Friday, July 1, 2016

ABFRL - Galaxy of Super Brands


Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail                                                                  

       CMP -143                                                        






Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited “ABFRL” has become India’s largest pure-play fashion company in men's and women's branded garments segment after the consolidation of the branded apparel businesses of Pantaloons Fashion and Retail (PFRL) and Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MFL) in May 2015. Post the consolidation, PFRL was renamed Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Ltd.  




Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MF&L), a division of Aditya Birla Fashion & Retail Limited (ABFRL) is a true Indian icon and owner of iconic brands like Louis Philippe, Allen Solley and Peter England. It has acquired the global rights for these brands.  It also got perpetual license rights of premium brand Van Heusen from  PVH (Philips Van Heusen) USA  for India, Middle East and SAARC countries. Four of its brands are among India's top fashion names, with MRP sales in excess of INR 1,000 crore each. 




Louis Philippe leads the aspiration for fashion excellence, giving its customers access to the finest in global fashion. MFL operation also include India's largest fully integrated fashion multi-brand outlet chain 'Planet Fashion' , premium international brand retailer 'The Collective',  the country's largest fully integrated, full collection, fashion e-retailer ' Trendin' and the British fashion icon Hackett London's mono-brand retail in India.




Pantaloon Fashion & Retail a division of ABFRL is one of the most loved and fastest growing large format fashion retailer in India. Pantaloons  retails over 200 licensed and international brands, including 14 exclusive in-house brands. The Pantaloons exclusive brand bouquet include Rangmanch, Ajile, Honey, Akkriti, Chalk, Annabelle, Trishaa, Alto Moda, Poppers, Chirpie Pie; besides, it also features brands licensed on a long-term basis: Bare, Rig, SF Jeans, Byford, JM Sports, Lombard and Candies. It also retails partner brands such as John Miller, Celio, Spykar, Levis and Lee Cooper in menswear,  Jealous 21, 109*F, AND, Chemistry and KRAUS in women's, western wear BIBA, Global Desi, and W in women's ethnic wear Barbie and Ginny & Jony in kidswear. PFRL offers a wide range of brand offerings across apparel and non-apparel categories and across varied price points. It operates across categories of casual wear, ethnic wear, formal wear, party wear and activewear for men, women and kids. Womenswear is the lead category contributing to half of total apparel sales. Non-apparel products include footwear, handbags, cosmetics, perfumes, fashion jewellery and watches.


Investment Rationale 




Branded apparel business is fast-growing and it has high growth potential possibilities in future. ABFRL enjoys best-in class profitability and management pedigree in its branded apparel business. 




MFL has four most powerful fashion brands of India- Louis Philippe, Van Heusen, Allen Solley and Peter England. Fast growing popularity of these brands among young generation will lead exponential growth for ABFRL. MFL  has the ownership / perpetual license of its brands, It will give freedom of brand extensions to new categories like including sportswear, footwear, bags & accessories products and new geographies. 


In fact MFL has already working on strategy of product extensions from last couple of years by launching  ‘LP Young’, a colorful, classy version of Louis Philippe to cater to the youth and launched a new product brand ‘LP Shoes’  with three Exclusive Brand Outlets (EBO) for LP Shoes operational in Bangalore. Brand ownership also results in savings of royalty expenses. No any other fashions retailing company in India is having similar strength to compete with unique business model of ABFRL.




Madura has very strong presence in the menswear segment. Pantaloons fills the product gaps on the womenswear and kids wear portfolio of ABFRL. It has niche in women’s ethnic wear market and kids market. The combination of Madura and  Pantaloons is highly synergetic to reduce the cost by utilizing retail space, inventory management, distribution, manpower under ABFRL. Ultimately it will help to improve operational efficiencies which will result in better margin and profit.




Both Madura and Pantaloons have wide range of products for different genders, age groups and different affordability from luxury to mass segment.  

Recent tie-up with the global brand 'Izabel London' and 'Forever 21' will enable the company to strengthen its position in premium womenswear segment.

ABFRL altogether hosts India's largest fashion network with over 7,000 points of sale across over 375 cities and towns, which include more than 2,000 exclusive ABFRL brand outlets. ABFRL's e-commerce business, Trendin.com reaches out to multiple destinations across India and world. With more than 13.5 million Loyalty Members as of Mar '16, ABFRL has a strong bouquet of loyalty programmes in India. ABFRL boasts of creating more than 20,000 new designs every year.




