Friday, April 29, 2016

Talbros Automotive Components

Talbros Automotive Components                                CMP -110

                 

Company Profile                                                                                            





Talbros automotive Components limited (TACL) is the flagship company of the Talbros Group. The Company was launched in 1956 to manufacture automotive and industrial gaskets in collaboration with Coopers payen limited, UK. The Company is headquartered in Gurgaon with eight state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities located in the vicinity of key OEMs.





Over the years TACL became a diversified auto component player with presence across two wheelers, passenger, commercial vehicles and farm equipments. The Company is well focused manufacture best in class products for Indian automobile industry. To make it happen, company has formed JVs  with NLK -Japan, Magneti Marelli s.p.a.-Italy, Marugo rubber Industries-Japan. It has also international technology tie up with Interface Solutions Altenkirchen, Germany, Nippon Leakless Corporation, Japan and Sanwa Packaging, Japan. Their diversified portfolio includes the manufacturing of gaskets, forgings, suspension systems, engine mounts and anti-vibration products, hoses and heat shields. Company is  having hedged customer base with 40 % revenue from top 5 customers. 






The Company has made prudent investments in capability building in last 3 -4 years and now it is ready for the big leap. It has plans to add  Industrial Gaskets, rear twist beam axle assembly,  wheel group assembly and several new products to their portfolio by 2017. TACL is leader in gaskets segment with 40% overall market share in India and its joint venture company holds a domestic market share of 92% for gaskets in the two-wheeler segment





Company has large and diversified customer base include OEMs like Ashok Leyland, Bajaj Auto, Cummins Group, Eicher India, Escorts Group, Force Motors, General Motors, Hero Honda, Honda, Hyundai, John Deere, Mahindra & Mahindra, Maruti Suzuki, Suzuki, TAFE, Tata Motors, Tata Cummins, Simpsons and international corporate like Carraro, DANA, KMP Brand, Maxi Force, GKN Driveline etc. 







Joint Venturing with Best in Industry 



The company has three joint ventures and two technology tie-ups with global auto component leaders to create multiple growth engines.











Nippon leakless Corporation (Japan) is one of the largest global manufacturers of gaskets for four-wheelers, two-wheelers, power equipment and industrial uses. NLK group supplies to leading OE vehicle & motorcycle manufactures such as Honda, Suzuki & Yamaha world wide. 60:40 JV with Nippon Leakless has benefitted the Talbros in producing asbestos-free gaskets for passenger cars, motorcycles, scooters, power equipment products & industrial applications. JV has state-of-art facilities to manufacture diversified range of Cylinder Head Gaskets in composite, Multi Layered Steel(MLS), Single Layered steel(SLS) & Secondary Gaskets made from metallic & non-metallic jointing sheet materials. NLK Talbros has strong R&D support from Nippon Leakless , Japan. it is not only for product design but also for engine testing with computerized engine test bed & deep thermal shock testing facility. The plant equipped with in-house tool room with modern manufacturing equipment having high level of automation. Nippon Leakless Talbros can design , develop & manufacture products as per customer requirements competitively. JV company holds a domestic market share of 92% for gaskets in the two-wheeler segment by servicing 100% to Honda, 80% to Hero Moto, 100% to Royal Enfield and 100% to Bajaj Auto.









