Sunday, September 20, 2015

"Simple" Investment Strategies

"It is so simple to be successful but too difficult to be simple"

Some of our blog readers asked about investment books or web site which can give information about muti-bagger stocks. I am very much sure that there no such web site which can make people billionaire. But there are some simple guide lines which are well proven and time tested. Warren Buffett and Radhakishan Damani are the great investors of the world and India, respectively. They have followed very simple investment strategy and become very successful. Several small investors like me have followed the same and got desired results. If anyone will follow the same than definitely he will also become successful investor. Some important points are given below.

1. Stock Investment is like planting Tree 

It will take time to grow but it will give shadow and fruits for life even for next generation. Initially it require much care but once it get grown than very little effort required. 

We should not expect mango by sowing the seed of potato. Never make short cut for huge gain in short period. Buying stocks of any company is giving us an ownership interest in its actual business, with an underlying value that does not depend on its share price. Stock price will rise once market will realize its valuation. 

 


2. Knowledge & Skills

It is available in plenty of webs like BSE, NSE, TV channels, investment books, newspapers and companies websites. Reading is good habit and always need to give some time to study about facts and figures of the companies.

3. Investment Attitude

It is the rare and deciding factor between success and failure. Need to develop good investment habits by controlling our emotions, temperament, discipline, beliefs, conviction and patience. Ability will come with time and practice of above habits.


4. Never miss an opportunity

In deep falling market or some crises in good companies will create panic and fear in the market. These situations are providing us the best buying
opportunity. Same way the highly inflated market giving us best opportunity to sell the stocks. The legend of Radhakishan Damani has made best use of the opportunity in 1992, when Harshad Mehta, the Big Bull of that time, was ramping up the share prices and Damani has sold his holding on every rise. Again he bought in huge quantities once market got crashed. 


5. Keep looking for good stocks

There are probably more than 100 stocks available which can become multi-bagger. Look for low debt small growing companies with good cash flow, profits, EPS, PE, dividend record, future expansion plans with good ability and credibility of promoters.


6. Buy sufficient quantity of big opportunity giving stocks

Some time we hold the multi -bagger stock but very small quantity. Scattered portfolio will not serve the purpose. Fairly concentrated can give huge gains in these cases. For example Warren's holding in American Express and Damani's holding in VST Industries. 

7. Investment Timing and Price

If any good stock with huge growth potential is identified than buy it early because future value of every investment is a function of its present price. The higher the price you pay, the lower your return will get and your time targets will move away. Never buy a stock immediately after a substantial rise or sell one immediately after a substantial drop.

8. Market Condition

The market is like a pendulum that forever swings between high - low -high. It makes stocks too expensive and unjustified. Same way it makes them too cheap and attractive valuation. The intelligent investors are those who sells at high and buys at low. Any investor with sound stocks in his portfolio should expect their prices to fluctuate and should neither be concerned by sizable declines nor become excited by sizable advances. One should never buy a stock because it has gone up or sell one because it has gone down. 


9. Moral Values

Need to develop ethical values, mutual respect, understanding, social, responsible and helping nature.


Above mentioned nine points are very simple but one time reading is not enough, when ever you will read it again you will find new thing which is missed last time or not in practice.


Note - Please post your comments on first page of the blog, it taking time to load the comments on old posting.


In the series of Best Stock Picks next stock will be posted on 26.09.2015. It is decent stock with huge growth potential and trading at attractive valuation.



159 comments:

  1. Thank you very much mam for such a wonderful lesson.

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  2. Dear Mam,
    Thanks for sharing simple investing strategies, it is really enlightening.
    Between sent you mail regarding portfolio suggestion, request you to look into that and respond. Thanks for your kind help.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Dolly Mam: Very good investment guidelines. Really lucky to follow this blog.

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  4. Dolly Ji,

    Points mentioned are absolutely true. I've been in stock market since last 10 years and have seen highs and lows and highs.

    Waiting for the new pick.

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  5. Dolly - this is excellent piece of information. Most of this is known to all, but hardly remembered when needed. I have taken a print of this and have stuck it on my desktop so that i can read it everyday....thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I hope you will definitely succeed in your ambition.

