generate power through Hydel, Wind, Waste Heat based and Thermal based plants at its various locations to meet the power needs of the cement and HE business. As a result of captive generation of power, the company has been able to save on its power and fuel costs.
Surplus power from 18 MW plant in Muktyala is sold to the state electricity board.
Hospitality
Mercure Hyderabad KCP is division of The KCP. It is four-star hotel in the upper middle segment run by a leading international hotel chain under management contract of Accor Hotels Group. It is located at prime location of Banjara Hills in Hyderabad. The local art inspired Hussain Sagar Lake lake view hotel has spacious rooms spread across four categories from Superior (98), Deluxe (11), Suites (8), 5 meeting spaces, 3 F&B offerings, Gym and Wi-Fi. Mercure Hyderabad KCP is an ideal place for business and leisure travelers.
In order to unlock value from one of its several prime properties, KCP has constructed this business grade four star hotel at Somajiguda, Hyderabad. It was inaugurated in April 2016.
Features
- 4 - Star business hotel with 128 rooms.
- Operated by ACCOR Hotel Management under the brand name “Mercure”, which has over 750 hotels worldwide.
- Located at the heart of Hyderabad in the Somajiguda area, which is a major business centre and shopping destination in the city
- It has got good response and occupancy level is increasing gradually.
Mercure Hyderabad KCP wins ‘Best Mid-Market Hotel” award at 2017 HICSA AWARDS
http://dfsaw.asia/porto/2017/04/19/mercure-hyderabad-kcp-wins-best-mid-market-hotel-award-at2017-hicsa-awards/
http://www.mercure.com/gb/hotel-8824-mercure-hyderabad-kcp/index.shtml
Sugar & Power EPC
FIVES CAIL - KCP is a joint venture between The KCP Limited, India & Fives Group of France to provide designs and supplies process equipment, turnkey sugar plants, co-generation, refining and bioethanol industries from cane and incineration of effluent from molasses based distilleries.
Fives Cail specializes on engineering and design aspects of a sugar plant in order to optimize process efficiency of sugar machinery and the general plant layout. Since Fives Cail does not have any manufacturing facilities of its own, it sub - contracts critical equipment manufacturing with KCP besides other sub-suppliers. Further, KCP also provides after-sales service and supply of spare parts to its customers.
http://www.fivescail-kcp.com/
Sugar
KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary KCP Vietnam Industries. It is a major player in the Vietnam sugar industry. KCP has been involved in developing the Sugar Industry in Vietnam since the early 1990's by supplying core equipment to various sugar factories and also executing turnkey projects. High quality equipment, performance, after-sales-service and experience in growing sugarcane encouraged the Government of Vietnam to invite KCP to set up a sugar factory
The initial production capacity was 2,500 tcd which was further expanded to 8,000 tcd . The company has got the approvals to raise the capacity further to 10,000 tcd in current FY.
The Vietnam economy is growing at good pace and domestic demand is picking up, demand for discretionary products like soft drinks, confectionary would increase will increase the demand of sugar.
http://www.kcp.vn/EN/Introduction/?tn=Detail&tID=3&cID=20
Investment Rationale
Indian economy is moving steady and strongly with support of optimistic conditions and favourable government policies, the measures taken to boost infrastructure and investment, which is positive for the cement sector, as increased spending on infrastructure will enhances the demand for cement. Spends on smart city development, allocations for Urban Rejuvenation Mission and Mission for Development of 100 Smart Cities, will ensure the cement off take. The rural push given in the Budget should also spur the rural demand. Adoption of cement in the place of bitumen in new road projects will also help in creating demand for cement.
KCP cement plants are heaving great locational advantage. The plants are located within a 125- 175 km range of the proposed Amaravati capital city located centrally in the proposed Andhra Pradesh capital region site. There are a lot of infrastructure projects in the pipeline for Andhra Pradesh and Telangana like the proposed East Coast Economic Corridor, Dedicated Freight Corridor, Diamond Quadrilateral High Speed Rail and National Waterways. The huge infrastructure development concentrated in this region for next 5 years, it will drive cement demand for longer term.
