Friday, February 5, 2016

Kamdhenu Ispat - Common Business with Uncommon Vision


Kamdhenu Ispat Ltd.

CMP - 45

   



Kamdhenu Ispat' is largest TMT steel selling brand in India. company engaged in the manufacturing, marketing, branding and distribution of a broad spectrum of construction products including steel, paints, wood finishes, plywood, roofing sheets, pvc pipes, construction chemicals,  cement, mineral water etc. Company is providing one roof solution to all construction needs. The 'Kamdhenu' brand is well established and known as "Best Quality at Best Price". The company is listed on BSE and NSE with sales turnover of Rs.1011 crores. However, the overall brand turnover of Kamdhenu products is above Rs. 6,000 crores. The company is having more than 50 franchisee manufacturing units. The company has very effective distribution system through the exclusive dealer network and Stockyard Model. It has 4000 dealers of paint division, 3500 dealers & distributors for steel and 32 sales stockyards, spread across the country. 

http://www.kamdhenuispat.com/corporate-film.php


Royalty Income from Franchisee Business Association Model


Kamdhenu Ispat is pioneer in the revolutionary concept of Franchisee Model in mid-tier steel segment and able sustain it successfully during rough period of steel sector. The franchisee units benefit a lot by availing Kamdhenu’s brand premium and strong marketing network, while Kamdhenu Ispat Limited benefits from the royalty that it gets from these franchisees for using its brand name. The model also gives a unique identity to the franchisee units and helps them in leveraging their level of operations and quality to sustain well amidst rising competition in the steel sector. 






The 'Franchisee Business Association Model' is an arrangements under which the Kamdhenu allows the Franchisee units to manufacture products under the Brand name ‘Kamdhenu” under strict quality control laid down by the Company. The Franchisee markets the products at its own using marketing network of Kamdhenu and paying the royalty to the company on sales per tonne or per bag or percentage basis. 'Kamdhenu' brand  gives good competitive edge to franchises and  allows to use expertise and latest technology without any major investment. Most of these franchises were sick units in the past and owned by different entrepreneurs from various location in India.  These units were bailed out once they came under ‘Kamdhenu’ umbrella to make their business viable. It is win-win situation for both franchisees and Kamdhenu with following benefits.

  • Market share of Kamdhenu will go up without investing in manufacturing plants.
  • It will result in minimum tax burden on Kamdhenu
  • Quick delivery due to reduced transportation from nearest stockyard/franchisee units.
  • Availability of quality products each and every part of the country
  • Company able to increase its profitability by increased turn-around cycle of available resources.
  • Company will  able to derive benefits of handling large volumes.
  • Company will get royalty payments from the franchisees for use of Kamdhenu brand."

Product Description


KAMDHENU SS10000 TMT BARS - "Do Ka Dum" 




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwLk0fZK6r0

Kamdhenu has established a premium brand  patented product KAMDHENU SS10000 TMT Bar. It is the only product in its class featuring double ribs, double strength and double safety. It gives 254% more strength to the bonding of concrete and steel and it also has the capacity to create performance of concrete up to 10,000 Psi with right mixture of concrete. The technology for manufacturing of Kamdhenu SS 10000 TMT bar had been developed with the technical know-how sharing agreement with Knightsbridge Resources Limited, United Kingdom. The product has been specifically developed keeping in view the stringent requirements of construction sector, highways and other premium infrastructure projects. KAMDHENU SS 10000 is indispensible for high rise buildings and all kind of constructions in high seismic earthquake zones. Because of its unique features and properties, Kamdhenu SS 10000 is a notch above than any other product in its class. It provide double strength and double safety at the price of single-ribbed product.

TMT (thermo-mechanically-treated) BARS


TMT bars are widely used in general purpose concrete reinforcement structures, bridges and flyovers, dams, thermal and hydel power plants, industrial structures, high-rise buildings, underground platforms in metro railway and rapid transport system. TMT Bars are thermo-mechanically-treated through leading world tempcore based technology for high yield strength. Kamdhenu Ispat Limited has been authorized to manufacture Tempcore TMT under license agreement with Centre De Rechercher Metallurgiques (CRM) Belgium  for use of TEMPCORE trademark used for identification of high quality steel bars. 


KAMDHENU PAINTS-COLOUR DREAMZ


 "Dil Ke Rang Deewaron Pe"



The company forayed into decorative paints business in the year 2008 -09. Since then it has come a long way to become household name and sixth largest Paint company in India with turnover of Rs. 164 crores for last year. The company is offering complete range of paint products that includes variants of low VOC Eco-friendly products in its existing range of Architectural, Decorative and Designer paint products that includes Exterior & Interior Emulsions, Synthetic & GP Enamels, Acrylic Distempers, Water Based & Solvent based Primers, Wood Finishes, Aluminum Finishes and Textured & Designer Finishes. It has wide range of fine quality paint shades to meet all requirement and choice of the customer. Kamdhenu Paints has installed 750 Tinting Machines which has made the brand more popular. Tinting machine is used to obtain desired shade by mixing colorant from computerized Tinting machine with paint base as per choice of the consumer. 





