Tuesday, December 1, 2015

Q2 RESULTS UPDATE




















Pondy Oxides & Chemicals



Company has maintained the OPM  over 6% from last 3 quarters which is very good sign. Depreciation cost is higher due to new plant asset with full book value. There is significant improvement in ROE in the first half of the year. Overall results are good and performance is improving. Hold the stock for better gain in 1-2 years.


Waterbase


Company has posted very good results with revenue growth 21% and PAT growth 50% YoY for Q2. Management has given detailed presentation on future guidance on business and merger of PFL. It is available on company web and BSE announcement on 26 Nov 2015. Hold and further add the stock during market correction for 2-3 year investment plan.

Xpro India

Company has posted negative results and poor performance in all business segment due unfavorable conditions. Even considering all negative factors still this company is fully capable to show excellent performance in future. Hold and add further if it slide near 40.

Dhunseri Tea & Industries

DTIL has posted very good results and OPM is above 40% for Q2. Its P/E ratio and dividend yield is best in Tea / Coffee  sector. Company is going to enter in FMCG with 'LAL GHORA' brand and its products will be marketed initially in Rajasthan where its tea brands have very good reputation. It is still value buy at CMP and hold for multiple gain in 2-3 years.  

Kothari Petrochem

Company has posted good results for Q2. Even though significant reduction in top line but very good improvement in OPM and it able to post better results YoY for Q2. Need to hold it for long term for multiple gain.

Technocraft Industries (India)

Top line growth remain flat for Q2 but significant growth in OPM and PAT. Proposal for buy back of 52L shares is good for retail investors. Company is generating good consistent profit and completed the expansion and acquisition. Utilization of free cash reserve for buy back of share is good option to increase EPS and dividend. It is still value buy at CMP and hold for decent gain in 1-2 years.     

JK Agri Genetics

Company has posted poor numbers similar other seed and pesticide companies due to unfavorable condition. It can give good results with improvement in agri sector. Hold for long term.

Chemfab Alkalies

Company has posted flat results in top and bottom line. Being low beta defensive stock very less movement in either side but it will give stability and option to buy good stock in adverse falling market. It was suggested just before deep market correction on 24 Aug to keep the portfolio stable. Hold for better gain in 2-3 years.


Next Stock Suggestion 



It will be posted on 04.12.2015 (Friday) after market hours.

Several readers are asking the stock clues and some readers are not in favor of posting the stock clues in blog comments. We have to maintain trust and fairness among all blog members. To avoid any foul play by punters, we should refrain posting comments for further clues on blog or social media.

You can test your stock finding ability with given points only. 

1. Company is paying dividend regularly from last 10 years.
2. Consistent growth in top line from last 10 years.
3. Company represent  in the list of top 10 in its segment.
4. Company has posted more than 100% growth (YoY) in bottom line.
5. Stock is trading in two digit.

Please note that any comments  related  further stock clue will not be entertained before posting above stock in this blog. If you able to find above stock than you can buy it without disclosing to anyone. 



147 comments:

  1. Thanks Dolly ma'am, do you track Dhunseri Petro as well. Please advice on it.
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks Ma'm for the update. god bless u!!!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Dear Dolly Mam, Thanks for the Q2 results update.

    I have a general question on pantaloon fashion & retail (PFRL) merger plans.
    Why Aditya Birla group is acquiring the loss making and debt ridden PFRL?
    What is the benefit AB group is getting from this merger ? All the powerful brands (Allen Solly, Louis Philippe, Van Huesen etc,,) are with AB group.

    Need your help to understand.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Merger will add synergy to the business. AB Nuvo is market leader in branded menswear and PFRL is market leader in branded womenswear and retail outlet across india

      Delete
  4. Hi Dolly Mam, Can you please share your view on the following stocks for long term (5yrs) investment ?
    1. Gati @ 175/-
    2. Kanpur Plastipacks @ 160/-
    3. Century plyboards @ 190/-

    Please share your view with respect to management, business & valuation point of view.

    Thanks & Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati is very good stock for long term investment and good management.

      Not tracking other stocks

      Delete
  5. Dear Mam, In your previous comments, you had shown some concern on large equity base for companies like Essel propack & PFRL post merger even though there earnings will be decent.

    But for PFRL, after meger the net profit will also grow substantially along with equity base and in such situation, does that really matter? Is my understanding correct Mam?

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  6. It depend sales turnover, EPS and dividend.

    ReplyDelete
  7. mam ..requesting you to look into my email..thank you

    ReplyDelete
  8. I am your follower for last few years and you again showed your class and excellent way of posting results. I feel it is lifetime opportunity for me to read and follow your blog. I already invested 5L and bought waterbase, POCL and Kothari at your recommended price and will follow your advise. I will buy more when i have more money.