      Delete
  6. Thank you Mam for your continuous help and guidence. Could you please elaborate more on ratios and range bound values for investment?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ratios and others data will give just guide line about past. But our investment is based on future growth. If company is performing above industry average than no issue.

      Delete
  7. Dollyji, your wisdom words always inspires good investor. Would u please shade some light on stocks called intellect design arena, persistent systems.. Are these good stocks to hold at these levels.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Persistent systems is decent stock to hold for long term.

      Not tracking Intellect design arena

      Delete
    2. Madam I need ur advice on Atlas cycle.. Stock bought by Porinju

      Delete
  8. Mam,excellent strategies ....one can learn after decade experience ....we are fortunate to understand n learn in short span with the help of Successful investor like you

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  9. HI dolly madam,

    Hope you are doing good.
    Can I add gati at CMP ?

    Thanks,
    Vinay

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks madam..for Nice information..

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  11. Good post Dolly ji. Am an year old in Stock Market investments and am learning it in bits and pieces. Had always believed that having 40-50 stocks were ideal as they minimize risk. Also, not sure why there is no mention of stop loss in this post, as it is a very strong best practice which protects us from volatility of the markets. It would help, if you could throw some light on both the points, "diversified portfolio minimizing risk" and "Stoploss protecting us"

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If Invested in solid fundamental stocks than stop loss is not required. Where stop loss is triggering for trader, at the same point opportunity is opening for investors to add more.
      It is for new investors to keep the portfolio loaded with good stock and 15 - 20 % allocation for each stocks.

      It is better to diversify with gain from initial investment. 40 - 50 stocks in portfolio required investment of more than one crore, which not possible for all new investors.

      Delete
    2. Thanks for that response Dollyji.

      Delete
  12. Dear mam
    Please guide me about suven life sciences. I want to buy. Pondy oxides and pocl are same or different companies. Waiting for your valuable opinion

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Suven is good stock for long term investment.

      Recently demerged POCL and POEL are different companies with different product but same promoters. You can buy, both are trading at good valuation.

      Delete
  13. thank you mam for this superb post...

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  14. Madam please views on IDFC can create massive wealth for his sharesholders and investor like HDFC/HDFC Bank in Next 10-20 years.

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  15. Mam, would Kaveri seeds come under a category where it is a good company but now facing pricing pressure? Please advice.

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    Replies
    1. It is good company but poor Q1 results has dragged it down, it will come up by next year.

      Delete
  16. Thanks lot for your valuable post madam. I am really lucky to visit your blog...I am impressed much on your suggestion and view in the blog.

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  17. Both Salzer and Kavery are good companies. Due poor Q1 results it came down and rotary switch business of Salzer will grow with industrial growth of India. You can add in small quantities during market correction.

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  18. Dollyji I have no words to express my feelings the way u r guiding new investers may god bless u and u r childrens for u r help.

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hi mam,
    Fabulous as always mam....stay blessed.
    Gud piece of wisdom,easily said then followed but those who follows shines like a star.....I have also been following this since last 1 year after burning my fingers doing all kinds of stupid things but cant complain coz these bitter experience prepared me to think otherwise.
    What do you feel about meghmani organics and dai ichi karkaria as investments.Will u advise to increase allocation in megh @ these level if 1 has 10% of portfolio investment or will u advise to increase allocation to pocl,ur favourite stock(15% portfolio exposure).....dai ichi bought avg @ 215 n freed my investment almost @ high....will u recommend to completely book out.
    Thank u.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have bought some stocks like RSWM , Venus and Meghmani with certain calculated risk which may not be suitable for other investors. But in this blog all stocks are almost risk free and high growth potential specifically for new and small investors, where loss protection of initial investment is prime priority.
      Next stock is having huge growth potential with solid fundamental, it is better to invest in it. You can book partial profit in Dai Ichi and keep the remaining for long term. POCL can be added more during market correction.