Encouraging economic indicators and the developments in the Capital Region of Andhra Pradesh and other projects taken up in Telangana and Andhra Pradesh, company has decided to expand the capacity of the existing plant at Muktyala from 1.8 million tons per annum (TPA) to 3.5 million TPA. The project is likely to go on stream by next year, which will enable KCP to capture the growth opportunity on right time.
The heavy engineering facility in Chennai is having a 4,500 MT foundry and 6,000 MT fabrication capabilities. It is one of the few heavy engineering workshop in the country which can handle single component casting and machining of more than 200 ton weight. The growth of heavy engineering sector ( capital goods) depends on the pace of industrial activity and state of the economy in general. Now investment cycle is gradually picking up in infrastructure and construction. Specially cement , sugar and infrastructure sectors present a significant growth potential for the KCP HE division. Uptrend in heavy engineering business will results significant improvement in overall company performance. Company is focusing to make turnaround in the engineering division due to good growth in cement, sugar and infra sector.
Integrated Heavy Engineering plant is spread over 30 hectare ( 75 acres ) land in dense populated area in Tiruvottiyur, Chennai suburb. The market value of this land is near to the current market capital of entire company. Definitely it contains huge value and sooner or later it will unlock substantial value for its shareholders.
KCP has constructed a business grade four star hotel at a prime property in Somajiguda, Hyderabad in order to unlock value of one of the many significant valuable asset created by company since last 75 years. It is operational from last year and occupancy level is increasing.
After very long gap, sugar sector has shown good growth in past one year and it is expected to remain positive for next 2-3 years. KCP Vietnam Industries has completed the phase-I expansion of sugar unit. Its sugar business in Vietnam is doing well and the company has got government permission to increase their capacity from 8000 tonnes of cane per day (tcd) to 10,000 tcd. The capacity expansion in Vietnam will add significant growth in top and bottom line.
Company is consistently paying good dividend since last 25 years despite being engaged in highly cyclical business like cement and sugar.
The company saves significantly cost from captive power generating facilities from all possible sources – wind energy, solar, hydel, thermal and power from waste heat recovery system. It also ensure uninterrupted power supply for cement and heavy engineering division.
Conclusion
Future outlook of Cement , Sugar , Hospitality and Heavy Engineering ( capital goods) business segments looks very positive in the next 3 -4 years. Government is giving extreme focus on infrastructure, housing , construction and industrial development. KCP has very good location advantage in every business. All business segment are expected to perform well in future. Apart from these businesses company own several valuable properties at different prime locations. In future it will surely unlock huge value for investors. It is giving very good long term investment opportunity at cmp 107. It can be bought + / - 10% from cmp and 10 -20 % allocation can be given.
Thanks mam...
ReplyDeleteDear Maam, Thank you for the New Stock.
ReplyDeleteMy allocation in Talbros is 16% on cost basis. My buy price is Rs. 118/-. Pls suggest if I can sell some and buy the new stock or continue to hold it. I do not have any fresh money to invest.
You can book some partial profit near 100% return
DeleteThanks mam...
DeleteMam how much returns expected in short and long term?
ReplyDelete50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.
DeleteWhat is the return can be expected in one year?
ReplyDelete50 -100% in one year
DeleteThanks for the stock recommendation
ReplyDeleteAny views on GHCL ma'am ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteDear Madam, Thank you very much for the new pick
ReplyDeleteHi madam.. What is short term n long term target ?
ReplyDelete50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.
DeleteMam,Thanks for new recommendation.Can we allocate 20% to each Kesoram,Pennar,KCP .What return can we expect in 1 year from KCP
ReplyDeleteYes you can give above allocation. Need to buy strictly within +/- 10% from suggested price.
