CMP = 96 |
Orient Paper & Industries Ltd (OPIL) is flagship company of CK Birla Group and incorporated in 1939. The company has two divisions, the paper and consumer electrical division. The paper division produces a wide range of tissue, writing, printing, and speciality papers, paper products and boards. It is the largest producers and exporters of tissue papers from India.
The consumer electrical division is the largest manufacturer and exporter of fans from India with more than 60% share in exports and a dominating presence in more than 35 international markets. 'Orient Electric' is one of the leading consumer electrical brands in India with a diverse portfolio of fans, lighting, home appliances and switchgears. The company has strong R&D capabilities, which enable it to develop and innovate new products that meet the needs and expectations of modern consumers. OPIL has five manufacturing units located at Amlai (Madhya Pradesh), Guwahati (Assam), Kolkata (West Bengal), Faridabad (Haryana) and Noida (Uttar Pradesh).
https://www.orientelectric.com/media/videos
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KxgnPl6eWiI
Paper Division
The paper unit at Amlai Madhya Pradesh is engaged in the manufacturing of tissue papers, writing and printing papers, photocopier papers etc. It is having a capacity of 1,00,000 tonnes p.a. (printing and writing paper 45000 tpa and tissue paper 55,000 tpa) An eco-friendly enterprise, Orient Paper and Industries undertakes reforestation and other restorative measures. The manufacturing unit is ISO 14001 certified and has received several awards for environmental excellence. It is one of the few companies to have received the ECO mark license from the Government of India. It is also certified for FSC-COC which is compliance of all norms related to raw materials in paper production. Orient paper and paper products are exported to several countries across the world.
http://orientlinks.com/products/
Electric Division
"Orient" brand extended to wide range of consumer electric products and launched its lighting, home appliances and switchgears product range few years back. Company has decided to rebrand its operation as it aims to become a provider of smart home solutions. Orient Electric is committed to creating great customer experiences by exceeding global benchmarks in quality and best practices. Its entire range is in line with its brand promise of ‘switch to smart’ meaning that each product is technologically advanced, aesthetically pleasing and energy efficient. It is today the third largest manufacturer of LED lamps in India and is also the first Indian lighting brand to have been awarded BEE star rating for lamps. In the Home Appliances category, Orient Electric offers a wide range of products including water heaters, air coolers and small kitchen appliances. In Switchgears category, it offers MCBs enabled with the revolutionary SDB (Snap Disc Bi-Metal) technology which provides threefold advantage – precise tripping, better repeatability and longer life.
Fans
Company has increased its share of the domestic fans market and maintained its leadership position in the export with 60% market share in total exports of fans from India. Orient has consolidated its position in the premium fans segment with the launch of Aero Quiet fans. Commissioned a new manufacturing facility at Guwahati, which will help in expanding market reach. In-house R&D unit at Faridabad plant received the prestigious DSIR certification
Company has launched the high end fans incorporated with BLDC (brushless direct current motor) technology fans which the company claims that the fans would consume 50 per cent less energy, provide high speed even in low voltages.
https://www.orientelectric.com/img/footmedia/brochure/FAN.pdf
https://www.orientelectric.com/fan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iv4Pl63yMO0
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eUOco2A_q-E
Lighting
Orient is the first company to get BEE star rating for its LED bulbs. Orient has consolidated its position in the LED bulb segment with market share of 11% which places it at the no. 3 position in India. Company has started manufacturing LED street lights with scope of good growth in the tender business. Company has made successful in entry into Street lighting segment with execution of 20000 streetlights across 4 states in India.
Orient has strengthened its R&D department for LED lighting with most of the major testing being done in-house now. Further investment has been committed for Goniometer equipment. This will add to the capabilities in design and testing of Street lighting and other professional luminaires which are the major areas of growth in future.
https://www.orientelectric.com/lighting
https://www.orientelectric.com/img/footmedia/brochure/LIGHTING.pdf
Home appliances
Orient has significantly enhanced its product portfolio in terms of premiumness and quality. Also enhanced the distribution of the width of the range. Company has created a brand pull in its home appliances division as well leveraging the success of its 'Orient' brand. Launched new models of air coolers, water heaters, electric irons and wet grinders in about 100 cities with prime focus on 60 Cities. Company run 159 Authorized Service Centers spread across the country.
https://www.orientelectric.com/home-appliances
https://www.orientelectric.com/home-appliances/air-cooler
https://www.orientelectric.com/img/footmedia/brochure/Appliances.pdf
Switchgears
Switchgears are very important safety components for homes as well as commercial spaces. Orient Electric offers a high quality range of MCBs and successfully established itself in new sub - segment. Orient switchgears are with differentiated technology and built for extra safety
https://www.orientelectric.com/switch-gear
https://www.orientelectric.com/img/footmedia/brochure/SWITCHGEAR.pdf
Marketing and distribution
Orient has an enviable distribution network of 100,000 retailers and 3,500 dealers and distributors in India. It is advantage for company while launching any new products like switchgear, air cooler, water heater etc which can be sold leveraging the existing network.
