Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail
CMP -143
Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited “ABFRL” has become India’s largest pure-play fashion company in men's and women's branded garments segment after the consolidation of the branded apparel businesses of Pantaloons Fashion and Retail (PFRL) and Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MFL) in May 2015. Post the consolidation, PFRL was renamed Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd.
Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MF&L), a division of Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited (ABFRL) is a true Indian icon and owner of iconic brands like Louis Philippe, Allen Solley and Peter England. It has acquired the global rights for these brands. It also got perpetual license rights of premium brand Van Heusen from PVH (Philips Van Heusen) USA for India, Middle East and SAARC countries. Four of its brands are among India's top fashion names, with MRP sales in excess of INR 1,000 crore each.
Louis Philippe leads the aspiration for fashion excellence, giving its customers access to the finest in global fashion. MFL operation also include India's largest fully integrated fashion multi-brand outlet chain 'Planet Fashion' , premium international brand retailer 'The Collective', the country's largest fully integrated, full collection, fashion e-retailer ' Trendin' and the British fashion icon Hackett London's mono-brand retail in India.
Pantaloon Fashion & Retail a division of ABFRL is one of the most loved and fastest growing large format fashion retailer in India. Pantaloons retails over 200 licensed and international brands, including 14 exclusive in-house brands. The Pantaloons exclusive brand bouquet include Rangmanch, Ajile, Honey, Akkriti, Chalk, Annabelle, Trishaa, Alto Moda, Poppers, Chirpie Pie; besides, it also features brands licensed on a long-term basis: Bare, Rig, SF Jeans, Byford, JM Sports, Lombard and Candies. It also retails partner brands such as John Miller, Celio, Spykar, Levis and Lee Cooper in menswear, Jealous 21, 109*F, AND, Chemistry and KRAUS in women's, western wear BIBA, Global Desi, and W in women's ethnic wear Barbie and Ginny & Jony in kidswear. PFRL offers a wide range of brand offerings across apparel and non-apparel categories and across varied price points. It operates across categories of casual wear, ethnic wear, formal wear, party wear and activewear for men, women and kids. Womenswear is the lead category contributing to half of total apparel sales. Non-apparel products include footwear, handbags, cosmetics, perfumes, fashion jewellery and watches.
Investment Rationale
Branded apparel business is fast-growing and it has high growth potential possibilities in future. ABFRL enjoys best-in class profitability and management pedigree in its branded apparel business.
MFL has four most powerful fashion brands of India- Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solley and Peter England. Fast growing popularity of these brands among young generation will lead exponential growth for ABFRL. MFL has the ownership / perpetual license of its brands, It will give freedom of brand extensions to new categories like including sportswear, footwear, bags & accessories products and new geographies.
In fact MFL has already working on strategy of product extensions from last couple of years by launching ‘LP Young’, a colorful, classy version of Louis Philippe to cater to the youth and launched a new product brand ‘LP Shoes’ with three Exclusive Brand Outlets (EBO) for LP Shoes operational in Bangalore. Brand ownership also results in savings of royalty expenses. No any other fashions retailing company in India is having similar strength to compete with unique business model of ABFRL.
Madura has very strong presence in the menswear segment. Pantaloons fills the product gaps on the womenswear and kids wear portfolio of ABFRL. It has niche in women’s ethnic wear market and kids market. The combination of Madura and Pantaloons is highly synergetic to reduce the cost by utilizing retail space, inventory management, distribution, manpower under ABFRL. Ultimately it will help to improve operational efficiencies which will result in better margin and profit.
Both Madura and Pantaloons have wide range of products for different genders, age groups and different affordability from luxury to mass segment.
Recent tie-up with the global brand 'Izabel London' and 'Forever 21' will enable the company to strengthen its position in premium womenswear segment.
ABFRL altogether hosts India's largest fashion network with over 7,000 points of sale across over 375 cities and towns, which include more than 2,000 exclusive ABFRL brand outlets. ABFRL's e-commerce business, Trendin.com reaches out to multiple destinations across India and world. With more than 13.5 million Loyalty Members as of Mar '16, ABFRL has a strong bouquet of loyalty programmes in India. ABFRL boasts of creating more than 20,000 new designs every year.
Recent approval and implementation of the 7th Pay Commission recommendations for pay hike of 20 -25 percent will increase the purchasing power of mass public. With increase in per capita income and disposable income will lead middle class young population towards branded apparel segment. Branded apparel business is expected to grow CAGR in between 15 -20% for next five year. ABFRL is strong beneficiary and it is well set to capture rising opportunities in next 2-3 years.
