Talbros Automotive Components CMP -110
Company Profile
Talbros automotive Components limited (TACL) is the flagship company of the Talbros Group. The Company was launched in 1956 to manufacture automotive and industrial gaskets in collaboration with Coopers payen limited, UK. The Company is headquartered in Gurgaon with eight state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities located in the vicinity of key OEMs.
Over the years TACL became a diversified auto component player with presence across two wheelers, passenger, commercial vehicles and farm equipments. The Company is well focused manufacture best in class products for Indian automobile industry. To make it happen, company has formed JVs with NLK -Japan, Magneti Marelli s.p.a.-Italy, Marugo rubber Industries-Japan. It has also international technology tie up with Interface Solutions Altenkirchen, Germany, Nippon Leakless Corporation, Japan and Sanwa Packaging, Japan. Their diversified portfolio includes the manufacturing of gaskets, forgings, suspension systems, engine mounts and anti-vibration products, hoses and heat shields. Company is having hedged customer base with 40 % revenue from top 5 customers.
The Company has made prudent investments in capability building in last 3 -4 years and now it is ready for the big leap. It has plans to add Industrial Gaskets, rear twist beam axle assembly, wheel group assembly and several new products to their portfolio by 2017. TACL is leader in gaskets segment with 40% overall market share in India and its joint venture company holds a domestic market share of 92% for gaskets in the two-wheeler segment
Company has large and diversified customer base include OEMs like Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Auto, Cummins Group, Eicher India, Escorts Group, Force Motors, General Motors, Hero Honda, Honda, Hyundai, John Deere, Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, Suzuki, TAFE, Tata Motors, Tata Cummins, Simpsons and international corporate like Carraro, DANA, KMP Brand, Maxi Force, GKN Driveline etc.
Joint Venturing with Best in Industry
The company has three joint ventures and two technology tie-ups with global auto component leaders to create multiple growth engines.
Nippon leakless Corporation (Japan) is one of the largest global manufacturers of gaskets for four-wheelers, two-wheelers, power equipment and industrial uses. NLK group supplies to leading OE vehicle & motorcycle manufactures such as Honda, Suzuki & Yamaha world wide. 60:40 JV with Nippon Leakless has benefitted the Talbros in producing asbestos-free gaskets for passenger cars, motorcycles, scooters, power equipment products & industrial applications. JV has state-of-art facilities to manufacture diversified range of Cylinder Head Gaskets in composite, Multi Layered Steel(MLS), Single Layered steel(SLS) & Secondary Gaskets made from metallic & non-metallic jointing sheet materials. NLK Talbros has strong R&D support from Nippon Leakless , Japan. it is not only for product design but also for engine testing with computerized engine test bed & deep thermal shock testing facility. The plant equipped with in-house tool room with modern manufacturing equipment having high level of automation. Nippon Leakless Talbros can design , develop & manufacture products as per customer requirements competitively. JV company holds a domestic market share of 92% for gaskets in the two-wheeler segment by servicing 100% to Honda, 80% to Hero Moto, 100% to Royal Enfield and 100% to Bajaj Auto.
Magneti Marelli s.p.a. (Italy) is a Fiat group company engaged in the manufacture of suspensions (€ 6 billion in global revenues). Magneti Marelli Talbros is a 50:50 JV formed to design, develop & manufacture Chassis components including Control Arm, Steering Knuckle , Front cross Member, Rear Twist Beam Axle, Wheel Group & Semi Corner Module Assemblies for automotive application. Magneti Marelli has high prowess in design, technology & know -how for full spectrum of suspension components & modules thereby bringing in the most advanced lightweight solutions for Indian automobile industry. With full spectrum know how of suspension components & modules. The well equipped facility has been setup for JV with manufacturing practices in line with world class manufacturing processes. The company supplies entire front chassis for vehicles and provides about 48% of the control arms for Maruti Suzuki. It has introduced a new product line (steering knuckles) and commenced production of lower control arms for TATA Motors models (Zest and bolt). The Company received its maiden suspension system order for the bajaj RE60 quadricycle. The Company launched a control arm for Maruti suzuki (NG alto K10). New nominations from Maruti suzuki on yad, yba and yra control arm projects and a nomination from TATA Motors for the X104 control arm project can potentially double the company’s share of the control arms segment in India. Going ahead, the Company is optimistic of its prospects on the basis of bajaj re60 quadricycle orders where the Company has designed the entire chassis spectrum (front-axles, semi-corners, control arms and knuckles). The Company expects to commission a second plant in pune to address the growing suspension needs of Fiat, which intends to launch a new jeep.