Magneti Marelli s.p.a. (Italy) is a Fiat group company engaged in the manufacture of suspensions (€ 6 billion in global revenues). Magneti Marelli Talbros is a 50:50 JV formed to design, develop & manufacture Chassis components including Control Arm, Steering Knuckle , Front cross Member, Rear Twist Beam Axle, Wheel Group & Semi Corner Module Assemblies for automotive application. Magneti Marelli has high prowess in design, technology & know -how for full spectrum of suspension components & modules thereby bringing in the most advanced lightweight solutions for Indian automobile industry. With full spectrum know how of suspension components & modules. The well equipped facility has been setup for JV with manufacturing practices in line with world class manufacturing processes. The company supplies entire front chassis for vehicles and provides about 48% of the control arms for Maruti Suzuki. It has introduced a new product line (steering knuckles) and commenced production of lower control arms for TATA Motors models (Zest and bolt). The Company received its maiden suspension system order for the bajaj RE60 quadricycle. The Company launched a control arm for Maruti suzuki (NG alto K10). New nominations from Maruti suzuki on yad, yba and yra control arm projects and a nomination from TATA Motors for the X104 control arm project can potentially double the company’s share of the control arms segment in India. Going ahead, the Company is optimistic of its prospects on the basis of bajaj re60 quadricycle orders where the Company has designed the entire chassis spectrum (front-axles, semi-corners, control arms and knuckles). The Company expects to commission a second plant in pune to address the growing suspension needs of Fiat, which intends to launch a new jeep.












Marugo rubber Industries (Japan) is a global leader in the supply of anti-vibration products and hoses to global automobile OEMs. The 50:50 JV between Talbros and Marugo rubber was commissioned in 2013 to localise the production of rubber hoses for Maruti suzuki. Talbros Marugo rubber manufactures anti-vibration products and hoses (engine mounts, strut mounts, mufflers, hangers, suspension bushes, rubber bushes and hoses). The joint venture exports products to its JV partner Marugo rubber. The JV provides technical knowhow in terms of design, development and validation for OEMs. The JV equipped with  high technology manufacturing line having-injection molding , vacuum transfer injection molding, compression molding, kneaders, sandblasting, phosphating & adhesive spray line integrated to give world class products. The Company draws 40% of its revenues from Maruti Suzuki and caters to the requirements of other major players like Qh Talbros, endurance Technologies, Rane (Madras) limited, Escorts India, Honda, Kawasaki, Isuzu and Volvo And TATA Motors. The JV allowed the Company to directly cater to Maruti suzuki at its Manesar plant, reducing lead times. The JV’s anti-vibration business achieved a cash breakeven in FY 2015. The company has commissioned a new hose plant for intercooler hoses and it already received orders from Volvo and this can be boosted further with their eminent passenger and commercial vehicle clientele to tap into new agreements.






Sanwa Corporation (Japan) and TACL has technology tie-ups for making heat shields.  It is primarily used to insulate heat and sound in automobile engines, electric generators and exhaust pipes. The Company already supplies heat shields to several of its major gasket customers. With the use of heat shields expected to become the norm in the Indian passenger car market. The Company’s dedicated heat shield line has started commercial production from Feb 2016, it is well positioned to get the benefit of increasing demand of heat shield in cars. Presently heat shield products are used in the manufacture of heavy and medium commercial vehicles in India, they are not used in passenger cars in India except exported cars. Management expects that as Indian automobile engines become increasingly compact and emission standards more demanding, the use of these products will become mandatory for Indian passenger cars as well. Manufacturing facilities are equipped with state-of-the-art tool rooms with technologically advanced machines from Deckel Maho(Germany), Haas (USA) & Charmelle (Switzerland). It also includes CNC machines , specialized presses mechanical , pneumatic & hydraulic with a capacity range of up to 500 tons, together with sophisticated surface coating equipments. R&D centre continuously focuses on robust product & process design to meet global standards. Design centre is equipped with Computer Aided Engineering(CAE/ FAE), Dynamometers & deep Thermal Shock test facilities.



Forgings






Talbros Forging Division established to manufacture tie rod & housing, king pin with assembly, gear blanks, shafts, yoke, double yoke, yoke shaft and crown blank in machined condition. It is having annual installed capacity of 8500 tons with hot forging press lines ranging from 750 ton to 1600 tons, equipped with heat treatment facilities including normalizing, ISO- annealing, hardening & tempering; induction hardening & in-house machining facilities with CNCs & VMCs to ensure benchmark standards. Strong product engineering capability with modeling software using unigraphics, process simulation using deform & dedicated tool room facilities including Makino vertical machining centers, EDMs & as wells as wire cut EDM. As one stop solutions, capable of serving the automotive , agriculture, defense, marine & off highway vehicle sector. Forging division has a wide exposure in overseas market contributing 65% of the total revenue from export business. Company is looking to form JV partner to establish the domestic market.