Madura’s distribution model comprises COCO, COFO or FOFO stores, depending on the place of function. Its flexible model helps in tapping regional markets efficiently. ABFRL has very aggressive expansion plan to add 300 -350 new stores under MFL, mostly FOFO or 'Buy & Sell' light asset business model stores. It require low capex and expansion will take place quickly. Company has three consignment stores format of exclusive brand outlets (EBOs) - Company Owned Company Operated (COCO), Company Owned Franchisee Operated (COFO), Franchisee Owned Franchisee Operated (FOFO). Madura also sells its brands through Buy and Sell (B&S) stores.
ABFRL has launched online sales portal TRENDIN.com to scale-up e-commerce business. It will also showcase its entire range of brands and products and capitalize on the growing importance of online as a sales channel. The management also plans to empower its current offline presence with an OMNI channel network, wherein consumers can pick a particular design/product even if it is not available in the store and ABFRL can deliver the product to the consumer’s address either from a nearby store of the nearby warehouse. ABFRL has direct supply agreements in place with e-commerce players. ABFRL sells directly to third party e-commerce channels and has agreements in place with its traditional channel ensuring discipline in sales through the e-commerce model. The company also operates independently through its website www.trendin.com The rapid growth of e commerce provides sufficient scope to ramp up in this channel.
Madura is alone generating annual profit around 300 crores and debt of 1200 crores came in the books of Pantaloons can be easy retired within few years. ABFRL will also get tax rebate due to carry forward losses by Pantaloons. In FY 15-16 losses are mainly due to lease rentals of Pantaloons stores for 6 years and company has given details about it under results notes # 8 and 9.
http://www.bseindia.com/corporates/resultNotes.aspx?Scrip_cd=535755&scripName=Aditya%20Birla%20Fashion%20and%20Retail%20Ltd&qtrcode=89.50
Recently GOI has approved 6,000 crore special package for the textile and apparel sector. It is specially helpful for the people working in garment sector. Final draft of the policy will be announced in coming weeks.
ABFRL is already undisputed market leader in branded apparel segment. Recent initiative by government for textile sector and implementation 7th pay commission will further boost the growth prospects of apparel industry. Average industry PE for fashion retail segment is around 75 but ABFRL will trade on higher PE for being best in class. Several retail investors and fund houses bought this gem above 200 but market has given best opportunity to buy at much lower price at right time.
ABFRL is already blue chip stock, Madura Fashion & Retail was highest profitable segment demerged from Aditya Birla Nuvo to merge with loss making Pantaloons with aim to create super brand fashion company. The debt of Pantaloons is very small if we see business volume and profit of Madura Fashion. Aditya Birla group will not take much time to make Pantaloon highly profitable, capabilities of group chairman Kumar Mangalam Birla are well known to the market and investors. He is master in converting loss making business into profitable. Recently they have acquired major cement asset from loss making JP Group. UltraTech Cement, Grasim, Aditya Birla Nuvo and Hindalco Industries are other major listed companies from Aditya Birla group.
Conclusion
ABFRL is already undisputed market leader in branded apparel segment. Recent initiative by government for textile sector and implementation 7th pay commission will further boost the growth prospects of apparel industry. Average industry PE for fashion retail segment is around 75 but ABFRL will trade on higher PE for being best in class. Several retail investors and fund houses bought this gem above 200 but market has given best opportunity to buy at much lower price at right time.
ABFRL is already blue chip stock, Madura Fashion & Retail was highest profitable segment demerged from Aditya Birla Nuvo to merge with loss making Pantaloons with aim to create super brand fashion company. The debt of Pantaloons is very small if we see business volume and profit of Madura Fashion. Aditya Birla group will not take much time to make Pantaloon highly profitable, capabilities of group chairman Kumar Mangalam Birla are well known to the market and investors. He is master in converting loss making business into profitable. Recently they have acquired major cement asset from loss making JP Group. UltraTech Cement, Grasim, Aditya Birla Nuvo and Hindalco Industries are other major listed companies from Aditya Birla group.
Hello Madam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the new stock pick. Apart from debt which you have clarified to be reduced in coming days, price to book value seems to be very high. Is it a concern? Thanks!!
Price to book value is very good, it owner best brands and operate on light attest franchise business model. Page, Jubilant foods, Kewal Kiran Clothing are not owner of their main brands.
