Chinese Economy
Chinese stock markets hit lower circuit twice in week and trading was suspended for rest of the day. It has created unrest among other Asian and World markets. Actually there are several reason for free fall of Chinese economy which are self created by China. Dumping low quality products at lower price around the world has eaten its internal structure like termite. This strategy will not last longer and it will lead into further deep trouble with exhaust of its resources. Most of the manufacturers in China are suffering and become inefficient without any growth. Now world has come to know about the reality of inflated Chines growth data. Recently World Bank has given forecast of China's GDP growth around 6.7 % but several economists suspect that actual growth rate might be much lower than 6 %.
Indian Economy
On the other hand India is growing steadily and strongly above 7% growth. Indian companies have strong sustainable infrastructure and GOI making policies to maintain fair margin and growth. Crude oil prices are major factor for budget deficit in the past. But this time it become most favorable factor for growth of Indian economy. Recovery of crude oil price in near future is not possible by seeing the tensions in the middle - east with involvement of Russia and Iran. North Korea has joined the party by test explosion of hydrogen bomb, it has caused serious concerns to South Korea and Japan. India is house of 20% of world population, it means for Indian companies there is huge market available in home and Indian companies having strong presence in south east, middle east and African countries. Nothing to worry until crude is trading below 80$/b. If we analyze the situation of Indian economy in relation with China than there is nothing to worry about it. It is temporary fluctuation similar to last year in August.
Recent market correction has given good opportunity to buy stock like DTIL and Technocraft at much lower level. Technocraft is corrected more due to buyback offer at 270. Hopefully it will start moving up after completion of buyback offer in next month.
Madam
ReplyDeleteThank you very much. It was indeed very helpful.
Given that Surana has already appreciated by almost 60% from your recommended level and I want to invest in one stock among DTIL, Technocraft and Surana, which one would be best from return prospective over next 3-4 years as per your opinion?
Warm Regards..
Above all stocks will give similar return in 3-4 years.
Deletesuperb analysis breaking it down for us small investors. thx our fears allayed
ReplyDeletedo you trade in F&0 mam. If not trading atleast do you hedge your positions in F&0.
ReplyDeleteI am not trading in FO or intraday.
DeleteThanks mam for making us aware of true facts. Really helpful article which will give peace of mind to all readers.
ReplyDeleteRegards
Nilesh Jagdale
Thank you very much for your comparison of strong and steady Indian economy with inflated chineese figures.Now I will add my exposure to equity markets considerably with my own conviction.Once again Thanks a lot madam for your guiding.
ReplyDeleteHi, ur view on Jamna Auto and DQ Entertainment?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteThanks for the Information ...........
ReplyDeleteWhat do you think how much will it fall further or shall we buy stocks on every big dip like if sensex fall 500 and more buy as we cannot guess the bottom or let it fall 1000/1500 and then buy??
ReplyDeleteNeed to buy only specific stocks in small quantities during market correction. There is no way find the bottom.
DeleteMam, Thanks for guiding us in difficult market times, it is really soothing to hear from u that eventually all will be OK in Indian markets..
ReplyDeleteAs per your guidance, i hv taken position in Kotari (2% PFA), TIIL (1%PFA), Pondy (1%PFA), Surana (3% PFA).. Was waiting for good entry price for Waterbase n DTIL, is cmp good to enter these 2 counters??
Also, I hv High Exposure (20%PFA) to SpiceJet, which I had enter at an average of 25/- 11months ago, should I hold or book profit??
Your views on Jubilant Life?
Thanks again for ur time n guidance..
I think u have made lot of Money :)
DeleteSorry not tracking Spice jet and Jubilant life. You can hold pharma stocks for better gain in future
DeleteThanks Mam for the wonderful analysis again...
ReplyDeleteThank you mam..
ReplyDeleteThanks for the post Ma'm...I will try to grab the opportunity in DTIL and Technocraft...Thanks
ReplyDeleteRegarding Technocraft, they announced new JV... will this be beneficial?
ReplyDeleteAlso, would China downturn give any impact on its revenues from China?
It good to increase the focus in marketing of garments by forming JV. Partner can manage it better up to retail level. It can grow faster and start generating profit.
DeleteSo DTIL will move after Q3 results?
ReplyDeleteIt already gone up from 230 to 350 in last 3 months.
DeleteDear Dollyji,
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot for such a wonderful analysis of recent free fall of Chinese Mkt. Great Job for readers.