Marugo rubber Industries (Japan) is a global leader in the supply of anti-vibration products and hoses to global automobile OEMs. The 50:50 JV between Talbros and Marugo rubber was commissioned in 2013 to localise the production of rubber hoses for Maruti suzuki. Talbros Marugo rubber manufactures anti-vibration products and hoses (engine mounts, strut mounts, mufflers, hangers, suspension bushes, rubber bushes and hoses). The joint venture exports products to its JV partner Marugo rubber. The JV provides technical knowhow in terms of design, development and validation for OEMs. The JV equipped with high technology manufacturing line having-injection molding , vacuum transfer injection molding, compression molding, kneaders, sandblasting, phosphating & adhesive spray line integrated to give world class products. The Company draws 40% of its revenues from Maruti Suzuki and caters to the requirements of other major players like Qh Talbros, endurance Technologies, Rane (Madras) limited, Escorts India, Honda, Kawasaki, Isuzu and Volvo And TATA Motors. The JV allowed the Company to directly cater to Maruti suzuki at its Manesar plant, reducing lead times. The JV’s anti-vibration business achieved a cash breakeven in FY 2015. The company has commissioned a new hose plant for intercooler hoses and it already received orders from Volvo and this can be boosted further with their eminent passenger and commercial vehicle clientele to tap into new agreements.
Sanwa Corporation (Japan) and TACL has technology tie-ups for making heat shields. It is primarily used to insulate heat and sound in automobile engines, electric generators and exhaust pipes. The Company already supplies heat shields to several of its major gasket customers. With the use of heat shields expected to become the norm in the Indian passenger car market. The Company’s dedicated heat shield line has started commercial production from Feb 2016, it is well positioned to get the benefit of increasing demand of heat shield in cars. Presently heat shield products are used in the manufacture of heavy and medium commercial vehicles in India, they are not used in passenger cars in India except exported cars. Management expects that as Indian automobile engines become increasingly compact and emission standards more demanding, the use of these products will become mandatory for Indian passenger cars as well. Manufacturing facilities are equipped with state-of-the-art tool rooms with technologically advanced machines from Deckel Maho(Germany), Haas (USA) & Charmelle (Switzerland). It also includes CNC machines , specialized presses mechanical , pneumatic & hydraulic with a capacity range of up to 500 tons, together with sophisticated surface coating equipments. R&D centre continuously focuses on robust product & process design to meet global standards. Design centre is equipped with Computer Aided Engineering(CAE/ FAE), Dynamometers & deep Thermal Shock test facilities.
Forgings
Talbros Forging Division established to manufacture tie rod & housing, king pin with assembly, gear blanks, shafts, yoke, double yoke, yoke shaft and crown blank in machined condition. It is having annual installed capacity of 8500 tons with hot forging press lines ranging from 750 ton to 1600 tons, equipped with heat treatment facilities including normalizing, ISO- annealing, hardening & tempering; induction hardening & in-house machining facilities with CNCs & VMCs to ensure benchmark standards. Strong product engineering capability with modeling software using unigraphics, process simulation using deform & dedicated tool room facilities including Makino vertical machining centers, EDMs & as wells as wire cut EDM. As one stop solutions, capable of serving the automotive , agriculture, defense, marine & off highway vehicle sector. Forging division has a wide exposure in overseas market contributing 65% of the total revenue from export business. Company is looking to form JV partner to establish the domestic market.
Investment Rationale
The Company control 40% market share in overall gasket market in India. There is strong business visibility for gasket segment because several models of new bikes and mopeds are launched by Hero, Honda, TVS and Bajaj. It will ensure healthy revenue from gasket segment for coming years due its monopoly in two-wheeler segment with 92% market share. Company has added 4 new verticals (Anti vibration and Hose, Suspension System, Heat Shield and Forging division) and these new verticals will start showing good profit in coming quarters.
Talbros Magneti Marelli joint has won orders for suspension parts of all recently launched new models of Maruti Suzuki like Brezza, Baleno and the S-Cross.
TACL has secured new export orders from Volvo (US), Basak Tractors (Turkey) and Iran. It will enable the company to extend its reach in new geography.
Commercial production of new dedicated heat shield line at Faridabad plant has started in February. This new line has been installed to cater to potentially large orders for Indian and overseas market. TACL already got heat shield orders from Volvo, Eicher, Cummins commercial vehicle, Daimler and Ashok Leyland. Discussion in progress with Volvo for the export market for heat shields.
Company has completed most of the capacity expansion and no plan to add fresh capex or loan in next 2-3 years.
TACL has plan to disposed off land in Chennai to bring down debt significantly in next 1-2 years.
Talbros Marugo joint-venture has won orders for all the new variants of Maruti Suzuki in the anti-vibration space and hose.
The Company received its maiden suspension system order for the Bajaj RE60 quadricycle. The Company is optimistic of its prospects on the basis of Bajaj RE60 quadricycle orders where the Company has designed the entire chassis spectrum (front-axles, semi-corners, control arms and knuckles). Bajaj Auto has launched the quadricycle RE60 for export to 16 countries even though Bajaj Auto awaits a supreme court verdict before it launches the vehicle in India. Export of RE60 quadricycle is very positive and going to be a huge game changer for Talbros Magneti Marelli joint-venture.
Company enjoy the status of single source supplier for five top customers includes Hero Moto Corp, Honda Motorcycle and Scooters, Bajaj and Tata Cummins.
The company has introduced a new product line (steering knuckles) and commenced production of lower control arms for TATA Motors models (Zest and Bolt).