Recent approval and implementation of the 7th Pay Commission recommendations for pay hike of 20 -25 percent will increase the purchasing power of mass public. With increase in per capita income and disposable income will lead middle class young population towards branded apparel segment. Branded apparel business is expected to grow CAGR in between 15 -20% for next five year. ABFRL is strong beneficiary and it is well set to capture rising opportunities in next 2-3 years.


Madura’s distribution model comprises COCO, COFO or FOFO stores, depending on the place of function. Its flexible model helps in tapping regional markets efficiently. ABFRL has very aggressive expansion plan to add 300 -350 new stores under MFL, mostly FOFO or 'Buy & Sell'  light asset business model stores. It require low capex and expansion will take place quickly. Company has three consignment stores format of exclusive brand outlets (EBOs) -  Company Owned Company Operated (COCO), Company Owned Franchisee Operated (COFO), Franchisee Owned Franchisee Operated (FOFO). Madura also sells its brands through  Buy and Sell (B&S) stores.  







ABFRL has launched online sales portal TRENDIN.com to scale-up e-commerce business. It will also showcase its entire range of brands and products and capitalize on the growing importance of online as a sales channel. The management also plans to empower its current offline presence with an OMNI channel network, wherein consumers can pick a particular design/product even if it is not available in the store and ABFRL can deliver the product to the consumer’s address either from a nearby store of the nearby warehouse. ABFRL has direct supply agreements in place with e-commerce players. ABFRL sells directly to third party e-commerce channels and has agreements in place with its traditional channel ensuring discipline in sales through the e-commerce model. The company also operates independently through its website www.trendin.com The rapid growth of e commerce provides sufficient scope to ramp up in this channel.


Madura is alone generating annual profit around 300 crores and debt of 1200 crores came in the books of Pantaloons can be easy retired within few years. ABFRL will also get tax rebate due to carry forward losses by Pantaloons. In FY 15-16 losses are mainly due to lease rentals of Pantaloons stores for 6 years and company has given details about it under results notes # 8 and 9. 

http://www.bseindia.com/corporates/resultNotes.aspx?Scrip_cd=535755&scripName=Aditya%20Birla%20Fashion%20and%20Retail%20Ltd&qtrcode=89.50


Recently GOI has approved 6,000 crore special package for the textile and apparel sector. It is specially helpful for the people working in garment sector. Final draft of the  policy will be announced in coming weeks.


Conclusion



ABFRL is already undisputed market leader in branded apparel segment. Recent initiative by government for textile sector and implementation 7th pay commission will further boost the growth prospects of apparel industry. Average industry PE for fashion retail segment is around 75 but ABFRL will trade on higher PE for being best in class. Several retail investors and fund houses bought this gem above 200 but market has given best opportunity to buy at much lower price at right time. 


ABFRL is already blue chip stock, Madura Fashion & Retail was highest profitable segment demerged from Aditya Birla Nuvo to merge with loss making Pantaloons with aim to create super brand fashion company. The debt of Pantaloons is very small if we see business volume and profit of Madura Fashion.  Aditya Birla group will not take much time to make Pantaloon highly profitable, capabilities of group chairman Kumar Mangalam Birla  are well known to the market and investors. He is master in converting loss making business into profitable. Recently they have acquired major cement asset from loss making JP Group. UltraTech Cement, Grasim, Aditya Birla Nuvo and Hindalco Industries are other major listed companies from Aditya Birla group.   







710 comments:

  1. Hello Madam,

    Thanks for the new stock pick. Apart from debt which you have clarified to be reduced in coming days, price to book value seems to be very high. Is it a concern? Thanks!!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Price to book value is very good, it owner best brands and operate on light attest franchise business model. Page, Jubilant foods, Kewal Kiran Clothing are not owner of their main brands.

      Delete
  2. Thanks madam for this new stock.what return can we expect in next 3 years

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi Mam,

    I have bought this @209, when it was pantaloons. Currently it is 9% of my portfolio. Can I add some more at this price. What is the potential of this stock in the next 2-3 years time frame, and how much of the portfolio can be allocated for this.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can increase the allocation upto 15 -20%

      Delete
  4. Thanks Mam for introducing us to this hidden gem. Its a true consumption story. Lets hope we can full our bags on Monday. Thanks tons and best wishes.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Mam whether this is the stock u have mentioned to gift it for children and grand children.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, it is just beginning for ABFRL. It will become big large cap company in 7 -10 years. Its main brands will stay with company for life long because it is owner of main brands.