Thanks & Best Regards,
Thank you Dolly Madam for your valuable and timely analysis on Indian Economy compared with with Chinese Economy. Its very helpful for investors like me.
ReplyDeleteThanks Dolly Mam for timely updating latest developments and guiding small investors like me.I pray to Almighty God for yours health, wealth, happiness and long life.No doubt you will go beyond level of warren buffet sir.
ReplyDeleteYou are diamond from inside.
Mam,
ReplyDeletei am holding shilpa medicare rs 90000 since 5months(3% loss) and also bharat gears rs 90000(2% loss).if i swap this money with technocraft and Dtil is it good option?
Yes you can swap it for long term investment
DeleteHi Abhishek,
DeleteBefore swapping just take a look back why you bought Shilpa medicare. M not sure on current valuations as I don't track closely but they are into cancer drug development. And future I mean long term 3-4 years looks really good because of the products they are into. I hope u r mitigating the risk by diversifying upto 16-18 stocks in the portfolio.
Regards,
Vinay
This comment has been removed by the author.
ReplyDeleteWhat does it mean Mam, I couldn't understand this tweet by Honorable minister. https://twitter.com/Swamy39/status/684996987008073728
ReplyDeleteIs it +ve or -ve Confused :(
Which ministry he is looking currently?
DeleteDear Mam kindly guide us on xpro india's prospects after recent correction.
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view. It can give good return in 2-3 years.
DeletePlease clearify about DTIL, whethere it is for Dhunseri Tea and Ind. Ltd OR Danlaw Technologies India Ltd. Thank You.
ReplyDeleteDTIL is Dhunseri Tea & Industries Ltd.
DeleteDTIL is NSE code for Dhunseri Tea and Ind. Ltd
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteHappy NEw Year wishes. Appreciate your service to the society to make money from investmenets. I have got two queries
1. I understand you don't track Suzlon. However, latest development is they have are entering into solar and you are aware DSA son's company is PV Power tech which has interest in solar space. Though they have huge debt they are into the rigt space at the right time. What is your thoughts on Suzlon energy?
2. Surana solar I have entered around 37. Can i shift my invetsments from Reliance industries to Surana? Please suggest.
As always appreciate your service to layman like me.
Debt is too huge to control in near future. Even if company will perform well than it will take at least 3-4 years to come under control. Promoter are raising the fund by diluting the equity. GOI is also giving preference to solar.
DeleteYou can invest in Surana Solar, Technocraft and DTIL. These stocks can give much better return than Reliance Ind.
Thanks mam for your prompt reply
DeleteThanks madam
ReplyDeleteWow Reading ur way of investing amzaed me......
ReplyDeleteThanx for sharing the information ....
God bless u
One thing i want to know can PSU banks create big money like I m holding SBBJ from 60 ... its right time to leave a fundamentally strong bank in downward trending of bank nifty.
Thanks
SBBJ is having very small equity base as compared to other major public sector banks. Nothing wrong with fundamentals of banking sector stocks but for time being it is non performing sector and some banks with increase in NPA has put further pressure on it.
DeletePersonally I don't like to invest in banking sector.
Is STI India a turnaround story ? Any view on sti India ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteDolly Mam ji, below are my feedback for next stock announcement
ReplyDelete1. Please suggest the stock late night without any announcement so that many of your blog followers who visit the site daily will get more opportunity to buy it.
2 . If you announce the date for stock suggestion, then please announce the stock during early market hours at one exact time like early morning when market opens, example 9.15 or 9.30. This will help many of your blog followers who r facing AMO placing issues due to their brokers and also as its early morning and at particular announced time, many on them won't be busy with their office work or everyone will wait for that announced time.
Please consider above points as I am also one of your followers who bought Surana Solar after 50% appreciation though I hold very small quantity in my portfolio just before ur suggestion.
I feel many punters r buying huge in preopen market of first few days of your suggestion which is causing for repeated UCs and many of your followers r getting chance after 3-4 UCs.
I fully agree with you. In fact, I posted the same thing in last post but didn't appear. Anyway, first fall AMO will not work as AMO will be tf to exchange at 9.15am and before that traders(punters) put buy order in pre open itself and that too in huge qty. I just wanted to buy 1000 shares and put order in pre open as well as AMO but didn't get execute because traders able to put becoz of better infrastructure. Earlier,Dolly mam used to give few hints and someone who can work hard and able to crack & maintaining the secrecy at the same time wwhat wrong in that??? Better than punters purchasing..I am bit disappointed....