Company enjoy the status of 100% asbestos-free gasket player, making it possible to export to countries with some of the most stringent norms. The Company received its first order from Volvo to supply heat shields in the US and Mexico. Besides, the Company is a single-source supplier to Cummins India and, following its asbestos-free status, has become eligible to supply products globally to Cummins. It is basically something which is very progressive and gives them pricing power, gives them acceptance through lot of international markets particularly Europe and US.
Expanded customer base to include MNCs like Ognibene and American axle.
The Company expects to boost the exports revenue from 13% to 20%.
TACL is maintaining very high quality of the products and own all standard certifications (TS 16949, ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001) required by domestic and international OEMs. The Company’s plants were audited by international OEMs giants, resulting in orders from Cummins, Daimler, Volvo and Harley Davidson.
Company has build the trust and strong relations with most of the major automobile players in India and across the world, it enabled the company to make easy access while launching of new products.
Company has closed its gaskets facility in Chennai to consolidate capacities and cost control.
To accelerate the growth of forging division, company is trying for make JV with some Japanese company and company has got orders from domestic OEMs. It will reduce the dependency of export to european countries.
Promoters are having very sound knowledge and long experience in automobile industry. Company has rewarded its share holders with consistent dividend payout for the past 50 years even during rough period for automobile industry. Promoters are continuously increasing their shareholding from 26% (2007) to 54% (2015).
Further details are given in below link
http://www.talbros.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Q3-FY-16-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf
http://www.talbros.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Talbros_Q3_FY_16_Result_Update.pdf
Conclusion
Talbros is one of the most trusted name for quality products in Indian auto ancillary industry. It is serving almost all major automobile manufacturer in India. Gasket business is backbone of the company and giving stable performance and strong order visibilities for future. All JV companies are having very high technology entry barrier, niche products with low or no competition from domestic manufacturer. The Company has enough cash and idle land in Chennai to retire the debt of 100 crores any time. Market capital of the company is only 136 crore at 110 cmp. In general, if we look at top ten auto ancillaries companies in India than one thing is common "technical tie up or JV with some foreign auto MNC". TACL has got all the required elements to become major auto ancillary company in the future with 3 JV and 2 technical tie -up.
Auto sector has also giving sign of recovery along with revival of Indian economy. TACL poised to get benefit above mentioned factors in the coming quarters. It is one of the best stock to invest in auto-sector for long term as well as for short term.
Good one
ReplyDeleteNice pick mam
ReplyDeleteThanks Madam...
ReplyDeleteNice pick mam.. thanks
ReplyDeleteWhat is expected return within 03 years timeframe of talbros?
ReplyDeleteThank you mam for the new value stock. I have a question and it would be great if you can help me answer that. I have a monthly amount to invest and what would be the best investment strategy among investing in newly recommended stock every month or adding to the existing stocks from the portfolio on dips. Consider that portfolio here means the stocks recommended by you so far.
ReplyDeleteYou can select 2-3 stocks and add on monthly basis to increase the quantity.
DeleteDear Maam,
ReplyDeleteVery impressive and remarkable analysis of the current operations as well as future growth aspects. All aspects are clearly explained and portray bright days ahead for talbros.
You are someone who buys "GROWTH and QUALITY" businesses at a reasonable PRICE. I want to request you to explain the PRICE (quantitative) part in some more detail. Which are the most strong quantitative aspect of talbros which made you invest in it ?
Thanks a lot for your guidance. God bless.
Definitely initial price purchase price of any stock plays important role in final gain and holding time. Current market capital of the company will give the scope of price appreciation in future. Product quality and acceptability by consumers should be also taken in consideration along with above factors while selecting any stock for investment.
DeleteHi Madam, Thanks for your analysis. Talbros is undoubtly leading company in 2W Space. However ,is the company in a segment where profit is low and income is determined with volume of Sales? Indian auto industry is on the verge of recovering . And any halt in recovery would halt their sales?
ReplyDeleteNet Profit Margin (%) of Talbros Auto is better than or similar to its peers like Federal-Mogul, Minda Industries Motherson Sumi etc.
DeleteIts JVs are started gaining the momentum and volume, it will further help to improve NPM%
Price of Stock had fallen from 170 in august 2015 to 83 in Feb 2016 , Can you please provide a insight for the same?
ReplyDeleteThere was major market correction in Feb. and most of the stocks corrected heavily.
DeleteThanks for ur pick mam
ReplyDeleteThanks a lot
ReplyDeleteMam,
ReplyDeletei already bought phoenix lamps(cmp 117) and Bharat Gears(at cmp 92) in Auto Ancillaries sector.both are making loss should i replace with Talbros?
Sorry not tracking above stocks.
DeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeleteToay I put AMO order 300@112 in preopen, in GeoJit account at 10:00 IST,
how much possibility for executing this order.Thanks in advance.
There is enough liquidity in this stock, hopefully your order will get executed.
DeleteMa'am
ReplyDeleteThank you very much.
While I do recognise that Talbros and Insecticides India are into different segments, if I need to choose one from these two stocks with a time frame of 3 years from now, which one would you recommend in terms of higher return during the mentioned time frame?