      Delete
  6. Hi Dolly Mam, Thanks for the new stock idea. Is this stock good for short term and long term or only for long term?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Company will start showing good profit in next 2 quarters so it is for short term ( 6 -12 months).

      Delete
    2. It is for short term means?? You never recommended any stock for short term maam . Thank you ...

      Delete
  7. Was this recommended after market hours.

    ReplyDelete
  8. thanks for your wonderful stock pick and care towards investors maam :) regards suman

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi Dolly Mam, you suggested that for some stocks not to exceed 10% of allocation and for some others like TCI we can have 20%-30% allocation in the portfolio. Can we allocate 25% of portfolio to this stock? Is this stock you was referring to gift to our kids?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can give higher allocation for this stock. It is just beginning for ABFRL, it will become big large cap company in 7 -10 years. Its main brands will stay with company for life long because it is owner of main brands.

      Delete
  10. Thank you ma'am fr the new stock reco.
    Will it give short term gain?
    What is designed long term target we can expect ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. At least 300 -500% in 3 -4 years and 30 -40% for short term ( 6 -12 months).

      Delete
  11. Thanks for your Recommendation..

    ReplyDelete
  12. Thanks mam for new reco. Could you please provide your view on the following points.
    1. Promoters share holding reduced during Jan-Mar'16 quarter.
    2. High Debt.
    3. How much returns can we expect and time frame.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Share holding came down as per scheme of arrangement. You can find the details in below link

      http://bsmedia.business-standard.com/_media/bs/data/announcements/bse/16092015/90A5C821_5C3A_4EAE_8EB9_C456607CEFB5_100510.pdf

      If we see the business volume, profit and future growth than current debt is looks small for ABFRL size company.

      At least 300 -500% return expected in 3 -4 years

      Delete
  13. Only disadvantage of this company is its large equity base some 77crore,which is good for institutional investors not for small retail investor.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. ABFRL will trade at 80 -100 P/E ratio. Expected sales turnover in next 5 -6 years will be around 15000 - 20000 crores and profit will be above 1000 crore. Equity base in current situation is ok but it need to be expanded further in coming years because it is going to become big large cap company. Most of the institutional investors shareholding came from demerger with Aditya Birla Nuvo but they increased it more than 2% in last 6-7 months.

      Delete
  14. Hi Dolly mam,
    Promoters stake comes down from 72% to 59%. Any info on that front.
    Thanks and regards
    Vinay

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is as per scheme of arrangement. You can find the details in below link

      http://bsmedia.business-standard.com/_media/bs/data/announcements/bse/16092015/90A5C821_5C3A_4EAE_8EB9_C456607CEFB5_100510.pdf

      Delete
  15. Thanks mam n god bless you ! For picking suck a good stock , look like it already reached basement n downside is very less.

    I need a suggestion on how can I buy this stock Monday morning it will go UC as all your followers will try to buy .. is there any way I can trigger off line transaction before Monday morning market get open .. please help/advice me !

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stock has enough liquidity, you can buy it easily.

      Delete
  16. Thanks mam n god bless you ! For picking suck a good stock , look like it already reached basement n downside is very less.

    I need a suggestion on how can I buy this stock Monday morning it will go UC as all your followers will try to buy .. is there any way I can trigger off line transaction before Monday morning market get open .. please help/advice me !

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stock has enough liquidity, you can easily get it in the price range 150 -160.

      Delete
  17. Can you suggest price to place the order

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Stock has enough liquidity, you can easily get it in the price range 150 -160.

      Delete
  18. Dollji jain irrigation has started in food processing business at chittor in ap and jalgaon in maharastra in recent past, ple suggest me is it right time to buy as a multibagger in long term .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking Jain Irrigation.

      This company is in food processing business from very long time. It is major supplier of fruit pulps used in soft drinks.

      Delete
  19. 1.Based on the your previous replies in the comments I bought TIIL and TCI today @ CMP , hope that is fine .. I' m having long-term view atleast 2 year I can wait with out any issue , I will accumulate accordingly if any correction takes place for 10-15 % , let me know if it does work for us ..
    2.And also what's your view on apcotex India ?? Can I enter @ CMP

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Definitely it will work very well if you have patience to hold these stocks.

