Saturday, February 7, 2015

Dhunseri Tea - Emerging Star


                                        CMP Rs - 200















COMPANY PROFILE

Dhunseri Group is in Tea Business since last five decades, the Company has been a progressive, quality-focused Indian tea producer. DTIL has won the trust of its traders and consumers, in regard to the superior quality of tea it supplies. Over the years we have expanded our reach from eight estates in 2003-04 to ten estates in 2012-13 in Assam. This makes the Company one of the ten largest tea producers in India. The Company’s tea packaging and blending units are located in Dhunseri Tea Estate (Assam) and at Jaipur (Rajasthan). The Company holds the highest market share in the premium segment of packet tea in Rajasthan.The Company is also revamping these facilities so as to double the total tea sales.







 The tea produced by the Company is of superior quality Assam CTC and Orthodox teas (marketed in India through auctions and sold in packets) under LAL GHORA and KALA GHORA brands for more than 25 years. The Company has also launched another brand in the premium segment namely, BAHIPOOKRI in Rajasthan which is in 1 kg packets. The Company intends to launch a new brand-CHHOTE LAL- to cater to the lower segment of Rajasthan. The Company has always taken care to produce good quality teas at the lowest possible cost by being a progressive, quality-focused tea producer for over five decades with an advantageous location of its estates in the quality belt of Assam. In order to retain the freshness of the tea leaves, special attention is also given to the packaging.

BUSINESS EXPANSION 

To have a global reach, Dhunseri  has acquired 100% share capital of Kawalazi Estate Company Ltd and the Makandi Tea & Coffee Estates Limited (both companies based in Malawi, Africa) for a consolidated $ 22 million through its subsidiary in Singapore namely, Dhunseri Petrochem & Tea Pte Ltd. the company through its wholly owned subsidiary,  Accordingly the company has become the ultimate holding company of these two subsidiaries in Malawi, Africa. The aforesaid two subsidiaries based in Malawi, Africa in totality produce 94.50 lakh kgs of tea and 3.2 lakh kgs of Macadamia. During 2012-13, ; this marked the extension of a five-decade Indian tea company to international plantations. The two companies acquired were Makandi Tea & Coffee Estates Limited and Kawalazi Estate Company Limited. With this acquisition, Dhunseri Petrochem &Tea Ltd. has joined club of tea companies who have already made their foray in the overseas tea plantation business. With this Dhunseri group’s Tea production capacity has reached to 22 million kgs per annum. The Malawi gardens produce tea of a middling quality by tea bag manufacturers, which is a fast growing segment of the global tea segment. Besides, the Malawi acquisition has widened the Company’s offerings across the premium and middling segments, created a consistent international presence with a widening geographic footprint.

KEY FEATURES OF DE-MERGER

Demerger from Dhunseri Petrochem Limited (formerly known as Dhunseri Petrochem & Tea Limited) and Dhunseri Tea & Industries Limited (formerly known as Dhunseri Services Limited). DTIL is recently listed on BSE and NSE.


  • Investor friendly company continuously  paid dividend for last 12 years.
  • Low equity base - 70,04,951 share of Rs 10 FV
  • High  EPS ( 9 month) Rs = 45
  • Very Low Debt  around 8 Cr
  • Well established in retail business with addition of new products will give further boost in EPS.
  • Major acquisition and expansion is already completed so no major CAPEX in near future.
  • Currently trading at P/E less than 4 as compared to industry P/E 20.8 
 

 CONCLUSION

Tea production is evergreen business in the world. The company has its own retail marketing arm with good brand name, tea estates at different locations, new products launch in different states of India, these all factors are in favor of good future growth of the company. It has all required elements to become multibagger and there is no surprise that it will trade in four figures in future.






















87 comments:

  1. Since tea business is highly competitive business
    What is the scalability ?
    It's competitors and growth.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Even though business is competitive, still very few companies are doing both production and retail marketing with their own brand name. In future there is huge scope of tea (green / black) because of anti-oxidant medicinal properties. In premium quality profit margin is more and less competition. Dhanuseri is having good business in premium quality tea. They have expanded the production capacity recently and they will do in future also. No doubt about Tea and coffee demand in future will remain bright. Share of this company is available at very attractive P/E with very small equity base. In future share price will go up near 1000 than bonus and FV split will happen to bring it similar P/E comparable to other pears.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi mam, I was having 8100 DPTL @ 142, now after demerger I have 8100 DPL and 1620 DTIL.