      Delete
  20. Dollyji what is your opinion on Rattanindiapower it's IPO price was rs.45 after implimentaion of around 50% plant it's available at 6.20 your views r highly apritiatable

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Power sector is struggling due to high debt and it will take time to recover. There are several much better stocks like Tata Power, R Power, JSW Energy are trading at very attractive valuation.

      Delete
  21. Hello Mam,

    I am planning to buy excel industries. Can you please give your thoughts on it ?

    Thanks,
    Sameer

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock but next move will depend upon further business growth. Last 2-3 quarter it has not shown any significant improvement.

      Delete
  22. Hi Madam,
    Thanks for this informative blog and sharing your views on the stocks you are tracking.
    Pokarna is running high due to the quartz stone business and its huge demand in US, Europe. Debt of the books is a drag but with the current cash flow, it will be reduced to manageable level within 2 years.Its at quoting at 20 PE and growth for 2 years could be more than 40%.

    When you analyzed Asian Granito, did you had a chance to look at Pokarna as well as they are in the same business for Granites? Your views will be highly appreciated.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Pokarna is in marble business and Asian Granito is in tiles, both are quite different in demand, cost and process but belongs to same sector and application. It price depend upon EPS and dividend, if it will able to maintain it than price will hold otherwise it will fall.

      Personally I don't like to buy any stock at such high valuation.

      Delete
  23. Thanks very much mam for your kindness

    ReplyDelete
  24. Hello Dolly Mam,

    Had sent you on email, my portfolio. Request you to please review the same and advice.

    Also what is your take on Tata Metaliks and Aimco Pesticides. Please advice whether to hold the above 2 stocks for long term. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure I will reply it with in few days.

      Both companies are still struggling to come out of past financial mess.

      Delete
  25. Hi Mam , your view on vindhya telelinks ltd , Easun Reyrolle pls suggest

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Vindhya tele is decent stock to hold for long term

      Not tracking Easun

      Delete
  26. Dear Mam, what is your view on PFRL. Do you think it can be another Page in the coming years. Please advise What would be the best entry price or range.

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    Replies
    1. PFRL can give good return in long run but not similar to Page. Because after merger equity base of PFRL will be 75 times bigger than Page

      Delete
  27. Mam, can u give us the idea of the industry or sector of your next stock recomendation(26/09/15)??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It hold several world wide patented products. It is market leader in India and among top three in the world in its core products.

      Delete
  28. mam
    i want to buy Tata Global Beverage,is it good to buy at cmp or should i wait for your next recom

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  29. Having rswm@300,venus@143,meg org @19.should I exit all or wait for 2-3yrs.or exit as I get the price I bought at

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Actually I bought above three stocks with certain calculated risk. It is not good for new or small investors. Nandan is much better option than RSWM for new investors.If some already hold from long time at lower level than it is good to hold and any fresh entry should be avoided.

      Delete
  30. Hello Mam,I am 28 yrs old and I have a total saving of around 5lacs which i may not require for a year?
    Please guide me whether i should invest the full money in equities,buy any fund or let it remain in bank as FD?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Banks will ensure fixed gain without any risk but in stock market there is risk but gain may be several time higher than banks. Choice is your.

      Waterbase, DTIL and next stock can deliver much better gain as compared to banks or any fund. Just need to check how much fund management charges for first year?

      Delete
  31. Hello Mam,

    Excellent write up and all your points are very true thank you for sharing the same across. We are lucky to have you as our true mentor in the stock market.

    Kind Regards
    Atul

    ReplyDelete
  32. Good Morning Dolly. What is your take on current situation in Amtek Auto. Do you think whether it can come out of current cash flow crisis and emerge as a powerhouse in Auto Components sector. Also what is your take on management of Amtek.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry, I don't like Amtek Group due to several management issues in the past and recent manipulation. Motherson Sumi and Bharat Forge are much better options.

      It is very sad to see that innocent investors have lost huge money due to bad management decisions.

      Delete
    2. Yeah Mam, I am one person who lost heavily in amtek group. Some how holded with maximum weightage....