Investment Rationale




The Company control 40% market share in overall gasket market in India. There is strong business visibility for gasket segment because several models of new bikes and mopeds are launched by Hero, Honda, TVS and Bajaj. It will ensure healthy revenue from gasket segment for coming years due its monopoly in two-wheeler segment with 92% market share. Company has added 4 new verticals (Anti vibration and Hose, Suspension System, Heat Shield and Forging division) and these new verticals will start showing  good profit in coming quarters.

Talbros Magneti Marelli  joint has won orders for suspension parts of all recently launched new models of Maruti Suzuki  like Brezza, Baleno and the S-Cross.

TACL has secured new export orders from Volvo (US), Basak Tractors (Turkey) and Iran. It will enable the company to extend its reach in new geography. 

Commercial production of new dedicated heat shield line at Faridabad plant has started in February. This new line has been installed to cater to potentially large orders for Indian and overseas market.  TACL already got heat shield orders from Volvo, Eicher, Cummins commercial vehicle, Daimler and  Ashok Leyland. Discussion in progress with Volvo for the export market for heat shields.

Company has completed most of the capacity expansion and no plan to add fresh capex or loan in next 2-3 years.

TACL has plan to disposed off  land in Chennai to bring down debt significantly in  next 1-2 years.

Talbros Marugo joint-venture has won orders for all the new variants of Maruti Suzuki in the anti-vibration space and hose.

 The Company received its maiden suspension system order for the Bajaj RE60 quadricycle. The Company is optimistic of its prospects on the basis of Bajaj RE60 quadricycle orders where the Company has designed the entire chassis spectrum (front-axles, semi-corners, control arms and knuckles). Bajaj Auto has launched the quadricycle RE60 for export to 16 countries even though Bajaj Auto awaits a supreme court verdict before it launches the vehicle in India. Export of RE60 quadricycle is very positive and going to be a huge game changer for Talbros Magneti Marelli  joint-venture.

Company enjoy the status of single source supplier for five top customers includes Hero Moto Corp, Honda Motorcycle and Scooters, Bajaj and Tata Cummins.

The company has introduced a new product line (steering knuckles) and commenced production of lower control arms for TATA  Motors models (Zest and Bolt).

Company enjoy the status of 100% asbestos-free gasket player, making it possible to export to countries with some of the most stringent norms. The Company received its first order from Volvo to supply heat shields in the US and Mexico. Besides, the Company is a single-source supplier to Cummins India and, following its asbestos-free status, has become eligible to supply products globally to Cummins. It is basically something which is very progressive and gives them pricing power, gives them acceptance through lot of international markets particularly Europe and US.

Expanded customer base to include MNCs like Ognibene and American axle.

The Company expects to boost the exports revenue from 13% to 20%.

TACL is maintaining very high quality of the products and own all standard certifications (TS 16949, ISO 9001, ISO 14001, OHSAS 18001) required by domestic and international OEMs. The Company’s plants were audited by international OEMs giants, resulting in orders from Cummins, Daimler, Volvo and Harley Davidson.

Company has build the trust and strong relations with most of the major automobile players in India and across the world, it enabled the company to make easy access while launching of new products.

Company has closed its gaskets facility in Chennai to consolidate capacities and cost control.

To accelerate the growth of forging division, company is trying for make JV with some Japanese company and company has got orders from domestic OEMs. It will reduce the dependency of export to european countries.

Promoters are having very sound knowledge and long experience in automobile industry. Company has rewarded its share holders with consistent dividend payout for the past 50 years even during rough period for automobile industry. Promoters are continuously increasing their shareholding from 26% (2007) to 54% (2015).