DeleteKCP can give 50 -100% in one year
I could get at 112 on Monday morning and Happy since 113 is now average CMP.
DeleteThank you .
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteyou are too exited which will hurt you for sure, max allocation is 20% why you invest 40-50% in one stock?
Delete@Ankit....ur strategy is full of risks..
DeleteIt is not advisable to invest in stock market with borrowed / loan money on interest. Already you have taken the decision, now you can hold as it is with patience and book the profit timely after Q1 results.
DeleteGreat pick mam, As I recently started investing is it fissible to buy pennar @55 & Thank you for the above script, will buy on monday.
ReplyDeleteYou can buy Pennar below 51 in case of further correction.
DeleteMaa'm please suggest on coal India.
DeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteMam, what is return expected in 1 year and also for 2-3 yrs. what would drive that return.
ReplyDelete50 -100% in one year and around 300% in 4 years.
DeleteAll sectors ( cement, sugar, infra (heavy engineering), hospitality) belongs to KCP are having high growth potential. Possibility of hotel business demerger and monetization of surplus land at different locations.
Thanks mam. Request your next recommendation from non commodity based consumer generic business like ADF foods or value added services.
ReplyDeleteSure we will have at least one similar stock in coming month.
DeleteThank you so much madam for all that you do for us. May God bless you with good health and prosperity.
ReplyDeleteThanks for wonderful pick with diversified business like cement, construction, sugar and hospitality.
ReplyDeleteThanks
ReplyDeleteVery surprising ..your ability to search gems from in-depth sea
Thank you for recommending one giant conglomerate !! Should give good returns and my big Thank you once again .
ReplyDeleteHlo mam..i hv kcp sugar 2000@43.nw cmp is29 wt shd i do.wt is return expected in 1 year..suggest me to hold or exit.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteDollyji thanks for the new reco,I hope the stock has enough liquidity for all of us to buy..regards
ReplyDeleteYes, it can be bought within given price range
DeleteThank you Ma'am for the recommendation.
ReplyDeleteThank you for recommending one giant conglomerate !! Should give good returns and my big Thank you once again .
ReplyDeleteMam, Can we book profit in Emkay Global or can we wait for further gain?
ReplyDeleteYou can book some partial profit and keep remaining for further gain
DeleteCould you please through some light on OSCL right issue ?
ReplyDeleteIt is effective and easy way to raise the capital without dilution of stake. It will help the company to manage working capital and reduce the debt.
DeleteMam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for recommendation with the depth insight view.
TX mam for ur update on new stock
ReplyDeleteThanks mam for the new recomendation.pl. suggest me whether i can purchase omkar speciality at cmp after demerger.I have just joined your blog and after that purchased pennar , kesoram . Thanks once again.
ReplyDeleteYou can buy Omkar near 70 on further correction.
DeleteThank u mam
ReplyDeleteThanks Madamji for your new pick. I have seen few comments with regards to number of stock recommendations,i invest on monthly basis with whatever i can save. Hence I would request you to kindly continue the stock recommendation as per earlier plan of 8-9 stocks/ year. It becomes very helpfull for people like me who doesn't have lumpsum to invest. We can continue our SIP this way. Thankyou once again for being so helpful to us.
ReplyDeleteSure, we will have 8 stock in this year. Always try buy the stocks +/- 10% from suggested price. It will ensure decent return on your investment.
DeleteOmkar comes with right issue-is good for the company @ how to apply for the same.
ReplyDeleteIt is effective and easy way to raise the capital without dilution of stake. It will help the company to manage working capital and reduce the debt.
DeleteGreat pick mam.. gud bless u..for helping us....
ReplyDeleteTanx mam for giving such a wonderful pick.. god bless u mam..
ReplyDeleteMam your view on innovative tech pack limited at CMP for long term view. Business side it is improving.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteMam,
ReplyDeleteKcp and Kesoram both r into cement business n operates mostly in south region. Which one would give returns soon.