      Delete
  33. Dollyji what you think about today's fall

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  34. Helo mam what is your view on shilpa medicare and mcx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Shilpa is better than MCX but both are trading at higher valuation.

      Delete
  35. Mam, please give your view on aarti ind., BASF india, Plastiblends, thirumalai chem, vivimed lab??

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    Replies
    1. Aarti Ind, BASF, Plastiblends are good stock but trading higher valuation and may not able to give desired results in mid term investment ( 1-2 years)

      Not tracking other stocks.

      Delete
  36. Hello Mam

    Thank you very much for giving good lesson I bought Rswm 800 shares@290 and Dtil 400 shares@250 Request you please can I hold these stocks or exit current market ,price,I am holding for a period of another 2 years

    ReplyDelete
  37. mam
    whats your view on Satin Creditcare Network at cmp is it good for longterm

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  38. Hello Mam (Sir), can u plz suggest whether to sell below scripts and book profit/loss and enter Waterbase & next recommended pick or continue to hold below scripts and buy Waterbase & next recommended pick post salary :)
    1. Shree Hari Chemicals (@93)
    2. Bhageria Dye Chem (@120)
    3. Narmada Gelatin (@170)
    4. Trigyn Technologies (@43)

    ReplyDelete
  39. You can continue with same stocks because most of the stocks are recently bought. On availability of fund you can buy other stocks.

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  40. Mam there is some news regarding Nandan Denim and Polus Global Fund.....Do you recommend fresh buying of Nandan Denim

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  41. Thank you very much ma'am. This article is really very useful.
    What's your view on Spenta Internaltional?

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  42. Dolly mam,

    Your views on Mangalam Drugs please....

    Also, please advise on fresh investment at CMP.

    ReplyDelete
  43. Mom,what ur view on jeevan scientific at cmp is it good for longter inv. please reply.

    ReplyDelete
  44. Hi mam, what is your view on vidhi dyestuff. Can i buy at CMP.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  45. Hello Mam.
    What do you think about investing ₹25000 in TCS and hold it for about 5 years? Will it give good return and dividend?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  46. Mam ur view on ashiana housing and delta corp

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  47. Mam JPVL has sold its 2 Hydro power plants to JSW and with the sale of its hydro power plants, JP Group has sold a fair chunk of its assets from the earnings point of view as hydro power plants are high margin businesses. So, this could in turn affect JPVL earnings. Going forward is this good or bad as company still has 45,000 crore debt and now it is minus 2 projects too.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. JPVL debt will come down to 10000Cr with 3800MW capacity by next year April.

      Delete
  48. dolly ji,
    Contemplating investment in either Liberty shoes or Superhouse....
    Would like to know your views on both stocks and also your preferred one
    for investment at CMP. Thnx

    ReplyDelete
  49. Mam ur view on cement stock as govt focus on infra and housing for all Can it be good investment sector for next five year then which company u will recommend

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking any cement stocks due to continuous under performance of this sector

      Delete
  50. Mam
    What is your view on sterlite technology. can i buy it at cmp. Waiting for your valuable opinion.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Personally I don't like any stock with such high debt.

      Delete
  51. Mam after recent correction in tata motor.can it be good for long term

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  52. Mam, let us know the industry of new stock, we want to guess the name of the company...Also mkt are close for three days now, so no one can take advantage of information.

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  53. hi Mam, can we still add DTIL at CMP(228-230) ? or do we need to wait for mark correction ? and what is your view on Orient Green Power ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. DTIL at CMP is value buy.

      Not tracking other stock

      Delete
  54. Hi Dollyji, Do you think motherson sumi is good buy at current price

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock but let the VW issue settle down

      Delete
  55. Hello Madam please suggest buy level of jk agri genitech I have 50 shares 480 wants to add more. Are you seen correction in this counter in next month or year end. if its correct from current market price 460 to 520 trade in very tight range with less volume. I want level 400 or below is it happend in near future or I buy at cmp level but seller and buyer difference on higher side.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for long term. It is seasonal stock now any major change will come from next year Q1

      Delete
  56. Madam Pls share your view on ATLAS CYCLE.. I Bought yesterday @227 /-

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    Replies
    1. If you have already bought it than hold it.