The company has started manufacturing of Stainer which is used to create shades of colour by adding few drops of stainer into white base thus, providing innumerable choices at the disposal of consumers. Company has launched of an entire range of wood-coating products giving complete solution to the needs of every household. "

"Kamdhenu Designer Gallery"





The Kamdhenu Paints Designer Gallery is a futuristic concept being realized by Kamdhenu Paints furthering its consumer friendly state of the art services. The recently introduced “Kamdhenu Designer Gallery” is the finest name in premium luxury wall fashion aimed to give its consumers a divine experience of ultimate glamorous lifestyle. The gallery offers exclusive range of latest international trends in wall finishes with a choice of premium & luxury modern finishes,  textures and coatings to create a living space that warms the heart of its visitors. "
In Aug 2014 company has given guide lines to achieve 500 crores revenue from paint business in next three years. After that company has taken several steps to achieve the target and started manufacturing of stainer, wood finishes, designer gallery concept, installation of tinting machines, TV and print media promotions, incentive to dealers etc.

http://www.newswire.com/press-release/diya-mirza-sonu-nigam-attended-and-entertained-at-grand-dealer

http://articles.economictimes.indiatimes.com/2014-08-24/news/53166750_1_75-crore-kamdhenu-ispat-decorative-paint-products

Kamdhenu Plywood


Kamdhenu is all set to grow the Plywood business similar to steel. ‘Kamdhenu Plywood’ is high-grade plywood manufactured through advanced technologies and is available  in a variety of exotic designs, attractive colours and patterns, these durable plywoods always live up to the expectations of consumers. They are precisely tested for strength to resist cracks, shrinkage and twist. Kamdhenu is manufacturing  different grades of plywood and moulded designer doors to meet all types of application and requirements. 

Other Products




Structural Steel, Wirebond, Color Coated Roofing Sheets, PVC Pipes, Cement, Construction Chemicals, mineral water are manufactured in its franchisee units under Kamdhenu brand with strict quality control of Kamdhenu. After establishing sizable business of these products company has option to start its own manufacturing units to meet the market demand.


Rationale for Investment in Kamdhenu



  • When most of the steel companies are making losses , pledging shares and accumulating heavy debts during last 3-4 years but Kamdhenu is able to post consistent profit and expanding its business across India. It is all due to asset light franchise business model which makes it rare company in steel sector. Franchise business model has enabled the company to expand its production capacity without any major investment and same time it has earned significant amount of royalty income for the use of brand name. Last year royalty income was 29 crores which is one third of total market capital of the company. Most of the royalty earning companies like Monsanto and Arrow coated products are trading well above industry P/E but Kamdhenu is trading 40% below industry P/E, even though it is listed under low P/E steel sector.
  • Paint division already has established sizable business and placed itself in the top 6 brands of the country in the decorative paint segment. Further company is trying hard to scale up more than 500 crore business to be amongst the top 5 paint brands in India. It is very much possible by seeing the marketing network and capabilities of the company. Actual valuation of paint business is  itself more than current market valuation of the company because paint industry P/E ratio is around 50. 

http://retail.franchiseindia.com/interview/retail-people/profiles/We-expect-to-be-among-the-top-5-paint-brands-in-the-next-five-years.i756/


  • Market unable to realize its value because company is listed under small & medium steel sector since IPO in 2006 with annual turnover around 100 crores. It has started paint & other businesses later on. Recently company has taken the step to resolve the above issues  and removal of ' Ispat' surname by the special resolution to change the name of company to "Kamdhenu Limited" and alteration in the object clause of memorandum of association. It will enable the company to come under miscellaneous or diversified sector. To unlock the value in future, company has the option to list paint and steel business separately by keeping other businesses and brand royalty  with holding company Kamdhenu Ltd.

http://www.kamdhenuispat.com/Financial-Results/Notice%20of%20Postal%20Ballot%20Dated%2007-11-2015.pdf

"http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/reports/kamdhenu-ispat-resultpostal-ballot-2688801.html"


  • Shareholding of promoter and promoter group has increased from 47% to 69% since IPO in 2006. It shows their confidence in the company and in themselves.

Promoters 


Ability, capability and vision of the promoters reflects in their work by transforming small single product manufacturing unit into largest TMT selling brand in India and brought more than 50 multi -products franchisee manufacturing units under Kamdhenu umbrella across the country. They stick to their vision of Kamdhenu brand positioning and franchise business model development over long period with determination and dedication to make it successful. They have created masterpiece assets for stakeholders by growing different business verticals.

'The Company has got the award in the lndo-UAE Business Summit 2015. ‘World’s Greatest Brand, 2015—Asia & GCC’ in the Iron and steel category.  In the same event, the Company’s Director Mr. Sunil Agarwal has been honored with ‘World’s Greatest Leader, 2015—Asia & GCC’.

http://www.apnnews.com/news-voir/?c_article_id=5892&c_author_id=6399&originurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.apnnews.com%2Fnews-voir%2F

http://www.financialexpress.com/article/companies/kamdhenu-wins-worlds-greatest-brand-2015-asia-gcc-award/183645/

Conclusion


Company is in very simple evergreen and long lasting  business of construction material and it is very easy to understand it. But the method adopted to run this business is very rare and unique. Govt. of India is giving priority to infrastructure and housing sector by making increased budgetary allocation for smart cities, National highways, Roads, Bridges, Power plants, dams, rural housing etc. All this will result in a steady growth of construction material consumption in the country. Company is well positioned to take the advantage of opportunities coming in the field of construction and infra sector. It has asset light  franchise business model which can grow in all type of market conditions. It has deep hidden values in its all business verticals which can be listed separately. Over all it is wonderful company for long term investment available at very low price. 