DeleteI fully agree with you. In fact, I posted the same thing in last post but didn't appear. Anyway, first fall AMO will not work as AMO will be tf to exchange at 9.15am and before that traders(punters) put buy order in pre open itself and that too in huge qty. I just wanted to buy 1000 shares and put order in pre open as well as AMO but didn't get execute because traders able to put becoz of better infrastructure. Earlier,Dolly mam used to give few hints and someone who can work hard and able to crack & maintaining the secrecy at the same time wwhat wrong in that??? Better than punters purchasing..I am bit disappointed....
DeleteWell Noted
DeleteNext month will try for one of the above option without giving the date.
Hi,
DeleteActually to avoid punters game on stocks, no prior clue was started. Punters gets 4-5 days to rise it by 50%. So suddenly posting it over a weekend looks better to me.
Regards,
Vinay
I fully disagree to the above comments of adjusting the stock recommendation time, though I always get the chance of buying the stock on 3rd of 4th day. I really do not understand the problem of people not getting the stock.
Delete1) If we get 2 to 3 days of time after stock recommendation, it would be good to look at insights of the stock and think well before investing on the stocks.
2) Even if we buy around 30% to 40% above the recommended price, I still feel that, there is lot of juice in the stock in the horizon of 3 to 4 years.
3) Many of the stocks I bought after 30% to 40% increase and I am still happy to hold the same for longer horizon.
4)Lastly, if you are still wanted to increase your chances of getting the stock in the first 3 days time, then better you change your brokerage to the one suggested by many of the members of the blog including dolly mam to have better service from AMO perspective. I hold account from Sharekhan, which has the facility of AMO, but believe me I never received a single stock by placing the AMO. I saw few people in the blog commenting from ICICI, Reliance, Karvy, etc... May be once can try these brokerages.
See After the recommendation, the number of shares that people wanted to sell will be limited. What ever the adjustments mam will make, only limited people will be able to get the stock. It may be you are somebody else. "Patience" is important. I really do no see any issue in buying the stock even after an increase of 30% to 40%, if you are looking for a horizon of 3 to 4 years.
Thanks, Ravi
I wud like to know ur opinion on cmi fpe.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
Deletemam what is ur advice on sutlej textiles? can i buy it at current market price?
ReplyDeletealso comment on the promoter credbility of surana solar, given that the share was once a victim of price rigging by punters..
Dear Anand Bro..Below is the text directly copied from the blog itself which makes it clear that there is no question of promoter credibility or integrity:
Delete3) Surana Solar was leading the pack of all solar stocks and trading at its normal price range in between Rs 40 -70 (ex split) form last one year but all of sudden it was caught in unnecessary crossfire between two 'RJ' and market regulator in June, It has resulted in heavy stampede selling and steep fall in stock price. In the whole issue there was no role and no relation of company and its promoters. Stock and its old investors have got the hit for nothing but it has created wonderful opportunity for others to enter almost 200% lower than its normal fair value.
Sorry not tracking Sutlej textiles
DeleteI have given the details about promoters and 'RJ' issue in blog.
what is 'RJ'
DeleteThe two RJs : "Rakesh Jhunjunwala" and his wife "Rekha Jhunjunwala"
Deletethanx
DeleteHello madam,
ReplyDeleteIn current economic situation how much return we can expect in liberty shoes in 2-3 years time frame?
15-20% per year
DeleteBpl ltd k bare mai kya rai hai aapki
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteTell u r view on singer india venus remedies and shalimar paints
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view on Shalimar paints and Venus Remidies (August 1, 2015 at 5:33 PM)
DeleteNot tracking Singar India
Excellent article
ReplyDeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeletePlease suggest how do you check the Integrity of the Management specially with small cap stocks. Since few analysts track them, chances that they betray the investor increases.
Recent news of the promoters of Valecha Engineering misappropriating the funds got the stock losing 20-25% of its value in a few days.
Please suggest us how do we, as small investors, protect us against such surprises ?
Thanks a lot
There is no fix scale to measure the integrity of the promoters but the experience can make judgement about integrity.
