Friday, December 4, 2020

AksharChem (India) Limited


CMP - 227


AksharChem (India) Limited incorporated in 1989, it is one of India’s leading dye intermediates, dyes and pigments manufacturing company with a installed capacity of 11,400 metric tonnes per annum (MTPA). The company is specialised in manufacturing para base ester of aniline (Vinyl Sulphone), H-Acid and Copper Phthalocyanine (CPC) Green, Violet 23 which have multiple applications in textile, inks, rubber, plastics, paints and leather industries. 


The company has state - of the - art manufacturing unit covering over 100,000 sq mt area and it is strategically located in the dense chemical belt of Gujarat




The company has globally recognised brand and most trusted suppliers of best-in-class, high performing products. It offer peace of mind to its customers with supply and quality reliability. The company is one of the leading exporters of Vinyl Sulphone, accounting for ~45% share of the country’s exports and also one of the world’s largest CPC Green pigment manufacturer with a global market share of~10%. 


Business Segments




Dye Intermediates


Dye intermediates are the key raw material used for manufacturing of reactive dyes mainly used in textile industry. The product basket of the company includes Vinyl Sulphone and H-Acid. 


Dyes


Dyes are colorants which are used to impart colours to a substance or surface such as cotton, silk, wool, paper, leather, etc. 


Pigments


Pigments are insoluble in nature and are applied as finely solid particles. They are intensely coloured and are employed to impart colour to other materials. The Company manufactures organic Pigments such as CPC Green and Violet 23, which have major applications in paint and coating, plastic, cosmetic, fabric, ink and rubber industry.


Expansion Programme


AksharChem has undertaken aggressive capex plan Rs 145 crores, it provides long term earnings visibility.  In the month of August 2017, company  has raised Rs 69 crores through QIB (Qualified Institutional Buyers) at a price of  Rs 776 per equity share  to fund the same. Of the budgeted Capex, ~Rs. 65 Crores has already been spent on enhancement of pigment capacity to 2,400 MTPA and commissioning of H-Acid facility with the capacity of 1,200 MTPA, both have commenced operations. The balance fund will be used for setting up of 12,000 MTPA of Precipitated Silica facility, its completion is expected by H2 FY 2020-21.




Precipitated Silica capex project is an important part of company' growth strategy. These are value-added products commanding better margins and will also open up a new targetable client base for company. Initially it was planned for a 10,000 MTPA plant, After considering the demand prospects and focused on reducing operating cost, company has increased the plant capacity to 12,000 MTPA. It will also help to improve valuations in future, as business transformation from cyclical to more stable earnings will change financial trajectory. 


Company has entered into an agreement to license an emerging technology which will be used in manufacture of value added precipitated specialty silica. Precipitated Silica is used intensively in the tyre, rubber industry, ceramic tiles industry, personal care products like toothpaste and tooth powder. 



Investment Rationale 



Trust and credibility: 


AksharChem exports to over 20 countries through successful execution of prior engagements, timely delivery of quality products and demonstrated technical expertise. Customer relationships are core to any business and its customers include many leading multinational corporations like, DIC Corporation, Gustav Grolman Gmbh & Co, KG, OHYOUNG Inc. and Servochem Pty Ltd. who recognise it as their ‘preferred suppliers’. The company has  history of high customer retention and derive a significant proportion of it revenues from repeat business. Even DIC Corporation Japan has become shareholder of this company due to good relationship and business satisfaction.




Strong long-term relationship with large multinational customers has enabled company to evaluate  inventory balances of materials based on shelf life, expected sourcing levels, known uses, anticipated demand and changes in product sales mix. An efficient inventory management also helps it in minimising the working capital requirement. 

As result, the Company is being able to maintain its customer base for more than two decades and products comply with all international quality standards and environment protection norms.