390 comments:

  1. Superb madam...opening in circuit unable to buy...

    ReplyDelete
  2. Dear Dollyji, Suggest that you post another stock, which will divide the pressure on this stock. Today It is under upper circuit. Thanks & Best Regards.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Let me be the first to post first. Upper Circuit.. No one can buy.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I was able to buy required quantities. Thank you!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good to see that some blog members are able to buy

      Delete
    2. From last few days i keep tracking your blog today till 3:10 pm no post posted on blog of the same above stocks, please clarify when you post the same stock and what is time?
      Thanks

      Delete
  5. Very nice stock. So cheap. Strong fundamentals and opportunities. No expansion required and margin can be increased. not able to buy. tomorrow morning i ll try. But this way is the best one, those who eagerly wait they will get the shares and small investors will be able to buy. if after market hour published then, biggies will plan well and play game. This way is the best one mam. Please follow this method only.

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Several readers have posted inquiry about plywood and paint stocks. Kamdhenu is the best option at very low price. Franchise business model is an added advantage as compared to other companies.

      Delete
  6. dear madam ...... what about debit of Kil & financials issues & KIL post the results on 13 feb ..can we expect good results from kil

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Debt is low and well under control, It is used for expansion of stockyards and paint business development.

      Delete
  7. This time you released during market hours whereas in previous threads u said that it will be either before or after market hours.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have posted the details on previous blog

      "it will be posted in between 03.02.2016 (Wednesday) to 08.02.2016 (Monday). There will not be any clue to guess the stock."

      http://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2016/01/market-update.html

      Delete
  8. madam, it seems to have about 100cr in debt, that doesnt seem good.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Debt is too small for 1000 crore turnover company with 29 crore royalty income.

      It is used for expansion of stockyards and paint business development.

      Delete
  9. unable to buy. I almost caught it. i placed ordr when there were 10000 buyers. that was pretty early but still didnt get. too many hawk eyes i guess

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  10. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  11. Dear Mam, kamdhenu is a great pick but again we will not be able to get this for next one week due to UC. Please let me know your views on Maithan Alloys recently amalgamated with its subsidiary Anjaneya Alloys. Holding few should I sell them.

    ReplyDelete
  12. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, it has very good product range, well established business and brand name.

      Delete
  13. Hi Dolly Mam, not able to get today.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Thanks for the new stock mam.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Upto what price can we buy this stock..? Tomorrow going to try my luck.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is explained in detail under 'Rationale for Investment'

      Each business segment having potential to trade more than current stock price once these business segments get listed separately, It is just matter of time.

      Delete
  16. Wow....m already holding it since last 6 months at lower level. lets see how it moves.

    ReplyDelete
  17. Dear Mam, Nice Recommendation, taking into consideration the Govt's ambitious plans for smart cities and infra.Companies like KIL are bound to benefit from them. A perfect buy for a long time. Thanks Mam.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Hi Dolly Mam,

    Good Evening. Thanks for the post as always. Can "Asset light franchise business model" make this stock give better return what we normally expect (300 - 500% in 3-4 years) in stocks as part of this blog.

    What target we can expect from this stock over 3-5 years?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is explained in detail under 'Rationale for Investment'

      Each business segment (steel, paint, plywood and other businesses with holding company) is having potential to trade more than current stock price once these business segments get listed separately, It is just matter of time.

      Change of company name is in process.

      Delete
  19. I predict very few blog followers got it today, as it was in uc in just few seconds after post.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I placed the order after hitting UC but got the desired quantities. It is important to place the bid as quickly as possible even if it is in UC. I guess more than 30000 quantities traded in BSE today after hitting UC.

      Delete
    2. More than hundred thousand share traded after posting the blog

      Quantities traded before 2.30 pm - NSE 28000 and BSE - 12000
      Total trading EOD 3.30 pm - NSE 95000 and BSE -57000

      Delete
  20. Mam, Hats off to you & your reaserch.

    Almost all readers of this blog must encounter with Brand Kamdhenu but never thought that Kamdhenu having other business like Paint, plywood etc & having such unique business model for such business.

    I am also surprise when I watch TV or read newspaper.. majority of broking house or fund houses who seats in big offices with big reaserch team just talk abt few stocks like infy,tcs,ril etc.

    Mam, I know you must be happy with your current activities & Your own investment ...but request your good self to start PMS..

    ReplyDelete
  21. Thank you very much mam for new innovative stock idea in this turbulent market.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Respected Madam, What target we can expect from this stock over 3-5 years?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is explained in detail under 'Rationale for Investment'

      Each business segment (steel, paint, plywood and other businesses with holding company) is having potential to trade more than current stock price once these business segments get listed separately, It is just matter of time.

      Change of company name is in process.

      Delete
  23. good evening mam maximum buying price limit

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depend upon your holding period, if you have the plan to hold for longer term than this is the right time to buy it. 10 -12 year before people were afraid to buy Asian Paint at 30 (ex-split) but now happy to buy at 900. But actual gainer are those who bought early.

      Delete
    2. It is well set answer by madam, My uncle(Friends Father) in BSF as captain retried his senior urge him to invest in Asian Paints & ITC when SENSEX age only 2-3 year old in 1982, he tell me about the story of investment when he no knowledge about the same equities/Bonds nominal amount invest around 2000 Rs. Invested & Today date value more then 48 Lacs (Rs. Forty Eight Lacs) after conversion in equities including bonus/split
      he have total no of share Asian Paints is 4600 & 1800 shares of ITC. excluding dividend amount Total holding period around 32 years. According to madam if we invest the same (Asian paint) at Rs. 30 (10-12 year back) only Rs. 2000 invested FV 10 Total shares 2000/30 = 66.6666 @round of = 67 after split holding = 670 today rate around 900
      value = 900 x 670 = 603000 means only Rs. 2000 amount invested but gain lot in long term view in right company at right price. Asian Paint is MNC today BJP govt. wants indian companies do well in india as well as overseas india become world class manufacturing hub. so dear blog readers you decided what you want in future ???