    Thanks
    Siva

    ReplyDelete
  9. Ma'am,

    Thank you for the updates.
    What are your views on below stocks for long term?
    Triveni Turbine
    Gabriel India
    Suprajit Engineering
    Mirza International

    ReplyDelete
  10. Mam Avanti MD in a interview with ETNOW has given very attractive number of 2400 cr revenue im FY-16 and PAT 200 cr and 300 Cr PAT in FY-17 which seems to achievable with expansion plans they are doing. If the above number are achieved can we see this stock trading in 5 digits

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for investment. Liquidity has increased due to stock split. You can add during market correction, prefer WATERBASE over Avanti

      Delete
    2. Ma'am why Avanti over waterbase. I went through annual reports for both and both seem to have similar growth plans. Also, Avanti is trading at a lower P/E as compared to waterbase. It is also giving out healthy dividends.
      I understand you have position in both.

      Delete
  11. Thank you very much Mam, for your kind reply to all my queries.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  12. God bless you mam!!!
    Can you please share your thoughts on Umang Dairies?

    Thanks,
    Pravin

    ReplyDelete
  13. Hi, ur view on manali petrochemicals and DCM shriram ltd?

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hi, Do you think Avanti Feeds is value buy at current price. Do you still prefer waterbase over Avanti

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Avanti is good stock for investment but WATERBASE still can give better return than Avanti.

      Delete
    2. Your views on mic ,jet airways and sintex

      Delete
  15. Your views on PDS multinational?

    ReplyDelete
  16. Mam, salute to your knowledge n confidence

    ReplyDelete
  17. What is your view on Sugar stocks. Do you think this segment will turnaround this year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sugar sector still struggling, hopefully condition will improve in coming months.

      Delete
  18. What is you view on Dr lal path lab and alkem IPO ?

    ReplyDelete
  19. Hello mam,
    A big salute n a bigger thanks to ur dedication towards helping small investor.....Stock shortlisting techniques is the icing on the cake.Hope 2 receive more of ur wisdom in coming days.

    Thanks a lot once again.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Mam, am at a loss of 30% with respect to kaveri seeds. Now the stock at below 50% yer high. Can i average it or else switch over to dhunseri tea.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. All seed and pesticide stocks has fallen due to unfavorable business condition ( poor rain and price capping on high margin seeds). Next good quarter for these companies will be Q1 2016 -17. DTIL is better option in current situation.

      Delete
  21. Dear Mam, JK Agri Genetic is up only ~11% from your recommended price at CMP, but still you didn't suggested buy. What is the reason Mam?

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. All seed and pesticide stocks has fallen due to unfavorable business conditions ( poor rainfall and price capping on high margin seeds). Next good quarter for these companies will be Q1 2016 -17.

      Delete
  22. Dear Dolly Mam,

    Please help me to understand on following queries.

    1. How do you assess the management quality particularly for small cap companies where not much public information is available?

    2 Do you check for capital allocation & capital efficiency (ROE/ROCE) while choosing the companies for investment?

    Regards,
    Venu.
    .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It requires experience and knowledge to decode the actions of management, approach and contacts for verification. These skills will naturally get developed with experience and interest in the subject.

      It is good to know the past data of any company but stock selection should be done based on future growth of business.

      Delete
    2. Thanks mam.. this was something which I still cant figure out. Your Views on vedanta merger with cairn? i feel its on retail investor friendly.
      Do you feel vedanta is highly undervalued now. I am still expecting bad qtrs ahead. Your views pls...
      Regards,
      Vinay

      Delete
  23. Thank u ma'am....for ur patience and hard work u r putting for us :) regards

    ReplyDelete
  24. Thanks mam for your excellent work.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Hi Dolly,

    What's your view on speciality chemical industry in next 5 years? Suggest if you identified any in this area.

    Regards,
    Ram

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good time ahead for specialty chemical industry. Camlin Fine is good option for long term investment

      Delete
  26. Madam,

    What is your view on

    Panyam Cements & Mineral Industries Ltd

    ReplyDelete
  27. Madam please suggest when we buy the JK Agri Genitech I am sold the 100 stock @ 530 want to again buy same. buy at cmp level around 490-500 or below 450/400 level and is it possible trade b/w 400-450 range next couple of months.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. All seed and pesticide stocks has fallen due to unfavorable business conditions ( poor rainfall and price capping on high margin seeds). Next good quarter for these companies will be Q1 2016 -17.

      Delete
  28. Dear Mam
    I am holding 20000 shares of RMCL at 22 , do you track this company or if you can guide it will be great help,
    I am your big fan
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking RMCL,

      I have just seen its fundamentals, it is not convincing to buy or hold.

      Delete
  29. Hi, ur view on Aro granite and arrow textiles?