Thanks
Cement business is profit making for both companies and turnaround is expected from other business segments. At present KCP has much stronger balance sheet and asset quality but both companies will give similar return.
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteIs KCP sugar is completely different from KCP.
KCP sugar is already demerged from KCP Ltd, now no relation except common promoters.
DeleteMam, do we enter adf food @cmp of 275.
ReplyDeleteNot advisable to buy ADF at cmp.
DeleteYou can buy the stocks +/- 10% from suggested price.
Even the promoters of adf foods sold 4 percent shares in the open market so it's a bad sign. Please do not chase this stock at such high levels accumulate only around suggested levels
DeleteThis is the first time for me right issue ?? Can you let us know how it is helpful in case of Omkar and how to apply it ?
ReplyDeleteOk, we will discuss it once the proposal will get approved and right issue price get fixed.
DeleteOk .. thanks mam
DeleteBack to back ..2 cement sectors ..looks like huge demand coming.. i have read one survey.. seems there will demand supply gap...? Thank q
ReplyDeleteSir can you share the link to that survey?
DeleteWe have picked both cement stocks with diversification in other business segments where growth possibilities are very high and both companies are making turnaround in other business segments. It will give business stability during non performing period of cyclical business.
DeleteFor example - How one business supporting other business to sustain during rough period ? You can get clear idea about it if you will analyse standalone and consolidated results of KCP Ltd for last 7 -8 years.
Dear Mam
ReplyDeleteThank you for your new stock pick.
My question is regarding Jubilant Industries. It is significantly down from its high. Is it still a hold ? What explains its slide ?
Best Regards
Ajay
It is still less than one year and it is trading 56% above suggested price. Slide is for those who chased and bought it at very high price.
DeleteMost of the blog members have bought below 180, they can relax without any worry.
CNBC quaestion: Let us talk about the cement business that expansion that you are undertaking. This is only for one unit that you are looking to up it from around 1.8 or around 3.5 million tonnes, what does it take your total capacity to and by when can we see this entire capacity coming onstream, will it be FY17, FY18?
ReplyDeleteA: Current one unit we are expanding, we are doubling the capacity from 1.8 million tonne to 3.5 million tonne, another unit about 0.8 million tonne. So total comes to about 4.3-4.4 capacity of the cement.
We can expect better result in coming quarters from sugar division where capacity addition is already completed. Heavy Engineering division preferred part and equipment supplier to cement and sugar industry. Both cement and sugar sector start performing from last year after long period. Turnaround of cement and sugar sector will result auto turnaround of Heavy Engineering division.
DeleteMam ADF food promoter sold 10 lakh share on 14 june in open market its good or bad for share waited for your reply.
ReplyDeleteIt is not good or bad until we know the exact intention behind it. We have seen lot of people around us ( neighbours, relatives, friends or any known person) have sold their property due to some reason. It may be due to buy another property or marriage of daughter or gambling in casino. I have not seen people using last option. We have bought stocks with intention to sell with profit but these promoters worked generation after generation to build this company without any intention to sell it.
DeleteBuying and selling of stocks / shares is our business
Buying and selling of company is not the business of promoters but they buy raw material and sell the finished product.
Very well explained, Ma'am!
DeleteHello Mam.. Thanks for your new recommendation.. God bless you for all your hardwork you do for all of us and recommend a new gem.. Mam looking at this counter.. Only turnaround story seems cement demand.. Hotel n engineering are still loss making.. What is the main turnaround rationale for the counter which will change the story of this script.. Request your guidance mam
ReplyDeleteOther than the Sugar cement we do not have much information how the other divisions are doing. What is the contribution in terms of profit/loss % and what are the triggers going forward that will propel the stock to higher levels.
DeletePlease guide us how to spot such information from company B/S or website.
Apart from cement, we can expect better result in coming quarters from sugar division where capacity addition is already completed. Heavy Engineering division preferred part and equipment supplier to cement and sugar industry. Both cement and sugar sector start performing from last year after long period. Turnaround of cement and sugar sector will result auto turnaround of Heavy Engineering division.