      Apcotex is good stock but price has already gone up in last few months.

      Delete
  20. Thanks a lot Ma'am for your selfless service

    ReplyDelete
  21. Thanks mam for caring small Investors,like me & God bless.

    ReplyDelete
  22. Thank you madam for this one....

    ReplyDelete
  23. wow jus sold friday at 145 with intention to buy back lower. Now have to chase it. Bad luck i guess. Thx mam anyway. I believe in this story.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It happens, some products or business model are easy to believe and understand but some are typical and tough to believe.

      Delete
  24. mam my badluck i sold it recently at 137 after buying at 130 as it was not moving and suddeny it went above 140

    ReplyDelete
  25. Dear Madam,

    March Quarter result reported loss. even after merger the company reported loss, what is the reason?

    i see depreciation increased?

    your views on reporting loss after merger please share

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is easy to understand with below example

      If anybody will buy old house than it need some renovation, plastering, painting and cleaning to bring it back in good usable condition according to his requirement and likeness.

      Delete
  26. Would it be advisable to buy this stock in sip mode for the next one year?

    ReplyDelete
  27. Mam, can bayer crop science give multifold returns?

    ReplyDelete
  28. Dolly Mam, you have mentioned MFL has the ownership/perpetual rights for 04 most popular brands viz. VH,AS,PE and LP. How ABFRL can benefit from this ? Can we take ABFRL as the indirect owner/perpetual license holder of these brands ??
    Please elaborate and clarify as this perhaps is the most important criteria for investment decision for small investors like me ! Thanks and regards !!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ownership of any popular brands itself a huge asset.

      http://www.forbes.com/powerful-brands/list/#tab:rank .

      If any company loose its brand then entire business will collapse . For example Arvind and Page Industries are holding licenses of popular brands for India region for particular period. Page industries is not the owner of Jockey brand but got exclusive licensee of Jockey Brand products from Jockey International to use it till 2030. Similarly Jubilant Foodworks has got exclusive franchise agreement to use Domino brand till 2025. Arvind, Jubilant Food and Page have to pay the brand royalties to the brand owners.

      MFL is brand owner of Louis Philippe, Allen Solly and Peter England . Van Heusen is originally owned by Philips Van heusen company PVH - USA but Madura owns the perpetual right to use this brand. Perpetual license means you pay once for the license and own it forever in agreed countries. Brand ownership gives freedom to extend it in other products. Brand ownership also results in savings of royalty expenses.

      http://www.perpetuallicensing.com/licensing_edu_terminology.php

      Delete
    2. Thanks Mam for detailed reply... However, still would like to know whether ABFRL can be considered now indirect owner of brands as now MFL is the part of ABFRL ??

      Delete
    3. Aditya Birla Fashion and Retail Limited (ABFRL) is ultimate legal owner of all assets belongs its both divisions Pantaloon Fashion & Retail and Madura Fashion & Lifestyle (MF&L).

      Delete
  29. Hi mam. Some of the brand mentioned above are sold at shopper stop, West life, and some exclusive stores also. How it is related to abfrl's profitability. Thanks mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes several MFL brands are sold in multibrand retail shops under Buy and Sell (B&S) model.

      Pantaloons is also selling some brands under Buy and Sell (B&S) model due to this reason its product portfolio covering more than 200 brands. New management is working to reduce the numbers and focus on high margin own brands and exclusive licensed brands. Recent tie -up with Izabel London and acquisition of indian business of Forever 21 are steps taken to overhaul the Pantaloons portfolio.

      Delete
  30. hi maam yr view on satin credit , ujjivan for long term

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Astec life is good stock but price has already gone up very high in last few months after acquired by Godrej Agrovet

      Sorry not tracking any of below stock

      credit , ujjivan, kiri ind and sree renuka, moschip semi and mro teck, thyocare , mahanagar gas

      Delete
  31. Thanks a lot mam for your value picks..... Can you please suggest any consumer goods stock for long term...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lloyd Electric and Engineering is good to add below 200 for long term.

      Delete
  32. What's your view on Associated Alcohols Ma'am. Contract manufacturer for some of the best brands of the world and now selling liquor under their own brands also which are gaining popularity
    One of the very fee manufacturers of triple distilled extra fine grade grain spirit available are mouth watering valuations compared to peers.
    Expecting an increase in disposable income in general, can this story be played as a proxy to the consumption theme

    ReplyDelete
  33. Hello madam,
    what is ur view on Adlabs Entertainment? It has come down a lot from its IPO price and the business looks good for the future.