Warm Regards..
If bought at suggested price than both can give almost similar return in next 3 years.
DeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeletePeople are saying "sell in may" sentiment will continue this year also?what's your view mam?
Market is not going to close in May, it is part of stock market and we should invest on business not rumors. If we have invested in good business at right price than sooner or later it will give the desired return.
DeleteHi mam
ReplyDeleteDo u have insecticides and talbros in ur portfio and have u bought for long or short term ....??
DOLLY Ma'am always recommend the stock only when she hold that, as per her ethics.
DeleteAgreed good business and good business man is the key. Even if you invest at a bit higher price is OK.
ReplyDeleteHello madam,
ReplyDeleteWhat is the short term and long term expected return?
25-30% in short term and 300-500% in long term
DeleteHello Mam, what is your mail ID. I saw it once on blog but unable to find it now.
DeleteMadam, sent my portfolio to your mail. Awaiting for your reply
ReplyDeleteMadam xpro india is reporting losses every quarter but opening factory at new location.I feel xpro india is not able to reach break even point till now.share value of the stock is also decreasing day by day.Is there anything wrong with xpro india or they will able to reach break even point within what time frame?
ReplyDeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeleteThanks for excellent auto stock when I was looking for one but couldn't find the same at good valuation. Just one question, this company has been pretty old, but stock has started moving in last one year and price has doubled. What is the most important turning point in its fortunes, when we have MNCs like BOSC and others having manufacturing already in India. May be you expalined in articile but it was not coming veyr clear to me.
Thousands of parts required for one vehicle. it is sourced from different specialized auto ancillary. Bosch is having specialization in fuel systems
DeleteThanks Mam. Agree. Went through management conf call transcript and Q3 results over the weekend. Good traction on cards.
DeleteMam I have surana solar at 40% loss (Rs.45k) and SKM at loss 32%(32k). Shall I sell these at loss now and buy TCI. Then after TCI demerger shall I keep xps and sell TCI and buy again Surana solar and SKM or mold tek packaging.
ReplyDeleteCan you please comment upon competition from big players like bosch, munjal or like . Is it possible for them to entry in gaskets market ?
ReplyDeleteNeed to understand the importance of head gasket. If any head gasket will fail in new vehicle than it may cause serious damage to engine. It will also dent the image of OEMs like Maruti, Honda, Hero moto and Bajaj. Due to this reason any company without proven technology and track record will not get entry. Quality and trust are most important than cost. For example no company will prefer 100 rupees cheaper gasket which is having chance of failure only 0.1%. No one compromise at the cost brand image and loss of customers trust.
DeleteThis comment has been removed by the author.
Deletegood pick in talbros. 1.fail to understand why such a good business has flat sales and profit in last 5 years. Absolutely no growth. Any specific reason
ReplyDelete2. Also are they over dependant on 3-4 customers as 40% of their business is concentrated.
Thanks mam for this good potiential stock
ReplyDeleteIs meghmani organics still a good buy
Any good stock in chemical sector
Thanks again mam
It was good buy around 20. it can give 15-20% consistent return per year
DeleteAs mam premier explosives is a high pe stock ..is this worth holding for long term say 3-5 years ?
ReplyDeleteYes
DeleteMadam why your stocks are not hitting upper circuit after recommendation as it used to happen earlier
ReplyDeleteDolly mam, I see interest coverage ratio is low and the stock has a low Altman z score for talbros. How do these low numbers impact the stock if any?
ReplyDeleteEarlier gasket business was only revenue / profit generating and during last 3 -4 years company has set up 3 JVs companies. JVs has recently crossed the break even point. From this year it will start showing good profit. Due to this reason last 4-5 years revenue was flat and auto sector was not performing well.
DeleteMam, Whtether Alakali Metal (533029), Speciality chemical company
ReplyDeletea value buy at CMP.
Sorry not tracking above stock
DeleteThanks for your valuable guidance like me small investor.I have gic housing 100 shares at the rate 120.IT is better to sell gic housing and to buy talbros.give me your valuable guidance.
ReplyDeleteYes
DeleteMam , HIMADRI CHEMICALS & INDUSTRIES LTD a value buy at CMP?
ReplyDeleteMeghmani is much better option than above stock.
DeleteIf jk agri clocks say 250 cr sales what net profit and eps will it generate can you give me some statical calculation please
ReplyDeleteHopefully we will see above target within 2 years. It is enough to take it near to four digit mark.
DeleteAgain explain jk agri is in XC group is that a risky bet or not
ReplyDeleteDue to low volume it is in XC group. It belongs to JK Group, nothing to worry.
DeleteHi Mam,
ReplyDeleteI'm planing to enter Lincoln Pharmaceuticals. Valuation looks cheap, especially after Tanzania issue. I was trying to understand the amount of loss the company may have to bare because of this but couldn't find any details. Would you have them? Please share.
Also, please let me know if its a good stock to enter now.
Need to wait for annual results to see the actual impact of ban by Tanzania drug authority.