DeleteHospitality business will also start giving positive results in coming quarters.
https://www.ibef.org/download/Cement-January-2017.pdf
DeleteMam , in a different query, you've clarified that sugar division has already demerged from KCP Ltd's heavy industries. And hence will the better results in sugar division still influence KCP Ltd's stock price?
DeleteBetter read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.
DeletePresently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.
Thanks Mam for the new pick..
ReplyDeleteThanks for the new reco. KCP is highly diversified business. Is there any chance of demerger in future that will unlock value for investors.
ReplyDeleteYes, there is possibility of hotel business demerger and monetization of surplus land at different locations.
DeleteThanks Mam, for this pick.
ReplyDeleteFor a novice, it appears that Kesoram and KCP are in same industry as both are involved in cement manufacturing.
We have picked both cement stocks with diversification in other business segments where growth possibilities are very high and both companies are making turnaround in other business segments. It will give business stability during non performing period of cyclical business.
DeleteFor example - How one business supporting other business to sustain during rough period ? You can get clear idea about it if you will analyse standalone and consolidated results of KCP Ltd for last 7 -8 years.
Thks Mam for New Stock KCP Ltd . Mam I have one query why Promoters Reduced their Holding for continuesly last 3 queters. Any Reasion for that..
DeleteIf they will keeping 100% then how the general public can buy the shares. Definitely all companies ( promoters) have sold the shares to public for money.
DeleteTHANKS MAM FOR NEW GEM
ReplyDeleteTHANKS MADAM FOR POSTING THE DETAILS
ReplyDeleteIt's my hobby to buy the recommended stock blindly from this blog. Thank you very much mam for one more multibagger from my state AP/ Telangana .
ReplyDeleteRegards
Venkateswara Reddy
Yes, both AP and Telangana are providing huge growth opportunity.
Deletehttp://www.telangana.gov.in/PDFDocuments/Socio-Economic-Outlook-2017.pdf
https://www.ibef.org/download/Andhra-Pradesh-January-2017.pdf
Thank u mam for latest recommendation. Mam,what is future of waterbase ltd.?
ReplyDeleteFuture is bright, need to hold for decent gain.
Deletemam,adf food sell Karen ya hold
ReplyDeleteContinue to hold for long term
DeleteHello Madam,
ReplyDeleteThank you once again for the new pick and the selfless help that you do for us. May God bless you with good health, peace and prosperity.
Thanks and Regards,
D Viswambharan
Mam can you please advice on nahar industrial estate
ReplyDeleteIt is good stock, you can continue to hold with expected return around 15% per year.
Deletethank you so much for the stock idea
ReplyDeleteMam any suggestion for VASCON Engineer...
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteI had 50 shares of Tech mahindra purchase at Rs 450 and cast 10 shares purchased at Ra 800.what should I do..
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteAny views on waterbase ma'am?
ReplyDeleteWaterbase is good stock. You can continue to hold, it will give good return in coming quarters.
DeleteRespected M'm, Any advice regarding Iris Lifesciences IPO. it is very expensive but seeing their location (plant in assam, tax free till 2022 ) and hold in generics. Can this high valuation be agreed upon ? Please advice.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteDear mam,
ReplyDeleteLasa supergenerics financials are posted on lasalab.com website...did u checked it?
Again it is showing exceptional loss of 30 crores for lasa aswell..
Could you please explain the results is good or bad for last quarter.
Results is very good. It is very common to adjust the asset valuation and capitalize the fair value during demerger.
DeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot for recommendation. Can you please advise on the following queries
1. the stock price had fallen drastically in the last month. Any particular reason?
2. Why is the hotel business also making losses.
best regards,
Stock fall during CFO interview, it means media has misinterpreted the facts.
DeleteBusiness will grow gradually and cross the break-even point after certain time period to turn profitable. We cannot compare business with monthly salary where there is no chance of loss.