Post COVID -19  Increase in Demand from End-User Industries: 


Industries like textile, paint, plastic, printing ink, rubber and leather are the major end-users of dyes, dye intermediates and pigments. With improving global economic scenario, the demand from various end-user industries are surging. Factors such as increasing demand for high-grade paints/coatings, quality textile and usage of plastic in various end-user industries are ultimately going to raise the demand for dyes, dye intermediates and pigments. The textile industry is expected to grow at stable pace in the near future. Rising disposable income, increase in urbanization, high standard of living, increase in population, etc. are some of the factors which are going to help to boost the textile Industry.


Under the category of specialty chemicals, Precipitated Silica is used intensively in tyre manufacturing, ceramic tiles industry, personal care products like toothpaste. Backed by growing population and urbanization along with increase in construction activities, automobile, exports etc. this segment is expected to grow at a rapid pace in the future. 


Sustainable, compliant and strategically located manufacturing facility:


Akshar Chem plant is strategically located in the chemical belt of Gujarat, is in close proximity to raw material suppliers and downstream chemical companies. Connectivity with rail, national highway and sea-port ensures faster goods movement, lower logistics cost and business development opportunity. Its manufacturing facility has received various international registrations and affiliations, including REACH for CPC Green, ISO 9001:2015 and ISO 14001:2004. 




Company believes that quality is a key differentiator in the business and have made strong efforts to adopt uniform manufacturing standards in line with industry demands and regulatory requirements, to achieve standardized product quality for all markets. Company has adopted internationally recognised processes to ensure that minimum waste is generated per unit, treat wastes to permissible limits before disposal, emits fewer pollutants and recycle and reuse wastes to maintain healthy environment and more sustainable future.


 Experienced Promoters & Effective Corporate Governance: 


The Company, under the leadership of Mrs. Paru M. Jaykrishna, has grown tremendously and has managed to become one of the most trusted and fastest growing dyes and dye intermediate manufacturers. It continues to grow and expand by way of capacity expansion of the existing products and by adding new ones to its product portfolio. Transparency, integrity and accountability are the roots of management practice. It is environment friendly company with facilities for zero liquid discharge. It has won many prestigious awards for outstanding export performance, business excellence, etc. 


Favourable Economic Outlook post COVID-19 Outbreak : 


Currently, India is one of the major growing economies in the world. This is expected to boost the demand for dyes and pigments as they are intermediaries used in several key industries like paints & coating, textile, plastic, paper, printing ink, etc. for the manufacturing of final products. 




The shut-down of plants in China due to stringent environmental norms and anti-China sentiment around the world. It also provide a short-medium term increase in demand as this might shift the demand from China to India. AksharChem with its strong global presence, is well positioned to exploit the opportunities that are expected to arise in coming years. 


Diversification and Expansion of Product Portfolio: 


Company has worked on several new grades of Pigment Green 7 which have been technically approved by existing customers with opportunity to increase sales volume in the coming years Intensify focus on production, application profile research and development to explore possibility for new market in Coatings and Plastic industry. 


The capacity enhancement in CPC Green and investments in new products like H-Acid, Violet 23 and special grades of Precipitated Silica is going to shape future and ensure continuity of success. New plant is expected to start production within few months.


Process and Quality Excellence :


AksharChem has made significant investments in setting-up a large-scale state-of-the-art manufacturing plant and an advanced laboratory equipped with modern facilities, R&D efforts focus on continuous improvement in products and processes. Investments in process automation technologies resulted in enhanced process efficiency, product quality and reduction in human error. In a competitive global market where quality and cost matters most. Surprisingly company has not received any product rejection uptill now.


Healthy Balance Sheet: 


Even after major capex the company has a healthy balance sheet with no debt which resulted in improvement in its credit ratings.  It has completed projects like H-Acid and CPC green were entirely funded from equity and internal resources and the management feels confident of completing the rest of the projects with internal accruals as well.