DeleteTechnocraft has fixed January 8 as the record date for buyback. Does this mean people who owned technocraft shares on January 8 stand a chance to receive offer of buyback. What about those who sold their holding after Jan 8 - do they still stand to receive offer. Please can you throw some light on this.
ReplyDeleteIt is the date to determine the and dispatch the offer letter for buyback.
DeleteYou can find complete details on below link
http://203.199.247.102/cms/sebi_data/attachdocs/1451972178123.pdf
Thanks for your reply. How is the offer letter for buyback - is it by post/courier.
DeleteI have not received e-mail for the buyback offer.
Please comment your views on Sicagen India, Kirloskar bros and Indus, PTC India Finance, Sanwario Agro, Rain Industries, Aksh optifibre.
DeleteSorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteDOLLY MAM YOU R FABULOUS!!!
ReplyDeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeleteWhat's your view on future consumer enterprise limited(fcel) for 3-4 yrs. I can invest 1 lac. Samely can I enter in waterbase at current levels for same time frame.
FCEL is good stock for investment. Waterbase can be bought after Q3 results
DeleteHi mam, in surana solar thread I can see till Jan 4th comments,after that don't see comments but,it showing 400++ comments.any issue with site?
ReplyDeleteThere will be option to load more messages at the bottom
DeleteYou need to click "Load More" at the end
DeleteIt need to load the comments by clicking on load more.. just below the comment box. It is due to high number of comments exceed the maximum limit.
DeleteMam, your views on Steel strips wheels and gic housing finance please..
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteMam are you expecting a big fall in Indian markets in near future ?
ReplyDeleteNo
DeleteThanks a lot mam..
ReplyDeleteHi Mam: Post recent 100% appreciation in Donear, is Donear still a value buy at 36? Please confirm.
ReplyDeleteMam, DTIL is going to launch Atta n Salt under brand LAL GHORA in Rajasthan on trial basis......first step towards becoming small FMCG company
ReplyDeleteIt is just beginning. LAL GHORA is very popular brand in Rajasthan and it will also succeed in salt and Atta. These products (Tea, salt and Atta) are daily need of every family.
Deletehi,mam your precious view on Radico khetan pls.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Associated Alcohol and Radico khetan
DeleteHi dolly mam,very good morning,
ReplyDeleteI heard lot of news about FCEL,why I am asking is you are saying it is good for investment,so I am confident about that. They are tie-up with patanjali products,is it in progress or done?I need clarification on this mam,thanks a lot.
Still it is in early stage, it will take another 2-3 years to show some good profit.
DeleteDolly Ji, Your view on NMDC & GMDC at CMP for long term (3-5 years)?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stocks.
DeleteMam I bought 100 share of huhtamaki ppl@209 should I sell or hold?
ReplyDeleteHold
DeleteKya mai borosil glass ltd purchase kar sakta hu ????
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock.
DeleteDear maa'm ,I want to sell my holdings in kajaria,cera,dewan housing,repco,gruh,titan,pfs and vidhya telelink and mearge them in into Waterbase post Q3 result is it a good idea from 2-3 year view?Actually I can't track so many stocks.
ReplyDeleteThank You
Regards,
Deep
No change in previous view, in 3 years it can give 300-500% from initial suggested price.
DeleteMam im surpirsed when u said u are not tracking sutlej textiles, co u were represented by one person as a proxy for its meeting. now how can u deny u dont own sutlej textiles.While browsing and browsing Textile stocks today, we found that one announcement on BSE by Sutlej Textiles about the shareholder’s meet shows Dolly Khanna being represented in the meeting by some M P Jain. Check this link: http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/CDBF782C_27E9_4D74_9B60_F8F2864A3CBE_082129.pdf
ReplyDeleteYou can send mail, I will explain the reason in detail
DeleteHi mam, thanks for ur analysis. I'm thinking to average some pvt banks like axis and icici as they are in 52 week look. And I'm confused whether to buy these or I will average dtil,tiil and surana. Pls guide me.
ReplyDeleteSurana I got as per ur recommendation and by placing AMO order. It was really a thrilling experience to get as lots people were trying to get.
My suggestion will be pl continue informing abt the next recommendation. I feel it is a healthy competition n if u will not disclose the date many investors may feel abt their bad luck. I wish this healthy competition to continue. Thanks
All above stocks can give much better return than any bank stocks
DeleteHello mam thanks for ur analysis.