DeleteThanks madam for this new stock.what return can we expect in next 3 years
ReplyDeleteAt least 300 -500% in 3 -4 years
DeleteHi Mam,
ReplyDeleteI have bought this @209, when it was pantaloons. Currently it is 9% of my portfolio. Can I add some more at this price. What is the potential of this stock in the next 2-3 years time frame, and how much of the portfolio can be allocated for this.
Yes you can increase the allocation upto 15 -20%
DeleteThanks Mam for introducing us to this hidden gem. Its a true consumption story. Lets hope we can full our bags on Monday. Thanks tons and best wishes.
ReplyDeleteMam whether this is the stock u have mentioned to gift it for children and grand children.
ReplyDeleteYes, it is just beginning for ABFRL. It will become big large cap company in 7 -10 years. Its main brands will stay with company for life long because it is owner of main brands.
DeleteHi Dolly Mam, Thanks for the new stock idea. Is this stock good for short term and long term or only for long term?
ReplyDeleteCompany will start showing good profit in next 2 quarters so it is for short term ( 6 -12 months).
DeleteIt is for short term means?? You never recommended any stock for short term maam . Thank you ...
DeleteWas this recommended after market hours.
ReplyDeletethanks for your wonderful stock pick and care towards investors maam :) regards suman
ReplyDeleteHi Dolly Mam, you suggested that for some stocks not to exceed 10% of allocation and for some others like TCI we can have 20%-30% allocation in the portfolio. Can we allocate 25% of portfolio to this stock? Is this stock you was referring to gift to our kids?
ReplyDeleteYes you can give higher allocation for this stock. It is just beginning for ABFRL, it will become big large cap company in 7 -10 years. Its main brands will stay with company for life long because it is owner of main brands.
DeleteThank you ma'am fr the new stock reco.
ReplyDeleteWill it give short term gain?
What is designed long term target we can expect ?
At least 300 -500% in 3 -4 years and 30 -40% for short term ( 6 -12 months).
DeleteThanks for the gem madam
ReplyDeleteThanks for your Recommendation..
ReplyDeleteThank you mam.
ReplyDeleteThanks mam for new reco. Could you please provide your view on the following points.
ReplyDelete1. Promoters share holding reduced during Jan-Mar'16 quarter.
2. High Debt.
3. How much returns can we expect and time frame.
Share holding came down as per scheme of arrangement. You can find the details in below link
Deletehttp://bsmedia.business-standard.com/_media/bs/data/announcements/bse/16092015/90A5C821_5C3A_4EAE_8EB9_C456607CEFB5_100510.pdf
If we see the business volume, profit and future growth than current debt is looks small for ABFRL size company.
At least 300 -500% return expected in 3 -4 years
Only disadvantage of this company is its large equity base some 77crore,which is good for institutional investors not for small retail investor.
ReplyDeleteABFRL will trade at 80 -100 P/E ratio. Expected sales turnover in next 5 -6 years will be around 15000 - 20000 crores and profit will be above 1000 crore. Equity base in current situation is ok but it need to be expanded further in coming years because it is going to become big large cap company. Most of the institutional investors shareholding came from demerger with Aditya Birla Nuvo but they increased it more than 2% in last 6-7 months.
DeleteHi Dolly mam,
ReplyDeletePromoters stake comes down from 72% to 59%. Any info on that front.
Thanks and regards
Vinay
It is as per scheme of arrangement. You can find the details in below link
Deletehttp://bsmedia.business-standard.com/_media/bs/data/announcements/bse/16092015/90A5C821_5C3A_4EAE_8EB9_C456607CEFB5_100510.pdf
Thanks mam n god bless you ! For picking suck a good stock , look like it already reached basement n downside is very less.
ReplyDeleteI need a suggestion on how can I buy this stock Monday morning it will go UC as all your followers will try to buy .. is there any way I can trigger off line transaction before Monday morning market get open .. please help/advice me !
Stock has enough liquidity, you can buy it easily.
DeleteThanks mam n god bless you ! For picking suck a good stock , look like it already reached basement n downside is very less.
ReplyDeleteI need a suggestion on how can I buy this stock Monday morning it will go UC as all your followers will try to buy .. is there any way I can trigger off line transaction before Monday morning market get open .. please help/advice me !
Stock has enough liquidity, you can easily get it in the price range 150 -160.
DeleteCan you suggest price to place the order
ReplyDeleteStock has enough liquidity, you can easily get it in the price range 150 -160.
DeleteDollji jain irrigation has started in food processing business at chittor in ap and jalgaon in maharastra in recent past, ple suggest me is it right time to buy as a multibagger in long term .