Ma'am your views on sakuma exports ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteMam
ReplyDeleteWaterbase is it still a good buy?
Am planning to buy pennar and kesoram but would like to request your views if i should wait for some time to buy?
If you have not bought Pennar Ind at 45 and kesoram 135 during recent correction in the month of May than very rare chance that you can buy it in future, My views for both stocks are very clearly mentioned in blog. It related to the decision making and you have to decide it.
DeleteHello Madam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for nee pick. I just want to know about manappuram finance. please share you view
It is good stock, you can continue to hold.
DeleteDear mam,
ReplyDelete1st of all thanks a lot for doing a selfless service for retail investors like us. My question is about Kesoram. We anticipate your view on their decision to merge the spun pipe and heavy chemical entities, which were demerged in 2015. Also kindly comment on their decesion to allot shares to Indus Ind Bank. Thank you in advance.
Optionally Convertible Preference Shares are issued in the past and Indus Ind Bank has bought it with intention to convert it into shares. It is good for both. Assets were transferred and sold to group company now with availability of above fund, these assets will be acquired again.
DeleteMam, one dbt..if kcp sugar is now a seperate demerged company..kcp ltd still has sugar business?
ReplyDeleteBetter read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.
DeletePresently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.
Dear mam, Bought ADF @290..Is it worth to hold for long term.Also what is your view on Amarjothi spinning & Nitin spinners.Tks for new pick KPC...
ReplyDeleteNot advisable to chase any stock at such high price ( ADF and Nitin Spinners)
DeleteAll stocks are giving enough chance to enter +/-10% from suggested price.
Not tracking Amarjothi spinning
Hello Mam read in another forum you had purchased Gujarat Narmada valley Fertilizer (GNFC). I bought it at price 325. CMP is around 295. Is it an oppurtunity to average it out. Whats the outlook like? Your suggestions would be helpful.
ReplyDeleteYes , you can add it on further correction near 250
DeleteDear Madam - Can I buy waterbase now
ReplyDeleteYou can buy it in case of further correction near 75
DeleteAgar mam ye 75 tak nahin aya to...
DeleteComparing both Kesoram and KCP cement business is common business which both have similar growth possibilities. However coming to other businesses b/w Kesoram tyre and KCP sugar business I assume that tyre business will do better. I assume return rate in Kesoram is more than KCP. Your view on this please
ReplyDeleteKCP is having very strong and stable business which will deliver consistent return for long term. Chances to unlock the value through demerger or hive off properties at prime locations,
DeleteMaam how do get the information about the quality of business and management before deciding on any stock.Is it that you get info from specific sites majorly.YOur advice would be of great help for us to learn
ReplyDeleteBetter to verify it personally
DeleteMaam
ReplyDeleteHave a question on valuation to understand your thought process on overall valuation
- Chennai land worth 1,300 crores
- 3.5 MTPA worth 3,000 crores (based on Ultratech purchase of another cement; 3000 is a conservative estimate. Shree cements is quoting 2000-2500 crores of marketcap per MPTA)
- Engineering group about 200-300 crores (group expecting to make 100 crores revenue FY 2018. So 2-3 times revenue seems appropriate?)
- Sugar interests in Vietnam : not sure. May be a few hundred crores
- Hotel business: probably tens of crores
So seems like a 5,000 crores company is selling for 1/3 to 1/4 value.
Management seems very honest and conservative.
Do you foresee capacity increase further than 3.5 MPTA?
I have seen only one management interview that too with a CFO. Hope they appear more on TV and promote the script and target capacity expansions even further to take advantage of expected cement supply gap in the next 5-10 years
10 crore for 130 room 4 star hotel at prime location is very less , you can assign at least 250 crores for hotel asset and 200 crores 34 MW power assets.
ReplyDeleteKCP is asset rich company , slowly but surely it will unlock value for its investors. All business segment will give good return as usual.