    ReplyDelete
  34. What is the Book value of ABFRL? As per Moneycontrol, BV is 11. Why is it only & just 11 ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is operating on asset light franchise model and brand value not appearing in book value.

      Below example will give the idea of brand value

      Recently ABFRL has signed Binding Memorandum of Understanding [MoU] with Forever 21 to acquire its exclusive online and offline rights to the global brand - Forever 21, for the Indian market and its existing store network in India from the current franchisee i.e. Diana Retail Private Limited.

      Forever 21 has brands like Forever 21, XXI Forever, Love 21 and Heritage in its portfolio. It has annual turnover of 250 crores in India. Currently Diana Retail Pvt Ltd hold the franchise right and operating 12 stores in India. Approximate acquisition cost around 200 crores.

      It translate the brand value 'Forever 21' is 75% of current turnover cost for only franchise rights in Indian market.

      It means value of 'Louis Philippe' brand alone is more than total book value of the company.

      Delete
  35. Dear Madam,
    Between TCI and ABFRL, which one should I invest? Pls suggest.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both sectors are having very good growth potential. Better to invest in both.

      Delete
  36. good evening, could you provide your views on IL&FS investment managers, jvl agro industries and neocorp international ltd.

    ReplyDelete
  37. Whats your view on Llyod Electric and Engineering ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lloyd Electric and Engineering is good stock to add below 200 for long term investment.

      Delete
  38. As per my calculation the eps would be somewhere around 15 after 5 years. What is your view?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, expected eps around 12 - 15 in next 5 years.

      Delete
  39. Thank you Madam for the new stock.
    I wanted to know how would you compare ABFRL with its peers like Indian terrain, Zodiac,KKCL or v Mart & shoppers. Market cap of these smaller peers are 4-6 times of revenue.
    Can ABFRL can command these kind of market cap

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is just matter of few years, it will command much better market capitalisation than above companies.

      Delete
  40. Hi Dolly Ji, when I asked about ABFRL in Feb, 2016 at Rs 190/- for long term investment, you said it can give 15%-20% return only. But now you are saying it can give 300%- 500% in 3-4 yrs.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Because I was expecting some major correction and yearly result was in the month of May. Even now I have waited for further correction during Brexit but instead of correction it moved 5% up than I have decided to post it before announcement of textile policy which is specifically focused on revival of garment segment.

      It is much better blog readers to buy now around 140 -150 than buying it in Feb around 190 -200.



      Delete
    2. Excellent analysis mam

      Delete
  41. Dear dolly mam what is the expected % returns from tiil for short term ,from cmp of 233,for time period of 3 to 4 months?thanks a lot

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. TIIL is not coming into the category of seasonal stock where we can predict some short term gain.

      Delete
  42. Thxs mam for your new stocks. I will add in my portfolio

    ReplyDelete
  43. dear dolly madam please update us the important factors of brexit and its effect on market blog readers may be benefited and can we expect further correction in context of brexit or the hangover is finished and we are into the bullish mode.not to time the market but to avoid the losses

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Now Brexit is history. After two months you will find some new issue with new name. It is integral part of market.

      Delete
  44. dolly madam your take on "wether to earn and invest or invest and earn " which one is correct in context of shares

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. One person doing hard work in coal mine fields and other is also doing hard work in gym. In both cases they are doing hard work but their need and state of minds are different. A successful person in stock market has experience of both above mentioned conditions.

      Delete
  45. Hello Madam,if I want to invest five stock at current market price with same allocation please suggest the stock.

    ReplyDelete
  46. Too much is happening in textile sector, the decision is to be taken is a tough task.
    any idea of deccan gold please

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking Deccan Gold

      Yes timely decision is important before it is too late to get in.

      Delete
  47. Hi Mam,

    Any comments on GP Petroleums LTD @59 , Can I enter freshly for long-term ??

    ReplyDelete
  48. Hi Dolly, do you track Welspun Corp, it looks attractive at current levels?

    ReplyDelete
  49. Is the story on JK Agri still intact? It is not moving at all

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Don't decide a stock by seeing 1 yr performance....give it some time to grow

      Delete
  50. Mam

    your views on

    1) dic india a potential turnaround stock

    2) hindustan media ventures

    3)godrej properties

    4)Tv today network

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. All above stock are very good, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.

