Friday, December 2, 2022

Patanjali Foods Ltd

 



CMP = 1272


Patanjali Foods Ltd (erstwhile Ruchi Soya)  is fastest growing diversified FMCG  and  Fast Moving Health Goods (FMHG) focussed company with 25 strategically located manufacturing facilities, well recognised brands with pan India presence. The company is one of the largest FMCG companies in the Indian edible oil sector and one of the largest fully integrated edible oil refining companies in India. Being the pioneers and largest manufacturers of soya foods has aided its brand ‘Nutrela’ to become a household and generic name in India.





https://www.patanjaliayurved.net/



 Business Verticals







1) Edible oils & its By-products : One of the largest integrated oil seed solvent extraction and edible oil refining company in India.


2) Oleochemicals: Manufacturing products like soap noodles, glycerine, distilled fatty acids as well as value-based products of castor oil, soya, and palm-based derivatives.


3) Edible Soya Flour and Textured Soya Protein: Pioneered the concept of soya chunks through Nutrela™ brand. 


4) Honey and Atta (flour): Launched Nutrela High Protein Chakki Atta™ and Nutrela Honey™ in FY 2021. 


5) Oil Palm Plantation: Ventured into oil palm plantation development business as a route to backward integration and is now one of the largest palm plantation companies in India.


6) Biscuit Cookies and Rusks: Forayed into biscuits, cookies, rusk and other associated bakery products category in May 2021 by acquiring it from Patanjali Natural Biscuits. 


7) Noodles and Breakfast Cereals: Manufacturing and sale of healthier version (non-maida) of noodles predominantly available in India with high contents of fibre and protein.  Dalia, Poha, vermicelli, Oats etc are sold under the Patanjali™ brand.




8) Nutraceuticals and Wellness ProductsPatanjali Foods Ltd has forayed into a niche and a high growth FMHG segment with the launch of nutraceutical business in year 2022. The company has launched wide range of nutrition and wellness products like  Patanjali Nutrela Diabetic care, Patanjali Nutrela Collagenprash Skin Superfood, Patanjali Nutrela Weight Gain, Patanjali Nutrela Org Omega, Patanjali Nutrela Daily Active Capsule, Patanjali Nutrela 100% Whey Performance, Patanjali Nutrela Daily Energy Capsule, Patanjali Nutrela Women's and Men Superfood, Patanjali Nutrela Vit C+ Zinc Natural, Patanjali Immunity Bar etc. all these products are well accepted in the market. 


9) Miscellaneous FMCG  Product : Wide range of products like candy & sweets, sauces & pickles, jam & murabba, pulses, rice,  spices, salt, sugar, dried fruits & nuts, namkeen and papad etc


10) Renewable Energy (Wind Power): To counter its carbon footprint, company  generates 85 MW power from renewable energy sources.




Investment Rationale 



Ruchi Soya was oil extraction company with forward and backward integration. Ruchi Soya went under Insolvency Resolution Process (2017-2020) due to huge debt of Rs 4350 crores. It was acquired by Patanjali Group after long legal battle. After acquisition Ruchi Soya has made big turnaround and become profitable within 2 years. Ruchi Soya has raised Rs 4300 crores through FPO and paid the entire debt to creditors and become debt free company. Name of the company is changed from Ruchi Soya to Patanjali foods Ltd.






Major twist came in the fortune of company when Patanjali Group has decided to transfer Rs 5000 - 6000 crores entire food portfolio of  Patanjali Ayurveda Ltd (PAL) to Patanjali Foods Ltd on slump sale basis for consideration of just Rs 690 cores, effective from 1 July 2022. The value of this business has just started reflecting in recently posted Q2 result of Patanjali Foods Ltd. The Foods Business achieved sales of Rs 2400 crores with EBIT of Rs 611 crores in Q2FY23.



With the above acquisition, the food product portfolio of the Company has added 536 SKU’s over 8 products categories such as Ghee, Staples, Herbal Products, Honey, Dry Fruits, Spices & Condiments, Staples, beverages & Physically Refined edible Oils including Mustard oil. PAL has also transferred 2 plants at Newasa & Padartha and signed a Non Compete agreement with PFL as part of the slump sale.







Earlier in May 2021, company has  acquired biscuits, cookies, rusk and other associated bakery products business from Patanjali Natural Biscuits Pvt Ltd  for a lump-sum consideration of  Rs 60 crore. The company has further acquired the breakfast cereals and atta (wheat) noodles product category, in June 2021 from PAL. It has given access to portfolio of noodles product, hot cereals and ready-to-eat cereals. Ready-to-eat cereals include corn flakes, choco flakes, chocolious and muesli.