      Another Asian Paint/ITC or something else.

      Delete
    3. Hi Mam,
      As always fantastic pick...Thanx a lot..!!
      U need to re-do the maths Garg sir because it may mislead many new n 1st time investors of this blog....ex-split quoted by mam means the price is after all the adjustment of split & bonus.So the right calculation as per ur data will be jst 67*900=60300 & that is also a mind-boggling return by any yardstick....appx 33% CAGR over 12 yr period..!!

      Happy Investing...cheers....!!!

      Delete
    4. Bonus History (Asian Paints)

      Announcement Date Bonus Ratio Record Date Ex-Bonus Date
      28-05-2003 1:2 25-08-2003 22-08-2003
      30-05-2000 3:5 - 02-08-2000
      18-10-1995 1:1 06-12-1995 08-11-1995
      06-05-1985 3:5 - -
      Source : Dion Global Solutions Limited

      http://www.moneycontrol.com/company-facts/asianpaints/bonus/AP31#AP31
      http://www.moneycontrol.com/company-facts/asianpaints/splits/AP31#AP31

      Delete
    5. Now current value of Asian Paint would be more than 9000 if FV = 10

      Delete
    6. Dear Madam please reply on this query

      Delete
    7. Yes, dividend gain itself is more than 500% of initial investment

      Delete
  24. Madam,

    By the time i place the order it has got settled in UC :-(

    ReplyDelete
  25. Madam please suggest on liberty shoes

    ReplyDelete
  26. You can also buy other stocks, which are equally good like Dhunseri Tea and Technocraft, which are recommended by Dolly Madam and available at very good price as compared to Kamdhenu Ispat.

    ReplyDelete
  27. Mam Can I buy NOCIL or Subex at CMP? If yes what could be the returns?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nocil is able to give 15 -20% per year, not tracking Subex

      Delete
  28. Mam I got Kothari at 24-25 when u had recommended but now it is 20 near your recommended price of 18. Dont you think it is better to buy Kothari Petro now as Kamdhenu wont be available for some days. Moreover since Kothari is near ur recommended price it would be better to go for it

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Kothari Petro can give decent return once business condition will get improved. Issues like China crisis resulted oversupply of PIB at cheap rate and flood in southern states has impacted temporarily. Hopefully it will start giving good results from next quarter.

      Delete
  29. Dear mam is there any website which provides information about circuit limits of a stock on next trading session?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If there is any change in price band than it is updated on NSE and BSE

      https://www1.nseindia.com/products/content/equities/equities/equities.htm

      Delete
  30. Unpresented research in selecting stock .pl advise the method and source of information for collecting such high quality data

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I am using below simple analysis for making any investment decision.

      1.Product and market demand is the main criteria. Once you will find
      what market need now and what it needs in next 2-3 years.

      2 Need to shortlist the companies from above field with good
      fundamental and trading at very low price.

      3 Invest in companies having capable and good promoters.

      Delete
  31. Hi Dolly Ji,

    Most blog readers on this blog would be small investors working in 9-5 job. The blog sites do not open in the company's internet and are debarred.

    If I take my example, I also work in 9-6 job and blog sites don't open. I just do buying and selling (I am a long term investor) through mobile pack enabled on the cellphone. Your recommendation will lead to UC in few seconds as to get shares we need to have 3 terminals opened: 1st terminal for your blog, 2nd for trading window and 3rd would be moneycontrol website to check stock code/symbol etc. These things are not possible on the mobile as you an just open 1 browser window at any time. Moreever, entering/typing on any browser is much more faster and convenient than any mobile.

    Posting recommendations during market hours can be good for people who are 24*7 on trading, people who are working from home (in their 9-5 job) etc. This might not serve small retail investors well.

    I would request you to take a poll from investors on this blog and then come up with a suitable time. I personally think Friday (after market hours) was the best option.
    Maybe you can post it on Friday post 12 PM or Saturday early morning/morning as most brokerage firms would allow AMO by that time.

    Anyways, whatever you are doing for the blog readers is way beyond what we can expect from any1. Even if we buy recommendations at 30-40% higher price and hold for 5 yrs., we would have made good profits.

    ReplyDelete
  32. Your views on waterbase result ma'am. Thank you 😊

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Results are still better than expected. In Q3 production was disrupted due to floods for more than 40 days and company has settled Canara Bank dues. Hopefully company will start posting good results from Q1.

      You can get full detailed update posted by company along with results.

      http://corporates.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachLive/E9C34CEE_6FA0_455B_A5EC_C94A6008C3DF_085255.pdf

      Delete
  33. Hi Mam, Thanks again for another excellent pick. I was lucky to buy 1000 shares with the existing funds I have. I am planning to buy another 500-1000 shares in next week by shifting funds from any of the below stocks. Can u please let me know which stock to hold and which stock to sell from below
    1. Innovative Tech Pack @37
    2. Kanoria Chemicals @67
    3. Sakuma exports @57
    4. Eland apparels @39
    5. Associated alcohols @139

    Please let me know which are good to hold for long term so the I can shift from others.