    ReplyDelete
  30. Hi Maam.

    I am an ardent follower of you. I read a lot about your multi bagger investments in the market and also so kind of you to share the gems with your followers.

    I have a question on Umang Diaries and Heritage Foods. Can I enter those on the current levels? Which one you prefer most?

    Viswa

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are good for investment. Prefer Umang because it is in early stage of growth

      Delete
  31. Dear Dolly Mam, What is your view on Shemaroo Entertainment at CMP (280/-)? Do you recommend for long term buying and what kind of returns we can expect in 3yrs time?

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Madam ur views on nectar life science.... had hit52 week high

    ReplyDelete
  33. Dear Mam,
    As a novice investor I m following your blog regularly. I have bought some of ur recom and holding for long term. My question is how to manage money. If I want to invest 5 lk how much should i invest now and how many no of scripts should i maintain? if some stocks reach the lvl of target should i book fully of take the 50% out and invest in another potential stock? You have already told to collect in correction only, that I m following. If u can give your mail Id I can send my port folio for analysis
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depends upon person to person, investment and risk taking capacity, duration of investment. Buy early buy low does not required market correction, it for them who try to chase the stock at high price. You can send detail on dolly1970.khanna@gmail.com

      Delete
  34. Madam, Whats your opinion on Tree House Education and Financial Technologies?

    ReplyDelete
  35. Mam, ur views on geecee ventures and butterfly gandhimathi appliances please. If these are good stocks , which levels should I enter into these?
    Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Butterfly is good stock for investment , it moved up recently still you can invest.

      Not tracking other stock

      Delete
  36. Dear Dolly Mam, Your views on Godavari Drugs at Rs 65/- ? Is it worth investing for long term ? Also Can I buy Kaveri Seeds @ 420/-? Please advise.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. As replied above All seed and pesticide stocks has fallen due to unfavorable business conditions ( poor rainfall and price capping on high margin seeds). Next good quarter for these companies will be Q1 2016 -17.
      it is good stock for investment but there is chance of little bit more correction , but in small quantities.

      Not tracking other stock

      Delete
  37. Dear Mam, Your view on Websol Energy which is into solar cell/module manufacturing. Since Modi's govt is pushing for solar/wind power, looks like this company may benificiary of it.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  38. Maam, am holding kothari 17k shares at 10 since 2005. can i expect a price of 100 in 2 years.

    ReplyDelete
  39. Dear Madam,

    I have been following your blog for some time. It is very valuable for investors. Thank you for all your efforts in this regard. May ask you for your view on GVK power and infrastructure ? Can we buy it at the current market price ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is not right time to invest in steel and power sector. There are better option like Tata Power, JSW power, Reliance Power and Reliance Infra than GVK

      Delete
  40. Hello mam thanks so much for your valuable information mam i have all companies which you reccomand for us except jk agri mam eager to waiting for next reccomandation thanks so much

    ReplyDelete
  41. Dear Mam, Your view on Patels Airtemp @ 160/- for long term investment.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  42. hi mam, can we buy Kothari at CMP @ 23 ?

    ReplyDelete
  43. Dear mam
    I'm holding avanti feeds.Can this eccesive rainfall effect the share price?
    Awaiting your reply

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, excessive rain has effect on shrimp farming business

      Delete
  44. Dolly Ji,
    Your efforts and guidance to novice investors is deeply appreciated. Thanks you so much for sharing your expert views. May god bless you with all that you need.

    ReplyDelete
  45. Mam is it right time to buy xpro india at cmp 52/- pl sugguest.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can buy for long term only. It was trading well below 50 for long time. Always try to buy any stock at lower price.

      Delete
  46. Mam
    Any view on High ground , and prima plastic
    Thx

    ReplyDelete
  47. ur view on fairdeal filaments?

    ReplyDelete
  48. Dolly Mam,
    Please need your valuable views on below stocks
    1. Bilcare
    2. Websol Energy
    3. Rajoo Engineering

    ReplyDelete
  49. Mam,

    Is it suggestible to buy pitti laminations?

    Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
  50. Dear Dolly Mam, Your view on SKM egg products @ 165/- for 3 years of investment? Can we expect good return?