      Delete
  51. Hi Dolly Mam,
    Can you please share your view on Future Enterprise ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Future Enterprise, and Future consumer are good for long term investment only

      Delete
  52. Hello madam,
    In one of your reply you mentioned to buy abfrl and tci.whereas in surana thread you mentioned that it is best stock of 2016. So what has gone wrong with it now even though it is available at very low price?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's for long term investment

      Delete
  53. Do u expect ABFRL to turnaround and make profits in 2016-2017

    ReplyDelete
  54. hello Dolly mam,
    Can you please share your view og GVk power

    ReplyDelete
  55. Dear Mam, Because of the recent rally in DTIL, My Portfolio allocation in DTIL has gone up to 30%. I feel the company is very good and has a lot of potential.

    Others in the portfolio include TIIL, TCI and Talbros.

    But please suggest If I need to reduce the allocation or 30% is ok. My buy price is Rs.249/-.

    ReplyDelete
  56. I am bullish on ABFRL since last 1 year. Birla has promised a 500 cr expansion plan with 100 madura and 10 pantaloon stores. Madura garments has grown at a cagr of 27% from 2010-2014. Can we expect a eps of 6.50-7.00 in 2016-2017

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is expected to grow 15 -20% and eps around 3 to 4.

      Delete
  57. Hi mam,
    Very good morning,as you told surana is rocking from few sessions. As You reply when surana is in down trend,it resmbles waterbase ie after recommendation it went to 40 from 60, them from 40 to 175.I think it might happen, can we see surana at previous high, any good news from company/sector

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very good stock for long term investment only. Solar sector is totally different from aquaculture and it will move gradualy.

      Delete
  58. Mam I have so much faith in you that I had 1000 surana@36 but due to your positiveness I took 1000 surana@21 bringing my average to 29 and it touched 29 and in 27 levels. I plan to sell 1000@29 and then keep one lot.

    Mam moreover I read ABFRL is palnning to buy Jabong. Will it be a positive news?
    Meanwhile I have bought 65 shares of ABFRL and rest by selling 1000 of surana. I hope ABFRL wont run away in that time

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Jabong management is in talk with some potential buyers but still nothing materialised.

      Delete
  59. Can I Buy D-Link right now ?Whats your view on this stock ?

    ReplyDelete
  60. What is your view on Mold-Tek Packaging? It is going high. Should we keep this for a long term?

    Thanks
    Girish

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very good stock, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.

      Delete
  61. Hi Mam, Thought That this stock would go UC today and I kept the offline order and it got executed @50 (400 shares - 25 % of my portfolio ) , As you already mentioned that in long term perspective we can expect 300 - 400 % returns , Hope that is fine, Again it is trading @ Your recommended price , Not sure If I can accumulate , That would be great if you can suggest me here!!?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very good entry level price for long term investment. It will move gradually from this level in coming quarters.

      Delete
  62. Hi Madam, Can you share your views on Suzlon?? If we keep a time horizon of more than 12 to 18 months will it be a multi-bagger?

    ReplyDelete
  63. Hi mam. Once you spoke about surana solar's original value should be at 50. So we should hold tight ss till 50. Then can think partial profit booking. Ur valuable advice mam. Thanks mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very good stock and it will regain its value with time.

      Delete
    2. Hello Mam,

      I entered Surana @ 20 (300 stocks) since then it rallied 40 % and now trading nearly 29 , but not sure If I can buy some more stocks , please suggest me ?

      Delete
    3. Yes, You can add if you are willing to hold it for 3-4 years

      Delete
  64. Hi mam
    Any views on nilkamal & insecticides?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are very good stock, if already bought at lower level than continue to hold.

      Delete
  65. Dear Mam

    Do you track Pricol Ltd? There is a news about buying interest of Biggies.
    And always gratitude towards your help and teachings.

    ReplyDelete
  66. Madam why DTIL AND SURANA SOLAR share price is going up so fast?

    ReplyDelete
  67. Dear madam,
    Alkali metals, i was going through it, since from inception not given any rights, bonus or split means no dilution.
    Again From 2006 to 2009 though the topline in not as great like the 2016 except 2006, but the bottomline is very very fine which clock into good value of share as well that is till 2010 it was above 100, but after that it was to as low as 15, now can you tell me what makes it so low, still at present the valuation is very low as per me, even from 2014 to 2016 i see good growth in top and bottom line but with the same topline during past years of 2006 to 2009 it maintained the price of above 100
    please explain i see the topline growth but bottomline not much and share price also not much even at the topline of 70cr it should trade above 100 but it is not ?