In beginning of this year company forayed into the niche and high potential market of nutraceutical and wellness product space. The nutraceutical business is launched under the joint branding of ‘Patanjali’ and ‘Nutrela’.  The Patanjali foods Ltd will get immense benefit from the experience of the Patanjali group which is an experienced player in natural and Ayurvedic FMHG segment. The company caters to all categories of dietary supplements nutraceuticals such as



1) Medical Nutrition – Nutrition to meet condition / disease specific goals for diabetic nutrition, dialysis nutrition, bone health, anemics etc. 


2) Sports Nutrition – Nutrition for energy supplements and mass / muscle gainers etc.


3) General Nutrition – Nutrition for overall health and general wellness such as multi vitamins and weight management etc.








The Patanjali Foods Ltd is pioneer  in atta biscuit and atta (wheat) noodles product category. The company is one of the leaders in milk biscuits category under the brand name ‘Doodh’. The biscuits, cookies and rusk product portfolio includes milk biscuits, cookies, bakery biscuits, cracker, marie, cream, crunchy and digestive and rusks. The noodles and breakfast cereals business focuses on manufacture and sale of healthier version (non-maida) of noodles predominantly available in India with high contents of fibre and protein and are sold under the ‘Patanjali’ brand.







The Patanjali Foods is pioneer for soya foods in India. The company launched ‘Nutrela’ soya chunks in the 1980’s and  brand ‘Nutrela’ has become a household and generic name for textured soya protein, it command 40% market share in branded soya products.



Patanjali Foods Ltd has 3.9 million tonnes (MT) of oilseed crushing & refining capacity with current utilisation of only 40%. The company would be able to increase capacity utilisation by leveraging its existing & Patanjali brand to drive volumes.



Patanjali Foods  is one of the largest palm plantation companies in India with allocated zones (6.02 lakh hectares). The public-private partnership model has been promoted by the government of India, which assists the company in backward integration of sourcing palm oil. The company has already developed 60k hectares of palm plantation area on asset-light business model.







Leveraging on brand ‘Nutrela’ associated with nutrition and good health, company launched ‘Nutrela High Protein Chakki Atta’ and ‘Nutrela Honey’.  The atta is a combination of wheat and soya flour, and contains 30% more protein than regular wheat atta, to meet the body’s daily proteins requirement. It is also fortified with iron, folic acid, and vitamin B12. This presents opportunity for branded wheat flour which is expected to grow at healthy pace. 



In the last few years, Ayurveda, naturals & immunity boosting products like Chyawanprash and honey have seen robust growth, specifically in a post-Covid world.  Patanjali brands are associated with Ayurveda & naturals products, Patanjali foods would be able to leverage the tailwinds of healthier consumption. Acquired foods business consists of  Rs 262 crore sales of juices (Aloe Vera, amla juices among others), Rs 136 crore of Chyawanprash, Rs 250 crore of honey and Rs 1197 crore of cow ghee. These products offer a health and wellness proposition. The niche juices and honey categories also have high potential to grow to a sizable category in future with very healthy operating margin.








The combined distribution network of PAL & Patanjali Foods Ltd has expanded the company’s reach to 1 million retail touch points. The company has edible oil distribution network with 4763 distributors and 5 lakh retail touch points. It has 100 sales depots and presence in 31 countries for its soya product & oleo chemical business. On the other hand, the company’s products have access to PAL’s distribution network through a distribution agreement from June 2021. PAL has 2839 distributors, 1092 Chikitsalaya, 3260 Arogya Kendra, 78519 pharmacies and 5 lakh customer touch points.  Moreover, Patanjali foods Ltd has a strong presence in modern trade & e-commerce channel as well. The company would be able leverage its edible oil distribution network for foods business & vice versa. The edible oil and soya products are also retailed through Wal-Mart India, More Retail and Spencer Retail etc. 



Patanjali Group also has a strong reach among masses through Yoga. Its advertisement on cultural broadcasting TV channels and strong following on social media helps in promoting Patanjali brand without much advertisement cost. The group is unique given a robust rural presence in 2.5 lakh villages and continue to focus on expanding its distribution network, going forward.



Patanjali Foods Ltd has  access to several contract manufacturing units at Rajasthan, Uttarakhand and Haryana under the “Patanjali Assignment Agreement”. The contract manufacturing enables it for low capital expenditure and work on asset-light business model.






Acquired foods business of PAL commands 16% operating margins with high sales contribution of ghee, juices, atta and honey.  Overall margins of the company will improve significantly in coming quarters with consolidation of foods business.



Backward integration in palm plantation is likely to reduce its dependency on imported edible oil. Moreover, expansion in palm extraction capacities by the company would help in improving margin in the edible oil business in the next three to four years.



Conclusion



The Patanjali Foods Ltd has transformed itself from edible Oil extraction company to leading health and wellness company (FMCG + FMHG). It has also shifted itself from low margin edible Oil (commodity) business to high margin FMCG and wellness-oriented brand. It is only food company with such huge product portfolio and there is immense growth potential.