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Jain Irrigation.
DeleteThis company is in food processing business from very long time. It is major supplier of fruit pulps used in soft drinks.
1.Based on the your previous replies in the comments I bought TIIL and TCI today @ CMP , hope that is fine .. I' m having long-term view atleast 2 year I can wait with out any issue , I will accumulate accordingly if any correction takes place for 10-15 % , let me know if it does work for us ..
ReplyDelete2.And also what's your view on apcotex India ?? Can I enter @ CMP
Definitely it will work very well if you have patience to hold these stocks.
DeleteApcotex is good stock but price has already gone up in last few months.
Thanks a lot Ma'am for your selfless service
ReplyDeleteThanks mam for caring small Investors,like me & God bless.
ReplyDeleteThank you madam for this one....
ReplyDeletewow jus sold friday at 145 with intention to buy back lower. Now have to chase it. Bad luck i guess. Thx mam anyway. I believe in this story.
ReplyDeleteIt happens, some products or business model are easy to believe and understand but some are typical and tough to believe.
Deletemam my badluck i sold it recently at 137 after buying at 130 as it was not moving and suddeny it went above 140
ReplyDeleteDear Madam,
ReplyDeleteMarch Quarter result reported loss. even after merger the company reported loss, what is the reason?
i see depreciation increased?
your views on reporting loss after merger please share
It is easy to understand with below example
DeleteIf anybody will buy old house than it need some renovation, plastering, painting and cleaning to bring it back in good usable condition according to his requirement and likeness.
Would it be advisable to buy this stock in sip mode for the next one year?
ReplyDeleteYou can buy it below 200 if available.
DeleteMam, can bayer crop science give multifold returns?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteDolly Mam, you have mentioned MFL has the ownership/perpetual rights for 04 most popular brands viz. VH,AS,PE and LP. How ABFRL can benefit from this ? Can we take ABFRL as the indirect owner/perpetual license holder of these brands ??
ReplyDeletePlease elaborate and clarify as this perhaps is the most important criteria for investment decision for small investors like me ! Thanks and regards !!
Ownership of any popular brands itself a huge asset.
Deletehttp://www.forbes.com/powerful-brands/list/#tab:rank .
If any company loose its brand then entire business will collapse . For example Arvind and Page Industries are holding licenses of popular brands for India region for particular period. Page industries is not the owner of Jockey brand but got exclusive licensee of Jockey Brand products from Jockey International to use it till 2030. Similarly Jubilant Foodworks has got exclusive franchise agreement to use Domino brand till 2025. Arvind, Jubilant Food and Page have to pay the brand royalties to the brand owners.
MFL is brand owner of Louis Philippe, Allen Solly and Peter England . Van Heusen is originally owned by Philips Van heusen company PVH - USA but Madura owns the perpetual right to use this brand. Perpetual license means you pay once for the license and own it forever in agreed countries. Brand ownership gives freedom to extend it in other products. Brand ownership also results in savings of royalty expenses.
http://www.perpetuallicensing.com/licensing_edu_terminology.php
Thanks Mam for detailed reply... However, still would like to know whether ABFRL can be considered now indirect owner of brands as now MFL is the part of ABFRL ??
DeleteAditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) is ultimate legal owner of all assets belongs its both divisions Pantaloon Fashion & Retail and Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MF&L).
DeleteHi mam. Some of the brand mentioned above are sold at shopper stop, West life, and some exclusive stores also. How it is related to abfrl's profitability. Thanks mam.
ReplyDeleteYes several MFL brands are sold in multibrand retail shops under Buy and Sell (B&S) model.
DeletePantaloons is also selling some brands under Buy and Sell (B&S) model due to this reason its product portfolio covering more than 200 brands. New management is working to reduce the numbers and focus on high margin own brands and exclusive licensed brands. Recent tie -up with Izabel London and acquisition of indian business of Forever 21 are steps taken to overhaul the Pantaloons portfolio.
hi maam yr view on satin credit , ujjivan for long term
ReplyDeleteAstec life is good stock but price has already gone up very high in last few months after acquired by Godrej Agrovet
DeleteSorry not tracking any of below stock
credit , ujjivan, kiri ind and sree renuka, moschip semi and mro teck, thyocare , mahanagar gas
Thanks a lot mam for your value picks..... Can you please suggest any consumer goods stock for long term...
ReplyDeleteLloyd Electric and Engineering is good to add below 200 for long term.