Maam
ReplyDeleteHousing Finance is being marketed as the next big theme. Any thoughts on this? And whether it's okay to purchase PNB housing now around 1650?
Most of the stocks related to Housing Finance are trading at very price, need to wait for good correction near 25 -30%
DeleteThanks for the recommendation
ReplyDeleteMam..thanks a lot for the suggestions
ReplyDeleteDolly Mam
ReplyDeleteYour views on Valiant Organics? Thanks
Thanks for your recommendation.May God bless you with good health and lots of happiness
ReplyDeleteGood morning mam..
ReplyDeleteAlready I had 100 stocks kcp @91 level.. Possible for correction or add at cmp
You can add even at cmp 113
Deletemadame, Surana Solar Ltd is on 20.xx now a days ... need ur valuable suggestions thanks
ReplyDeleteBuy it with 5 -10% allocation for at least 3 years investment plan.
DeleteDollyji got KCP 500@113..well within the 10% range...thanks & regards,will buy more on correction
ReplyDeleteBought at good price, need hold with patience for decent gain in 2-3 years
DeleteMam,kcp Rs 116 per buy kiya hua h
ReplyDeleteIt is good price, need hold with patience for decent gain in 2-3 years
Deletethanks mam
Deletemost of finance companies are moving in new new orbit, like banks, nbfc's, again you are not much interested in the same any specific reason as you had not recommended any stock from that space.
ReplyDeleteMost of the stocks related to NBFC or housing finance are trading at very high price, from past few months we have seen quick rally , need to wait for good correction near 25 -30%
DeleteDear mam,
ReplyDeleteWhat is the current promoter stake in omkar speciality?
As per my calculation it is about 40%...then why on et now interview its mentioned 30%? Below is the link..
https://www.google.co.in/amp/m.economictimes.com/opinion/interviews/total-debt-in-the-books-is-around-218-crores-pravin-s-herlekar-omkar-speciality/amp_articleshow/59215447.cms
Have they sold more stake?
Yes , the right issue is to raise the promoter's shareholding against 60 cr interest free loan
DeleteDear mam,
DeleteI was asking what is the current shareholding of promoters?
If we see et now interview mr herlekar mentioned it as 30%..have they sold more shares?
200 cr right issue on 170 cr MarketCap company....Means high probability of 1:1 Right issue around Price around 200 Rs......Mam, seems after this right issue omkar may debt free or with very less debt...If unit-5 gets approval than it will zoom ....What is your opinion madam ?
ReplyDeleteYes, now after demerger it will be easy to manage the business for Omkar, Right issue price will be near to 100.
DeleteHi Mam . Is Manappuram finance a good buy @CMP 94.25?
ReplyDeleteNo
DeleteYou can buy it on further correction near 60
DeleteWhy surana solar is not moving madam?
ReplyDeleteIt will move up with improvement in business.
DeleteRespected Mam
ReplyDeleteplease guide me about how to calculate fair value of a share
Regards
https://home.kpmg.com/content/dam/kpmg/pdf/2015/12/fair-value-qa-2015.pdf
DeleteMaam
ReplyDeleteIs Heritage Foods at CMP of about 1150 a good buy?
Heritage seems to be expanding geographically to North and changing product mix to include high margin and value added products such as ghee, ice cream, curd
Not advisable to buy at cmp
DeleteDear Madam,
ReplyDeleteNeed some information, what are the months when do milk prices gets cooled down.
Milk price is high during the summer months due to low milk yield per cow and milk price gets cool down in winter months due to high milk yield per cow.
DeleteMam can I buy omkar @ cmp ?
ReplyDeleteYou can buy below 70
DeleteMam I m holding 5000 surana solar @ 35 since one and half year.....when can you see turnaround and price moving up.
ReplyDeleteIt will move up in next 1-2 years
DeleteMam please suggest me I bought icici 150 sare on rs 326
ReplyDeleteHindelco rs 206
Sorry not tracking above stocks
Deletecould you please provide your inputs about "LG Balakrishnan & Bros Ltd" and Dhampur Sugar Mills?