DeleteMadam shall I still hold Sripipes before results
ReplyDeleteYes you can hold
DeleteHi mam, your view on VTM Ltd @ 29, will it give multi fold return in 2 years if we buy it below 30??
ReplyDeleteThanks
Sorry not tracking VTM
DeleteFor the last three years both topline and bottomline is not growing. Your views on this maam ?? Thank you...
ReplyDeleteEarlier gasket business was only revenue / profit generating and during last 3 -4 years company has set up 3 JVs companies. JVs has recently crossed the break even point. From this year it will start showing good profit. Due to this reason last 4-5 years revenue was flat and auto sector was not performing well.
DeleteSmall growth can be seen in consolidated results of last 3-4 year. It was early stage for JVs to setup the plant and develop the business,
Okay. Thank you ma'am..
DeleteDear mam,
ReplyDeleteIs it good to buy Talbros today?
It's price is around 122.
Nothing has changed from yesterday to today except 8 % gain, if your target was only 8% than you can leave it
DeleteMam,I am holding 4000shares of Donear at 21 Rs.Can i sell all and buy Talbro Auto and insecticides.As i have no fresh cash.
ReplyDeleteYou can hold the same, not necessary to buy all stocks. you can buy next stock on availability of fund
DeleteMam, Navin Fluorine is posting good numbers Every quarter. I missed it. Any other stock that you will suggest to invest in now for long term in area of Specialty Chemicals ?
ReplyDeleteClariant chem is good option
DeleteMam what is top line and bottom line. Thank you.
ReplyDeleteRevenue from sales and profit
DeleteThank you very much mam.
Deletemam when is dhunseri and jk agri results
ReplyDeleteDate is not confirmed but it will be before end of this month
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteWhat is your view on Deccan Gold Mines and Tirupati Sarjan?
Sorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteDear Madam,I currently hold Sri Kalahasthi pipes @273 - quite a high buy price i believe- .
ReplyDeleteCan you please advice what is the scope for appreciation with a 1-2 year time frame?
thank you very much
Even 15-20% return is good on above price. If any stock bought at lower level than it will give peace of mind during market correction and better chances of getting higher return.
Deletethank you for your response,madam.Hoping for decent gains to reinvest into the market.
DeleteMam, what is your view about yearly results of surana? Will it be good enough to give momentum as it is falling consistently? When are the results?
ReplyDeletemost of the results will be out before end of this month.
DeleteHello ma'am..today in technocraft money control site it is stated that..tiil has allowed promoter group to sell 1.03% equity share capital on stock exchange to meet MPS requirement..what does it mean ma'am ?? And also Can u plz advice on the share price movement of tiil..as it is moving rangebound..thank u ma'am
ReplyDeleteIt mandatory to bring down promoters' holding up to 75%. Definitely they will sell at higher price, need to hold this stock patiently. Several good things are on the way to reward the investors in future.
DeleteHello mam..
ReplyDeleteIf u have to choose one only one i know ur every stock is good in its feild but out of dhunseri , tiil, tci,trlbros...wich one u will choose..
Thank u
it depends upon holding period, sector of interest, return expectation. you have missed JK Agri in above list
DeleteThnk u for reply mam
DeleteSo u like jk agri more ?? :-)
No, other all are also have similar potential for me. You have to decide according to your holding period, sector of interest, return expectation.
DeleteHello Mam,
ReplyDeletecan I enter NOCIL @55 for long term for 3 to 5 years, what % of return can we expect?
It can give at least 15 -20% per year.
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteI am holding TIIL,Donear,TCI out of your picks..I missed insecticides Ind...Pls suggest one pick from Cement sector..also can you suggest one out of Vishnu Chemicals, Ashok Alco Chemicals and Kakatiya Cements for 1 year period if you are tracking anyone of those....thanks in advance..
Wait for some market correction to add. It is better to avoid chasing any stock at higher price. Few month ago Vishnu chem was trading below 200 and Thirumalai chem was below 150 that was best time to add it. Market will always provide good opportunity to buy good stocks at lower level but need courage to add in heavy falling market.
DeleteClariant Chem is better stock from same sector.
Mam I have surana solar at 40% loss (Rs.45k) and SKM at loss 32%(32k). Shall I sell these at loss now and buy TCI. Then after TCI demerger shall I keep xps and sell TCI and buy again Surana solar and SKM or mold tek packaging.
ReplyDeleteIt is too early to sell Surana Solar because I have clearly mentioned in the blog that FY 16 -17 is turnaround year for solar industry.
Deletehttp://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2016/01/surana-solar-sunrise-sector-sunny-days.html
You can sell SKM and buy JK Agri (around 380) or Waterbase (around 90) to cover your loss in next 3-4 months.
I totally agree with you mam, but what I meant is by this way we can accumulate more xps shares and again come back to Surana in just 3-4 months. Your suggestion please
DeleteWaterbase, JK Agri, Talbros, TCI , TIIL are good option for short term ( 3-4 months)
DeleteDear madam, crude is slowley moving in upside and nilkamal is going down, ple advice what I have to do, hold or sell. If crude will go slowly up, nilkamal will go low.