Conclusion


The Profitability of the Company was affected mainly due to internal and external factors. Since last one year textile, auto, housing and construction sector were under tremendous pressure which resulted into ultimate decline of sales. Fluctuation in the exchange rate and in the crude oil affected the company adversely. In coming years, the revenue growth is expected to be driven on the back of enhanced pigment capacity, and addition of H-Acid and Precipitated Silica in its product portfolio.




AksharChem is market leader in its business segments with large world class state-of-art- manufacturing facilities. Company has excellent management team. It is debt free company with small equity base. Earning will increase significantly with improvement in business in coming quarters. It is very good investment opportunity at cmp Rs 227 for 1 year to 3 years. It can be given 10 % allocation.




84 comments:

  1. i thought it will be kamdhenu or aksharchem, finally it is Aksharchem.
    Thanks a lot madam

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  2. Thank you for the new pick mam.
    Kindly suggest what to do in ADF Foods. More than 3 times from reco. Price. Still hold or sell and exit.
    Regards.

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    Replies
    1. Still you can hold it for further gain

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    2. they have planned expansion for future and ventured in to new warehousing business as well
      New facility on LT lease operational in 3-4 months; capex 2-3 cr
      Green field project planned; capex of 30-35 crs. Aims to complete by FY 2022; strengthening warehouse to cater to distributor on time; business with fortune 500 companies doing very well.

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    3. circuit revised from 5 to 20 percent from monday onwards, so chance of hot run for another short seems to be

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  3. Madam, Jubilant has given 100% returns. What is the future scope for it? Can it more higher?

    Also, JK Agri, pls suggest if we can continue to hold after 100% return

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    Replies
    1. You can book some partial profit at 100% return and keep the free of cost share for long-term

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  4. Thank you so much mam, your comments on consistent reduction of share holding by FII and mural funds pls.

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    Replies
    1. Mutual fund may have done shuffling of their portfolio according to the SEBI guidelines.
      From two last years market was very dull and they have invested at very high price it may be the reason they have reduced their holding. Some mutual fund exit from the stock if the market cap fall below certain limit.

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  5. GOOD morning madam, please suggest what price we have to exit on DEEPAK NITRATE/ JUBLIANT/TCI/ TCI EXPRESS/ORIENT ELECTRIC/ADF FOODS, 2. Suggest if any fundamental change of following stocks or can we accumulate Ganesh Housing/Bharat gears/TPL plastic/amar jyoti/ nitin spinners Tolbros Auto and my entry price on Deepak nitrate as Rs. 235/- somany youtube videos suggested target as Rs. 3000/- now I totally confused what I have to do holder exit or partially exit with my invested amount. Thank you.

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    Replies
    1. You can book some partial profit but keep the remaining share for long-term. Yes, Deepak nitrate has moved to the next level and it will create decent wealth for long-term shareholder.

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    2. Madam is Deepak Nitrite likely to maintain its earnings growth of 63% or atleast 15-20% over the next decade.

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    3. Yes it will maintain at least 10 to 15% consistent growth

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  6. Madam thanks for the new recommendation, how much we can expect in short term and ling term Thanks

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    Replies
    1. We can expect around 50-100% return in next 1 to 2 years

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  7. Madam i got deepak nitrite with handsome profit shall i sell and buy Aksharchem, deepak fertilizer vs aksharchem which one gives more return within a year

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    Replies
    1. If you have booked already partial profit then you continue to keep Deepak nitrate as it is

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  8. What is the return expectation maam?

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    Replies
    1. It is expected to give 100 to 300% return in between 1- 4 year investment period

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  9. Madam take my pronam. I bought2000 ktk bank few yrs ago @175. Now it is far below my purchase price. Please guide me and suggest me what i can do. What is the future prospect of ktk bank.

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    Replies
    1. Banking sector stocks were under tremendous pressure from last two years, you can continue to hold it for long term and wait for recovery in next 2-3 year time frame

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    2. Mam...Can I reveinvest in Deepak nitrite now?