The nutraceutical and premium food businesses (Ghee, Chyawanprash, Honey, Juices etc) have the potential to grow exponentially with  strong leverage from Patanjali brand and the pan India distribution network. The Patanjali Foods will maintain the growth momentum with complete reflection of the acquired foods business in the coming quarters.



Patanjali Foods Ltd  at cmp Rs 1272 is giving excellent investment opportunity for both short term and long term. It can be bought + / - 15% from cmp with 10 - 20 %  allocation.




222 comments:

  1. Replies
    1. When is the next stock update recommendation madam.

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  2. Thank you mam. Hope this has good liquidity. Have placed IoC order.

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  3. Thanks mam for this wonderful recommendation.

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  4. Thanks for the pick mam , i think for the first we are seeing stock above 1k , and large cap 47000 crores . Since it's already a large cap . What kind of returns can be expected in future.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. At present it is in the category of mid-cap stocks. Hopefully very soon it will enter into large-cap category of top 100 companies by market capitalisation.

      We expect even better and quick return from it, around 50-100% in one year and 100-300% in 3 -4 years.

      Delete
  5. For the first time, you are recommending the company with high market capture.. >46k crore

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  6. Thank you madam.
    In NSE it is "BE" marked, is that problem?
    Is there any difference in buying from NSE or BSE?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is normal, trade-to-trade category stock with 5% circuit limit. No difference you can buy it from any stock exchange.

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  7. Dear Maam, Thank you for the new stock. First time you have given a Large Cap stock with mkt cap of 40K Cr.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Madam
    Thanks for another good business. how much return we can expect from this company.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We expect around 50-100% in one year and 100-300% in 3 -4 years.

      Delete
  9. Thanks for new suggestion ma'am. Company seems good, but how about valuation. Should we allocate all funds now or start SIP?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is trading at extremely low P/E as compared to other FMCG companies. It will get re-rated in future. It can be bought within 15% from suggested price with 10-20% allocation. You can buy it once or gradually 3-4 times but it depends upon stock price movement.

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  10. Madam target for short and long term??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We expect around 50-100% in one year and 100-300% in 3 -4 years.

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  11. Thank you sir for finding great stock. Hope this will create wealth to the longterm investors.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes , Patanjali Foods has great growth potential in long run.

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  12. Thank you so much sir, just few queries

    1. It is already 45000cr mcap company, how much more it will be abe to add to market cap

    2. Company had mentioned that they will come with IPO OF Ayurveda vertical, how will ipo benefit the shareholder of Patanjali foods

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Market cap is very small if we compare it with other peers. Its several business verticals have exponential growth possibilities. We expect 3 x to 5 x addition in market cap in next 3-4 years.

      Patanjali Foods shareholders may get preference in upcoming IPOs from Patanjali Group.

      Delete
  13. Dear Maam, what would be the fair value of Patanjali?

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thank you so much madam. Need your advice on booking profit strategy for a stock which is an excellent dividend player like ITC. Should we follow the same approach of selling 50% once stock returns 100% ? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We book the profit @100% return because our allocation is on higher side 10-20%.

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    2. What if someone is having allocation of 2-5% in each stock?

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    3. Portfolio with 35 -50 stocks will give average return around 8 -12% annual return in good positive market.

      Quantity of shares matter most than number of stocks in portfolio. Scattered portfolio will never allow to grow your investment. Even if you find some multi-bagger stock but due low quantity and it can not make any significant difference to overall portfolio.

      Delete
  15. Madam, we are very thankful to your selfless service to small investors.

    1. We are unbelievable today's upmovie of Raymonds@ 19% on single day.

    2. What is the reason behind this upmove.

    3. Can we partial profit booking @ 1800 to 2000 as you suggested earlier on blog or wait for more upside from this level.

    4. We can expect this can more wealth create more than Deepak nitrate and Deepak fertiliser.

    🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏🙏

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Market is expecting better results in future from all verticals.You may book some small partial profit around Rs 2000 and celebrate it with your family.
      Raymond is still under valued at cmp and have lot of growth potential in future.

      Delete
  16. Respected Dollyji
    Thank you for recommending a good stock.
    We are all thankful for your selfless service.
    God bless you and your family.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Thanks many for new stock recommendation.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Mam, I am already holding some qty of Patanjali bought at ₹1340.
    After your recommendation I will buy more.
    Is there any possible downside in near time for price averaging?

    ReplyDelete
  19. Thanks again Mam for new recomendation,liquidity is more here will get enough time and number of times in buy range helps on fund arrangement.

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  20. Thank you very much Madam.God Bless you and your Family.

    ReplyDelete
  21. Great Mam. Thanks for your new recommendation. Today Raymond is on fire. Hoding 400 shares @456 since your recommendation. Good bless you.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Thank you very much for new stock recommendation madam

    ReplyDelete
  23. Mam, Please share your view on Sheetal Cool Products and Max India

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  24. Thank you very much Ma'am. God bless you and your family

    ReplyDelete
  25. Dear Maam, Promoters are still holding 80% stake. Is it true? If yes, Dont they have to bring it down to 75%.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, promoters stake holding is 80.8% and promoters will bring it down to 75%

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    2. Madam, baba ramdev had recently at Zee business in a interview said they will bring FPO by December end. Earlier when price was 850 around, they brought an IPO at 650. Now also is there any chances of such FPO ?