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    2. I need your view.. How you look it for long term?

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    3. Good for long term only (2 -3 years)

      Delete
  57. mam
    which is better between Mahindra Lifespace Developers & godrej properties or anyother you recomd from reality sector?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are good in current scenario, once infra and construction sector start performing these stocks will give good returns.

      Delete
  58. Is it balmer lawrie or gilander arbu??

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  59. DollyMam good day, can I buy xpro india @45,waterbase@110,MEGHAMANI ORG @19 and rswm @ 280 thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, others OK but replace RSWM with Nandan Denim

      Delete
    2. Hi Mam: Nandam Denim has reached from 106 to 140 in a span of 2 weeks. Is it still a good buy at 140 CMP? Please suggest.

      Delete
  60. Mam ur views on Tv18 broadcast for long term

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  61. Mam, whether it is advisable to invest in Ultramarine & Pigments Ltd

    ReplyDelete
  62. I am still awaiting replies to my queries posted earlier.....

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Please post your message on first page of the blog only. New message on old post taking long time to load it.

      Delete
    2. Though not invested in Samkrg but want to understand this theory of - ''further move will depend upon EPS growth and % dividend payout''. Currently it doesn't have any dividend so in future if it pays dividend then the price will move. can you also give another example of this with any other stock where it happened when stock was in range and after dividend it moved. It would be a good study.

      Delete
    3. It is similar case for all stocks. Stock price depends upon % dividend payout. If dividend keep on increasing the stock price will follow same pattern. You can check price and dividend history any stock i.e. TCS Britania, Page, Solar , HUL even TIIL.

      Delete
    4. Understand your preference is to invest in small equity base. So is for RSWM where equity base is around 2.32 cr shares only whereas Lycos has around 47.62 Cr. According to this, what are general criteria to look at when seeing the equity base, how many free float equity do an investor need to see in check-list.
      Second, while seeing equity base, is there any criteria of seeing promoter holding too; any minimum threshold for an investor. Eg- RSWm has promoter holding at around 52%, Lycox- 39.21%, NOCIL- 37%,

      Delete
    5. Along with small market capital, product demand potential, ability of promoter to expand the business and increase the profitability, credibility of promoters is most important.

      Delete
    6. Yes, these are other important aspects...but while seeing equity base, is there any criteria.....any minimum threshold of equity base to look at?

      Delete
  63. Hello Mam,
    I have tata sponge at 700 150 quantity, sterlite tech @100 are both sell at this price. can we see any turnaround story in tata sponge...

    ReplyDelete
  64. You can hold Tata sponge, it can give better return in 1-2 years. Not positive on Sterlite tech due to huge debt.

    ReplyDelete
  65. Hi Madam,

    Ur view on LGB forge ..

    thanks

    ReplyDelete
  66. Hi Dolly Mam,

    Pls give your view on Ajanta Pharma and Aurobhindo pharma for 1-2 yrs long term. which pharma stock should I enter at current price.

    Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
  67. Thanx Mam,

    also pls advice can I enter Xpro at 46.50 levels now

    ReplyDelete
  68. Hi Mam..

    I am gaining 15% in Cox kings & Tata Steel
    pls advice if I should shuffle it to Pondy at Cmp for short term

    ReplyDelete
  69. very nice article Mam.
    thanks for sharing

    ReplyDelete
  70. Hlo Dolly khanna mam , just newly came to know your name , on some stocks

    ReplyDelete
  71. happy Diwali,Dolly ji..wishing you more success and a lot of happiness,,,
    thank you

    ReplyDelete
  72. Hi Dolby,

    Thanks alot for ur wonderful session!!!

    Could you kindly explain in detail about "5. Keep looking for good stocks" where how to check "good cash flow, profits, EPS, PE, dividend record, future expansion plans:..etc.

    And I'm holding Tips Ind bought @80 for 2 years now and don't see any growth in it. Can I sell it?

    Please advice.

    Again Appreciate your initiative.

    Thanks,
    James

    ReplyDelete