ReplyDeleteNilkamal already moved from 400 to 1600 in last one year, It will consolidate for some time and we should not expect similar return. Now 15 -20% per year is fair enough.
DeleteHi mam, your view on IVP Ltd @ CMP ?
ReplyDeleteThanks
Sorry not tracking IVP
DeleteDear Mam, what is the reasonable PE to buy speciality chemical stocks. Your views on Dai Ichi and Thirumalai. You have suggested Clariant in earlier queries, please let know what is the % return expected in next couple of years given that it's mcap is already 1500 crs
ReplyDeleteDifferent P/E for different sub groups of chemical sector. Clariant chem is one of the most stable and established company in chemical sector. It has completed buyback offer at 950 in October 2015. It is giving very good opportunity to invest around 650 for long term investment. Chasing any stock at higher price is not advisable for new investors. It was good opportunity to add Thirumalai chem in February below 150 but most of the people missed due to fear of further fall.
DeleteHi, Your views on Emmbi Industries? Apart from good fundamentals, recently they got recognition as R&D center from Ministry of Science and Tech. This gives them considerable tax benefits and they applied for many patents as well. Looks like a solid player from technical textile space? Thanks!!
ReplyDeleteI have the Account of my and my wife at only one broker now my cumulative portfolio goes near to sixty lacs should I open account to another broker also I mean at one broker will it be ok if portfolio crosses crore or one shall go for another broker as well you have portfolio of more than say 100 cr than is that ok to keep in different accounts with one broker or better go for more than one broker
ReplyDeletePlease guide us in this matter in detail my email is hareshusadadiya@gmail.com
If you feel can give guidance at my email or on this blog as well
One account is sufficient. If you want to change the broker to get better service than you can change it. Different accounts linked to same PAN will not benefit to save any taxes.
DeleteEven if you don't refer to Mam's 100 cr, she will help you.
ReplyDeleteNice Article
ReplyDeleteMam when we choose a broker, do we keep the funds in demat form with the broker, or with a bank. It is the first time I will open trading account. Which is a good bank and broker. please help me.
ReplyDeleteMoney will remain in your bank account, you have to transfer it online while stock purchase. After selling the stocks it will go back again in your bank account. You can choose any broker with bank like ICICIDIRECT,HDFCSECURITY,AXISDIRECT etc
DeleteHello Mam, if we buy 500 shares in one lot and we want to sell 100 shares from this lot, is it allowed, or we have to sell all 500 shares at same time. Thanks mam.
ReplyDeleteIt coming under Futures & Options to buy the stocks in lots.
DeleteGood afternoon madam !! Can we buy a shareon BSE and Sell at NSE.This question arose because at times there is a substantial difference in rates on the 2 exchanges ? Madam I wrnt overboard on Surana Solar ?.Wud it be prudent to reduce some holding of Surana by booking loss and then investing in some other stock like TCI or Talbros or any othet stock at current price.Thanks
ReplyDeleteit is not allowed to sell stock on same day bought on different exchanges.
DeleteIt is too early to sell Surana Solar because I have clearly mentioned in the blog that FY 16 -17 is turnaround year for solar industry. Frequently shuffling the stocks is not advisable just by seeing the price movement for few months.
http://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2016/01/surana-solar-sunrise-sector-sunny-days.html
If any stock is undervalue with respect to pe than is it necessary that it will gain it's value in future
ReplyDeleteAgain low mcap and high sales is good but any conclusion for that I mean say sales shall be 4 times or two times likewise to mcap guide in that with respect to the face value as well
Explain ROE how to see this factor for value picking
There is no fixed rule but any stock picked at low market capital, good products with increasing demand in future, good investor friendly promoters are sufficient to take investment decisions. Once business start generating revenue and profit than all stock related statistics will improve within year. Most of the multi- baggar stocks are having similar history.
DeleteThanks so much for your enlighting reply.I'll hold Surana.Coming to my previous query.Can we buy on one exchange and sell at another exchange after a few days ??
ReplyDeleteWaterbase, JK Agri, Talbros, TCI , TIIL are good option for short term ( 3-4 months)
DeleteHi mam
ReplyDeleteI just wanna say thanks to u ...no one gives advice ,picks free of cost ..u being a good big investor is always helpi g us out and clearing our queries
Thnks to u
Hello madam
ReplyDeleteCan tci xps list at 300 or above ??
Yes
DeleteMam,Insecticides got notices forTax assessment.Hope there is nothing fishy.your comment pls
DeleteHi Mam, can we expect 300-400% returns for Clariant from CMP in 2-3 years ?
ReplyDeleteThanks.
100 -200 % is reasonable
DeleteMadam your view on Nitin spinners results ? It was expected to give good results due to expansion and reforms . However it were only satisfactory
ReplyDeleteIt is good sock for long term investment. Benefit of expansion will come once business will start growing. Hopefully it will show better performance coming quarters.
DeleteHello Mam, your views on Garware-Wall ropes @ CMP 355? Thank you!!
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteDolly Mam, 1) textiles sector is quite in limelight now a days ! Please share your valuable opinion on Himatsingka Seide for long term investment horizon !!