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    3. Still there is no official announcement by company.

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    4. Can Promoter holding be reduced by Right Issue also?

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  26. Dear mam, i am holding ABFRL since our blog recommendation.Can we expect better results and price appriciaton like Raymond in future

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If any stock not giving desired return than we must sell and reinvest again.

      Delete
  27. Hi Madam, GM. Can I still hold Raymond and us there a value unlock still?. Any chance of demerger?. It's already given 230%returns. Can I sell Raymond and buy patanjali foods

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no any update on demerger and stock is giving good return without demerger. Always need keep good performing stocks in the portfolio and sell other non performing stocks.

      Delete
  28. Thank you mam.
    Mam how do you calculate the fair value of the stock....what do we have to consider the factors to calculate the fair of the stock.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Brand value and asset replacement cost at current valuation.

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  29. Madamji, regarding Raymond Ltd, can we expect 2000 in a year? I want to book profit and celebrate once it reaches 2000

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    Replies
    1. No further target but you can hold until it is performing well.

      Delete
  30. Madam ji, also my comment abt ultramine is not seen. Is it good company, it alos holds 20% in thirumalai chemicals

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not tracking it. Promoters of both companies are same and having cross shareholding.

      Delete
  31. Dear madam, operating profit margin of patanjali is very low ( as seen on screener ) . Also, last quarter result is poor. Is OPM going to improve surely in the future. I'm asking because a huge product portfolio does not necessarily translate into great financial performance and profitability.
    Please clear this doubt ma'am.
    Regards and hearty thanks for Raymond.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It seams that you have not gone through investment rationale in this post and Q2 results.

      We buy the stocks based on future growth possibilities, not based on past performance. Stock is trading at deep discount due to these factors otherwise it will trade easily above Rs 3k. If you will read the Q2 result in detail then you will get the all idea about it.

      Delete
  32. Dear Maam, When will the Palm Oil Plantation Start to yield benefits?

    I understand it can generate a lot of profits. If you can please help clear our doubts.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Palm Plantation is already done on 60k hectare and it will start giving output in next 2-3 years. The company has taken palm plantation project on top priority after recent edible oil crises.

      Delete
  33. God bless everyone...
    Thanks alot and take care

    ReplyDelete
  34. Sir good afternoon, If verticals of company get listed separately, what happens to the main company in terms of growth, dose the main company still hold value and stock price grows as earlier or growth is moderated, similarly what will happen to pantanjal food once verticals get listed

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You have got some wrong information or misinterpreted . It is not related to Patanjali Foods Ltd but it is about listing of other Patanjali group companies Patanjali Ayurveda, Patanjali Medicine, Patanjali Wellness and Patanjali Lifestyle - in the next five years.

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  35. Thank you very much Ma'am for this 'Inevitable one'

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  36. What is the expected PAT for the next 2 yrs .What would the EPS be.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This is first quarter after acquiring entire food portfolio of Patanjali Ayurveda Ltd (PAL). In next one year it is expected that PAT and EPS will double because acquired foods business of PAL commands 16% operating margins with high sales contribution of ghee, juices, atta and honey. Nutraceutical and wellness business is also growing at good pace, it is having operating margins more than 20%.

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  37. Thank you for the prompt reply. So we maybe looking at PAT of approx 1600 cr and EPS of about 54 for next year ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes , it is very much possible in next one year.

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  38. Thanks many Madam for this company recommendation and detailed information

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  39. Hi Madam,

    Thanks for your new recommendation. Please can you help me in understanding the following points:

    1) Ruchi Soya was acquired by Patanjali at 4,300 cr and then they have launched the FPO of Rs.4,300 to dilute 19% holdings (they are still holding 81% post fpo). so in a way Patanjali acquired this company free of cost? Am i correct?

    2) Soon they will dilute the remaining 6% via FPO to bring down the promotor holding to 75%. Is there any posibility of offering fpo at a discount price like they did last time? If so, how it will affect the share price?

    3) Palm plantation is a great undertaking by the company. How long it will take to develop and fully functional?

    4) You didn't mentioned anything about the promotors or management of Patanjali. As a general public perception, patanjali is all in all about baba ramdev, one man show!

    Thanks,
    Mehul

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1) It require vision and courage to complete such acquisition. Patanjali Food is only first company gone for FPO after gone through Insolvency Resolution Process. It is not free of cost but lot of legal battle to snatch it out from the jaw of Adani Wilmer.

      Patanjali Group has transferred Rs 10000 + cr entire food portfolio for almost negligible of price of Rs 690 cr. You can imagine the value of food portfolio that it has achieved sales of Rs 2400 crores with EBIT of Rs 611 crores in single quarter Q2.