    As recommended by you I will keep DTIL for long term, please give your suggestion on DPL also??

    ReplyDelete
  4. In current situation if you will able to sell DPL @ 88 than only you can cross break even point, chances are very slim in near future because of high debt. In other option if you sell 8100 DPL @ 61.5 than you can buy 1862 DTIL @ 267.5. In this case your break even point is 330 for DTIL with total holding of 3482 share. It is almost debt free company trading less than 4 P/E. This is very much sure that DTIL will trade 350 + after year end results.

    This is my personal opinion because I do not like to invest in any company with huge debt.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hello Mam,
      Whats this break-even point? How did you reach at number 330 for DTIL? How is it useful in investment decisions? could you please elaborate with above example..
      Thanks.

      Delete
  5. Also please share your view on salzer electronics??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock but capital goods sector is not picking up. Hopefully in the budget some good news for CG

      Delete
  6. Hi Dolly ,
    I bought waterbase as per your recommendation but some how its falling down below recommended price shall I add more or hold on or sell .
    Please advise as I have limited capital to invest.
    Regards
    Anurag

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anurag,

      To make money in stocks you must have the vision to see the growth potential of the stock, the courage to buy it on time and the patience to hold till peak. Patience is the rarest of the three and very difficult. Without patience it too difficult to make money in stock market.

      I can only guide but decision is your. Even if money is doubled in two years than it is 50% per yearly return and it is great return on your investment.

      Delete
  7. mam, can u please share ur idea on SKM Egg Products and SamKrg Pistons, can I buy.....thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not tracking both stocks. Venkys is much better option than SKM if it come down near 300.

      Delete
  8. Hi mam, as per ur recommendation I have sold DPL and converted them into DTIL today..

    I heard that u have vested interest in Asian granito, I'm having this stock @75. Please suggest how long should I hold this stock??

    Also give ur suggestion on pix transmission, muthoot cap, axiscades engnrng??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes I hold Asian Granito and it is good stock for long term. After sharp appreciation now it will consolidate for some time. Holding time depends upon consistent performance of the company and financial objective of the investor. If someone has bought it at lower price around 30 than they can book some profit on rise and make their holding free of cost for long term. This is the best way to expand the portfolio, it will also mitigate the risk.
      Other stocks not tracked.

      Delete
  9. Thank u mam for ur valuable suggestion... pls let me know any other stock on ur radar which have huge potential in future ?? I have already started tracking the other two stock u have recommended on this blog.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Recently recommended all three stocks are having good growth potential. In the end quantity will matter the most because after price appreciation is it very difficult to increase the holding. Always try to catch early and young share where money can be multiplied easily with minimum risk. Every month you will have at least one stock recommendation on my blog.

      Delete
  10. Hi Dolly ,
    Any recommendations from your end to buy any value pick in current market apart from your recommendations on the blog
    I would also like to thank you for great work you are doing for us hats off to you god bless
    Regards

    ReplyDelete
  11. Hi mam, as on date though I hold DTIL in my portfolio but this group is a laggard since last so many years, they have not given any returns to their share holder even after so Gud fundamentals Of the group....hope it will give multiple returns to their shareholders as u have reccomended it....but what I think is promoter is not interested to take their stock at actual valuations.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Even though have taken huge debt for PET business still they managed to pay divided for last 12 years. PET business is not going to revive in near future due to this reason they have demerged cash generating tea business.

      Delete
  12. What is target price after year end result?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It will depend upon results and dividend. Hopefully you will see good price appreciation within year.

      Delete
  13. Is there any divided declaration for this year?

    ReplyDelete
  14. I invested in dhunseri investments. is that a goo scrip. i bought at 160. the trading volume is very low

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not tracking

      It is holding company of DPL and DTIL. Its performance will depend upon dividend gain from both cos. One is with huge debt and other is almost debt free.


      Delete
  15. mam, can I buy asian granito at the CMP for 2-3 years, expecting some boost in the budget.........thx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can buy it for steady growth with long term prospective.

      Delete
  16. Also on somi conveyor if ur tracking it??

    ReplyDelete
  17. Hi mam do you suggest any stock to buy from your portfolio of holdings please advise.
    We respect your thoughts and advise as always.
    Regards
    Anurag

    ReplyDelete
  18. Madam,
    I lost nearly 3.5 lakhs of my hard earned money by trading and following the paid tips service. I want to bounce back with double profits. Again i m looking only for very long term. I already invested in Water base based on ur recommendation. Planning to Invest in Huhtamaki PPl, Asian Granito and Premier Explosives for very long term. what is your view on this Huhtamaki and premier explosives are they worth investing in the current market price. Please advice?