ReplyDelete2) Do you believe that commodities like steel and crude are in gradual recovery mode ??
Sorry not tracking Himatsingka Seide.
DeleteYes, steel and crude oil are recovering but it will take time pick up the pace.
You mentioned some stocks above good for short term 3 to 4 months does that mean after that all these stocks waterbase jkagri tiil tci talbros not good please clarify again it is good to keep any stock for one year at least else huge tax is there if I am not wrong than it is 17 percent plus brokerage so total say 20 percent and hence any stock if it gives say 40 to 50 percent in short term than will be good else we are earning for government and brokers only
ReplyDeletePlease you give us less number of stocks not Necessary each month say in a year only five or six but all multi bagger else all people in this blog will not learn investment theory but they will go for shuffling stocks each month and by year end will make loss only
How far I know in stock market only they will gain who holds
Ya if in some cases if stock move double or say 40 to 50 percent in less than a year period than its ok but less than that is not advisable
Ya if someone doing in black and not paying tax it's ok but that will not help for long time
Mam kindly give the investment knowledge to all of us and not the trading else majority of people in this blog will become gambler and in gambling only the people will loose and not the broker or the government
Correct me if I am wrong
We can share also the stocks we have I am giving the one today it's Singer India all on this blog do survey and research of it I feel within two years time it will be 400 plus
Your views on dewan housing ma'am?? It looks undervalued compared to its peers. Any reason for undervaluation ma'am?? Thank you
ReplyDeleteYes it is better than other but I am not tracking it strictly.
Deletemaam if u don't mind...can u tell in which quarter you are expecting a massive turnaround for kothari?i have 2000shares @ 25...as there is not much price reversal after the recent marketfall and the volumes are low :)
ReplyDeleteDemand of PIB is improving. Company will show better performance in coming quarters. Need to hold this stock at least for 2 years.
DeleteMam,Insecticides got notices forTax assessment.Hope there is nothing fishy.your comment pls
ReplyDeleteIt is old case related to tax and commissioner of income tax department has preferred to income tax appellate tribunal. Earlier CIT has given decision in favour of the Company.
DeleteMAdam Ji
ReplyDeleteYour views on kRBL
Thanks
Sorry not tracking above stock
DeleteHi mam,
ReplyDeleteWaterbase came down to 87 levels,can I buy few quantity at this level? Or can we expect 80 level in this falling market
Better to wait for some more correction
DeleteMam will the price for Dhunseri Tea correct after Q4 results. Will the yearly results come on the same day as Q4 results.
ReplyDeleteMay not be on the same date but most probably in the last week of this month
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteIf i Buy TCI, can i still get TCI XPS stocks now?
Yes you will get
DeleteMam what is dividend yield and how to calculate it. Thank you.
ReplyDelete% of dividend received on every 100 rupees investment
DeleteThank you very much mam.
DeleteDear Mam, thank you very much for all your stock recommendations. It is a great help to all of us, and sooner or later we are all going to reap huge benefits. Thanks also for your very valuable advice.
ReplyDeleteMam on previous blog u hv mentioned to book profit in insecticide above 500.
ReplyDeleteI just want to understand... Why u chosen Aug for booking profit above 500. Do u see correction in stock after Aug and what will be the reason of correction. Pls clarify my doubt. Tnx.
Need to read it again, It for short term investors
DeleteThanks madam for your guidance on Sripipe
ReplyDeleteI put down some general comment but can't see that mam
ReplyDeleteGenerally I reply long and multiple questions during weekend.
DeleteSir, your views on vidhi dyestuff, majesco and onmobile.
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stocks
DeleteMam, any company you like in water management?
ReplyDeleteIon Exchange (India) was good option but it already gone up
DeleteHi Mam, Is sudarshan chemicals a good option in specialty chemical space? there is a huge difference in Sales to market cap and company's performance is also steadily improving. Please let me know if its a good option to enter at a price below Rs.100 ?
ReplyDeleteYes, you can enter around 85 - 90 during market correction.
DeleteMadam,
ReplyDeleteWhat are the effects of buyback offer.
How a company will be effect by buy back
Why companys buying their own shares
From our portfolio what are the effects to TIIL ?
Please throw some lights on Buy back madam ji
Thanx
EPS and dividend payout will increase.
DeleteIt is to utilize free cash reserve to give benefit to investors and promoters.
Ultimately it will boost the stock price.
Hello mam
ReplyDeleteI used to hear comments from market advisors that "stock is delisting story" and observed that these stocks goes up. I wonder how delisting helps investors. Could u please clear my doubt
Thanks
Delisting is more beneficial for promoter than investors. Investors will get some premium price benefits of delisting offer, generally it is 30 -50%
DeleteHello Mam, I have 1000 chemfab @90. Looks like this year they may show better profits. Do you have any expected target for this year. Thank you so much for your valuable time and help.
ReplyDeleteWe can expect return around 15% until company will get approval for capacity expansion.
DeleteIt is low beta stock and less prone to move with market fluctuation. It will give the chance (cash) to buy high beta stocks during deep market fluctuation.