    Thank you Mam

    ReplyDelete
  34. Mam finally waterbase result is out. Looking at result if we exclude all extraordinary events like flood n canbank settlement which has impacted revenue.so revenue is down that is understood but if u compare % revenue regrowth with cost of material n purchase of stock, it has not came down. It means company's cost is intact but revenue is down ...so does that mean there is drop in product price which has impacted margin ???

    ReplyDelete
  35. Hi mam.. View on waterbase results.. Please comment

    ReplyDelete
  36. Madam thanks for this excelent pic i want to knw ur cal on kothari petro do u suggest us to mantain stoploss or keep on averaging the stock and wht impact it will have if crude goes up and kothari is now near ur recmonded price . And are there any news or chances of ril brothers taking further stake in kothari

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Kothari Petro can give decent return once business condition will get improved. Issues like China crisis resulted oversupply of PIB at cheap rate and flood in southern states has impacted it temporarily. Hopefully it will start giving good results from next quarter.

      Delete
  37. good afternoon mam should i buy DTIL &WATERBASE AT present moment or wait for further correction

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can start adding both stocks in small quantity during market correction.

      Delete
  38. Maam placed bid for 500@53 & 500@55.i hope I used the AMO correctly

    ReplyDelete
  39. HI MADAM CAN U COMMENT UR VIEW ON SOLAR IND AND DONEAR IND at corrected price and can u let me ur email id for portfolio allocation

    ReplyDelete
  40. Now when the crude has gained some strength, how would it affect the performance of Kothari Petro?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Intermediate industries are able to pass the rise in the input cost to consumer. If crude will rise then definitely cost of its by products will also rise. Once business condition will improve then it will create business volume and profit will go up much higher in percentage.

      Delete
  41. Dipendra Khatiwara

    You can send mail to get detailed answer for your query.

    dolly1970.khanna@gmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  42. Hi Mam: How do you see prospects of Kamdhenu vs. Surana Solar and Donear?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. What I see the prospectus of above stocks that I have posted on the blog, now time will prove it. We can analyse it on yearly basis. We cannot analyse any stock within 3 to 6 months based on its price movement.

      Delete
  43. Ma'am please compare hydro power with solar power...I thick there is no carbon di oxide emission from hydro power,plenty of location r available for hydro power in India,then why we r going for solar power & wind power?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hydroelectric Power Plant is having serious environmental implication, population settlement and relocation, land acquisition for dam, very high construction cost, very few companies can dare to participate, very long time from planning to completion, depend upon rain. Companies like JP Power has lost billion of rupees but still dispute not settled.

      Solar Power just opposite of above and every house can be part of solar mission by installing solar units on roof top.

      Delete
  44. Mam can u pls clarify on waterbase n pennai merger. Waterbase is buying pennai business and increasing capacity but what waterbase is going to pay in exchange of getting business and how ? I mean new debt will be raised to buy ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can find complete details on below links

      http://www.waterbaseindia.com/pdf/scheme_of_amalgamation/annexure_2_draft_scheme_of_amalgamation.pdf

      http://www.waterbaseindia.com/pdf/investor_presentation/Investor_Presentation.pdf

      Delete
  45. Ma'am Umang Dairy vs Surana Solar...which is better for the medium term. I can't buy both right now

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are different sector, I have already given detail about solar sector, now you have to decide.

      Delete
  46. Thanks for your reply madam i have one request can u please post one blog on pre budget and highiliting points on prebudget and sectors to look in for budget and sectors to look in as avoid and.... key points of budget

    ReplyDelete
  47. Madam can you tell us how much is Surana solars total Order book in MW epc project and for how much they are going to book profit in Q3 and Q4 .And No of days in working capital is 212days which I think is too high.Maa'm what's your view...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Results are very near, it will give us the exact data.

      I have posted the link in blog about order book guidelines given by management.

      Note - Our investment based on future outlook of solar sector.

      Delete
    2. Madam,

      Dont u think Websol and Ujaas are better picks than Surana?

      Delete
  48. Hi Mam,

    Can I start SIP for two years in waterbase ,I can invest around 3 lacs, Is it return like Avanti feeds.

    ReplyDelete
  49. Madam, I am invested in ABFRL 550 stocks at 190 average price. I want to add another 250 at CMP & hold it for 10 yrs. Please suggest where I can see this after 10 yrs what percent return.

    ReplyDelete
  50. NIKHIL JHAWER

    You can send mail to get detailed answer for your query.

    dolly1970.khanna@gmail.com


    ReplyDelete
  51. Maam,

    Going against my own rules, i made a foolish trading bet in Treehouse education. I did not keep any stop loss and am staring at a 50% loss. The stock seems to be a taking a beating due to dubious management practices and is falling almost everyday.
    I know you do not track this company however i would be grateful if by your judgement if you can tell me whether i should exist this position or keep holding The loss is bearable to me. I believe i can invest the money (around 60k) in one of the good stocks that we discuss in this forum.

    ReplyDelete
  52. Hi mam very good morning,
    When is the Q1 of waterbase,date please.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Rama Qtr1 will be Apr 16 to Jun 16. Madam suggest buy on every dip before Q1 means
      Feb, March 16 or April 16 in every market correction or dips same would be is buy opportunity.

      Delete
    2. It is from 1 April - 30 June and result of this Q1 will be in August.