ReplyDeleteI wish you should continue disclosing the date if next recommendation, bcoz it give a healthy competition between the investors. N if you will not disclose the date many investors can feel about their bad luck. I wish this thrill n healthy competiyion to be continued.
Rajesh, It will be good if there is competition between investors who r following Dolly Mam. But it is becoming like competition between punters(traders) and investors, and always many punters are winning due to good infrastructure and tools they have. If you see the comments posted by many followers in the blog, u can see that most didn't able to buy till 6 Jan 2015 because of this issue. If we notice on 6th also it opened in UC(10%) and fell to almost 1%(-9%) suddenly as there was huge sell order by some punters(trader). At that moment only the blog followers got chance to enter after 50% appreciation, which is not fair for true investors who come to Dolly Mam's blog almost twice or thrice a day. If date is announced also, my view is if the stock announcement is in early market hours(announced time) like 9.15 or 9.30,lot more followers can buy at announced price. Let Dolly Mam view all others feedback also and announce her decision.
Deletevery good explanation. Its very good idea to publish new stock idea with out announcing the date.
DeleteYes I agree with Anand....Plz dont announce the date and kindly publish it during market hours...so it will be by luck who sees it first and most small investors like us will be able to buy.
DeleteThanks,
Tanmoy
Even at least 50% readers are able to buy it on first day than it is good. I will try to ensure it.
DeleteI think exact date should not be given..It should be like 1st week of months or second week of months...any day between the week..hope it will be helpful for daily reader of the blog...
Deleteyes madam, please dont disclose the date, and put it during market hours. It would give every body an equal chance.
DeletePls pls dont disclose the date of the stock
DeleteI have kothari petro 8000 stocks at avg price of 25.5. Can i continue to hold or switch to other stocks. I am long term investor. I can hold stock for 3-5 years. In the long run do you see kothari petro will give similar returns as other recommended stocks.
ReplyDeleteThanks
Siva
yes, hold it
DeleteDear Dolly mam, i have bought TIIL (Technocraft )@190 now open offer for buy back is 270, should i surrender the same & buy back again @230 from market this week ,the offer letter for buyback will be received i guess in next 2 weeks for my holding of 2000 qty.
ReplyDeletePlease advise if i do the same i will get a profit for difference 270 & present rate 230.
Hold it, when you will receive the money from surrendering the share in buyback offer that time hopefully it will trade above 270
DeleteHi, a quick question, TIL has its drum operations in China. A slowdown in China can cause problems to its drum closure business which generates the maximum revenue for TIL ?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Sushiö
no signifiant impact on revenue
DeleteMam, can we add POCL@cmp?
ReplyDeleteYes you can add
DeleteDear dolly madam i want to buy kothari petro 24.5 can i buy and how much returns i can expect frm here
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view, in 3 years it can give 300-500% from initial suggested price.
DeleteMam can we add kp@25,donear@34surana@36 or dtil,til,which one looks attractive.or wait for some more correction.
ReplyDeleteAll are good, you can buy anyone
DeleteDear mam
ReplyDeleteI have 2000 shares of waterbase @136.I can wait for 6 months.what would be it's price according to you after 6 months.
No change in previous view, in 3 years it can give 300-500% from initial suggested price.
DeleteDollyji, Any targets for surana before upcoming union budget ?
ReplyDeleteNo short term target
DeleteHello madam,
DeleteI do not agree with some of my friends here who are suggesting not to disclose date and publish the stock during market hours. I think it will create more panic as most of the blog readers will be busy in there work and during market hours only traders are online.
Even I didn't get stock in amo but I could able to get it at 34 by showing some patience on third day. This is just a suggestion madam please take your own call whether to disclose date or not.
Dear all the Blog followers, To make this blog more effecient for Dolly Ji and all followers, i would suggest following actions from all of us.
ReplyDelete1. Go through the previous blogs and raise your query only if you can't find the answer in previous blogs. My guess is we can easily reduce 25% of repatitive questions.
2. Dolly ji has given all the details about the recommended stocks including the expected price appreciation in next 2 to 3 or 4 years of time frame. This blog is meant for wealth creation by giving enough time for your investments to grow. It's you who has to decide when to buy or sell the stock. About 25% queries are for short term target or related questions. There is no point in asking Dolly ji same questions in different forms. It just become frustrating for all.
I think if we put bit more effort from our side and do our homework then it will save lot of Dolly ji's and every blog reader's time. We will also reduce the "load more" issue and frustration.