DeleteWhat's your view on Associated Alcohols Ma'am. Contract manufacturer for some of the best brands of the world and now selling liquor under their own brands also which are gaining popularity
ReplyDeleteOne of the very fee manufacturers of triple distilled extra fine grade grain spirit available are mouth watering valuations compared to peers.
Expecting an increase in disposable income in general, can this story be played as a proxy to the consumption theme
Sorry not tracking above stock
DeleteHello madam,
ReplyDeletewhat is ur view on Adlabs Entertainment? It has come down a lot from its IPO price and the business looks good for the future.
Sorry not tracking above stock
DeleteWhat is the Book value of ABFRL? As per Moneycontrol, BV is 11. Why is it only & just 11 ??
ReplyDeleteIt is operating on asset light franchise model and brand value not appearing in book value.
DeleteBelow example will give the idea of brand value
Recently ABFRL has signed Binding Memorandum of Understanding [MoU] with Forever 21 to acquire its exclusive online and offline rights to the global brand - Forever 21, for the Indian market and its existing store network in India from the current franchisee i.e. Diana Retail Private Limited.
Forever 21 has brands like Forever 21, XXI Forever, Love 21 and Heritage in its portfolio. It has annual turnover of 250 crores in India. Currently Diana Retail Pvt Ltd hold the franchise right and operating 12 stores in India. Approximate acquisition cost around 200 crores.
It translate the brand value 'Forever 21' is 75% of current turnover cost for only franchise rights in Indian market.
It means value of 'Louis Philippe' brand alone is more than total book value of the company.
Dear Madam,
ReplyDeleteBetween TCI and ABFRL, which one should I invest? Pls suggest.
Both sectors are having very good growth potential. Better to invest in both.
Deletegood evening, could you provide your views on IL&FS investment managers, jvl agro industries and neocorp international ltd.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteWhats your view on Llyod Electric and Engineering ?
ReplyDeleteLloyd Electric and Engineering is good stock to add below 200 for long term investment.
DeleteAs per my calculation the eps would be somewhere around 15 after 5 years. What is your view?
ReplyDeleteYes, expected eps around 12 - 15 in next 5 years.
DeleteThank you Madam for the new stock.
ReplyDeleteI wanted to know how would you compare ABFRL with its peers like Indian terrain, Zodiac,KKCL or v Mart & shoppers. Market cap of these smaller peers are 4-6 times of revenue.
Can ABFRL can command these kind of market cap
Thanks
It is just matter of few years, it will command much better market capitalisation than above companies.
DeleteHi Dolly Ji, when I asked about ABFRL in Feb, 2016 at Rs 190/- for long term investment, you said it can give 15%-20% return only. But now you are saying it can give 300%- 500% in 3-4 yrs.
ReplyDeleteBecause I was expecting some major correction and yearly result was in the month of May. Even now I have waited for further correction during Brexit but instead of correction it moved 5% up than I have decided to post it before announcement of textile policy which is specifically focused on revival of garment segment.
DeleteIt is much better blog readers to buy now around 140 -150 than buying it in Feb around 190 -200.
Excellent analysis mam
DeleteDear dolly mam what is the expected % returns from tiil for short term ,from cmp of 233,for time period of 3 to 4 months?thanks a lot
ReplyDeleteTIIL is not coming into the category of seasonal stock where we can predict some short term gain.
DeleteThxs mam for your new stocks. I will add in my portfolio
ReplyDeletedear dolly madam please update us the important factors of brexit and its effect on market blog readers may be benefited and can we expect further correction in context of brexit or the hangover is finished and we are into the bullish mode.not to time the market but to avoid the losses
ReplyDeleteNow Brexit is history. After two months you will find some new issue with new name. It is integral part of market.
Deletedolly madam your take on "wether to earn and invest or invest and earn " which one is correct in context of shares
ReplyDeleteOne person doing hard work in coal mine fields and other is also doing hard work in gym. In both cases they are doing hard work but their need and state of minds are different. A successful person in stock market has experience of both above mentioned conditions.
DeleteHello Madam,if I want to invest five stock at current market price with same allocation please suggest the stock.
ReplyDeleteBetter to invest initially in TCI and ABFRL
DeleteToo much is happening in textile sector, the decision is to be taken is a tough task.
ReplyDeleteany idea of deccan gold please
Sorry not tracking Deccan Gold
DeleteYes timely decision is important before it is too late to get in.
Hi Mam,
ReplyDeleteAny comments on GP Petroleums LTD @59 , Can I enter freshly for long-term ??