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  10. What to do with tpl plastech, Shree pushkar chem,kcp. Kcp can we add further

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    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold the stocks and wait for good return in future. you can add KCP in case of some correction below 70

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  11. What is your view on Kiri industries maam for short term

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  12. Thanks so much Mam.May God help you keep safe and healthy...I believe Shree pushkar also has similar prospectus right as they are also going to complete capex .Would you consider Akshar chem better positioned than Shree pushkar?

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    Replies
    1. yes, dye and intermediate business of Shree Pushkar is around 210 crore for FY 20 and Akshar chemical is around 260 but equity base of Shri Pushkar is 3.7 times bigger than Akshar. Shree Pushkar is much younger players then Akshar chemical. there is difference in product pricing and brand image also.

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  13. Ma'am, Vipul organics ltd raised capacity from 20 tons a month to 170 tons a month in pigments. New facilities started commercial production on 16th jan 20. Q4 results likely to reflect volume growth...will akshara make any difference with its uniquety in product base

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  14. I wish to replace J K Cement (at current valuation) with another cement stock. Pls suggest...thanks

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    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold it JK cement is also good stock

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  15. Thanks for new recommendation,
    Mam,I am curious to find out reasons behind continuous fall in sales,net profit and profit margins.
    Your valuable insights on this will be helpful for us to understand the business. Thanks

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    Replies
    1. only two factor, one is nonperformance of textile sector since last two years and since last one year COVID-19 issue

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  16. Good morning madam, pleseI suggest I have all your recommended shares except kamdhenu and pandy oxide, when I have book profit and which stock to exit. Thank you

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  17. Madam deepak fertilizer vs aksharchem which one will give better return in one year time frame Thanks

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    Replies
    1. If you have booked already partial profit then you continue to keep Deepak nitrate as it is

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  18. Hi Mam thanks for your suggestion. I have one question, your suggestions mostly have been turn around stories or growth stories, how do you judge that a company will now perform better compared to the past, what kind of strategies do you follow to get to the conclusion, please let us know the selection process. Thank you!

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  19. Good morning, Madam. Thank you very much for the new recommendation. May God bless you for the selfless spirit and service you have been rendering for small investors. We pray to God for your happiness, healthy and fulfilling life.

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  20. Hello madam,

    Reserves of the company (261 crore) is higher than market capture (186).. This itself mean it is undervalued.. is this understanding correct ?

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  21. Hello Madam,

    Can you please also update on previous recommendation GP petroleum

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  22. Thank you madam for your new reco.
    What do you think about burger king india after listing. Its peer members are trading near 2000 but burger king may available at around 100 rupees per share on listing day. What return can we expect in long term? Thanks in advance.

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  23. Mam.. Should I sell kesoram , Birla tyres , GP petroleum and buy Akshar chemicals

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  24. Mam', are you following up LT Foods?
    If so, kindly suggest how is it at cmp.also can we add more of kamdhenu at cmp around 80.
    Regards

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  25. Mam, Shree Pushkar is also in similar business with additional line of business as Fertilizers. Combination of this business verticals will be performing better is what my assumption is. Fertilizer business is also improving and performing well. My cost price of Shree Pushkar is 100. Should I sell Pushkar and buy Akshar

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  27. Hi mam should v add, hold ABFR ? What are the future prospect s?

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  28. Also how about impact of latest news by Delhi High court to direct department of chemical ministry to return bank guarantee worth 310 cr back... Hopefully positive

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  29. Madam what is ur opinion about meghmani organics lot of news demerger, capacity addition etc

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  30. Hello madam, What is your view on Birla tyres and Can we swap with Akshara chemicals?

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  31. What is your view in afl short term

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  32. Madam ur opinion about adani enterprises please

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  33. Maam request your views on Alkali Metals which I am holding since quite sometime at a price of approx 52

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  34. Hi maam, would u suggest if i can move out of tpl plastech and shree pushkar and add akshar chem and kcp? I hold tpl plastech @147 and shree pushkar@99 .kindly advice

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  35. Mam,why operating margins suddenly reduced by 50%.No investor presentation or concalls how do believe management.