I request for everyone's coperation.
Kind Regards,
Param
Well said. I agreed with Param.
DeleteAgree :-)
DeleteNice mail. Thank you.
DeleteYes. I would also agree with 'Param'. I am very new to Dollyji's blog started from 1st Jan 2016 -:). But even though I say that all of our queries are answered in detail.
DeleteAlso - point to be clearly understood is Dollyji is a LONG term investor. Infact I have invested on 1st jan 2016 for some stocks like Waterbase, Kothari Pet - which were recommended by Dollyji last year. Does that makes sense ...those stocks are still growing.
So lets READ more and ASK LESS ....why ?? Cause Dollyji spend more time shortlist and giving us more NEW MULTIBAGGERS .......
Thank you all my fellow friends on this blog and above all Dollyji !!
Best wishes !!
Mahesh
Thanks all for your support. Much appreciated.
DeleteGood Luck for your investments.
Param
Dear maam good morning. .... this current down trend of market may bring new better opportunities. ... could you please suggest us some very under valued mutibegger stock in current mkt levels, rather than waiting for next month ? If you see any?
ReplyDeleteTechnocraft, DTIL, Surana Solar, Donear, Insecticide, Kaveri seed etc.can be bought during market correction.
DeleteDear maam good morning, please suggest on BHEL @cmp? It is at 52 week low.could you plez suggest if it may good pick for future? If yes, at what level we should add?
ReplyDeleteHi Sunil,
DeleteAs you have been tracking BHEL and already know it is at 52 week low. then u might be knowing the reason for the same. Just think why it is at 52 week low and what are the issues with the company and what are the growth opportunities from here onward. This will help you to develop a conviction on the business of company and stay with the company till your conviction persists. If you feel you bought it for some reason and that doesn't exists anymore, then sell, even if u at losses.
Hope this helps.
Regards,
Vinay
Sorry not tracking any large cap stocks.
DeleteDolly mam surana can I buy 34 levels.my avg 36.50
ReplyDeleteShe already said that below 50 is a good buy. Please check previous posts
DeleteOk
DeleteSurana my avg 36.50...can I buy this 34
ReplyDeleteLevel ..can I average??
Yes, now you can buy it even lower than 34
DeleteHi Madam,
ReplyDeleteI too do not agree with some of my friends here who are suggesting not to disclose date and publish the stock during market hours. Most of them are busy in their work, travelling to office during peak hours around (9.00-10.00 AM) and try to look into their office mails first before logged into share market. Only traders are online during that time.
I too got my stock only after 3 UC though put AMO order in ICICI direct. But, still i feel it is good because the target you are giving is for 3-4 yrs with 300-400% gain. I am wondering why our friends are looking for very short period targets like traders for 20-50% price hike. Patience is required for investment.
If they are problem with AMO order then they try to change the service provider who offer the their requirement. Instead of not disclosing date will not solve the problem, inversely it will affect large number for blog readers who are employee and following your stocks as investment and wealth building during their weekend when have time.
Please reconsider your decision on not disclosing the date as you mentioned many times you are here to help many investors who need patience and not traders who looking for short term profit.
Hope you understand the pain of employees who travelling in chennai peak hours to office and not have time to log into share market site.
Regards,
Karthick
Karthick R S, buying a stock after 50% appreciation matters a lot. Dolly Mam's target of 300-500% is from the suggested price, it's not from the price which we buy after the appreciation like 50%. For example, if Mam suggested a stock at a value of Rs.10 and the target is 500%(not CAGR) from initial suggested, then stock value will be 60, which is 5x bagger suggestion. But if u r buying after 50% appreciation, then u r buying at value 15. So when it reaches target of 60, in this case ur profit becomes only 3x bagger. So if u invest 1 lakh at Mam's suggested price, you will get 5 lakhs profit when target achieved. If u invest same 1 lakh after 50% appreciation, then you get only 3 lakh profit. So there is a loss of 2 lakhs profit which is very huge. So as per my view entry point from suggested level is very important.
DeleteSuggestion of stock with out informing date or in market hours will give more chance for the regular followers to enter at suggested price as per my view. Regular followers who come daily should get more chance of buying at suggested price than the followers who come very rarely just to see only reco date and only reco stock. This is my view.
Thanks,
Anand
Karthick Ji.....what kind of comment is that there is traffic in chennai...