‘Smart Shop’ Franchise
‘Smart Shop’ serve as exclusive and franchised one-stop shop which offers complete range of Orient Electric products under one roof. The spacious store serves as a one-stop shop where consumers will be able to see, touch, feel and purchase various products of Orient Electric including Fans, Lighting, Home Appliances and Switchgear.
https://www.orientelectric.com/franchise/overview
https://www.orientelectric.com/franchise/photo-gallery-list/3
https://www.orientelectric.com/media/events-&-exhibitions
Orient Electric E-shop
Strengthened e-commerce presence by selling products through Orient’s own e-commerce portal as well as through other leading online marketplaces.
http://www.orientelectriceshop.com/
Investment Rationale
Orient Paper and Industries Ltd is going to demerge its electrical appliances division to unlock significant value for the shareholders of the company.
The vertical demerger is to facilitate both paper and consumer electric businesses to focus on their core competencies and to pursue their independent strategies.
It will enable a dedicated management to focus and accelerate the growth of the consumer electric business.
The nature of risk and competition involved is completely distinct, so it become necessary to make separate teams of professionals to manage the two divisions.
This separation will enable the access to varied sources of funds for the rapid growth of both businesses.
http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/77f431e6-e5ac-4eb0-87e9-fb6f467fd27d.pdf
Demerger was proposed in September 2016 which is very near to completion within few months.
http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/11FECFBC_BABF_4132_BAFD_E6D5236E93C8_134008.pdf
Orient Electric has become established player in lighting, switchgear and home appliances products such as air cooler, water heater, induction cooker, mixer juicer grinder, blender and kettle under the brand name of 'Orient' in last few years. It makes the company direct competitor of Havells India, Crompton Greaves Consumer Electrical and Symphony. Demerger of Orient Electric will unlock decent value for investors if we analyse and compare these companies with Orient Electric.
Orient Electric business performance for 2016 -17 in all its product segments.
- Orient Fan registered 11% growth in the domestic market, growing faster than the industry average 5 -6%.
- Orient’s lighting trade business grew by 12%, higher than the industry average growth of 5%.
- Orient Home Appliances has registered a 35% revenues growth against the industry averaged growth of 5% in FY 2016-17
- Orient Switchgears has achieved a total 19% revenue growth over last year.
Manufacturing capacity has improved with the opening of new plant at Guwahati to cover low penetrated north -east region.
Aggressive stance is being taken to open “Orient Smart Shops” in all major cities to improve customer experience with the brand. In the long run it will turn the traditional business model of the company into asset light franchise business model.
Orient Electric is getting a good opportunity for strengthening its presence because with implementation of GST there is gradual reduction in market share of the unorganized sector, it will reflect in results of coming quarters.
Introduce disruptive innovation in fans covering unaddressed segments, it resulted significant gain in market share of premium fans segment. Company has launched of several premium models of fans and coolers to shift the focus toward fast growing high margin business.
Improve market share in the consumer lighting segment and increase brand recall.
Participate aggressively in the street lighting business.
Aggressive positioning and acquisition of market share in air-coolers and small appliances segment
Increase e-commerce retailing and presence in modern organised retail
Company has taken several steps in past few years to ensure the turnaround of paper division. It is mainly as a result of cost reduction and efficiency improvements.
Focus shifting towards high margin tissue paper business, Orient has 85,000 TPA of paper capacity split as 60,000 TPA of writing and printing paper and 25,000 TPA of Tissue paper. Tissue paper demand in India continues to register double digit growth with an equally strong export market. Orient is doubling its capacity in tissue plant to 55,000 TPA and reducing the production of low margin writing and printing paper to 45000 TPA. Tissue paper expansion project have started commercial production with effect from 1st May 2017. This will double the tissue paper capacity and further consolidate the position as the largest producers and exporters of tissue papers from India. This will also contribute to increasing volumes and profitability of the paper business in coming quarters.
http://orientpaperindia.com/beta/resources/fck_upload/EC20Tissue203dt17thOct16.pdf
Company has been able to resolve problem of power shortage by setting up a captive power plant of 55MW capacity and obtained additional coal linkage sufficient to meet the total coal requirement.
Increased pulpwood plantation covering 2026 hectare and planned to increase by 50%. to achieve enhanced raw material security and tie up with local farmers for sourcing supply of pulpwood.
The water shortage issue has also been addressed by constructing another reservoir to increase our water storage capacity by a further 130 million gallons, which enhances our total storage capacity to 720 million gallons to overcome this problem of water shortages.
Amlai plant has reduced the water consumption by nearly 40% and achieved zero liquid discharge
Other significant assets held by the company it will remain with Orient Paper after demerger.
- Orient paper has a land parcel of 800 acres at Brajarajnagar, Odisha,
- Orient Paper & Industries Ltd hold 1,545,140 shares of Century Textiles and Industries under public shareholding is worth of Rs 185 crores
- Orient Paper & Industries Ltd hold 906,360 shares of HIL under promoter shareholding is worth of Rs 100 crores
Conclusion
'Orient' is very strong and well established brand in electrical consumer products in India. Lighting, consumer durable segment will be the direct beneficiary of the rise in disposable income from pay hikes, housing for all, implementation of GST for organised players. Home appliances have a very low penetration in rural part of India with improvement in power availability, increase in disposable income and shift in focus on branded category products is giving good growth visibility for longer period. The company is continuously improving its product quality and introducing a new lifestyle-based product range which are having very good growth potential.
The stock is trading since last 4 -5 months in range of Rs 80 - 96. It has not participated in any rally due to demerger process pending with NCLT. Now it is in the last stage of demerger process so it is right time to enter before announcement of record date. Orient Paper & Industries at cmp 96 is giving very good investment opportunity for short term as well as for long term. It can be bought +/- 10% from cmp with allocation upto 20%.
Dear Blog Owner. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot Ma'am. Extensive effort has gone into researching this and lot of important details are provided by you.
ReplyDeleteCan we give 20% allocation and what should be the return expected.
Thank you
Yes you can allocate upto 20%. It can give return around 100% in one year and 300% in 4 years on initial investment.
DeleteThank you so much ! 100% in one year really good , considering that KCP , Kesoram and Pennar are still available almost at the levels of recommended price. Orient I shall definitely put 20% for one year. Wonderful analysis and investment rationales !!
DeleteMuch appreciate for intensive research !!
Guys please don't compare one stock with another..all companies recommend by mam will move sooner or later.
DeleteMadam,Thank you very much for the new recommendation.
ReplyDeleteHi Mam, thanks a lot for picking a great pick again..
ReplyDeleteThank you so much ma'am for your pick , was eagerly waiting for it.
ReplyDeleteThank you
Thanks Mam for your new gem.. God bless you.. Mam what could be the target expected in short term and long term..
ReplyDeleteHi,thanks for advising another multibager. What is the return can be expected in one year and what is rerun can be expected in 4 years. Many thanks.
ReplyDeleteAround 100% in one year and 300% in 4 years on initial investment.
DeleteMadam
ReplyDelete1) what's the valuation with respect to its current market cap of 2,000 crores?
2) what's the target price?
Havells India (4.8), Crompton Greaves Consumer Electrical (3.3) and Symphony (13) are having 3 -13 times market capital of annual turnover. Orient Electric turnover will be around 1400 crores for current year. so even with 2 times of annual turnover, market capital will be around 3000 crores
DeleteIt can give return around 100% in one year and 300% in 4 years on initial investment.
Maam
DeleteHow much is the paper business worth as a stand alone business?
Thanks
Orient Paper has doubled the tissue paper production capacity recently. So exact figure we will know after Q2 results. At present annual turnover of paper business is around 500 crores
DeleteThank you ma'm for another multibagger reco.
ReplyDeleteThank you Dolly mam for another gem which is about to demerge
ReplyDeleteThank you mam for new stock, can you give us target for 2-3 years?
ReplyDeleteWhat is the demerger ratio is it 1:1
ReplyDeleteYes
DeleteTargets and time frame please
ReplyDeleteThanks again for the wonderful recommendation with good analysis as usual.
ReplyDeleteThanks again for the wonderful recommendation with good analysis as usual.
ReplyDeleteDear Maam
ReplyDeleteThanks for yet another Wonderful GEM
Kindly share ur views on ABRL results
Thanks mam!
ReplyDeleteThanks ma'am for your time and efforts in researching this.
ReplyDeleteThanks maam,
ReplyDeleteAny views on PPAP Automotive and NOCIL ? What kind of returns can we look from them in next 3 years ?
Regards,
Both are good stock, you can continue to hold for further gain around 15 -20% but not advisable to buy at cmp
DeleteThank you very much mam for your great involvement and selfless service to small investors
ReplyDeleteThanks man for new gem
ReplyDeleteThank you so much.God Bless You.
ReplyDeleteThank u mam, God bless u
ReplyDeleteThank you ma'am .... Ma'am I could not find consolidated results ? If you could put some light on consolidated results it will be great.
ReplyDeleteThere is no consolidated results because result of both paper and electric division is given together.
Deletehttp://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/694f49f7-31b0-4a5f-8374-80ba65d7e4ca.pdf
Thanks You So much mam for UR new Superb Recommendations.
ReplyDeleteGOD BLESS U.
Oooh, wonderful.definetly great value will be unlocking for investor after demerge.. looking forward to buy on Monday.
ReplyDeleteHi ma'am any research on the companies debt levels and short term working capital requirements? Is the debt primarily for paper business? Making consumer business virtually debt free?
ReplyDeleteYou can get the complete details under Sl No -10 statement of asset and liabilities.
Deletehttp://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/694f49f7-31b0-4a5f-8374-80ba65d7e4ca.pdf
Thanks mam,
ReplyDeleteAny views on Premier Explosives, Tata Global Beverages and Texmaco Rail ?
Sorry not tracking Texmaco Rail and others are good but not advisable to buy at cmp
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeleteAt what ratio this will demerge?1:1?
Yes, one share of Orient Electric for each share of Orient Paper and Industries
Deletethanks so much mam.
ReplyDeleteThank You Mam.
ReplyDeleteThank you ma'am for your relentless efforts.
ReplyDeleteHello
ReplyDeleteWhat will be the face value of new entity after demerger
FV will remain 1
DeleteThanks Mam,
ReplyDeleteJust comparing Orient to other companies in same sector and size. Is not Orient's PE and PB too high?
Orient Paper: Mcap Rs 2000 cr, Sales Rs 1800 cr, PE 40, PB 4
TN NewsPrint: Mcap Rs 2670 cr, Sales Rs 2400 cr, PE 10, PB 1.5
JK Paper: Mcap Rs 1700 cr, Sales Rs 2100 cr , PE 9.6, PB 1.18
West Coast:
70 % revenue of Orient Paper and Industries is coming from consumer electric business so no point to compare it with other paper companies.
DeleteOrient Paper has doubled the tissue paper production capacity recently. So exact figure we will know after Q2 results. It is high margin segment and Orient is biggest producer and exporter of tissue paper in India. . At present annual turnover of paper business is around 500 crores
Mam, Your views on JK Paper
DeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteHi Ma'm, Thank you for the new stock.
ReplyDeleteWhat kind of appreciation you see from this stock 10 years down the line?
Thank you.
Around 500%
DeleteThank you Ma'm
DeleteHello Maam, thanks for an another special situation play. Given the swap ration, will the share capital of Orient Electric be the same as Orient Paper currently I.e. 21.21 cr. ?
ReplyDeleteYes, share capital will be the same because demerger ratio is 1:1
DeleteThanks a lot..
ReplyDeleteJust two questions :
1) any range of market value for the land parcel?
2) history of how shareholder friendly this management has been?
Thank you again..
1) It will be at least 240 crores as per circle rate 30 lakh /acre but market value may be higher.
Deletehttp://www.idco.in/2009/landrate.aspx
2) Management is good and investor friendly ( Lot of investors and fund houses have invested in both CK Birla group listed companies Orient Paper and Orient Cement)
Management is investor friendly and want to unlock value for investors.
DeleteOrient Cement was part of Orient Paper as well. Mgmt spun off Orient Cement and the market cap of Orient Cement is 3,200 crores. Mgmt is trying to do a similar unlocking for Electrical division as well.
If below link doesn't work, please type Orient paper demerger in google and read livemint article
https://www.google.co.in/amp/www.livemint.com/Companies/AAo3sENcpRxuSxLjUmhziN/Orient-Paper-to-demerge-electrical-appliances-division.html%3ffacet=amp&utm_source=googleamp&utm_medium=referral&utm_campaign=googleamp
http://www.livemint.com/Companies/AAo3sENcpRxuSxLjUmhziN/Orient-Paper-to-demerge-electrical-appliances-division.html
DeleteNote (In response to your previous comment) - We are expecting around 300% return on our initial investment in 4 years. You have tried to misinterpret it in revenue growth of the company.
It is very simple to understand that our cost per share on Orient electric will be near 50 rupees. If Orient Electric company will trade at market capital 2 times of its annual sale then its share price will be around 150 after one year. After that average 15% growth per year it can cross Rs 225 in next 3 years.
Dear Maam,
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot for sharing such detailed findings and the new pick Can you please throw some light on the quality of management and whether we can expect them to be shareholder friendly in the future as well.
Management is good and investor friendly. Just have look on below list of investors in CK Birla group companies.
Deletehttp://www.bseindia.com/corporates/shpPublicShareholder.aspx?scripcd=535754&qtrid=94.00&QtrName=June%202017
http://www.bseindia.com/corporates/shpPublicShareholder.aspx?scripcd=502420&qtrid=94.00&QtrName=June%202017
Thanks mam...
ReplyDeleteThank you Madamji for your new recommendation.
ReplyDeleteDear Madam,
ReplyDeleteThank you once again for your intensive research and presenting us with a wonderful investment opportunity. This makes it extra special since it is a demerger stock! May the Lord bless you and your family with good health and abundance.
Thanks and Regards,
D. Viswambharan
Mam
ReplyDeleteEnough liquidity will be there or not to buy it on Monday
Yes, stock has enough liquidity. Demerger is in final stage and any related news may create extra buying interest.
DeleteDear mam
ReplyDeleteI have sizeable investment in trident and Nahar industries. Results for the next 2 quarters might be flat due to high cotton prices. Can I add few more shares at a 10 percent fall. I am looking at holding onto these shares at least for the next 3 years.
You can add these stocks with expected return around 10 - 15% per year.
DeleteNamaste madem please comment on abfrl first quarter results
ReplyDeleteResults is very good , there is significant growth in top line, its profit is not reflecting in bottom line due to higher value of stock -in-trade, it will reflect in Q2.
DeleteMadam , please give your view on kiri industry to buy at current price ... thanks in advance
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteThank you mam
DeleteMadam shall I allocate 35% of my portfolio to orient
ReplyDeleteFor balanced portfolio up to 20% allocation is good. If you are investment plan is for 3-4 years then you can allocate it.
Deletethank you madam
DeleteMam, namaskaram.
ReplyDeleteThanks for the pick.
There was a significant fall of this stock in March 2013. Should we analyse the reasons before we make a decision? Roughly seeing the graph, stockis at similar high before the fall and does analysing those reasons necessary now?
It was due to demerger of Orient Cement. During that period paper and consumer elecric division were making losses
DeleteThank you.
DeleteThanks mam for the gem you have recomended.God bless you.
ReplyDeleteDear madam, from demerger story perspective out of Kesoram and Orient paper, which one is better. I mean which one would realize early. Have both but want to add more in one of them. Thanks for all the information.
ReplyDeleteNo comparison with Kesoram, every aspect of both stocks are explained in details.
DeleteMam OM metal from infra space. is it looking good for multibagger gains?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteDear mam
ReplyDeleteI have some investment in fineotex chemicals at Rs.33. I am looking at adding some shares at Rs.30. My time horizon is 3-4 years. Kindly advise.
Sorry not tracking fineotex chem
DeleteDear Mam,
ReplyDeleteThank you once again for your great effort in suggesting us great stocks each and every time. May God bless you and your family with good health and abundance.
Thanks and Regards,
Krishna
Hello Mam,
ReplyDeleteI have some queries:
1) will the demerger take place before Q2 results?
coz, I feel that at CMP of 96 the share is commanding a premium and its fair value is somewhere arnd 80. but as the result date and AGM date of 11th August nears, the prices will be increased and post that there will be a profit booking and the rates will stabilize at some value.. will that value be 96 (todays CMP) or will go below that due to bad Q2 results estimation...(as we all know that the inventory purchase by shopkeepers and production is stagnant and will only improve after sept during the festival season)
so probably we can wait till mid sept or aug end to enter at a corrected price (which I assume wud be lesser than CMP of 96 even after it would have rallied with the Q1 news) but if a demerger news strikes before this, we will miss out the chance to enter at this rate..
Hope my query makes sense.
Thank You.
1) Demerger will take place after NCLT approval and it must complete before end of this year and no connection with Q2 results.
DeleteIf you think it will come down to 80 then you can wait for it.
Isn't the promoter holding a concern?
ReplyDeleteNo
DeleteGod bless you for your honest advice for worth investment
ReplyDeleteThanks mam for your another gem which is going to demerge.
ReplyDeleteWhen Lasa may credit in my demat account
ReplyDeleteJust before listing
DeleteMadam Thanks for the new Gem, could pls advice which one can give better returns in a year Kesoram vs Orient Regards
ReplyDeleteNo comparison with Kesoram, every aspect of both stocks are explained in details. Both can give very good return in next 4-5 years.
DeleteIf you're looking for early return around 50 -100% in year than buy Orient.
Thanks Madam
DeleteThanks Mam for your efforts and analysis.
ReplyDeleteAt what price it is a good buy? cmp is around 96.
It can be bought +/- 10% from suggested price.
DeleteThanks mam
DeleteDear Ashotosh please read blog carefully bofore asking any question .. You will get anweres itself..Thanks ...
DeleteThanks for your new recommendation.
ReplyDeleteStock is trading near 52 week high. Do you think it is advisable to take entry @52 high?
Yes, it will make another 52 week high
DeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for new update. Actually i want to know that many of ur stock recommendations are dircly or indirectly related birla grp.for ex. orient paper,kesoram,aditya birla fashion. so many of ur stock recommendations are related to birla gr .
Only three stocks related different birla companies. Birla is one of the oldest and biggest business group in India. Most of the companies hold good assets and several restructuring are happening to realign the business with changing world.
DeleteMadam, My uncle had retired recently and getting some lump sum amount. He would like to invest some amount around 5 Lakhs (15%) in equities for 5 years. Would request your suggestion in investing in equities. He does not have any financial liabilities and responsibilities, however he would use the money for himself after 5 years as he doesn't get any pension.
ReplyDelete15 % allocation in equity at the age of 60 is ok. Need to invest in good fundamental stocks only.
DeleteThank you madam
DeleteDollyji thanks for new reco.i had posted a mssg earlier but did not get posted.maam I have bought 500@101..what's the reason that kcp,oscl & kesoram.these cos r not at all affected by market rally.what might b the reason.regards
ReplyDeleteKCP and Kesoram are suggested few months before. Just have look at other cement stocks , most of the cement stocks are trading range bound from last 2-3 months with slight decline.
DeleteOSCL price performance can be evaluated only after listing of Lasa
Madam Thanks for new recommendation,can you highlight why adf food is continuously falling,is there anything to worry?
ReplyDeleteIt moved up today
DeleteHello,
ReplyDeleteI have SKM eggs shared purchased at 104 and it's cmp is 70. Should I hold these shares or book loss?
Need to stick with investment decision at least for 2 -3 years
DeleteThank you very much for this wonderful pick.
ReplyDeleteGot it @102
Thanks again for your selfless help.
I got it @ 100.10. Is it a good price?
ReplyDeleteYes, you have bought at good price
DeleteThank you madam for recommendation of good stock
ReplyDeleteThank you for recommendation madam
ReplyDeleteAny views on Lakshmi Electrical Control Systems ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteThank you madam for your recommendation, this stock may surge in the news of demerger ,
ReplyDeleteYes it may move above 120 before demerger
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteIn which quarter a company will pay tax.Is it in the first quarter or All the four quarter?
Thanx
It depend upon company, most of the profit making companies will pay in all 4 quarters
DeleteHi mam..Plz reply if you track- your view on USD INR pair..Is USD gonna fall further..Price range for coming years..Thnx.
ReplyDeleteSorry no idea about forex trading
Deletedhanuka agritch at 750 can be bought ? howz the company
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteThanks mam for your valued tip. kindly suggest would it be better to purchase orient electric after listing/de-merger?
ReplyDeleteIf you want to pay 20 -40% high price then better to purchase orient electric after listing/de-merger
DeleteSo Mam, after demerger Orient Electric will be the hot pie considering the growth or Orient Paper will also shine considering the business expansion of the paper tissues ? Can we expect the same kind of unlocking in both the entities like we had in TCI / TCI Express ?
ReplyDeleteTalbros auto bought at 120 is now at 201.should I book profit or wait for more upside.
ReplyDeleteYou can book profit above 100% return
DeleteChemfab?when can we expect it to be listed.
ReplyDeleteStill no update on listing
Deletetiil bought at 215 is now at 460.shall I wait for more upside or book profit
ReplyDeleteYou can book profit at any point from 100% to 500% according to your holding capacity.
DeleteDear Madam,
ReplyDeleteHope all is well.. Don't mistake me.. I have this doubt to ask you.
As per your previous Guidence we learn if stock ran more than 20% with in a month don't buy @cmp. On this way oreint stock was ran more than 20%...Its the right time to buy..
I have said it from suggested price because most of the time people start chasing once stock already rallied significantly.
DeleteYou must read the specific question for that reply ( most of the comments for NOCIL, ADF, Trident, Manappuram finance )
I have already given detail under Conclusion in this blog. You may have overlooked it from 30 March stock is trading in the range of 80 - 96 till suggestion.
" The stock is trading since last 4 -5 months in range of Rs 80 - 96. It has not participated in any rally due to demerger process pending with NCLT. Now it is in the last stage of demerger process so it is right time to enter before announcement of record date. Orient Paper & Industries at cmp 96 is giving very good investment opportunity for short term as well as for long term. It can be bought +/- 10% from cmp with allocation upto 20%."
Thanks a lot for your prompt reply mam...
DeleteHello Madam,
ReplyDelete2 years back i was interested in this stock at 27 looking at electric business and asked for your recommendation in one of the blog. At that time you said you were not tracking it. I did not buy, No regrets not buying at 27. I am happy that i was able to sense multi fold return stock so early.
Yes, at that time there was no demerger plan and it was not clear how many years it will take to make turnaround. Paper industry make turnaround only in last year.
DeleteHi Maam,
ReplyDeleteI have many stocks that had multi-bagger returns till early this year but they have performed poorly YTD. Do you think moving forward any of these will have multibagger returns or mainly compounders (low or high)?
1. Wimplast
2. Finolex Cables
3. Nilkamal
4. Aegis Logistics
5. HSIL
6. Abbott Labs
7. IFGL refactories
Thanks
SafeMB
We should not expect always multibagger return. These stocks have already given multifold return now we can expect consistent return around 20%. If you will compound 20% then it is also very good return.
DeleteMaam
ReplyDeleteI invested 10% each in Kesoram, KCP, Pennar, and Orient. But not large enough amount for Omkar prior to Lasa spin off due to insufficient funds.
You said to purchase Omkar around 70 and Lasa around 100 in one of your previous posts for those that haven't purchased before.
What is the expected target for each of Omkar and Lasa in four years?
Thanks
There is no separate target but around 300% in 4 years on initial suggested price.
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeletePlease share ur views on Manglam Drugs. As at current prices, stock looks undervalued and also having clean Balance sheet(except from pledging of shares by promoters).
Thanks in advance for your valuable suggestion.
Regards
Lokesh
Sorry not tracking it.
DeleteMost of the blue chip stocks are trading near 52 week just have look on Divis Laboratories, Glenmark Pharma, GlaxoSmithKline, Sun Pharma.
Still overvalued look for further correction 20 -25%
Thank you for the new recommendation.
ReplyDeleteNamaste madem, small doubt, please explain. Dtil book value is 889.41 but share price is near 300, what is the reason?
ReplyDeleteNo specific reason, stock price will also move up in future.
DeleteKindly share your view on Kalyani steel and Godrej ind...suggest good level to buy these stocks
ReplyDeleteThank you
Sorry not tracking above stocks.
DeleteDear madam, Orient posted good numbers from a Net loss of Rs.4.34 crs to a Net profit of Rs.8.08 crs , excellent numbers , the decision of doubling capacity to high yield tissue paper has paid.... and in future also it will ... though electrical business showed less pace and may be unlocking will be soon in it also ...
ReplyDeleteBoth will perform well in future. We have not taken Q1 result in consideration for our investment.
DeleteMadam, Thanks for all your help, is it better then previous stocks, as other readers have pointed out previous stocks like kcp are still available below recommending price, we can still buy them will that be better?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Sure, you can allocate 20% in each stock.
DeleteAny specific reason that you unable to take the decision for KCP up till now?
I am buying kcp on every dip, sorry I am a little slow guy, the difficult decision is oriental because kcp is available below recommended price, My question is for a small investor do we need to buy oriental when previous stocks are available.
DeleteMam,
ReplyDeleteLloyd electric and engineering is 195rs now
Can we buy this for long term or should wait for more correction
What is the best entry price in this stock
U once said, below 200 is the best price to buy this one
What's the reason for this fall from 356rs to 195rs
Not advisable to buy LEEL
DeleteOnce u said it is good to buy below 200rs when it was trading near 240rs and it is better than other air conditioner companies
DeleteIt also gave special dividend of 20rs
Just for learning purpose,
Why it fall down from 345rs to 196rs and why u said it is not advisable to buy as it's balance sheet looks good
Guide me about this for learning purpose
Thank you mam for this wonderful pick... Mam are you tracking century enka.. I have 150 shares @416..its Trading At332...shall I add more?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking century enka.
DeleteAlso ur views on shilpi cable technologies please.. Thanks
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteMadam - Your view on precision camshaft.
ReplyDeleteTrading below IPO price and having good order book with international clients
Sorry not tracking Precision Camshaft
DeleteMam what's ur view on balaji telefilm.....reliance has recently acquired 25per shares
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking it
DeleteHi Madam,
ReplyDeleteThank you for this pick. One more excellent de-merger candidate.
I have shared my current portfolio via email. Can you please share your thoughts and suggestions for the same?
Regards,
Simha.
Sure you can send the email, I will try reply it in next 3-4 weeks. Lot of emails unable to reply from last one month.
DeleteHi Madam i have 500 shares of Nocil and i am getting good profit shall i keep and hold can it be mutibagger for 1 or 2 years or shall i sell and buy Orient paper which you recommend
ReplyDeleteNeed to stick with investment decision at least for 2 -3 years. You can continue to hold NOCIL for consistent return around 20% per year.
DeleteMam please let us know the listing date of lasa.
ReplyDeleteStill no update on listing of Lasa but most probably it will be in this month
DeleteThank you Madam... I read in news Kesoram industries bought back Spun pipe and heavy chemicals and also Indus bank sold all of its preferential shares in Kesoram. Is it good for Kesoram stock?
ReplyDeleteYes, it good for Kesoram Ind.
DeleteHello Dolly ji,
ReplyDeleteCan you please provide you view on Q1 result .
I can see paper segment is doing good but I see some downfall in electric segment.
Thanks in advance
Q1 Result is very good. Both paper and electric will perform well in future. We have not taken Q1 result in consideration for our investment.
DeleteMadam, kahi article pada tha isme ADF FOODS ke bare mein bahut achha lekha tha 5 years hold karne see 2500-4000 ka target derahe hain. Aap ka suggestion ke badh max imvest karna chahata hum. Please suggest me accordingly. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteIt is good stock but not advisable to buy at cmp. Any stock can be bought +/-10% from suggested price.
DeleteMadam Mera pass Kutch qty hain, average karne se 180-200 ke range main aarahe hain. Yesa hoga tho tgt 2500-4000 paunch sake hain 5 years mein. Please suggest accordingly
DeleteThank you.
Madam Mera pass Kutch qty hain, average karne se 180-200 ke range main aarahe hain. Yesa hoga tho tgt 2500-4000 paunch sake hain 5 years mein. Please suggest accordingly
DeleteThank you.
Below 51
ReplyDeleteMam, are you tracking rcf? If yes plz provide your views.
ReplyDeleteMam, you said paper sector made turn around only last year. What signals you look to decide that a turnaround has happened and how to decide when it is complete and something else is turning around.
ReplyDeleteAny views in punjab national bank ma'am...I have 800 shares at an average of 130
ReplyDeleteMam, say for e.g. we hold some share of a company and the company issued right issue to the existing share holders. If we (existing shareholder) don't apply for that right issue, what will happen and what are the impacts to the shareholders who are not applied for the right issue?
ReplyDeleteDear mam,
ReplyDeleteI wanted to understand @ 96rs..how much we can value paper business and electric business?
I mean paper business 36rs and electric 60rs?
Or what is the actual value of both business?
Rgds
Rajesh
Mam, any thoughts on Hindustan Copper OFS?
ReplyDeleteDear Maam, thanks for this recommendation. I have entered at 101. From a long term point ( 3 to 5 years) of view is it good to enter GNFC , Dhampur Sugar and Ruchira papers at current levels. Thank You
ReplyDeleteHello Mam, I really admire the way you understand things and have hold on market.. Just few days back, in one of the responses you told Omkar may again go down to 80-90 and then bounce back.. It was at that time when Omkar raised from 75 to 115.. What trigger made u think that it will go back and bounce back.. And will it now bounce back or stay at these levels.. Pls guide..
ReplyDeleteMam, can you please suggest that at what price can we buy the following stocks?
ReplyDeleteAksharChem(I)
Shreyans Inds
Lokesh Machines
NOCIL
JP Associates
Jubiliant Life
Hello Madam, Is it advisable to make a purchase of stock in multiple times as long as it is within the +/- 10% or make it in one go.
ReplyDeleteFor ex Orient paper was 101+ on Monday and today it is around 98+, what ideally should be the approach, your inputs would be greatly helpful, thanks.
Update from Lasa
ReplyDeleteDear Investor,
Greetings from LASA.!!
Thanks for writing us.
Listing application is already submitted with respective exchanges, trading approval is awaited.
Soon we can expect trading permission from exchanges.
We will keep investors updated as and when we get confirmation about date.
Respected madam, most cement stocks have run up quiet a bit but no action seen in kcp and kesoram. Is any big news awaited for these stocks. Also, is there any chance of further correction in orient post dividend.
ReplyDeleteMam i have purchase good quantity of Pennar. Kesoram. Kcp. Orient.alkali.. Even after market giving good return my portfolio is in Red... What is d reason and wht can I xpect for future
ReplyDelete