Hello mam..is it good price to buy tci tommorow ??
ReplyDeleteMa'am has already said several times that it is a good stock to buy at current levels..moreover it is trading just above 5% from recommended price by ma'am... Then there is no point in asking the same question again..it is ur choice to decide...everyone plzz don't make ma'am answer the same questions several times
DeleteThnks for reply..i cme to know abt mams nlog yesterday only so i asked the ques. Without refering previous msgs..
DeleteHi new blog reader, welcome to Dolly mam's blog. She answers questions with great dignity and respect.
DeleteThnks dear
DeleteMam I bought 1000 shares of xpro India ltd should I sell or hold? Because day to day share price is decreasing
ReplyDeleteNeed to hold it and it can be added more below 40. Hopefully company will start giving positive results in coming quarters.
DeleteMam - XPRO REUSLT is out and there is no sign of improvement in performance. Fully year loss has been TRIPLED compare previous year loss. Mam on approximate basis how many quarter more it will take to post profit !!!! Also it has a huge debt which is biggest concern.
ReplyDeleteHopefully company will start giving positive results in coming quarters. Company has submitted below note on the year end result.
Delete3. Sales during the quarter reflected the improved sentiments in consumer durable markets, stemming from positive economic policies, although non-urban market remained dull on account ol drought conditions. The slow growth seen in recent months has given rise to expectations of a retum to market stability and sustained market confidence.
4. The import-substitute products of the Company's highly sophisticated BOPP Dielectric (Capacitor) Film Unit located at Barjora, Distt, Bankura, (West Bengal) have been well received and the unit has achieved substantial capacity utilisation in the quarter. Following representations, the govemment has in end- February has corrected the inverted duty structure, and full impact would be realised only in subsequent quarters. The results reflect the interest and depreciation burden during the stabilisation and volume build-up phase.
Sure but please keep and reply as well again that comment was more aligned to other people who visit this blog
ReplyDeleteIt depend upon availability of time, week end days are more convenient for me to reply emails and comments with multiple inquiries.
DeleteMAdam JI,
ReplyDeletewhy Higher face value like rs.10 , 5 is prefered tha rs 1 ? What is the importance in face value ?
Thanks
It increasing number of shares, reducing EPS and dividend%
Deletemam I invested in SUNITI CHEMICALS long back .. should I hold on to the stock ?
ReplyDeleteSorry not tracking above stock
DeleteDear Ms. Khanna - please suggest which of the following are the most appropriate to be added at the current levels - Huhtamaki, Asian granito, Meghmani, Insecticide, nitin spinners and pondy oxides.
ReplyDeleteInsecticide
DeleteWhy share market fall down
ReplyDeleteU didn't ask this question when share market is UP?
DeleteReason for fall is just opposite to rise. Mostly it follow the global market sentiments, poor results from sensex top companies, political instability, change in policy etc.
DeleteMam - do u think kaumtam paper is good for long term investment say for 3-4 years ?
ReplyDeleteMam I am having 400 shares of surana at 38rs....which is very high from your recommended price...so mam can u please guess what % of returns can be expected from my buying price of 38? Thank you mam
ReplyDeletehi mam,i am holding morepen labs @ rs10 since 1.5 yr,kindly let me know if i should continue holding it for 1-2 yr or book profit and add more of tiil and tci at current levels. thankyou and regards.
ReplyDeleteDolly Mam, your valuable opinion on Snowman Logistics' future prospects and current valuation please !! Can we consider it investment worthy for 2-3 years time horizon ??
ReplyDeletemadam,
ReplyDeleteyear end results refers - it is 4th qtr results only (or) seperately year on year result submitted by company ?
Thanks madam
Maa'm ,What is the maximum portfolio allocation can be made on Talbros Auto.I have no other stocks from the automobile and engg sector.Thanks.
ReplyDeleteWarm Regards,Deep
Mam Til Ltd is value buy at this level? as i am already holding since at 472 level.
ReplyDeleteMadam Ji,
ReplyDeleteit is always invest in low risk companies - is well said
what are the risk factors we know one is debit .Likewise name few other important risk factors look for.It will be helpful to all
Thank you madam for your kind advice.
Maam ,On which EPS one should calculate PE of a share ,like for Talbros EPS is 8.08 and Cash EPS is 14.59.Thanks.
ReplyDeleteDear Dolly maam yesterday I bought NIIT Ltd 500shares @ 80rs....is it a good price to enter in to that stock for 2yrs?
ReplyDeleteI have 2500 waterbase @135 cmp.how much time i have to wait for profit
ReplyDeleterespected mam,
ReplyDelete1. can we expect the share dtil and jk agri to cross 10000rs in 10-15 years
2. is there any other company under 500rs to give 10-20 fold return in 10 years
thanks mam for ur effort
respected mam,
ReplyDeletewhats ur view on financial tech and indian oil ltd as they are very good dividend paying companies
Respected mam,
ReplyDeleterather than book value, debts, reserves, net sales, net profit, eps, cash and bank....which other things we have to give priority in balance sheet