DeleteDear anand...but in case of surana...the stock is highly undervalued as it is trading below than its normal trade range b/w 50-70 ..ma'am already said that this stock can appreciate 300-500% from its normal trade range...if u r buying it earlier in b/w 30-40 range also u can get 500-700% returns if u r ready to hold it for 3years...
DeleteAnand ji, it matters a lot but we cant do anything about it, even after rise as per your calculation its 3x which is pretty good recent and also market also falls like it fell today and surana fell 10% so lets not focus on the short term, short term is all gambling no one knows short term.
DeleteDear Friends,
DeleteI was posted the above comments without completed fully. hence I was not able to convey concerns completely. I just tried to say disclosing the stocks at 9-10AM is diffcult, instead post the same in midnight. Regarding traffic sorry i was not completed due to some adhoc work at that time. When you were travelling it is diffcult to place the order over the phone with help of broker because at that time all their lines will be engaged.
I am also in same page with you friends. Just expressed my views on that nothing personal.
Thanks,
Karthick
Mam approximately after how many weeks the market will be stable.. Any view on this..
ReplyDeleteHopefully before the budget
DeleteIt's a request please don't disclose stock date , and it's better to disclose stock week and update during mkt hours,
ReplyDeleteMany thanks Habib
Sure, we will try some different option.
DeleteMadam I don't think Mr kartik suggestion is gd .he don't have problem of 20 to 30% but we have that. He say he is busy in official work or travellings . their is one solutions we can disclosed the stock in midnight. So nobody will say this problems of office meeting and travelling. Those who want to research and see the stock every mornings he has to see the blog
ReplyDeletebefore going to daily routine.
This is the only solutions remaining.
Drvivek
Dear Sir,
DeleteI totally agree with you disclosing stock at midnight without disclosing the date since it will help all the regular blog readers. I was just tried to convey my concern that disclosing stock at 9-10 AM is difficult for most of the employees due to various reasons like restriction in office for money market, all the lines to broker will be engaged at that time to place the order over phone etc. Also,I totally accept sir even 1% increase will be an impact.
Thanks,
Karthick
Still we have time and we will see the best possible option.
DeleteI think all these speckulations about when to disclose the share is too much.i think we should accept what dollyji view and leave it there.
ReplyDeletewe all get our shares in enough time.and always at a lower price after a few days.
hope dollyji does not get fed up with all these unnessery conversations on this blog and stops to help us.
so every one no advices only relevant ques pls
yes, lets not get carried away by short term things, also i hope everyone who cribbed so much about buying surana solar and other stocks is buying today as market is giving us opportunity.
Deleteyou cribbed the most and called it another lost opportunity
DeleteI am buying everyday this is good opportunity i see most of the comments are about short term changes which dont really matter so much
DeleteDear Dolly Mam, You took the feedback for improvement of the blog just one month back only. Hence please take the decision by yourself when to disclose the new stock at least for next 6 months and after that you may again check with blog members for feedback.
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Venu.
Sure
DeleteHi mam.is indian mrt fundamentally changing? My portfolio showing huge losses today. Still not panic.pl guide us when to average your all recommended stocks bcoz all stocks are in my portfolio. Pl guide us.Thanks.
ReplyDeleteIt is part of our business and nothing to worry. Once market will come in up trend, you will find all of our stocks will regain the value quickly. It should be taken as opportunity to add more at lower level.
Deletethis is dr gobi kannan,wats ur view on RIL NOW ITS COMING OUT OF BIG TRIANGLE TECHNICALLY AND READY TO GIVE 50% APPRECIATION IN 1 YEAR TIME FRAME.RELIANCE JIO LAUNCH IN MARCH,PE 0F 15,WHETHER IS IT A GOOD BET ON YOUR OWN WAY OF ANALYSIS?KINDLY LET ME KNOW?THANKS IN ADVANCE SIR
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking RIL and other large cap stocks
DeleteDear mam,
ReplyDeletewhat is your view on arrow textiles
Sorry not tracking Arrow Tex
DeleteMarket ids offering discount sale. Take the advantage.
ReplyDeleteYes, last year we got in Aug and this year in the beginning.
DeleteMam is these types of temporary fluctuations are common in Stock matket.. Approximately on an average how many times we will see these fluctuations per year.. Any rough thoights.. We are new to matket but with your guidance we are confident and stick to our stocks..