      Delete
  53. Hi Dollymam,

    What is your prediction on idfc bank. The way they have started with hi tech technologies. Do you think it will become next hdfc bank. Is it a good investment at this price

    ReplyDelete
  54. mam,
    may i hold your recommended stocks for 10 years?how much return should i expect from this stocks?
    is it may be infosys or Asianpaints? i don't want to see daily market, it's too dangerous.plzz tell me..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need also to monitor the company update and performance on quarterly basis. Booking profit after achieving the set target and reinvestment important. First target for these stock to achieve 300 -500% in 3-4 years then we go for further action accordingly.

      Delete
  55. Madam

    Any recommendations of IPO in future in the blog

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Kalappa,
      Just to let you know that Dolly ji has made it very clear that she does not track Banking sector and also does not invest in any stock at the time of IPO. Pleaer read through the current and previous blogs and you will get answers to lot of your questions. Thanks

      Delete
  56. Pasupati acrlyj ltd purachase kar sakte hai kya

    ReplyDelete
  57. EXCELLENT CLASS OF ART WORK BY YOU SIR AM VERY THANKFUL FOR THE SERVICE DONE BY YOU,AND AMAZED WITH THE WAY YOU ARE ANSWERING FOR ALL THE SILLY DOUBTS AND QUESTIONS,HIGHLY THANKFUL TO YOU AND WISH GOD TO GIVE YOU HEALTHY AND PROSPEROUS DAYS AHEAD.THANKS A LOT AND HATS OFF SIR.

    ReplyDelete
  58. Dear Mam, what is your view on Mbl infra given that govt planning to push for highway projects

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully complete infra sector will start moving and companies related to highway development will get benefit first.

      Delete
  59. Today I have seen shirts n trousers with brand name donear nxg at more outlet bangalore. They are expanding their business.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, within 2-3 years it will expand its network to become popular brand.

      Delete
  60. In one of the blog u posted that DTIL 3 rd quarter result are very good.Then why the stock is continuously in downtrend & how much more downtrend expected?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. People wants to see the results of FMCG business and looking for better dividend. It is providing good opportunity to add more. It will not fall much from current level. Hopefully it will meet or exceed above expectation.

      Delete
  61. Mam, I'm the reader of blog right from its launch.. I have concluded that you are not a fan of banking sector. Is it same for financial sector (NBFCs etc.) ? In fact some banks like HDFC Bank/KVB and NBFCs like Sundaram Finance etc. have given fabulous returns in past. Mam, would like to know specific reasons for avoidance of these sectors as the same may help those considering investments in these sectors to be extra careful while evaluating their businesses.. Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nothing special but this sector not matching to our criteria. Ultimately they will also invest in stocks but difference is only, when we will book the profit that time they will start investing.

      Delete
  62. Today it is not in UC. Buying opportunity for everyone who could not get it on Friday. Cheers!!

    ReplyDelete
  63. someone is trying so hard to bring this share down today... may be some biggies want to buy more shares.

    ReplyDelete
  64. Mam - DO u really think Waterbase can be next Avanati Feed in terms of future share price ? i really doubt bcz avanti has very low equity base and very high revenue compare to waterbase this is biggest laggard for waterbase. also post merger equity base for waterbase is still going to increase and if pennai business is not able to contribute same profit as waterbase on per share basis then indirectly it means destorying wealth of waterbase investors. What is your view on this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Avanti Feeds FV = 2 Total shares 45,415,210 cmp =420
      Waterbase FV = 10 Total shares 41,426,780 (Post merger of Pinnae Feed) cmp = 77

      Sure Waterbase can give better % return than Avanti

      A

      Delete
  65. Ma'am got 500@60 & another 500@61.30 using AMO.i hope safe price

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is also very good price for investment plan of 2-3 years.

      Delete
  66. Madam,

    Bought few stocks

    ReplyDelete
  67. Today I have bought 500 shares @57 I have read the news about the change in steel policy, can you pls update on the policy change.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good and timely decision to enter in Kamadhenu.

      The government has imposed a minimum import price (MIP) duty from $341 to $752 per tonne on 173 steel products to revive the local steel makers. These companies are suffering from increase in cheap imports from China.

      Below given link for the list of 173 HS Codes coming under iron and steel products

      http://dgft.gov.in/exim/2000/NOT/NOT15/Notificaiton%20No.38(E).pdf

      These MIP conditions are valid for six months.

      Delete
  68. I have purchased 5000 shares of Kamadhenu @ 56, seeing the paint business. Paint business is having a bright future due to lesser number players in the market. When will be the paint business shares will be listed separately.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure, it has very bright future for all business verticals especially for paint and plywood. Company has intention to list it within 2 - 3 years or near to 500 crores of paint business turnover.

      Delete
    2. while the stock will do good, I am not so bullish on paint business, Asian paints is a very good company and has very strong distribution, why will anyone buy kamdhenu paints?

      Delete
    3. Need to also look at market capital and PE. These are the main deciding factors to get multiple gain in any stock.

      Delete
  69. Quarterly results for KOTHARI PETROCHEMICALS have been declared today which doesn't seem to be impressive at all...please provide your valuable guidance madam as I am holding 20 thousand quantity @25.65, I am still a long term investor in this but your opinion about results of KOTHARI will give us relief. Thanks in advance!!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Raw material supply and production was interrupted due to heavy rain and floods for more than one month in Tamil Nadu. By seeing the severity of flood and damages these results are still good and company able to post result with small profit.