Sorry not tracking above stock
DeleteHi Dolly, do you track Welspun Corp, it looks attractive at current levels?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Welspun Corp
DeleteIs the story on JK Agri still intact? It is not moving at all
ReplyDeleteDon't decide a stock by seeing 1 yr performance....give it some time to grow
DeleteMam
ReplyDeleteyour views on
1) dic india a potential turnaround stock
2) hindustan media ventures
3)godrej properties
4)Tv today network
All above stock are very good, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.
DeleteHi Dolly Mam,
ReplyDeleteCan you please share your view on Future Enterprise ?
Future Enterprise, and Future consumer are good for long term investment only
DeleteHello madam,
ReplyDeleteIn one of your reply you mentioned to buy abfrl and tci.whereas in surana thread you mentioned that it is best stock of 2016. So what has gone wrong with it now even though it is available at very low price?
It's for long term investment
DeleteDo u expect ABFRL to turnaround and make profits in 2016-2017
ReplyDeleteYes
Deletehello Dolly mam,
ReplyDeleteCan you please share your view og GVk power
Sorry not tracking GVK
DeleteDear Mam, Because of the recent rally in DTIL, My Portfolio allocation in DTIL has gone up to 30%. I feel the company is very good and has a lot of potential.
ReplyDeleteOthers in the portfolio include TIIL, TCI and Talbros.
But please suggest If I need to reduce the allocation or 30% is ok. My buy price is Rs.249/-.
It is OK and you can hold as it is.
DeleteI am bullish on ABFRL since last 1 year. Birla has promised a 500 cr expansion plan with 100 madura and 10 pantaloon stores. Madura garments has grown at a cagr of 27% from 2010-2014. Can we expect a eps of 6.50-7.00 in 2016-2017
ReplyDeleteIt is expected to grow 15 -20% and eps around 3 to 4.
DeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeleteVery good morning,as you told surana is rocking from few sessions. As You reply when surana is in down trend,it resmbles waterbase ie after recommendation it went to 40 from 60, them from 40 to 175.I think it might happen, can we see surana at previous high, any good news from company/sector
It is very good stock for long term investment only. Solar sector is totally different from aquaculture and it will move gradualy.
DeleteMam I have so much faith in you that I had 1000 surana@36 but due to your positiveness I took 1000 surana@21 bringing my average to 29 and it touched 29 and in 27 levels. I plan to sell 1000@29 and then keep one lot.
ReplyDeleteMam moreover I read ABFRL is palnning to buy Jabong. Will it be a positive news?
Meanwhile I have bought 65 shares of ABFRL and rest by selling 1000 of surana. I hope ABFRL wont run away in that time
Jabong management is in talk with some potential buyers but still nothing materialised.
DeleteCan I Buy D-Link right now ?Whats your view on this stock ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteWhat is your view on Mold-Tek Packaging? It is going high. Should we keep this for a long term?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Girish
It is very good stock, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.
DeleteHi Mam, Thought That this stock would go UC today and I kept the offline order and it got executed @50 (400 shares - 25 % of my portfolio ) , As you already mentioned that in long term perspective we can expect 300 - 400 % returns , Hope that is fine, Again it is trading @ Your recommended price , Not sure If I can accumulate , That would be great if you can suggest me here!!?
ReplyDeleteIt is very good entry level price for long term investment. It will move gradually from this level in coming quarters.
DeleteHi Madam, Can you share your views on Suzlon?? If we keep a time horizon of more than 12 to 18 months will it be a multi-bagger?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Suzlon
DeleteHi mam. Once you spoke about surana solar's original value should be at 50. So we should hold tight ss till 50. Then can think partial profit booking. Ur valuable advice mam. Thanks mam.
ReplyDeleteIt is very good stock and it will regain its value with time.
DeleteHello Mam,
DeleteI entered Surana @ 20 (300 stocks) since then it rallied 40 % and now trading nearly 29 , but not sure If I can buy some more stocks , please suggest me ?
Yes, You can add if you are willing to hold it for 3-4 years
DeleteHi mam
ReplyDeleteAny views on nilkamal & insecticides?
Both are very good stock, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.
DeleteDear Mam
ReplyDeleteDo you track Pricol Ltd? There is a news about buying interest of Biggies.
And always gratitude towards your help and teachings.
Sorry not tracking Pricol
DeleteMadam why DTIL AND SURANA SOLAR share price is going up so fast?
ReplyDeleteNo specific reason
DeleteDear madam,
ReplyDeleteAlkali metals, i was going through it, since from inception not given any rights, bonus or split means no dilution.