DeleteMaam...You must filter the comments from the fellow borders...as they started arguing. Though it was a very good chance for me to pick the stock and I don't know still HDFC is not showing the stock in trading list...Not worried and I have patience for your next stock. I don't think I can chase all the moving stocks and want only 6-10 stocks to keep it for future.
ReplyDeleteYour service is highly appreciative and please take your decision on stock announcement.
regards,
Adam
Sure, if required I will filter. Even now market has given very good opportunity to add some good stocks at lower level.
DeleteHi, whether Dhuneseri Tea can not be bot by FII due to sectoral limit applicable to Tea plantation stock ?
ReplyDeleteVery small equity base and it demerged from DPL due to this reason FII don't have chance to enter.
DeleteMam
ReplyDeleteUmang dairies @69 looks attractive. Can we buy at this price?please guide me.
Yes, you can add during market correction.
DeleteHi dolly mam,
ReplyDeleteDo u see opportunity in aban?
Regards,
Vinay
Sorry not tracking Aban, still it is not right time to enter in oil related stocks
DeleteHi mam.. Are these type of temporary fluctuations are common in Stock matket¿
ReplyDeleteIn general once in a year it will occur on an average or it depends on international matters..
Can you please give idea on these.. Thank you
Deal Dolly Mam, Happy Pongal to You and Your family.
ReplyDeleteRegards,
Venu.
Mam warren buffet has started investing in oil company stocks. Do u think oil price has bottomed out ?? Can we start accumulating Selan ?? Heard that u have exited from selan !!!
ReplyDeleteSelan has become attractive, although some more downside is there.
Deletecan we buy in SIP? for longer horizon.
Regards,
Vinay
madam,
ReplyDeleteplease post your opinion on this free fall. Is it safe to continue.. or is it similar to cyclic fall as happened on 2008 please tell us your opinion
Thanks
sudheer
Hi mam, I have just find your fantastic blog and recommendation. Unfortunetely I missed to your earlier recommendation. But now I have got a right track for investment through you.
ReplyDeletePlease let me know when your new recommendation is going to flash.
arvind singh
I bought 1000 shares surana solar @ 35.50, can I hold it. Please suggest me.
ReplyDeletePlease hold for Rs.100-125 in 2 years. Hope i am clear.
DeleteMam.. After How many months, Solar sector to shine... Means results will shown on quarter results...
ReplyDeletesuggest for short term stocks also
ReplyDeleteDear suresh, i, on behalf of this blog followers request you to kindly go through earlier messages from last 2-3 days and you will find your answer many times by Dolly mam.
ReplyDeleteI believe things for surana won't change just in a day or two, so when mam says 2 days ago that it is a good buy at this level then it means it is same situation for today... Considering 2-3 years of view.
Thanks...
It seems its moved up and down by operator. Suggested price was 23 non of blogers here got at that rate except OPERATORS. now they are booking huge profit and small investor of this blog are buying at higher price. Now only option for small investor is to see if they get cost and by when. Its hard to make easy money from market even on confirm tips.
ReplyDeleteBlogers reply here ....how many of you are in profit after buying Surana solar ?
I Maam ,
ReplyDeleteI bould Donear @ Rs 39 and now I see it having a free fall ,what do i do?
dont panic. have faith. average here at 30 and wait for 2 years
DeleteBought 20k Surana Solar today@29. Want to buy 30k more if i get a price of 23-25. Am i doing the right thing.
ReplyDeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeleteNeed your help in understanding, in the NDTV interview SS MD told that there is 45 megawatt project(6 cr each megawatt)
for groupcompany is going on various stages also, when you introduced the stock to us mentioned that they are already working on 50MW project as of now
is that 45mw told by SS MD in interview is what you mentioned as 50MW.
is this 45MW revenue will be booked in Q3 and Q4 or it is already booked
if not booked then can we expect 270 cr in topline and Bottom line of 18.9cr as per 7% margin in Q3 results?
I bought Surana solar at 37, now below 30. Will it correct to 20-22 levels. Is it safe to buy around 20.
ReplyDeleteTIIL is falling everyday. Is the buyback offer still on. I have still not received offer letter.
in short term market can go anywhere, have patience and hold for 1-2 years or more.
DeleteMam, with current situation out of ur all recommendation which one u suggest to add. May be a group of stocks if not single out a stock
ReplyDeleteMadam has suggested, DTIL, Surana and TIIL in her blog
Delete