      2) Still there is no official announcement by company.

      3) Palm Plantation is already done on 60k hectare and it will start giving good output in next 2-3 years. Palm Plantation is continuous process.
      4) Promoters are having successful proven track record , they have transformed 100 crore Patanjali Group into Rs 100000 cr in last 10 years. Extremely strong network of 5 lakh retail outlet. Negligible advertisement cost for Patanjali products. Baba Ramdev Ji is not shareholder of the company but he is non-executive director and brand ambassador of the company.

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    2. Thank you m'am for your response. this really helps!

      Delete
  40. thank you ma'am for recommending another gem of a company; 'key products comparison and competition ' image shared in the blog says it all about it presence and huge growth prospects. thanks a ton 🙏

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  41. Mam, please share your view on rushil decor & jsw ispat

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  42. Respected Madam, Thank you so much for recommending such a wonderful stock. However, I do not have funds to invest now except selling the following stocks in my PF.
    1) Akshar Chemical FOC shares 5%
    2) Jubiliant Industries FOC shares 5%
    3) ASERL 8% ( didnt book profits in this due to expecting more upside in this stock)
    4) Nandan Denim Ltd. 5%

    I want to exit these stocks and Invest in Suraj Products and/Or Pathanjali Foods. Please guide me on this madam and I express my sincere gratitude from the bottom of my heart for your selfless service to the thousands of retails investors like me.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can exit all non performing stocks and reinvest again in the stocks which are trading within 15% from suggested price. All active stocks are good in their sector / segment so you can invest according your choice.

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  43. Thanks a lot for new Stock Ma'am, Iam holding Sterling Wilson Solar @ the price of 418₹ with long term view, Pls advice for hold or exit, if positive views pls advice time frame and target, Thanks a lot

    ReplyDelete
  44. Dear Madam, Currently I am holding blog suggested stocks in Resident demat account but as a NRI I want to transfer these shares to NRO demat account. Can I able transfer these shares to NRO demat or sell shares in Resident ac and buy in NRO demat ac? Please advice Mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Your broker can give you exact details about it.

      I think stocks from resident demat account can not be transferred to NRE / NRO demat account

      Delete
  45. Mam are u tracking , iol chemical and sequent scientific?

    ReplyDelete
  46. Thanks mam, we could buy at the recommended price. Thanks again for making sure these punters aren't able to manipulate stock by either volumes or giving sector name in advance

    ReplyDelete
  47. Madam can I hold ab capital ? Average buying price 150.

    ReplyDelete
  48. Hi Rajeev sir,
    Are you tracking IDFC First Bank?
    Vidyanathan is key person and bank has multiplied market cap in short span approximately 5x and increasing retail loan book as promised and focusing on key other aspects.
    Is it good bet for long term, kind of multibagger?
    Please provide your opinion or suggestion.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  49. Hello Ma'am, thanks for sharing this valuable pick. Allocated 10% capital at recommended price for long term. Thanks again

    ReplyDelete
  50. Madam, please throw some light on latest developments of Dhunseri tea, aquasation of ~ 300 acres of tea estate @ 109cr, after that production enhanced to 65 lac ton to 132 lac ton w.e.f. 20 Nov 2022, howmuch profit will gain after this developments.

    I have 200 qty since recommendation @ 134 adjustment after bonus.

    Can i hold or sell on rise.

    Suggest accordingly suitable actions please. Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, need to sell non performing stocks and reinvest.

      Delete
  51. madam, why is kamdhenu going up so much? is there some good change happening in the company? it time to sell?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. So that you can get multi-bagger return on your investment.
      Sales and profit improving
      Always need keep good performing stocks in the portfolio.

      Delete
  52. Dear Madam, Do following shares fall into non performing category..
    1. Add-Shop
    2 Aksharchem (Holding FOC)
    3. ASIAN Energy

    Thank you so much .





    ?
    1. Add-Shop
    2. Aksharchem ( Holding FOC)
    3. Asian Energy

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The stock which fails to give 100% return in 3 years are coming into the category of non performing stocks.

      Delete
  53. Hello madam, psu banks are showing good upside movement, is it sustainable and based on fundamentals?

    ReplyDelete
  54. Hi Madam, In recent quarter result , Oils and vanaspathi business segment made loss due to reasons like Russia war which is around 470 cr. But same quarter during last year it made 200 cr profit. Combinely we can see 650 cr difference in profit. As market situation is normal now, can we expect this profit from Oils and vanaspathi business segment in up coming quarters ..? which can take profits close to 700 cr around per quarter.

    ReplyDelete
  55. Yes, incoming quarters we can expect these numbers.

    ReplyDelete
  56. Madam both in gls and patanjali promotors have to reduce their stack in company, won't it create pressure on share price?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They will not sell in open market but it will be OFS or preferential allotment to private equity or public investors.