    ReplyDelete
  19. Anand

    Have patience, all stocks published in my blog will double your investment in 12 to 15 months without any risk. Other stocks like Huhtamaki, Asian Granto and Premier explosives are very good stocks but already price appreciated lot and may not able to give bigger return in near future.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Hi mam,

    Let us know your best pick for march'2015...

    Also any suggestion on Greenply and greenlam ind??

    ReplyDelete
  21. When can we have your new recommendation eagerly waiting

    ReplyDelete
  22. When can we expect movement in DTIL, as of now it looks like that nobody is interested to invest in this company.

    ReplyDelete
  23. It is right time to buy, in next two quarter you will see sharp rise in stock price

    ReplyDelete
  24. Hi Ms. Dolly,

    First of all, thanks for starting the blog and sharing ideas. What's ur take on Nandan Denim at current price ie. around Rs.79? How much upside one can expect?

    ReplyDelete
  25. YoY company' performance has improved. If it will able to reduce the debt than stock price can go 150+

    ReplyDelete
  26. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Year end result / annual report will give clear picture about subsidiary cos and fund utilization.

    ReplyDelete
  28. Hi dolly maam,

    I really appreciate your opinions on investments. I would like to get regular ideas from u.. Do u have any fb page or group where I can be added and stay in constant Touch with u.. Or where can I see ur latest portfolio?
    Would really appreciate..
    Thank u

    ReplyDelete
  29. Hello mam,

    Shareholding pattern of DTIL is out, but I think it shows that strong hands are selling this stock and weak hands are accumulating it.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Hi mam
    Can u kindly suggest me if venus remedies @ 190, di Ichi karkaria @215 nandan denim @75 and waterbase @ 55 is a good long term bet with 3 yr perspective also can i add 2 these stock on correction. Venus and di Ichi has already corrected 20% from buying level.

    Thanks a lot mam

    ReplyDelete
  31. Venus n Dai are doubled in recent times. You have purchased at peak, let it stabilize than you can add. Other two stocks are decent one and available at reasonable price.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks a ton 4 ur timely n valuable guidance mam and request u for 1 more suggestion is ansal buildwell @120 n rain industry @ 40 quoting at deep discount value n can 1 go ahead aggressively buying des counters......

      Regards
      Roanak

      Delete
  32. Mam any stock recommendation for april??

    ReplyDelete
  33. Hello Mam,

    I live in new zealand and tracking your investment ideas from here.
    first of all i would like to thank you for starting this blog.
    i have invested in novartis, vedanta and huhtamaki at current rates and would love to add more for investment horizon of at least 20 years.
    please advise.

    my future stocks , gmm pfaudler, apcotex industries, merck, styrolution abs, goodyear tyres, dhunseri tea industries ltd.

    My investment horizon minimum 15 years

    please advise

    thanks viral

    ReplyDelete
  34. Viral you have invested in good stocks and in long term you will get solid gain. All future are very good stocks but most of them are appreciated more than 100%. Merck and Dhunseri are good one and trading at fair valuation.

    ReplyDelete
  35. DOLLY MADAM,

    PLEASE HELP ME TO IDENTIFY THE STOCK WITH FOLLOWING CHARACTERISTICS

    1) Company listed in both exchanges


    2) Company reporting loss ever since its listing ( But I believe , it will create massive wealth in the years to come - :) )


    3) Company’s current market capitalisation is less than its last year sales.


    4) Retail investors ( Excluding promoters and public share holders holding more than 1%
    stake) holding less than 10 % stake in this company .


    5) Promoters increased their stake in last FY compared with previous year.


    6) Company is all set to become the sector leader in another few years .


    7) Company’s Chief Financial Officer ( CFO ) changed during 2014-15 FY


    8) In FY 2013-14 , Debt –Equity ratio was more than one.


    9) Company’s 52 week high and low prices falls within the same digit range in both exchanges


    10) Face value of stock is Rs.10

    ReplyDelete
  36. Pantaloons Fashion & Retail

    Merger of Aditya Birla Nuvo ( Madura Fashion and Life style) with Pantaloon will create mega branded apparels business.

    Good stock to buy even at current level

    ReplyDelete
  37. Dolly Madam,

    Can i Purchase Dhunseri Tea & Industries at current price for Short term Profit .