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  51. Dear Mam, Your view on Suzlon Energy. Sun Pharma's Dilip Shangvi has invested in this company and looks like a turn around story.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  52. Hi mam.can huge rain fall affect the overall profitability of waterbase? And ur view on genus paper. Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it will affect on the profitability of WATERBASE and Avanti feeds upto certain extent

      Delete
  53. Mam please explain in detail with example, what does 100% yoy growth in profits mean.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yearly net profit and EPS 2015 is more than double of 2014

      Example : if 2 in 2014 than 4 in 2015

      Delete
  54. Your views on amtek auto ma'am?thanks

    ReplyDelete
  55. Your views on Maithan Alloys. Can it again reach pre bonus level?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Goog stock for investment , it will give very good return once steel sector start moving

      Delete
  56. Maam,

    What is your opinion on DCB Bank? It was in Motilal oswal's 100 bagger list and corrected from 140 to CP of 81 due to the aggressive expansion plans. Though they came down later, still the stock is trading at 52 week low.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it can give very good return in 3 - 4 years but need enough patience to face further fall

      Delete
  57. I hold IVP @60. should i continue to hold or switch to dtil or tiil

    ReplyDelete
  58. Hi mam,

    Whats your view on L&T finance, I have 3000 shrs @68, i want to continue SIP monthly 10000 for coming 10 yrs as it has proven track record parent ans good finance institutions like Bain,HDFC mutual fund deployed money on scrip. Is it good approach if i have patience and dont want money in short term, Please Advice

    ReplyDelete
  59. Hi, ur view on Nocil?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Madam is buying nocil at current lvl..stock target is 500 in 2 years

      Delete
  60. Dear Madam,

    Can you please share your views on Man Industries @ CMP ?

    Thanks,
    Vinay

    ReplyDelete
  61. Hi mam
    What is your take on bharat seats ltd at cmp....reasonable valuation,consistent div paying,maruti Suzuki(|)+Suzuki motors r promoters holding 30%,sarda motors holding 29 percent... rising sales n prominent automakers n indian railway is its client
    Even if u r nt tracking kindly check and give ur view mam.

    Thank u

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for investment but will move up once auto sector start performing consistently.

      Delete
  62. Dear Dollyji,
    Namaskar,
    Regarding Waterbase, I have following views, Please provide your valuable comments.
    1. Chennai is badly affected and the facilities of waterbase are also badly affected. The same is declared by the company on BSE site also. Such losses will be covered by Insurance. To re-establish the plant will be time consuming & high cost task.
    2. Company has also settled its Overdue amount with Canara Bank.
    Both above activities will adversely affect the profitability of the company in Q3 Results.
    I expect the price will have major negative impact on temporary basis for 1-2 months. In Such period, we can add the stock at lower levels.
    Please provide your opinion.
    Thanks & Best regards,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes excessive rain and flood will have adverse effect on shrimp farming . Avanti and Waterbase will have some impact. If these stocks will slide down than it will be good opportunity to add more.

      Delete
    2. Thanks for immediate reply.
      Regards,

      Delete
  63. New reco is one of bhansali engg or ivp, right? Both satisfy the hints you have mentioned.

    ReplyDelete
  64. Any view on Trident and anantraj.. They is buzz in market you have bought them both.

    ReplyDelete
  65. Any view on pioneer distrillers

    ReplyDelete
  66. Hi Dollyji
    Please give your view on Kanoria Chem & Ind at CMP.
    Regards
    Rahees

    ReplyDelete
  67. Thank you madam, there are articles that you are buying Sutlej Textiles. Is that true?
    Thanks for your help madame

    ReplyDelete
  68. Hi Dolly Ji,

    I have nearly 30 stocks of nearly 65 laks, I want to rebalance my portfolio. I am ok to exit even in losses but want to pick good new ones. Can I send my portfolio? If you can help please drop me email to ramesh004@yahoo.com from your email id, so I can send my portfolio.
    Thanks
    ramesh

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have received your mail. I will respond within 3-4 days

      Delete
  69. dear madam ji....

    what is your view in hfcl(19rs)is it good stock to invest

    ReplyDelete
  70. Hi, share ur view about NOCIL, is it value buy at this level?

    ReplyDelete
  71. Hi Dolly,

    Thanks lot for your wonderful blogs. Was going through the AR of Dhunseri Tea. No where found about the company getting into FMCG business through their LAL Ghora brand. Can you please share the link on this matter?

    The company plans to add more hectares under plantation over next 3 years time. Are there any other triggers than discussed above. Thanks.

    Best Regards,
    Abhishek Shah.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Recent announcement on 9th-Nov-2015 : BSE Dhunseri Tea- Outcome of Board Meeting

      Every year adding and replacing 3 -4% trees.
      Expansion of tea retail business in other states

      Delete
  72. madam your view on madhav marbles please

    ReplyDelete
  73. Hi mam,
    Do you track krebs biochem? If yes then how do you see the future of the company, I have read somewhere they have started factory operations 6 months back.
    Regards,
    Vinay

    ReplyDelete
  74. namaskar madam
    can you advice on bajaj electrical? as i purchased at 248

    ReplyDelete
  75. Hello Madam
    Your views on Ujaas Energy?

    ReplyDelete
  76. I am holding Prism @ 105 & Panyam @ 74 in cement sector. I hope these are good to hold or would you suggst some other stock?

    ReplyDelete