      Company Updates 09-Feb-2016

      Kothari Petrochemicals Limited has informed the Exchange that the company is planning to install additional pipelines facilities and other utilities in its Polyisobutylene (PIB) unit located at Manali near Chennai to receive its raw materials through these pipe lines. It has also been planned for overall improvement in the utilities for its entire complex at Manali Unit by incurring a capital outlay of Rs. 25 Crores in the coming financial year 2016-17. This is likely to improve its operational plant efficiency and also is expected to ensure uninterrupted supply of its raw materials. The above proposal has been approved by the Board of Directors at its meeting held on February 09, 2016.

      Delete
  70. Madam can I buy marksans pharma on current price

    ReplyDelete
  71. Worst result from kothari. No benefit of crude fall is visible.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Raw material supply and production was interrupted due to heavy rain and floods for more than one month in Tamil Nadu. By seeing the severity of flood and damages these results are still good and company able to post result with small profit.

      Company Updates 09-Feb-2016

      Kothari Petrochemicals Limited has informed the Exchange that the company is planning to install additional pipelines facilities and other utilities in its Polyisobutylene (PIB) unit located at Manali near Chennai to receive its raw materials through these pipe lines. It has also been planned for overall improvement in the utilities for its entire complex at Manali Unit by incurring a capital outlay of Rs. 25 Crores in the coming financial year 2016-17. This is likely to improve its operational plant efficiency and also is expected to ensure uninterrupted supply of its raw materials. The above proposal has been approved by the Board of Directors at its meeting held on February 09, 2016.

      Delete
  72. Madam
    I am holding some shares of Nandan denim at an average price of Rs.150+ per share.Currently it's trading at a level of Rs. 130.
    Does it make financial sense to book loss and Invest in DTIL/Technocraft/Kamdhenu Ispat with a time horizon of 2-3 years from now?

    Secondly, among the above three recommended stocks of yours, which one has best fundamental?

    Thanks in advance for your precious advice.

    Warm Regards..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to stick with decision, NDL is good stock for long term. In current market correction most of the stock corrected 10 -20 %.

      All three stocks are having very strong fundamentals and with some unique speciality. Technocraft is matured and very near to give good return, DTIL will take 1 -2 years and Kamadhenu will take 2- 3 years.

      Delete
  73. Replies
    1. Not tracking above stock but Ashiana Housing and Ganesh Housing are better option in this sector.

      Delete
    2. Mam do u think Results of Ashiana Housing were extremely poor

      Delete
  74. Madam holding DTIL 200 shares @220 and bought KIL 500 shares @56. Both are very good investment for long term, I'm going to carry for 2-3 years for better returns. I also hold GATI 300 shares @ 165 and ESCORTS 200 shares @160. Madam, I request your valuable views on GATI and ESCORTS. Thanks Mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati is good stock for long term investment only. Not tracking Escorts

      Delete
  75. Can we invest in nocil for 1-2 years.it has corrected a bit but the sales has come down in the recent q3 results. Wat do you suggest

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for investment around 40 and able to give 15 -20% yearly return.

      Delete
  76. Madam I have 3000 of Surana Solar, 2750 of Donear, 1500 of Kothari Petrochemical & 500 Kamdhenu Ispat Ltd. only Donear Inds give me 48% return as on date.

    Which one is most valuable as future prospects and please suggest in which stock i raise my positions and convert all shares from KOTHARI PETROCHEMICAL with SURANA SOLAR & KAMDHENU ISPAT as compare to both have bright future prospectus and give higher% return then KOTHARI PETROCHEMICALS.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to hold, no change in fundamental of any stock. Market downtrend will reverse before budget. Stocks exposed to southern states suffered more due to severe floods in Nov-Dec 2015.

      Delete
  77. madam,

    Your views on HCL infosystems ?

    ReplyDelete
  78. Kamdhenu available @ very cheap price... its in less than 1st days upper circuit value. Don't complaint that you din get chance to enter. This is the chance. Anticipating good results. Only two trading sessions left.

    ReplyDelete
  79. Ma'am the reason for this correction?everything seems to b fine.NPA everyone knows.whose selling

    ReplyDelete
  80. Do you like any stock in infra space?

    ReplyDelete
  81. Dolly mam,

    Nifty is falling around 100 points daily which was not the case previously. All recommended stocks by you are down. When do you see markets will stage a recovery and go up, is it after crude oil settles or after budget. Please advice.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Market downtrend will reverse before budget. All stocks are falling not only suggested stocks! This is the best time to add more and hold with patience.

      Delete
  82. Dear Dolly ji, Firstly Thanks a lot for some great inputs on your choices of Interesting stocks for the future... I will be glad to know your views on GVK Power & Infra...

    ReplyDelete
  83. Hi Dolly Mam, I have sent an email to your mail id, asking for clarification on the portfolio. Appreciate your inputs on the same. Regards,Ravi

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I will reply to all emails during week end, sorry for inconvenience.

      Delete
  84. Respected mam.as a novice investor i have lost 1 lakh(20%) of my portfolio. Today my networth sinks to 80%.surana,kotheri.dtil.even tiil down heavily. Little bit worried mam.situation may turn more negative in coming days. What to do ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. From last 3 days market correcting and heavy stampede selling has eroded 10-20% of every portfolio. Hopefully it will reverse the trend very soon and all stocks will regain its value. Actually issue was related to banking sector but it dragged whole market.

      Delete
  85. Maa'm, What's your view on Surana Solar Q3 result.....
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies

    1. QoQ there is some improvement but still lagging YoY. Revenues from ongoing project not taken in Q3. Hopefully it will be completed and appear in Q4 as per guidelines given by management.