      Delete
  57. Mam, What will be approx timings of Next 4 stocks of 2023?
    Just asking for fund allocation planning

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most probably in March, June, September and December

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    2. Madam this new pick is high price.. Can u suggest us a new stock with reasonable price

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    3. Our investment is based on % return, no need to afraid from stock price. Generally we go for stocks below Rs 500 but Patanjali was exceptional case.

      Delete
  58. Hi Madam, Business like Raymond which has different segments of business and real estate, engineering business commands how much P/E ratio ..?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Real esate and Engineering business will have also similar P/E ratio at par with respective industry.

      Delete
  59. Respected Dollyji

    Can I add more stocks of Jubiliant Ingrevia at this price?
    Please advice.Regards.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can buy it within 15% from suggest price .

      Delete
  60. madam is the same promotors which had led Ruchi Soya into Insolvency Resolution Process (2017-2020) with huge debt of Rs 4350 crores.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No previous promoters were different now it is acquired by Patanjali group

      Delete
  61. Mam,
    How much yearly Profit we can expect from Palm oil business of Patanjali Foods after 2 to 3 yrs going forward.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. it will add around Rs 300 - 400 crores profit along with raw material security free from price fluctuation

      Delete
  62. Please go and recommend any stock irrespective of value as long as you feel % of return is going to be more. The investor can always buy a single share …

    ReplyDelete
  63. Hi maam, wanted your advice if you track 1)Automotive stamping and assemblies ltd
    2) Indocount industries.
    Its only for my purpose of learning if i can try and also analyze future multibaggers, just trying to learn.Kindly give your feed back.thankyou and regards.

    ReplyDelete
  64. Madam, what is reson behind the continuos down trend after rights issue on "ADD SHOP".

    2. Any specific reason the promoters aren't participated in rights issue.

    3. I hold 3000 qty @ 70 after sold a small portion.

    Please suggest accordingly suitable action. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Always buy within 15% from suggested price and book profit around 100% and keep the free of cost shares for long term. Those who are holding free of cost share Can exit anytime because still they are in profit.

      I have replied it in several comment but it is not possible to give every person exit signal or call individually.

      Delete
  65. Dear Mam, Thank you for ur recos. Pls do share ur insights reg Pondy oxides. I listened to their MD interview in Zee...He sounded positive on expansion in to Aluminium and Plastic recycling division.
    Wr
    Gajendrakumar

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it is good growing company, you may continue to hold free of cost share but fresh buying is not advisable.

      Delete
  66. Madam please Suggest any New stock when it's good opportunity not based on time... Please 🙏

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold free of cost share without boundation of anytime limit

      Delete
  67. Than you madam, asrl stock is correcting.the promoters have reduced stake.do you recommend buying now at cmp?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It has already given 100% Returns so it is not advisable to buy it again

      Delete
  68. Madam ji, i am noticing couple of things:
    1. Dai-ichi karkaria had positive EBIDTA in Q2 after so many quarters.
    2. Company today received some insurance claim.
    3. Their new plant is set up and trial production will be dispatched in few weeks.

    Don't you think now our patience will be rewarded and we should buy it in truckloads ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes we expect multibagger return from it but our first condition is to get 100% return within 3 years to stay any stock in our portfolio for longer period.

      Delete
    2. We have just completed 1.5 year and i am hopeful and 20% invested from the day one.

      Either we will get 100% in remaining 1.5 year or we will get new learning chapter... To me both valued equally

      Delete
  69. Madam what is ur view on demerger of deepak fertilizer??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is just demerger and merger of subsidiary companies and there is no effect or impact on shareholding or to shareholders

      Delete
  70. Deepak Fertilisers to demerge its mining chemicals & fertiliser businesses

    https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/deepak-fertilisers-to-demerge-its-mining-chemicals-fertiliser-businesses-9712841.html

    Mam, can we keep the demerger company stock(ming chemicals) as well ? Please share ur opinion...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is just to simplify the company structure by separating TAN business and crop nutrition business under separate subsidiaries.

      Delete
  71. Deepak Fertilisers on December 15 announced the demerger of its mining chemicals and fertiliser businesses. The move will help provide focused leadership, simplify the structure, and add to the growth potential.

    The restructuring will be done in line with the company's strategic shift from commodity to specialty, the company said in an exchange filing.

    The board of directors of Smartchem Technologies Limited (STL) -- a wholly owned subsidiary of Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited (DFPCL) – had in its meeting held on December 14 approved the corporate restructuring plan of its companies.

    This included the demerger of the TAN Business (Mining Chemicals) from STL to Deepak Mining Services Private Limited (DMSPL), a wholly owned subsidiary of Deepak Fertilisers and Petrochemicals Corporation Limited (DFPCL); and the amalgamation of Mahadhan Farm Technologies Private Limited (MFTPL), being a wholly owned subsidiary of STL, with STL.