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  36. Madam is jindal Steel and equitas a good buy at cmp for long-term portfolio

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  37. Good morning madam, please suggest any multi bagger stock like WIPRO for next 20 years to my retirement. Thank you.

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  38. Thank you for your recommendation maam. Can you please also give your view on The Anup Engineering Limited and Acrysil Limited?

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  39. Mam,

    Thank you very much for your new recommendation...

    What is % appreciation in revenue and profit, based on current expansion plan of company? (Aksharchem)

    And, mam, I have purchased Rain Ind and NR Agrawal, based on your suggestion. But, what is your view now? (Avg/hold/sell)

    Thank you again.

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  40. Mam, i could see a diamond pattern forming in the weekly chart which is vey bullish and a trend reversal one. very good for the stock.

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  41. Thank you very much madam for the recommendation. Felt very happy to see your posts again after a long time

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  42. Thanks for the reco..ma’am if I buy KCP @70 what would be returns expected? Aksharchem I saw in charts was close to 900/piece so what happened that it’s price got thrashed? Also there is talk about Sunflag Iron on CNBC TV18 today...ur comments & guidance is always appreciated..Would there be a buy reco on Sunflag and future returns from here on...THANKS AGAIN

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  43. Hello Maam, is there a chance of recovery for Sintex Plastic

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  44. Good morning Mam,

    What is your view for Nocil for short-term and long-term?

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  45. Good morning Madam, I have been holding DHFL for a long time. Would you kindly enlighten me whether I should keep holding or exit in view of the recent developments. I have no idea what I should do or omit to do. Your view in this respect shall definitely show me the right path. Thank you Madam.

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    Replies
    1. exit bro, now atleast it is trading at 30, after 2 years who knows it might come back to 3

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  46. It seems from discussion deepak fertiliser can give similar return as that of deepak nitrite in couple of years, at the same time positive sentiments of deepak nitrite will probably add in to price appreciation of deepak fertiliser.

    Deepak fertilizer is i guess just waiting for some positive trigger... What that trigger could be apart from positive quarterly results because it had already posted them and will post in future too but like like market is just waiting for something as trigger...bahana chahiye bas...

    Otherwise i think 450+ by end of next diwali is very much possible.
    ...

    Your thought if what i said it's true or any other comments and what could be price below which fresh investment in deepak fertilizer can be made

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  47. Good afternoon mam,
    I have visited NR Agrawal company website. After seeing product I couldn't find kraft paper in that list,which is now being used for hard packaging by various companies. Any expansion plan for manufacturing the same as stated by the company?
    https://www.business-standard.com/article/news-cm/n-r-agarwal-industries-plans-to-set-up-500-tpd-kraft-paper-unit-118022800960_1.html

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  48. Thank you for your selfless service, Madam.
    I have been holding NOCIL. Which has better prospects? NOCIL or Akshar Chem?
    Thank you

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  49. Thank you very much ma’am 🙏

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  50. Mam all your recos are sky rocketing. Thank you soo much. We are blessed to have you. Thanks a lot again

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  51. Dear Mam, do you think Nitin Spinners will recover? or it is best to sell if off at CMP of appox 75

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  52. Dear mam, please take care, let the blog unanswered for years and we will wait because god and mother never lefts... God bless you... You just take care yourself and everyone you love

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  53. Madam please suggest future prospects of BLACK ROSE INDUSTRIES. What is the fair price to enter for long term or short term. Thank you.

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  54. Madam, earlier you suggested regarding profit booking on TCI EXPRESS @1000 and TCI @ 500 now TCI EXPRESS around 950/- and TCI around 250. Please suggest accordingly what to do partial profit booking on on both or or Only TCI Express or both. what is the future prospects of both companies. Thank you

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  55. Madam, please suggest future prospects of MARICO and their food business. Thank you

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  56. Madam can we purchase surana solar now?

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