Again From 2006 to 2009 though the topline in not as great like the 2016 except 2006, but the bottomline is very very fine which clock into good value of share as well that is till 2010 it was above 100, but after that it was to as low as 15, now can you tell me what makes it so low, still at present the valuation is very low as per me, even from 2014 to 2016 i see good growth in top and bottom line but with the same topline during past years of 2006 to 2009 it maintained the price of above 100
please explain i see the topline growth but bottomline not much and share price also not much even at the topline of 70cr it should trade above 100 but it is not ?
Explain please, i am interested in this script but needs some more clearity.
In July- Aug 2013 most of the stock touched 5 to 10 years bottom level so Alkali Metals is no exception. Company has made turnaround only few quarters back, top and bottom line further expected to improve in coming quarters.
DeleteMadam, what is your view for Amd Industries, 532828
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking AMD
DeleteHi Mam, what is your view about the TIIL MD's interview posted in money control ? It looks very good for longterm as they have plans of expansion and entering into defence sector also. What's your view on short term ? Will today's rally sustain and will it cross 300 by this quater?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Even without defence sector involvement, it is very good investment stock. Still most of the profit coming from drum closure segment. It is expected that some of the other segments from yarn, garment, engineering and IT will also start contributing in coming quarters which can easily take this stock to next level.
DeleteMA'AM your view on oriental carbon and chemical. As tyre industry is expected to grow at 7-8% can't it be indirect beneficiary.?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for sharing your wonderful detailed analysis of ABFRL. You have mentioned that average PE of the industry is 75, can you please let me know which companies you have considered while calculating PE of 75.
Thanks
You can compare it with PE other pure fashion retail of stocks like Trent, Shoppers Stop
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeleteCan u please share ur views on Future Consumer Enterprise?
It is good stock for long term investment only.
DeleteRespected madam,
ReplyDeleteWhy consumption stock command 70-80 PE, they are not going to grow 50% year on year for 5 years or so, Either was very different story. IT companies used to have such PE when they used to grow phenomenally. Even PEG is more than 1 and 1.5 times here
Because consumption stocks are having huge domestic market but most of the IT sector depends upon job work orders from US or EU
DeleteSure, luckily most of the readers were able to buy below 150. It is very good entry price.
ReplyDeleteDear Mam, Do you think Waterbase may cross 150 this year as it will add insurance money in profit, may be in Q2 result? Thank you.
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view
DeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeleteI am planning to invest in equity for the first time in couple of days.Request you to please suggest some good stocks with good returns in medium to long term benefits.
You can start with ABFRL
Deletewill help us by suggesting exit levels of the stocks as the way u helped in entry levels..will be helpful
ReplyDeleteSure I will suggest, once any stock will reach near to that level
DeleteMam, Does Venus Remedies have possibilities of becoming a Multi-bagger?
ReplyDeleteNo change in previous view
DeleteMAdam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for the stock
for Q2 chemical , fertilizers , paints are good stocks, Just want to know how a rainy season is good for chemical sectors ?
Thanx
Not all but agro chemicals.
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeletewhat is ur view on Krebs Bio and Orient Beverages?
Sorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteGood morning madam,
ReplyDeleteI've holding in KEI indu. and intrest in buy RPG life, kindly guide me if you tracking these stocks.
Sorry not tracking KEI
DeleteYou can continue to hold RPG Life for further gain
Dear Mam. I want to buy 10000 quantity for next 5 years holding what is the target
ReplyDeleteIn between 300 to 500% gain from cmp.
DeleteHi mam
ReplyDeleteWhat is the difference bw ab nuvo and aditya birla fashion & retail?
Better to visit on both websites to get the information in details.
Deletehttp://www.adityabirlanuvo.com/
http://www.abfrl.com/
Hello Mam,
ReplyDeletehttp://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/apparel-fashion/apparel/abfrl-completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore/53062241...
abfrl completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore, Does this have any impact in short long term? Or Can we except some correction ? - Please suggest.
Acquisition of 'Forever 21' business rights for India is very good for ABFRL in short as well as long term.
DeleteVery rare chance of further correction.
http://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/apparel-fashion/apparel/abfrl-completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore/53062241
Hi Dollyji, Xpro started moving after long time. Hopefully it will post good results in coming quarter.
ReplyDeleteYes
DeleteMadam is this stock in your portfolio.
ReplyDeleteYes
DeleteIt is not possible to post all these informations without buying it.
Respected Madam,
ReplyDeleteThank you for your wonderful analysis.
Could you please tell if Digjam Textiles is a potential turnaround story?