    Pls reply?

    Regards,
    Vinit Jain

    ReplyDelete
  38. Yes, if you have planned to invest for 6 month to one year.

    ReplyDelete
  39. hi,but whats the problem in tea industry B and A ltd is also traded in such low price why is the industry does,t attract investor?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No problem in B&A, it is good stock. Only there are some uncertainty of future growth / capacity expansion.

      Delete
  40. Hello Madam,

    As per March 15 financial result, finance costs stand at 8 cr.
    Does that mean total debt is 8 cr ? OR
    Total debt is around 800 cr assuming 10% interest rate.

    Thanks & Regards,
    Prateek Ingawale

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is interest cost on accusation of Malawi Tea. Total debt is around 65 crores.

      Delete
  41. Hello Madam,

    As per March 15 financial result, finance costs stand at 8 cr.
    Does that mean total debt is 8 cr ? OR
    Total debt is around 800 cr assuming 10% interest rate.

    Thanks & Regards,
    Prateek Ingawale

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sry for the typo, Total debt is around 80 cr assuming 10% interest rate.

      Delete
    2. Total debt for Kenyan tea field accusation is 65 crores

      Delete
  42. can i hold capitalfirst for 1-2 yrs plz guide me]

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, its business growth is higher than industry average you can hold it for long term.

      Delete
  43. Dolly ji

    I have jbm auto .Thinking of converting to Dhunseri or JK Agri by next 3 days .
    what would you suggest.

    Please also let me know prospects of Pokarna .

    Thanks & regards

    ReplyDelete
  44. Both above stocks are fundamentally very strong and with unlimited future growth possibilities. You can buy it during market correction.

    Not tracking Pokarna.

    ReplyDelete
  45. Hello Mam,

    I have Dhunseri investments 500 shares @ 102. Its having holdings in DPL and DTIL. Should I continue to hold dhunseri investment or should move to DTIL ?

    Best Regards,
    Nijesh

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Generally holding companies are not giving that much return. DTIL is better option for long term investment.

      Delete
    2. Thank you.

      Delete
  46. Dollyji,

    I have below mentioned queries please.

    1). What is the price target as per your research and vision for the waterbase and Dhunseri tea for one year time frame from today's price.
    2). Waterbase appreciated much more is it right to buy at 80/- for one year time frame.
    3). Dhunseri tea is at 240/- is this right to buy at CMP for one year time frame.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Actually correct stock performance can be evaluated YoY basis. Due to this reason I am always recommending any to hold for minimum 2 to 3 years and treat it as investment, short term target are just speculation and most of the time are incorrect specially in case of high growth multibagger stocks.

      Delete
  47. Dollyji,

    Nilkamal (CMP.715/-) much more appreciated, can you suggest what will be next move, will price rise or split or bonus, again the time frame for holding this I mean will it get double in a year or in 2 year or more from current price.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is blue chip stock and it will cross 2000+ in 2 to 3 years.

      Delete
  48. Hello mam what a view archidply ind

    ReplyDelete
  49. Why Xpro India 20 % down? any reason? I added small quantity today.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Dear Mam (Sir) - Feb 6th - u recommended DTIL and Feb 7th - price of the script zoomed - WOW !!
    ur next recommendation (26.09.2015) - wont buy on 27th - will buy sometime later - after some analysis from my end and Mr.Market will will also cool down by then :)

    ReplyDelete
  51. It is good if you able to add below suggested price.

    In case of DTIL it was listed during that period and market demand was more.

    ReplyDelete
  52. What are the prospects of DTIL now for next 1-3 years. Share holding has decreased and debt has increased too. Also in March quarter it showed losses.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nothing to worry about decrease in promoters share holding because YVES LOMBARD ASSET MANAGEMENT AG is an foreign investor exiting from DTIL and DPL. DTIL has posted only one yearly result after demerger so no chance of debt increase and company has sufficient cash to pay it any time. The main business growth will come from Malavi Africa and Indian tea retail business in coming quarters. Company is expanding its plantation area for Tea and Macadamia and it will generate consistent revenue for long term. Strictly hold for long term.

      Delete
  53. Hello madam,
    do you have a view on the global increase in minimum wages in tea industry. This will significantly increase cost pressure on all players will it not? The same has already been passed in South india and there have been several news articles to suggest the same will be passed in north india. Could you please share your views on the same?

    ReplyDelete