      Delete
  86. Dolly Mam: When this carnage will stop? Please suggest.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully it will reverse the trend very soon and all stocks will regain its value before budget. Issue was related to banking sector NPA but it dragged whole market.

      Delete
    2. Dear madam,
      RBI given 2017 march is the dead line for banks to show their NPA in balance sheet.I think till next year banking sector will be in red.SO,how the market will grow ? and how our midcap and small cap shares will react ?

      Delete
  87. Madamji, pl comment on Surana Solar Q3 results.Huge fall of 8% today??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Heavy stampede selling has toll on several stocks, weak results for Q3 has put more pressure on it. Company has posted Q3 result with some improvement on QoQ but still lagging YoY. Revenues from ongoing project not taken in Q3. Hopefully it will be completed and appear in Q4 as per guidelines given by management.

      Delete
  88. Also Kothari had a great fall.Pl guide

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Heavy stampede selling has toll on several stocks, weak results for Q3 has put more pressure on it.
      Company has posted positive results even though raw material supply and production was interrupted due to heavy rain and floods for more than one month.

      Company working on project to improve the efficiency and cost saving
      http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/reports/kothari-petrochemicals-limited-2867541.html

      Hopefully it will start giving better results from Q4

      Delete
  89. Hi Madam,
    What is the expected return on Kamdhenu?

    ReplyDelete
  90. looks like markets will go down to 6400 levels another 10% lower on nifty. If 6400 breached then we could see more panic.how much more on stocks we do not know. Is it advisable to cut all positions or endure the pain and add more.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No one knows the bottom but Indian economy and market is best among the world for investment. Current situation will not last longer by seeing the strength of economy. Fall is triggered by banking sector due to RBI guidelines to clean their balance sheet and improve the quality of assets.

      Delete
  91. Hi mam VGM.
    Can I star accumulate waterbase slowy.any thing favour from coming budget for this stock?which are budget favour stocks from our portfolio,recommended by you mam.please share quick recover ones from budget,so portfolio reach to profits.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can start adding in small quantities. It will recover very quickly.

      Delete
  92. Madam ji I hv invested in all yr reco stocks over the padt 45 days .Shud i try to average out at this stage or wait for 1/2 months.Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can start adding in small quantities. These stocks will recover very quickly. Technocraft, Waterbase, Kavery seed, DTIL are trading at very low price.

      Delete
  93. Everywhere its bleeding

    ReplyDelete
  94. Hi Dolly Mam, it's free fall of market today and all analysts are saying this big sell off is from FII's and HNI's. Mutual funds in India are still not selling but if they also start selling due to redemption pressure from retail investors it may become even worse. Your views on this deep cut in the market and looks like may be a very prolonged bear market due to global issues. Do you suggest to book some losses and sit on cash. Please advise.

    Regards,
    Venu.

    ReplyDelete
  95. Dear blog readers,
    If we look @ today's Market Cap/GDP ratio it's 61% which is same that was in march 2009 & it was 58% in august 2013.....Rest of the story every1 knows what followed after that who track the mkt.People r playing fastest fingers first & selling their stocks like world is gonna end 2morrow,fear has taken d centrestage.... in the investment world rearview mirror is more clearer den the windshield.The last leg of correction is most painful & frightening so probably we r near about n lets not forget the best opportunity cums in investing amidst fear.....!!!
    इस रात की भी सुबह होगी

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. nicely said sir... perfect saying in perfect time!

      Delete
  96. Dtil is the best buy at camp ? Madam what about jk agri genetics. If get at 450? Is it a gd buy?

    ReplyDelete
  97. Madam please post ur view on todays MKT and budgets in details and opportunities.

    ReplyDelete
  98. Hi Mam, in this free fall market, do you suggest to avail Technocraft buyback offer? Please advise.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. well according to common sense, you should avail the offer and buy the stock at cheaper price from the market.

      Delete
  99. Dear DOLLY mam, the cost of production of shrimp farming has increased considerably due to the outbreak of disease on account of flooding and the decline in the prices of shrimp by nearly 40% will have an adverse impact on the financial performance of Waterbase in the coming quarters. The increase in supply of shrimp will affect prices of shrimp. Request your feedback on how long will this scenario prevail, going forward waterbase results may not be attractive.

    ReplyDelete
  100. Madam. Please let us know what is your view about jk agri results? It has reported loss on quarterly basis. Also consolidated Yoy profit is less compare to last year.

    ReplyDelete
  101. It seems due to correction all those who were regretting of not being able to enter because of continous UC's, is getting a golden chance to enter Mam"s latest recommended stock KIL. I already bought earlier but due to attractive price at the present moment,I am again purchasing some more quantities. As the expected Q3 results are expected to be good and will be announced soon the price of the stock may rise rapidly. Later we won't be able to buy at such lower prices.

    ReplyDelete
  102. Hi mam.. Your timely guidance help our attitude to stick with our decision and stocks.. Thank you so much for your guidance.. We are happy to follow this blog..

    ReplyDelete
  103. I read somewhere that DB bank is in big trouble and if it goes bankrupt it will be 5x of Lehman and few other are on list are citi n Barclays as well.

    ReplyDelete
  104. Dear madam,
    RBI given 2017 march is the dead line for banks to show their NPA in balance sheet.I think till next year banking sector will be in red.SO,how the market will grow ? and how our midcap and small cap shares will react ?

    Reply

    ReplyDelete