    Explain please, i am interested in this script but needs some more clearity.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In July- Aug 2013 most of the stock touched 5 to 10 years bottom level so Alkali Metals is no exception. Company has made turnaround only few quarters back, top and bottom line further expected to improve in coming quarters.

      Delete
  68. Madam, what is your view for Amd Industries, 532828

    ReplyDelete
  69. Hi Mam, what is your view about the TIIL MD's interview posted in money control ? It looks very good for longterm as they have plans of expansion and entering into defence sector also. What's your view on short term ? Will today's rally sustain and will it cross 300 by this quater?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Even without defence sector involvement, it is very good investment stock. Still most of the profit coming from drum closure segment. It is expected that some of the other segments from yarn, garment, engineering and IT will also start contributing in coming quarters which can easily take this stock to next level.

      Delete
  70. MA'AM your view on oriental carbon and chemical. As tyre industry is expected to grow at 7-8% can't it be indirect beneficiary.?

    ReplyDelete
  71. Hi mam,
    Thanks for sharing your wonderful detailed analysis of ABFRL. You have mentioned that average PE of the industry is 75, can you please let me know which companies you have considered while calculating PE of 75.
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can compare it with PE other pure fashion retail of stocks like Trent, Shoppers Stop

      Delete
  72. Dear Mam,
    Can u please share ur views on Future Consumer Enterprise?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for long term investment only.

      Delete
  73. Respected madam,
    Why consumption stock command 70-80 PE, they are not going to grow 50% year on year for 5 years or so, Either was very different story. IT companies used to have such PE when they used to grow phenomenally. Even PEG is more than 1 and 1.5 times here

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Because consumption stocks are having huge domestic market but most of the IT sector depends upon job work orders from US or EU

      Delete
  74. Sure, luckily most of the readers were able to buy below 150. It is very good entry price.

    ReplyDelete
  75. Dear Mam, Do you think Waterbase may cross 150 this year as it will add insurance money in profit, may be in Q2 result? Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  76. Hello Mam,
    I am planning to invest in equity for the first time in couple of days.Request you to please suggest some good stocks with good returns in medium to long term benefits.

    ReplyDelete
  77. will help us by suggesting exit levels of the stocks as the way u helped in entry levels..will be helpful

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sure I will suggest, once any stock will reach near to that level

      Delete
  78. Mam, Does Venus Remedies have possibilities of becoming a Multi-bagger?

    ReplyDelete
  79. MAdam,

    Thanks for the stock
    for Q2 chemical , fertilizers , paints are good stocks, Just want to know how a rainy season is good for chemical sectors ?

    Thanx

    ReplyDelete
  80. Dear Mam,
    what is ur view on Krebs Bio and Orient Beverages?

    ReplyDelete
  81. Good morning madam,
    I've holding in KEI indu. and intrest in buy RPG life, kindly guide me if you tracking these stocks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking KEI

      You can continue to hold RPG Life for further gain

      Delete
  82. Dear Mam. I want to buy 10000 quantity for next 5 years holding what is the target

    ReplyDelete
  83. Hi mam
    What is the difference bw ab nuvo and aditya birla fashion & retail?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Better to visit on both websites to get the information in details.

      http://www.adityabirlanuvo.com/

      http://www.abfrl.com/

      Delete
  84. Hello Mam,

    http://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/apparel-fashion/apparel/abfrl-completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore/53062241...

    abfrl completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore, Does this have any impact in short long term? Or Can we except some correction ? - Please suggest.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Acquisition of 'Forever 21' business rights for India is very good for ABFRL in short as well as long term.
      Very rare chance of further correction.

      http://retail.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/apparel-fashion/apparel/abfrl-completes-acquisition-of-forever-21-for-rs-175-crore/53062241

      Delete
  85. Hi Dollyji, Xpro started moving after long time. Hopefully it will post good results in coming quarter.

    ReplyDelete
  86. Madam is this stock in your portfolio.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes

      It is not possible to post all these informations without buying it.

      Delete
  87. Respected Madam,
    Thank you for your wonderful analysis.

    Could you please tell if Digjam Textiles is a potential turnaround story?