    Sailesh C Mehta, Chairman & Managing Director said, "The proposed corporate restructuring shall considerably help create strong independent business platforms within the larger DFPCL brand umbrella, hence enhancing stakeholders' value over time."

    Mehta explained that DFPCL Group's strategy used to primarily focus on production, cost optimization, capacity utilisation, and efficiency improvement. However, after extensive deliberation to deliver an outward consumer focus, a specified ‘Transformation Strategy' with the following fundamental drivers was executed:
    a) Focus on Customised Speciality in place of Commodity
    b) Move from Volume focus to Value/Premium End-User Focus
    c) Shift from Competition Pricing to Value Pricing
    "This radical shift in strategy was deemed necessary to significantly improve customer experience, enhance market share, and build a sustainable brand," he said.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. main purpose of this scheme

      a. Simplification of Corporate Structure: Reduction of multiple entities carrying on similar businesses simplifies the group corporate structure
      b. Economies of Scale: Strengthening customer service, distribution network, overall economies of scale for all the business verticals (including reduction of overhead / administrative costs)

      Delete
  72. Reliance has made its entry into FMCG. Will this impact Patanjali / Adani wilmar and other FMCG

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No impact because Reliance is already in retail for long time but it will help these companies

      Delete
  73. Mam, how share holders of Deepak Fertilizer will be benefited with upcoming demerger?
    Regards
    Subhasis Sur

    ReplyDelete
    Replies

    1. It is just demerger and merger of subsidiary companies and there is no effect or impact on shareholding or to shareholders

      Delete
  74. Mam, Please guide on some details about Deepak fert Demerger.It's Benefits, Listing etc

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. there is no listing of any company because
      It is just demerger and merger of subsidiary companies and there is no effect or impact on shareholding or to shareholders

      Delete
  75. Hi madam, demerger of Deepak fertilizer, is if benifit for the stake holders, do we need to hold , please share your thoughts thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. main purpose of this scheme

      a. Simplification of Corporate Structure: Reduction of multiple entities carrying on similar businesses simplifies the group corporate structure
      b. Economies of Scale: Strengthening customer service, distribution network, overall economies of scale for all the business verticals (including reduction of overhead / administrative costs)

      There will not be listing of any resulting company

      Delete
  76. Dear Maam, There is news of Demerger in Deepak Ferrtilizer. Can you please give your views on the same. Usually this leads to value unlocking.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It will benefit the company and its shareholders in the long run

      The main purpose of this scheme

      a. Simplification of Corporate Structure: Reduction of multiple entities carrying on similar businesses simplifies the group corporate structure
      b. Economies of Scale: Strengthening customer service, distribution network, overall economies of scale for all the business verticals (including reduction of overhead / administrative costs)

      There will not be listing of any resulting company

      Delete
  77. Deepak Fertilizer:
    Demerger of TAN/Mining Chemicals from STL to DMSPL and amalgamation of MFTPL with STL.
    What is the IMPACT?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies

    1. It is just demerger and merger of subsidiary companies and there is no effect or impact on shareholding or to shareholders


      The main purpose of this scheme

      a. Simplification of Corporate Structure: Reduction of multiple entities carrying on similar businesses simplifies the group corporate structure
      b. Economies of Scale: Strengthening customer service, distribution network, overall economies of scale for all the business verticals (including reduction of overhead / administrative costs)

      There will not be listing of any resulting company

      Delete
  78. Madam, dai-ichi-karkare recd insurance claim of Rs. 2,85,02,542/-, is it final settlement or any more settlement is left.

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  79. ASRL ADD-Shop:
    Madam has given enough hints/comments to exit (without creating panic selling) like Omkar & Lasa.

    ASRL: Already reached double, but Promoter holding is reduced to 36%. Today Mkt P: 61.75, more than Rights price 54. Period: 1 yr over (Oct-2021).

    Patanjali: Today Mkt Price: 1215 (Rec Price: 1272), Promoter holding: 80%, Period: 3 more yrs

    1. Those who sold 50% on 100% gain may sell remaining 50% and buy Patanjali below 1272.

    2. Those who missed to sell earlier at Double, even if in loss now, may book loss and buy Patanjali below 1272.

    Sell all ASRL & buy PATANJALI@low. This is MY VIEW.

    ReplyDelete
  80. Mam somthing on Raymond Real Estate business

    Their quarterly revenue run rate 250cr which is 1000cr for year

    Margin 25% - 250cr for year
    Less 35% tax - 87cr
    PAT - 163cr

    No. Of shares outstanding - 6.67cr
    EPS - approx 25
    Avg PE multiple 40 for real estate sector

    Approx per share value of Real Estate business - 1000 Rupees

    Do you think this is reasonable basis current earning.
    Also they are at just inflection point in real estate business , lots more land available for development and JDA also not part of this revenue.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The revenue and profit from real estate business will continue to grow in future, stock prices will also follow the earnings growth.