Sorry not tracking Digjam
DeleteHi Dolly Mam, generally you recommended stocks for 4-5yrs but for this stock you said, it can be gifted to kids and looks like you have very long term visibility. What is that in this company makes you feel that it can be very long term bet? please help us to understand.
ReplyDeleteCurrent turnover of ABFRL is around 6K crores. ABFRL has enough potential to cross 100K crores turnover in next 15-20 years.
DeleteGrowing income and brand awareness among the 70-80 crore middle class population will play major role in the growth of this company.
Thanks, your views on NOCIL please. Can it be accumulated at current levels
ReplyDeleteNOCIL is good stock and it can be added during market correction around 40-45.
DeleteMam,your view on noida toll ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking Noida Toll
DeleteHi Madam, I am having SBI @ 178 ( 450 shares)- Have been hearing that due to NPA issues it is not getting increased , as this stock is holding 25 % of my allocation and as you are very confidentally saying that ABRFL and TCI will rock in future - I would like to hear and follow you advice and it is very much valuable for a novice investor like me .. I am having TCI and ABRFL each 12% allocation to protfolio.
ReplyDeleteABRFL is still trading around 150 levles but TCI increased some 8 % recently ( around 340) ... If these two stocks are going to perform well in future compare to SBI I would like to sell and split the amount in to equals parts and invest in both stock.. Hope I didn't trouble with this long comment ...
Always thanks for your selfless service and guidance mam!.. The every penny I earned will because of mam!
Sorry not tracking SBI so it is difficult to give call on it.
DeleteIn general ABFRL and TCI are much better option than banking sector stocks. Both are having domestic consumption based business and both sector in focus of GOI.
Mam, can I invest tv18 broadcast from a 5 year horizon?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking TV 18
DeleteHello Maam,
ReplyDeleteI live in USA and have been following our blog and systematically investing in recommended stocks for the past years. I also invest in US stock market but I am confused as to whether to continue investing in US or move those funds to indian stock market as Growth prospects for indian companies are very large and india is still at a booming stage. Kindly guide me.
Regards,
Dhruv
yes, Indian equities are best option to invest than any other country in the world.
DeleteIn 4th July reply which co. U reply is good for entry @50/-
ReplyDeleteQuestion is not clear? Is it on blog or G+ or on email?
DeleteCan you share your view on Aspinwall And company Limited?
ReplyDeleteWhen will textile policy be out?
Sorry not tracking above stock.
DeleteAny idea of quickheal tech, shirpur gold
ReplyDeleteIf a company is going for the margin expansion, how will it effects to its bottomline and the share price pls. explain in detail
ReplyDeletehello maam,
ReplyDeletevery new to your blog. really appreciate your efforts for small investors. maam if you can suggest any cement companies for 3/4 years period. thanks
Hi Mam, thanks for a wonderful stock. Whats your view on future lifestyle fashion?
ReplyDeleteMam, your views on Adi finechem, Eastern Treads and Kingfa..
ReplyDeleteHello Maam, do you think the current equity base of 77 crore outstanding shares will be very low in the next 10 years for a large cap company like ABFRL considering the business scalability and there may be further value unlocking due to share split from current fv of 10 to rs. 1 or 2 and/or bonus/rights issue?
ReplyDeleteMam what return can we expect in mold teck pack in coming three years? What's your view on prima plastic?
ReplyDeleteMam what return can we expect in mold teck pack in coming three years? What's your view on prima plastic?
DeleteMaam whats your view on suzlon energy from a 3-5 years perspective. It has shown signs of turnaround in Q4 that went by
ReplyDeleteHi Mam,
ReplyDeleteI have a question about portfolio allocation and please help clarify.
I did adjust my portfolio followed by your recommendation to concentrated with 4 stocks (waterbase, tci, ABFRL, SURANA) of 25% each and overall it is up by 10%. So my question is about the monthly money i get and what is the best way to invest it. I see following options.
1. Increase allocation to same 4 stocks every month but this would result in high entry price eventually
2. Add new stock every month but there could be many stocks over time
3. Add on dips for same stocks seems fine but there may not be a chance every month to get at least one of the 4 stocks under correction. What if all of them gone up say in next 6 months?
Considering that i am a long term (5 to 10 years) investor with monthly income to invest, what would be the best option?
Thanks a lot Dolly Ma'am
ReplyDeleteBetween ABFRL and Future Lifestyle , which one do you prefer ?? I will be much obliged if you specify reasons maam..Thank you..
ReplyDelete