ReplyDeleteBoth are good stocks, you can continue to hold but not advisable to buy at cmp
Deletewhen will we get LASALAB shares?
ReplyDelete30 -45 days
DeleteBefore omkar demerger allocation was 26% of portfolio @180. Now after demerger, considering buy price of omkar and lasa 90 each, portfolio allocation is 13% to each. So, do we still have scope of adding both stocks to make 20% allocation or, 20% allocation should be considered before demerger and no need to add more?
ReplyDeleteYou have already given 26% allocation so no need to add further. In case it fall below 60 then you can add some more.
DeleteMam as you said OSCL right issue price will be around Rs.100 ,but now its cmp is below Rs.80 & falling further, so shall we add more at this price or wait for more clarity on the right issue & listing of Lassa
ReplyDeleteNot advisable to buy above 70
DeleteAs per your previous comment omkar right issue price 100 but currently trading @84 so buy in open market rather than in right issue or it's different thing in right issue.
ReplyDeleteNot advisable to buy above 70 in open market or right issue
DeleteMadam, Sorry if I'm missing anything. Since the sugar division has been de-merged and is listed as a separate entity. Why should we be considering it in our analysis. It has to be only Cement, Power, Heavy Engineering and Hospitality.
ReplyDeleteBetter read the blog carefully again, I have said "KCP Sugar Ind " demerged in 1995 from KCP Ltd.
DeletePresently KCP owns a 66.7% stake in its subsidiary "KCP Vietnam Industries" as details given above in the blog.
"Vietnam" word used in this blog page more than 15 times, how you have missed it?
Mam will still LT food has potential to yield multifold and any future is there for sintex textile after demerger as i have purchase 500 stocks @ Rs30.
ReplyDeleteMam, is there any further chances of Omkar chemicals correction below 60. Would like to wait for that.
ReplyDeleteYes, it may to correct below 70
DeleteHi Mam,I buy PDPL @ 28.50,so how many time hold it for good return.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteMaam from which sites do you gather information on quality of management and business profile before buying any stock ?
ReplyDeleteWebsites give some information but most of the information gathered through personal contacts.
DeleteHello Madam !!! Please Blog regarding "How to Identify Multibaggers" in between Your stock Recommendations..I mean 1 0r 2 posts of Educative Articles For Every Month..
ReplyDeleteSure we will cover above topic in blog. We are focusing on practical realization than theoretical example.
Delete"How to hold the Multibaggers" is more important than "How to Identify Multibaggers" We have already identified several multibaggers stocks but most of the people struggling to buy it on time and lacking patience and focus to hold even for one year. You can realise it from comments posted on this blog
If anyone able to realise 300% gain with 10 -20% allocation than it will give experience of lifetime.
Hi
ReplyDeleteI am new to investing and i want to learn how to allocate to a particular stock i have 3 lakh rs to invest out of which i have invest 20 k on kcp is this the right amount of allocation or shall i allocate more when shall i expect next stock to invest
Madam,
ReplyDeleteKindly share some source of information regarding happenings in companies. I read business newspapers but still sometimes find people are having some important information almost on real time basis than me. I will be very thankful, if u can share some good sources. As with ur advice through blog, I m in the learning phase and find bit educated post doing some reading of grahm, Fisher and buffet.
You may also share periodic magazine, which can be read...
Thank u in advance
Madam considering the good monsoon, across India can any agri related stock can be bought into , Pls provide ur views on IFB Agro can it be added at Cmp ?
ReplyDeleteHi mam, to my understanding, omkar rights issue price will be less than market price. Otherwise, what is the necessity to take omkar shares through right issue.
ReplyDeleteEg: when canfin homes announced last right issue in 2014-15, market price was around rs. 630 and right issue given at rs 450.
So, can we expect similar thing to be happen here as well. Is my understanding correct?