    ReplyDelete
  88. Hi Dolly Mam, generally you recommended stocks for 4-5yrs but for this stock you said, it can be gifted to kids and looks like you have very long term visibility. What is that in this company makes you feel that it can be very long term bet? please help us to understand.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Current turnover of ABFRL is around 6K crores. ABFRL has enough potential to cross 100K crores turnover in next 15-20 years.

      Growing income and brand awareness among the 70-80 crore middle class population will play major role in the growth of this company.


      Delete
  89. Thanks, your views on NOCIL please. Can it be accumulated at current levels

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. NOCIL is good stock and it can be added during market correction around 40-45.

      Delete
  90. Hi Madam, I am having SBI @ 178 ( 450 shares)- Have been hearing that due to NPA issues it is not getting increased , as this stock is holding 25 % of my allocation and as you are very confidentally saying that ABRFL and TCI will rock in future - I would like to hear and follow you advice and it is very much valuable for a novice investor like me .. I am having TCI and ABRFL each 12% allocation to protfolio.

    ABRFL is still trading around 150 levles but TCI increased some 8 % recently ( around 340) ... If these two stocks are going to perform well in future compare to SBI I would like to sell and split the amount in to equals parts and invest in both stock.. Hope I didn't trouble with this long comment ...

    Always thanks for your selfless service and guidance mam!.. The every penny I earned will because of mam!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking SBI so it is difficult to give call on it.

      In general ABFRL and TCI are much better option than banking sector stocks. Both are having domestic consumption based business and both sector in focus of GOI.

      Delete
  91. Mam, can I invest tv18 broadcast from a 5 year horizon?

    ReplyDelete
  92. Hello Maam,

    I live in USA and have been following our blog and systematically investing in recommended stocks for the past years. I also invest in US stock market but I am confused as to whether to continue investing in US or move those funds to indian stock market as Growth prospects for indian companies are very large and india is still at a booming stage. Kindly guide me.

    Regards,
    Dhruv

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. yes, Indian equities are best option to invest than any other country in the world.

      Delete
  93. In 4th July reply which co. U reply is good for entry @50/-

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Question is not clear? Is it on blog or G+ or on email?

      Delete
  94. Can you share your view on Aspinwall And company Limited?
    When will textile policy be out?

    ReplyDelete
  95. Any idea of quickheal tech, shirpur gold

    ReplyDelete
  96. If a company is going for the margin expansion, how will it effects to its bottomline and the share price pls. explain in detail

    ReplyDelete
  97. hello maam,
    very new to your blog. really appreciate your efforts for small investors. maam if you can suggest any cement companies for 3/4 years period. thanks

    ReplyDelete
  98. Hi Mam, thanks for a wonderful stock. Whats your view on future lifestyle fashion?

    ReplyDelete
  99. Mam, your views on Adi finechem, Eastern Treads and Kingfa..

    ReplyDelete
  100. Hello Maam, do you think the current equity base of 77 crore outstanding shares will be very low in the next 10 years for a large cap company like ABFRL considering the business scalability and there may be further value unlocking due to share split from current fv of 10 to rs. 1 or 2 and/or bonus/rights issue?

    ReplyDelete
  101. Mam what return can we expect in mold teck pack in coming three years? What's your view on prima plastic?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mam what return can we expect in mold teck pack in coming three years? What's your view on prima plastic?

      Delete
  102. Maam whats your view on suzlon energy from a 3-5 years perspective. It has shown signs of turnaround in Q4 that went by

    ReplyDelete
  103. Hi Mam,
    I have a question about portfolio allocation and please help clarify.
    I did adjust my portfolio followed by your recommendation to concentrated with 4 stocks (waterbase, tci, ABFRL, SURANA) of 25% each and overall it is up by 10%. So my question is about the monthly money i get and what is the best way to invest it. I see following options.
    1. Increase allocation to same 4 stocks every month but this would result in high entry price eventually
    2. Add new stock every month but there could be many stocks over time
    3. Add on dips for same stocks seems fine but there may not be a chance every month to get at least one of the 4 stocks under correction. What if all of them gone up say in next 6 months?
    Considering that i am a long term (5 to 10 years) investor with monthly income to invest, what would be the best option?

    ReplyDelete
  104. Between ABFRL and Future Lifestyle , which one do you prefer ?? I will be much obliged if you specify reasons maam..Thank you..

    ReplyDelete