      Delete
  81. Madam, Is it good time to book some more profit by selling FOC Kamdhenu shares? Also, there is no news about listing date of Kamdhenu Venture shares. Any idea about the time frame?
    Will share holders of Kamdhenu Ltd get opportunity to invest in convertible notes that will get converted to shares at Rs 141 per share.

    Thank you so much for your help and guidance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Generally it took 30-45 Days to list the resulting company after completion of demerger process. Kamdhenu Ltd shareholders are already entitled to get Kamdhenu paint share

      Delete
    2. Mam shares are showing in Dmat account but no trading/ listing yet

      Delete
    3. Company will give update on trading and listing date

      Delete
  82. Dear Ma'am, do you track Rexnord Electronics. How do you see the business model of the company and is it the CMP price to take entry?

    Thank you madam

    ReplyDelete
  83. Respected Madam..Patanjali foods witnessing price pressure...Do you see any problem..can we accumulate gradually..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not only Patanjali but Sensex index corrected more than 2000 points in last two weeks

      Delete
  84. Dear Mam, any bad news on Deepak fertilizer, continuosly downward.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no bad news but complete market is correcting and Sensex index corrected more than 2000 points in last two weeks

      Delete
  85. Hi Mam, Deepak fertilizer is falling post demerger news, looks like market isn’t taking it positively. Any reason why?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no issue with demerger but complete market is correcting and Sensex index corrected more than 2000 points in last two weeks

      Delete
    2. Thanks Mam. it is surprising that sensex is corrected only 3-4% whereas deepak fertilizer is down by 25%

      Delete
    3. It is not Sensex stock but it is midcap stock and most of the mid cap stock corrected 4- 5% in last three four days, you have not noticed that several stocks corrected more than Deepak fertilizer

      Delete
  86. Deepak Fert: 720 from 800+ in 2 days.
    Any reason? Demerger misunderstanding?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is inline with market correction because market also corrected 800 point in last 2 days

      Delete
  87. Repecred madam, Can u please suggest one stock which we can hold lifetime or next 25 years..which can grow at 24 % consistantly..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can hold any stock for longer term based on its performance for example you may continue to hold TCI , TCI Express, Deepak fertilizer , Deepak nitrate , Raymond, Insecticide etc.

      Delete
  88. Hello Rajiv sir, what's wrong with Deepak fertilizer? How's the outlook? Your view point on this pls, regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no changing Outlook or it's fundamental. The correction is inline with market collection because market is also correcting very severely from last few weeks

      Delete
  89. Madam Suraj products Ltd shares are trading between Rs 129 to 133 can we.buy it

    ReplyDelete
  90. Looks like, market fall is inline with covid return in China and few cases in India. A good opportunity to buy all these recommended stocks in the dip?

    ReplyDelete
  91. Dear Madam, is it advisable to enter Meghmani Organics in CMP?

    ReplyDelete
  92. Sir SEBI has penalized 2 person for insider trading in Deepak fertilizer, request Your comments on it, will it impact the stock

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No impact, it is very old issue happened in 2020

      Delete
  93. Mam, Deepak Fertilizers has come down. are there adversities to be considered or just in line with market and can be ignore as long term story intact

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depends upon person to person. It is opportunity for investor and grave for coward

      Delete
  94. Dear Madam, appreciation in arithmetical progression that too very slow and wealth being eroded in geometrical progression.
    What's wrong with the market.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Time to time market always give good opportunity to investors, it is very normal trend for market progression

      Delete
  95. Respected madam..Patanjali shows 100 % delivery quantity in Bse from last 1 week ...
    But Jubilant ingrevia shows 60 % is Deliverable quantity...
    Even 100 % delivery in Patanjali shows price correction ..But jubi.ingrevia is so strong..

    Is this right way of judging price stability...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Patanjali is trading in trade to trade segment due to this reason delivery is 100%. There is no relation between delivery percentage and price correction

      Delete
  96. Mam, Deepak Nitrite and Deepak Fert are falling so fast. Today Deepak Nitrite touched 1888.
    What is issue with DN?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no issue but it is due to severe market correction. There are hundreds of stocks which are corrected more than these stocks.

      Delete
  97. Hi Madam Ji,

    Can I do fresh buy at current price 643rs and slowly accumulate more if price comes below 600rs at Deepak Fertilizers as you said this is fundamentally strong and have future growth.

    I was not member in your blog when you recommended this stock for 1st time so shall I use current market correction to buy this ?

    Thank you in advance
    Rajesh T

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is not advisable to buy any stock above 15% from suggested price. You can buy the stocks which are still trading within 15% from suggested price

      Delete
  98. Mam, Can we invest in Deepak fertilizer at current level since it's expected to cross 2000 in 3 yrs

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is not advisable to buy any stock above 15% from suggested price. You can buy the stocks which are still trading within 15% from suggested price

      Delete
  99. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete