Friday, October 6, 2017

Gati Limited





CMP = 111



Gati Limited is a pioneer in the express distribution, supply chain solutions, e-commerce & cold chain logistics. Gati has transformed the logistic industry in India with many a path breaking revolutionary initiatives that paved the way to an organized logistic industry. Gati started operations in 1989 as a door-to-door cargo company, a division of Transport Corporation of India (TCI).  It became a separate company in 1994. Over the years company has grown its extensive network across India providing deliveries to 19000 pincodes, covering 672 out of 676 districts in India by using different modes of transports ie. Road, Rail, Air & Sea. It also offers specialized logistics services and it is currently among the top  players in the E-commerce logistics business. It has a strong market presence in the Asia Pacific region and SAARC countries with offices in China, Singapore, Hong Kong, Thailand, and Nepal.




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pot9krQzF7k








Gati is an end-to-end logistics solutions provider with following business structure.








E-Commerce Logistics and Fulfilment Services









http://www.gaticonnect.com/



Gati E-connect is the e-Commerce Logistic Solutions vertical of Gati Ltd. It is first integrated e-Commerce logistic solutions provider in India. Gati's e - Commerce solutions come with the expertise to achieve complex needs in managing customised  e-tailing logistics solutions. Leveraging its extensive express logistic  network, strong e-fulfilment capabilities and innovative supply chain technologies. Gati’s e-Commerce logistics has built a capacity to deliver more than 80,000 packages per day.




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zKtJkQrRZ_s




Quick facts 


  • Pan-India presence to deliver to a wide customer base
  • Delivery  capability  to  handle  shipments  ranging  from  0.5kg  to 1 ton
  • IT and Automation Solutions
  • Dedicated Customer Care Center
  •  ‘One Ship Model’ setup for end-to-end delivery 
  • Door step delivery backed by blend of bikers, drivers and franchises growing regularly.
  • Capability to handle large volume with greater operational efficiencies and flexibility.




Express Logistics








http://www.gati.com/



Express distribution is time sensitive movement of commercial packages on door-to-door delivery concept and Gati is a pioneer in developing this concept in India more than 25 years back. This division of Gati is the most preferred Express Distribution and Supply Chain Solutions provider because of its ability to handle every distribution need of its customer. An intrinsic network that spans the length and breadth of India Gati-KWE has a reach of more than 99% of the districts in India. A large fleet of more than 5000 vehicles and an assured space across 32 airline sectors ensures that all couriers,  cargo and shipments are delivered in time at the right place. 






Express distribution division of GATI has over 5000 clients from industry sectors such as Pharma, FMCG, Engineering, Auto ancillary, Textiles & IT hardware. Express distribution division has a combined fleet of 5000 vehicles and a warehousing capacity of 3.3 mn. sq. ft.




https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RyOliosedmg




Quick facts 


  • Unmatched multi-model network
  • Door pickup & Door delivery
  • Well-developed  network and  optimised route planning system
  • Operates in 32 airline sectorsExpertise in handling high value shipments & perishable goods
  • 24/7/365 service level monitoring system 
  • Online tracking, sms and e-mail updates of shipments in transit



Cold Chain Logistics








http://gatikausar.com/



Gati Kausar is a subsidiary and cold-chain arm of Gati Limited. It is the longest established cold-chain company in India, with 30 years of expertise in the cold-chain distribution business. Gati Kausar offers customised solutions for temperature sensitive shipments including consumer foods, pharmaceuticals, retail and agri-food sectors.










Gati Kausar innovative cold-chain transportation solution, strengthened by cutting edge technology,and a vast fleet of refrigerated vehicles equipped with advanced climate-control systems ensures that perishable products are delivered in a fresh, healthy and potent state to retailers and end consumers.







The state of  art modern refrigerated units, established reefer network, temperature controlled vehicles, IT infrastructure and experienced team helps them offer the right solution for every customer need.


Quick facts 


  • ISO 9001:2008 and FSSAI certified company.
  • HACCP procedures for safety and prevention of contamination.
  • State-of-the-art modern refrigerated units from France and USA  Containers with insulation to withstand the harsh India climate zones.
  • Tamper-proof  vehicles  to  mitigate  pilferage  risk  Unmatched  Infrastructure and Network.
  • Fleet  comprising  of  close  to  180  refrigerated  vehicles  load  capacity from 1.3 tonnes to 24 tonnes, temperature range from +25 o C to -25 o C.
  • Transporting  approximately  2,00,000  tonnes  annually unmatched network, covered over 300 districts in India.
  • IT  capabilities,  Modern  Vehicle  Tracking  System,  Data  loggers  to  monitor in-transit conditions throughout the journey.
  • In  house  capabilities,  In-house  dedicated  solutions  team,  reefer trucking team and refrigeration team In-house workshop, with inventory of approximately 3000 SKUs.             




Investment Rationales




Long outstanding FCCB issue with Goldman Sachs is recently resolved . It has enabled the company to expand its business activities like strategic investment, demerger, fund raising and business expansion without any restriction.  It has also resulted significant decline in debt.



Gati maintains its the market leadership position in express distribution in the non documents market with ~19% market share. The logistics industry in India is expected to grow at CAGR of 16 -20 % in the coming years.



Gati with its widespread reach and warehousing capabilities is well  positioned to seize these opportunities rising due to implementation of GST 



Gati is fully integrated multi-modal logistics player with a comprehensive pan-India network, it is clear beneficiary of business shift from unorganised to organised players after the implementation of GST from last quarter.



The demand for warehousing is expected to grow at an annual rate of 10 % and  Gati with its widespread reach and warehousing capabilities is well positioned to seize these opportunities.



Gati has fleet size of 5,000 trucks , 200 reefer trucks, 76 warehouses and over 6,000 trained work force with a widespread network managed by multi-modal capabilities, technology supported expertise makes Gati the most prefered one-stop solutions provider for all logistic requirements from warehousing, freight forwarding, supply chain solutions, temperature controlled solutions, B2C couriers and fulfilment  centres.



Gati has partnership with major global player Kintetsu World Express for express distribution business & supply chain solutions and with Kauser for cold-chain  distribution and solution. It give world wide access in business and related technology.



Gati Kausar has immense potential for growth opportunities rising  in the agri, food and pharma sector.




Conclusion 




Gati is ready to capture  the strong opportunity unfolding in the Indian logistics landscape because this sector will remain backbone of every development rising due to GST,  e-commerce, infra, housing and in agri sector. 



In the past stock was unable to participate any market rally due to pending FCCB issue. The issue was settled in last quarter but that time most of the transport and logistic stocks came under pressure due to initial hiccups while implementation of GST. Now transport and logistic will pickup the growth momentum and it will remain the main beneficiary. Gati at cmp Rs 111 is providing decent investment opportunity ( 1 year -  4 years) for short as well as for long term. It can be bought +/ - 10% from cmp.    





473 comments:

  1. Hi Ma'm,

    Thank you so much for the new stock.

    Best regards,

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thank you mam, this second stock from logistic sector, hope good days ahead for this sector.God bless you

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks for the recommendation Mam.. I am one of the biggest fan of yours.. God bless you.. Mam what returns should be expected from this counter and within what time frame..

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thank you mam...
    What is one year target madam

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 50 - 100% expected return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
    2. Thank you mam for the new stock pick.

      Delete
  5. Thank you madam
    What is short term target madam?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  6. Thanks​ Mam for new recommendation. How can we compare this with TCI XPS in Xpress distribution and TCI with transport and logistics sector.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect that Gati show much improved performance in next few years to compare at par with TCI and TCI Express.

      Delete
  7. What are the growth expectations in coming years?

    ReplyDelete
  8. Thanks a lot mam for the new stock pick

    ReplyDelete
  9. What is the return expected in 1 year

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  10. Thank u mam for new recomendation..how much returns can we expect in 3 yrs?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  11. Thanks a lot Mrs Dolly!

    What are the expected returns from this stock in short and long term?

    And M'am, What returns can be expected from Panama petrochem at cmp of Rs 160, OM metals infra at cmp of Rs 73 and Trident at cmp of Rs 104 ? Which would you recommend if any both from short and long term gains?

    Thanks and warm regards,

    Navraj Grewal

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Both Panama petrochem and Trident have already given multifold return in past few years, now we can expect consistent return around 20% per year

      Delete
  12. What are the growth expectations in coming years?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is expected to give 15 -20% annual growth in all business vertical

      Delete
  13. Mam thank you for the new stock,actually I have 250 shares of gati purchased at 145 RS almost one year back.Should I average it now or is 145 still a good buy price.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Mam one doubt please.i have Karur Vysya shares.Recently they have announced rights issue at 1:6 and fixed the record date on 13-10-2017.will the share price jump 50 to 60 RS before the record date as is the normal practice for almost all companies or is this not a hard and fast rule.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No it will not jump but go down, those who will apply in right issue will get the benefit.

      Delete
  15. Hello mam.. how much allocation we can give to this scrip???50-100% return we can expect with in 1yr?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  16. Thank you Dolly Madam for nice recommendation,
    how much return we can expect from 1 to 4 Year Horizon ?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.



      Delete
  17. Hi Madam,
    I m sure this stock will give good return but my query is that till gopal Krishna damani and Aashish kacholia holding or sold the holding.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They bought below 100 and sold near 300 because there was no clarity on FCCB issue related court case and GST

      Delete
  18. Dear Maam, We are looking at similiar returns of say 300% in 4 years and around 100% in 1 Year

    ReplyDelete
  19. Thank you madam for such great recommendation.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Mam can we expect 100% return in a year? Unlike past, you didn't mention on blog this time.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect 50 - 100% return in one year and around 300% in 4 years.

      Delete
  21. Thank you madam for the new stock...can see @120 I guess on Monday

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes , it can be bought +/- 10% from suggested price

      Delete
  22. Logistics business with 18% market share in a massive country like India available at
    a) ~1,200 Cr market-cap. If we think of this in USD terms, this is ~$185M, i.e sub <$200M market-cap - and would not even qualify as a 'small-cap' there, but more like a 'micro-cap'
    b) Market-cap / Sales of 0.7 - this is absurdly low for a logistics play & due to reasons already mentioned by author.
    This could be a 2x within a year, and who knows where it goes once execution starts & the revenues flow to bottom-line.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes , there is huge potential in all business verticals. Gati is well established brand name and hold market leadership position in in express cargo segment and e-commerce logistic.

      Delete
  23. Lots of thanks Madam,
    I missed the opportunity to buy TCI at your recommended price, can I increase my portfolio allocation upto 40% on Gati as I missed TCI (Because both are logistics company).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati can be given allocation 10 -20%.

      Most of the investors with higher allocation upto 20% in TCI had already booked the profit to make their holding free of cost

      Delete
  24. Madam,
    Any risk associated with 80% pledged shares by promoters?

    ReplyDelete
  25. Many Thanks ! Gati one point in time I had then those days I used to focus only small gains ! I like this one Dolly Madam ! Thanks ! Many thanks !!

    ReplyDelete
  26. Thanks Mam for new recommendation with effective rationale. Please let me acquaint with your views about any adverse impact of the facts that equity stake of promoter is decreasing every quarter and 80% holding is pledged.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Promoter stake came down due conversion of 2/3 FCCBs into shares. Definitely promoter have pledged the shares to bring cash liquidity, It will not have any impact on growth of company but it done for the growth of company.

      Delete
  27. Thanks for the stock recommendation mam, how much % should we allocate considering we already have TCI & TCI Express in our portfolio

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati can be given allocation 10 -20%.


      Most of the investors with higher allocation upto 20% in TCI had already booked the profit to make their holding free of cost so at present TCI allocation is either less than 10% or holding free of cost shares.

      Delete
  28. Thank you Madam for the new recommendation. What should be the allocation (10% or 20%)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati can be given allocation 10 -20%.

      Delete
    2. Thanks alot Mam...
      We can easily visualise the future growth possibilities in 3-4 years. TC and have a good time.

      Delete
  29. Thanks mam for the new stock pick and have u tracking ramky ibfra and it's recent run up . thanx.

    ReplyDelete
  30. Thanks Ma'm for such wonderful recommendations.

    Can you please also guide us on how to identify suck stocks?

    Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Gati is in same business like TCI and TCI Express but huge difference in valuation in both companies. Market has not given it actual valuation because of FCCB pending issue. Company unable to raise fund or business expansion due to restriction imposed by court. Now these temporary issues are already settled and favourable growth environment for T&L sector is created due to implementation of GST.

      We are monitoring it since last one year when it was trading above 150 to enter at right time at right price.

      Delete
    2. Thank you for suggesting at the right time.

      Delete
  31. Hi Mam, thanks for your recommendation. I am holding this stock for the last 1.5 years at around 138. Now I will increase my holding.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In next 1.5 years it will give decent return, just need to hold with patience.

      Delete
  32. Thanks for your new recommendation. You are genuinely helping retail investors make money in the market, that too free of charge. God bless you.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Ma'am, how will the postponement of e way bill in GST till 31 March 2017, affect Gati and logistics companies in general?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully E-way bill issue will get resolved in the next GST council meeting. Main aim of it is to simplify the process with transparency in every transaction and it will be for all not only for Gati.

      Delete
  34. Thank you Madam for the new recommendation.Mam Kesoram share gone down day by day Already buy @ 147...Can i buy at current price or some more downfall may happen....
    Orient papaer merger may be on 11 th Oct what change expected after that & can i buy more quantity before murger....Thanks..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect positive turnaround of tire business in coming quarters and cement business already giving good results.

      There will not be any change in Orient Paper except demerger of Orient Electric as explained in the blog.

      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2017/07/orient-paper-industries-switch-to-smart.html

      Delete
  35. Maam. Is there any difference in the operation of TCI. TCI EXPRESS and GATI. IF it is one and the same thing ,why is TCI having different companies in the same line of business ? It can lead to conflict of interest

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Got it. GATI has different promoters. Thanks

      Delete
    2. Promoters are different but belongs to same family tree. As we have seen recently in Omkar or Reliance or in Birla group companies.

      Delete
  36. Thanks Mam for one more Gem in Making

    ReplyDelete
  37. Thank you Dolly mam, for the detailed analysis as usual. God bless you and your family.

    ReplyDelete
  38. Madam could you please tell me how is VRL logisitcs compared to Gati??
    Also what your view on Flex Foods??

    ReplyDelete
  39. Is this the only company having multi business vertices with supply chain, logistics, cold chain supply solution, e commerce supply chain?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Before demerger, TCI was having similar business verticals but no other company is having similar reach or business verticals.

      Delete
  40. Hi Dolly Madam,

    As usual extensive research presented in simple words, understandable by common man...!!!

    Hats off my dear Sister, Mentor, Idol, Goddess...Words will never be enough to express the emotions.

    Every recommendation of yours is so unique & caught so perfectly & with highest margin of safety, excellent demonstration of VISION TO SEE (because we all followers can see but we don't have VISION)

    This is really a masterstroke to come up with something like GATI which has not participated in this bull run at all & when indices are almost at their life highs.

    May God bless you & your family & all blog followers with healthiest & wealthiest life.
    It is still difficult to believe that somebody is giving this free of cost to us in this highly commercial world.

    Every recommendation on this blog makes me believe that common sense is needed to find common stocks which are capable of giving uncommon profits however common sense is so uncommon & we can't expect it from everybody & hence we all followers can't find out such stocks on our own. This is where you are unique & enriching all of us by your excellence!!!

    Lots of Love, respect & regards to you....dear Dollyji!!!

    Regards
    Nilesh J.

    ReplyDelete
  41. Dear Mam,

    I am sure that Gati is available at cheap valuation and future prospects of the Company are also good.

    1) However, Buffett says that don't focus on EPS focus on Return on Equity. He suggests to buy businesses that have sustainable and consistent RoE of more than 15. He also suggests to buy businesses having P/E ratio less than 15 and P/BV of less than 1.5. Gati's RoE is only around 5%. P/E of 25 and P/BV of 1.7. What valuation method do you use ? Low market cap to sales ratio ? I am sure that on relative valuation basis, Gati's valuation is way better than TCI Express and Blue Dart. Gati is also trading near 52 week low and has not rallied recently. These are the plus points. However, valuation method does not match with Buffet's criteria. I would be grateful to you if you can throw some light on your method. Your valuation method is unique and stocks suggested by you have given returns of 50-100% yearly.

    2) Will you write a book on Equity Investing for budding investors like us ? You give us a fish in the form of great stock every couple of months. However we want to learn fishing from you as well.

    3) How to stay away from financial diseases like Futures trading, borrowing and leveraging ? These things are too tempting for young investors but are ultimately weapons of wealth destruction. Do you ever do Futures Trading ?

    4) I have observed from my investment journey that quality has a price but longevity, long term sustainability and power of compounding. HDFC bank, Maruti , Bajaj Finserv, HPCL are classic examples of this. I know that all these stocks are trading at expensive valuations but Quality, future demand and long term sustainability of these businesses remains intact. Can we invest in such business for power of compounding ? For example, HPCL is available at P/E of 13, Dividend yield of around 5%, RoE of more than 25%. Market cap to sales ration is also low and future demand of the product is also very good..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Our investment is not based on past data like P/E, EPS or ROE. If these data are perfect then we will find Gati price above Rs 500.

      Our investment reason is very simple to understand that any economy cannot grow without growth of transport and logistic sector. GST has ensured that only well organised player in transport and logistic sector will survive. So 60 -70% unorganised business is going to move to major organised companies and Gati is one of the few listed companies is having very strong presence in every corner of the country in all segments.

      Our investment is based on product ( service in case of Gati ) and its future demand.

      Delete
  42. Mam I am amazed at your kindness and generosity in helping small investors make good amount of money without expecting anything from us. I also consider all the blog members lucky to find and be on this blog. May Almighty God bless you abundantly and fulfil all your heart desires.

    ReplyDelete
  43. Mam, another logistics pick shows the potential this business has. Thanks a lot.
    And i'm reaping around 35% of my Shree Pushkar holdings (which was my first Dolly Khanna investment) in the coming week to pay LIC premium. And will continue to hold remaining for further gains :)

    ReplyDelete
  44. Dear mam

    I am holding shares in edelweiss purchased at 68. I have sold 50 percent of shares at 190. Can I sell the balance at the current price and enter Gatti or would you advise me to hold on to edelweiss as well.

    ReplyDelete
  45. Thank you Madamji, for helping us with your valuable time and affort to find such good companies at low prices. Thank you very much.
    Best regards

    ReplyDelete
  46. Really appreciate your kind service to small investors like us. Thank you very much.

    ReplyDelete
  47. Dear Mam,
    Hope all is well.. Thanks a lot for the new stock. Why u didn't pick the snowman logistics mam..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Snowman is only cold chain (temperature controlled) logistics service provider similar to Gati Kausar. Even Gati Kausar is having much better infrastructure and reach than Snowman so no point to pick 10% business @ Rs 50

      Delete
    2. Thanks for the valuable information mam..

      Delete
  48. Thank you mam for ur stock ideas but why didnt u post this in market time before 3.30 pm ? so retailers who are following u on ur blog spots have chance to buy stock at cmp. but now stock will rise frm tomorrow n we will think twice to enter now at higher price . pls upload stock ideas at market time next time. - dr. jayesh

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Earlier we have tried it during market hours but stock gone up for upper circuits and most of the blog readers were unable to buy it. Only those who are full time investors / traders / brokers got the maximum benefit.

      Delete
  49. Thanks for the new recommendation.

    The single biggest concern in the mind of small investor is that 80% promoter holding is pledged. How are the promoters planning to de-pledge these shares. Is the FCCB issue resolution and consequent debt reduction enough for this.

    You have rightly highlighted the fact that Logistics as a sector will grow at a healthy pace in coming quarters. There are many players in this sector. What are the key triggers we should look forward to for the turnaround in the earnings growth in this company. Is the company going to take up any major expansion to increase market share or enter new segments. What are the steps company is taking to make sure it does not lose market share to other players.

    Does gati have tie ups with major e-com players like amazon, flipkart etc. or is any such tie up in the offing.


    Thank you very much for your guidance and help for small investors like us.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Small investors always lose because unable to take decision on time. You can see several comments asking to buy TCI at cmp without TCI Express. In 1994 TCI was a Rs. 200 crore company and Gati was doing Rs. 18 crore so growth of Gati is much higher than TCI. Taking debt is not bad but not paying it is bad.

      Delete
  50. Hello Mam,

    I am holding Hotel Royal Orchid @140 and Sawanria Agro @8.5 Please suggest your views on this, with a 1-2 year perspective.

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking any of the above mentioned stocks.

      Delete
  51. Mrs Dolly,

    Wanted to know your views on PNB housing finance company and its potential returns. And M'am can Canfin housing finance continue to give the same yoy returns in the future as it has been doing in the past? DHFL seems to be undervalued in the HFC sector but do you think it is also likely to give stellar returns like Canfin in the near future?

    M'am would really appreciate your views on the above three stocks and if they are good buys at cmp.

    Many thanks and warm regards.

    Navraj Grewal

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. All are good stock but none of these stocks can 100% return per year, 20% consistent return per year is fair expectation.

      Delete
  52. Thanks ma'am for the stock pick - GATI ...Surely seems like the right stock at the right time! Also wish to invest some money into NOCIL Ltd... Would this be a good time to enter the stock with a 1 to 2 year horizon or more...?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nocil is good stock and able to give consistent return around 15 -20% per year but not advisable to buy at cmp

      Delete
  53. Dolly Mam: What's the reason for sudden 20% UC in Shree Pushkar on Friday?

    Thanks for the help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no specific undisclosed reason, only promoters have bought preferential shares @ 212

      Delete
    2. Maam I was searching but didn't find this news even in BSE disclosures Can you point out where to look for?
      Thanks

      Delete
    3. Company has given update on Preferential Issue on 29 September 2017

      http://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/9d3cbca0-f2c7-4fb3-9054-5fc47eefc698.pdf

      Delete
    4. I was unable to open the attachment. But what I remember on 29/9 disclosure it was mentioned 6lac quantity but price of 212/- wasn't there. Or did I miss it. Thanks

      Delete
    5. Now you have to check your device for setting. It is company filling uploaded on BSE website.

      Delete
  54. Thanks Madam for another detailed post, Madam I am also concerned about the low promoter holding, other viewers also mentioned this, please help us understand it, TCI seems like a better company it also has high promotor holding and is growing decently, I have not sold TCI given the future growth prospects and probably others are holding as well, does TCI not seem like a better company?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. In 1994 TCI was a Rs. 200 crore company and Gati was Rs. 18 crore so growth of Gati is much higher than TCI. Gati is also having huge growth possibilities in all business verticals. For Gati you have to pay only Rs 111 for one share and for similar business you will get at Rs 770 for one share of TCI ( including XPS)

      Delete
  55. thanks mam for your recommendation

    ReplyDelete
  56. Good day Mam

    Please advise if Kesoram is a better bet at CMP compared to Gati as it is available below the recommended price
    I do understand that both are from different sectors but am only considering the money making opp urtunity part...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both will give similar return in long run but not comparable due different sector.

      Delete
  57. Mam, Can PPAP Automotive be bought at CMP? Can you share your valuable opinion on its fundamentals and growth prospects? And what should be the returns expectation?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. PPAP Automotive is good stock and able to give consistent return around 15 % per year but not advisable to buy at cmp

      Delete
    2. Thank you mam. At what price can it be bought in case of correction?

      Delete
    3. 130 or 230 or 330..? :( means from current level to 60% downside..

      Delete
    4. Yes, It is not advisable to buy it at cmp

      Delete
  58. Thank you for your recommendation mam. Iam holding this share for a along time expecting some good result, unfortunately the promoters are reducing stake,is it not a worrisome factor?.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Promoters holding will go down below 30% due to conversion of FCCB. It was well known since issuance of FCCB.

      Delete
  59. Greetings Madam,

    Thank you for GATI. You definitely have added GATI to our investment with sound philosophy and mindset lessons for us to guide us in top speeds too. May the Lord bless you and your family and everyone on the blog with abundance and great health.

    Like TCI, is there a possibility for demerger, if not now later?

    Thanks and Regards,
    D. Viswambharan

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, in the long run we can expect demerger of Express distribution and cold chain business

      Delete
  60. Hi Dolly Mam, I am following this blog from almost 2 years. I really appreciate and thank you for the great work you are doing for small retail investors. But I have few doubts
    1) I have noticed that u have recommended only stocks which u don't have above 1% holding or haven't increased ur holding more than 1% in the stocks recommended by you in this blog. What is reason behind it.
    2) In recent recommendations I noticed that you are suggesting only the stocks which many already knew. Though the stocks r are good and safe, these r not like the stocks which u recommended initially which were never heard hidden gems and became multibaggers in very less time. Any reason for not suggesting hidden gems with less market cap. Do u feel that there r not many hidden gems left with good valuations.
    Can you please let me know.

    Thank you Mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1) I have posted it under comments on 16 September 2016 regarding my personal shareholding.
      2) All listed stocks are well known but buying and selling timing is the most important factor. Lot of investors have already made huge gain they bought below 100 and sold above 300 with FCCB issue and without GST. We have also chosen the entry point near 100 with GST and without FCCB issue. Earlier we have gone for some low liquidity stocks which resulted in several upper circuit and blog readers unable to buy it

      Delete
  61. Dear sir,
    I had query regarding the FCCB convertion.Although the issue is resolved but i am not sure whether this resolution will lead to over supply impacting the stock price going forward. As seen in some of the companies like suzlon, castex technology, wockhart etc their stock price were always hammered. Although they are not comparable to Gati in terms of fundamentals so just taking them as examples for the FCCB issue.
    Many thanks in advance!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. FCCB issue is already factored in price due to this reason Gati available at Rs 111 for one share and for similar business you will get at Rs 770 for one share of TCI ( including XPS)

      Delete
  62. Mutual fund is now buying ABRFL and LASA recommendation by all TV anchor.
    Thanks to you Once again ..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes both stocks are expected to give good return in coming quarters.

      Delete
  63. Hello Madam,

    Can we buy Orient Bell @325 level ?

    ReplyDelete
  64. allcargo logistics compared to gati

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No comparison because Allcargo is in handling of CFS (Container Freight Stations) and ICD (Inland container depots)

      Delete
  65. Madam please share your views on JM financial which according to me is undervalued.

    ReplyDelete
  66. Thanks a lot mam for the new pick. May the lord continue to bless you and your family.

    ReplyDelete
  67. Respected madam thanks for your recommendation, if possible please share your views on Allcargo logistic and reason of jubiliant industry making loss since last few quaters.

    ReplyDelete
  68. Madam is kesoram a better bet than Gati with respect to returns expected.

    ReplyDelete
  69. Hi Ma'am can you please throw some light on valuation of Gati. It is trading at a very high PE. Also why have the promoters pledged 80% of their stake? Please throw some light on valuation aspect of Gati.
    Also if possible on valuation aspect of orient paper and industries. Due to low OPM and debt, it will be hard to compare them to peers like CG and havells so bajaj electrical trades at 0.8x sales with similar margins and half revenues coming from consumer biz. please help us. I think this reply will help memebers understand the valuation part of your ideas as well.

    ReplyDelete
  70. Dear Dolly ji, I purchased Allcargo 300 hundred shares @178 rs 1 year back. Till now no change in share price.

    Shall I exit from Allcargo and enter into Gati?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  71. Mam I'm watching this company from two years it has never benifted his share holders.. Price hover from 110 to 140..

    ReplyDelete
  72. Dear Madam,

    Please suggest buy price of PANAMA PETROCHEM LTD & TRIDENT.

    ReplyDelete
  73. Hello mam I sent mail to you plz rply if you r getting free time

    ReplyDelete
  74. Thanks Mam for good recommendation. Please opine about continuous decrease in shareholdings of promoters and 80% pledging of shares.

    ReplyDelete
  75. Thanks a lot Mam for the Diwali Gift!!!
    Just wanted to ask you -
    1) tci + tcs xps form 20% of my portfolio. Shall i sell some tci to buy gati as gati is set to deliver more in the near future ?
    2) abfrl has been a 15% of my portfolio and is a laggard now. Is it expected to grow in rhe next 4-5 quarters ?
    3) can we give 15% allocation to gati in our portfolio ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 1} Yes, if allocation in TCI is 20% the you can book some profit and invest in Gati.
      2) Yes, we can expect good return from ABFRL in next 4-5 quarters
      3) You can keep 20% allocation in Transport and Logistic sector. It means you have initially (principal investment amount) allocated 20% in TCI, now you can pullout 10% of initial investment and allocate in Gati.

      Delete
    2. Dear Mam,
      Kindly provide a clarification related with the statement you mentioned above.You have advised Mr.Vipul to book profit for 10% of his TCI holdings.In that case, he has to sell out all his TCI EXP shares.Did u mean the same?

      Delete
  76. Madam Thanks for the new Gem,would like to know the time that will take for Orient Electric listing if everything goes smooth, and will there be any obstacle in getting clearance on 11th October

    ReplyDelete
  77. Respected Mam

    I wish you and your family a very happy new year may all your dreams come true in coming year.

    ReplyDelete
  78. Dear Mam,

    Gati is Good Stock. but in this stock Promoter Holding are consistently decrease From Quarter June - 2016. what is the specific reason behind this ?




    Regards
    Monal Patel

    ReplyDelete
  79. Hello Madam, thanks for the new recommendation.

    Have a query on the FCCB conversion, as you had mentioned that since the FCCB conversion is over makes more attractive, Have a general query related to FCCB,can you please let me know where to see when the FCCB conversion was done for a stock and how to know how much is pending, I checked the bse website and couldn't find them in the bulk deal section, your input will be of great help, many thanks

    ReplyDelete
  80. Ma'am thanks for this wonderfull pick...
    what is your view on Dlink India...advisable to buy at cmp..?

    ReplyDelete
  81. Mom, when is the last date for eligibility of Orient paper demerger(means last buying date for eligibility of both share)

    ReplyDelete
  82. Madam

    Ust fr understanding is Sical logistics in the same business like Gati?

    ReplyDelete
  83. Mam, my buying price of TCI was little high and I am in 70% profit. My allocation to TCI is 50%. Can I sell some shares of TCI and buy GATI at your recommended price

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can book some profit and invest in Gati.

      Delete
    2. Profit should be booked with TCI or Tci Exp?

      Delete
  84. Dear Madam,
    Your views on share India securities

    ReplyDelete
  85. Mam, i have some shares of Nandan denims @ 146. Recently promoters too have increased their holdings but price is not moving up. Need advise mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. NDL has already given good return in past 4-5 months, now we can expect 15 -20% return per year.

      Delete
  86. Dear dolly ma'am..many thanks for the new pick!!will try to get it on monday. Ma'am usually you will provide tagline for every stock you suggest (orient- switch to smart! or so), but I think this is the first stock u suggested without tagline!! Just I want to recollect it in a funny way. once again thanks maam :D

    ReplyDelete
  87. Hi mam

    Is sanwaria consumer is good stock for long term investment?please advice

    ReplyDelete
  88. Ma'am thank you for the wonderful pick.
    Banswara Syntex
    Balasore alloys
    Anuh pharma
    Can we buy at current market price?

    ReplyDelete
  89. Hi Mam, i am holding canfinhomes 2% of my portfolio with 450% gains. Can i continue to hold or sell it to buy gati .

    ReplyDelete
  90. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  91. Hi mam thank you very much for your recommendation..!!
    There was a lot detail posted on the blog but i had a few small doubt and I have read your past stock pick of TCI which already gave much better return and will continue to give. So Plz try to share your views on those.

    How much is latest Promoter holding of Gati and how many shares are pledged?

    How much percentage of Gati's shares are with Goldman Sachs after there win in fccb issue did they sell those or still have it in form of Equity, is it good for investors if they have with them ?

    Tci and Gati are cousin's and mostly business is same so my point here is what different they can do to improve their market share and profit ?

    As most companies which you have suggested are financially sound with land banks, Can you give some more clarification on there assets and liabilities and fleets used for transportation ?

    They have many divisions so if De-merger happens, which will be those companies ?

    Does Gati have any big contracts like TCI with concor and many others if not are they trying to get some ?

    Ratio of revenue from Indian and international business ?

    What advantage they have due to collaboration with KWE ?

    Thank you in advance mam

    ReplyDelete
  92. M'am are IG petrochemical, Bajaj finance and PNB housing finance a good buy at cmp and what are the likely returns likely to be?
    Thanks and regards!

    ReplyDelete
  93. Madam pls tell me if promoter holding % is high does that mean company is strong and stable and vice versa.

    ReplyDelete
  94. Madam good evening,pls clarify does the price of a share increase considerably once a company announces rights issue.i mean is it mandatory for the price to fly and after the issue is over fall by a good margin.

    ReplyDelete
  95. Dear Mam

    How do you analyze the future product demand and growth of company. For example There are lot of companies in home and electric appliances. So there is enormous competition for orient electric. How do you analyze that its products are going to be winner and will capture market share.

    Best Regards
    Ajay

    ReplyDelete
  96. Mam, there are free floating of 10mn shared added to market recently due to conversion. Will this have an impact on share price in near future. How do we expect 70-80% in 1 yr

    ReplyDelete
  97. Dear Mam,

    Thanks a lot for new gem. I am currently holding Snowman logistic at rs 55. Whats your thought on this as this is also belongs to logistic sector specialized in Cold chain.

    Thanks, Santosh

    ReplyDelete
  98. Mam, I bought reliance power during its IPO and its in a huge loss and still holding. Is it a right time to switch it to Gati or let it automatically go to zero?

    ReplyDelete
  99. Hello Ma'am, Talbros Engineering has announced a bonus of 1:1 on 17-08-2017 with record date as 14-10-2017 and ex-bonus date as 12-10-2017. If I buy it today, will I be eligible for the bonus shares?

    ReplyDelete
  100. Mam,

    Bought 1k shares of Gati at 116.90 is this a good price? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  101. Dear mam,

    By converting fccb to shares on moneycontrol its showing they reduced there debt by 390 crore in last qtr? Is it true?
    Last yr balance sheet it is showing total debt 443 crore..so now have they reduces the debt to just 53 crore? Or the total debt is still 443 crores.
    Pls help us to understand.
    Thanks
    Rajesh

    ReplyDelete
  102. Thanks a lot for your another Gem mam. God bless you. Thanks once again for your valuable contribution.

    ReplyDelete
  103. Madam, can we book profits in Shree Pushkar at CMP and buy Gati?

    ReplyDelete
  104. MAdame, what is your opinion on D-Link? What price is good to enter

    ReplyDelete
  105. Mam, when is the record date for demerger of orient paper

    ReplyDelete
  106. Please give your view on icici prudential life insurance. Can we invest at cmp for 3 years (CMP :401.70), or should we wait for other insurance companies to enter market, which is lined up for IPOs.

    ReplyDelete
  107. Madam while selecting stock you told previous eps p/e you won't consider, technical charts will you look for.
    Please guide whether considering fundamentals, future prospectus or technicals. Which should be more important

    ReplyDelete
  108. Thanks a lot Mam for the detailed reply!

    ReplyDelete
  109. Dear mam,

    I want to invest in beverages sector. I did some research and found the below stocks. Can you suggest one best out of the following and its buying range and return expectation?

    1. Associated Alcohol and Breweries
    2. Radico Khaitan
    3. IFB Agro

    ReplyDelete
  110. Mam, Your opinion on Nitin spinner, Emkay Global and Asian Granites? Plz suggest the buying range and expected returns.

    ReplyDelete
  111. Good afternoon Madam !! Today I took Gati 2000 shares at 115/ and reduced Orient Paper (I had around 40% ) to 20% !! Thankfully Orient I am in small profit ( I have at 99 and sold at 108 ) !! Hope I did right !!
    Many Thanks to you again !!

    ReplyDelete
  112. Mam, Can we buy thyrocare at current levels(670) for long term and fiberweb india.?

    ReplyDelete
  113. Mam I would like to know about amarjyoti spinning.whether it's a good stock to buy.

    ReplyDelete
  114. Mam, pls give ur suggestion for buying Orient green power Company at CMP for long term investment

    ReplyDelete
  115. Dear Madam,
    Can you help us to understand,
    why chemical stocks are in momentum since few quarters?
    Which chemical stocks are likely to pick up or continue momentum in coming days and quarters?
    Looking at the current indian political scenario for atleast next 7-8 years and geo- political and other aspects, which sector has the potential to grow similar to current chemical sector in next 6-7 years.
    Madam, your insightful advise and views would help me and other followers to understand equity market trends.
    Anticipating your reply. Regards.

    ReplyDelete
  116. Do you think any FII or institutional investor will ever show interest in Gati after the management lost integrity by dishonoring the FCCB conversion?

    They did not come out clean in court. Have you factored this into your analysis?

    ReplyDelete