Further details are given in below link


http://www.talbros.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Q3-FY-16-Earnings-Call-Transcript.pdf

http://www.talbros.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/Talbros_Q3_FY_16_Result_Update.pdf


Conclusion



Talbros is one of the most trusted name for quality products in Indian auto ancillary industry. It is serving almost all major automobile manufacturer in India. Gasket business is backbone of the company and giving stable performance and strong order visibilities for future. All JV companies are having very high technology entry barrier, niche products with low or no competition from domestic manufacturer. The Company has enough cash and idle land in Chennai to retire the debt of 100 crores any time. Market capital of the company is only 136 crore at 110 cmp. In general, if we look at top ten auto ancillaries companies in India than one thing is common "technical tie up or JV with  some foreign auto MNC". TACL has got all the required elements to become major auto ancillary company in the future with 3 JV and 2 technical tie -up.  

Auto sector has also giving sign of recovery along with revival of Indian economy. TACL poised  to get benefit  above mentioned factors in the coming  quarters. It is one of the best stock to invest in auto-sector for long term as well as for short term.








541 comments:

  1. What is expected return within 03 years timeframe of talbros?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thank you mam for the new value stock. I have a question and it would be great if you can help me answer that. I have a monthly amount to invest and what would be the best investment strategy among investing in newly recommended stock every month or adding to the existing stocks from the portfolio on dips. Consider that portfolio here means the stocks recommended by you so far.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can select 2-3 stocks and add on monthly basis to increase the quantity.

      Delete
  3. Dear Maam,

    Very impressive and remarkable analysis of the current operations as well as future growth aspects. All aspects are clearly explained and portray bright days ahead for talbros.

    You are someone who buys "GROWTH and QUALITY" businesses at a reasonable PRICE. I want to request you to explain the PRICE (quantitative) part in some more detail. Which are the most strong quantitative aspect of talbros which made you invest in it ?

    Thanks a lot for your guidance. God bless.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Definitely initial price purchase price of any stock plays important role in final gain and holding time. Current market capital of the company will give the scope of price appreciation in future. Product quality and acceptability by consumers should be also taken in consideration along with above factors while selecting any stock for investment.

      Delete
  4. Hi Madam, Thanks for your analysis. Talbros is undoubtly leading company in 2W Space. However ,is the company in a segment where profit is low and income is determined with volume of Sales? Indian auto industry is on the verge of recovering . And any halt in recovery would halt their sales?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Net Profit Margin (%) of Talbros Auto is better than or similar to its peers like Federal-Mogul, Minda Industries Motherson Sumi etc.

      Its JVs are started gaining the momentum and volume, it will further help to improve NPM%



      Delete
  5. Price of Stock had fallen from 170 in august 2015 to 83 in Feb 2016 , Can you please provide a insight for the same?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There was major market correction in Feb. and most of the stocks corrected heavily.

      Delete
  6. Thanks for ur pick mam

    ReplyDelete
  7. Mam,
    i already bought phoenix lamps(cmp 117) and Bharat Gears(at cmp 92) in Auto Ancillaries sector.both are making loss should i replace with Talbros?

    ReplyDelete
  8. Hi mam,
    Toay I put AMO order 300@112 in preopen, in GeoJit account at 10:00 IST,
    how much possibility for executing this order.Thanks in advance.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is enough liquidity in this stock, hopefully your order will get executed.

      Delete
  9. Ma'am
    Thank you very much.
    While I do recognise that Talbros and Insecticides India are into different segments, if I need to choose one from these two stocks with a time frame of 3 years from now, which one would you recommend in terms of higher return during the mentioned time frame?

    Warm Regards..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If bought at suggested price than both can give almost similar return in next 3 years.

      Delete
  10. Hi mam,
    People are saying "sell in may" sentiment will continue this year also?what's your view mam?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Market is not going to close in May, it is part of stock market and we should invest on business not rumors. If we have invested in good business at right price than sooner or later it will give the desired return.

      Delete
  11. Hi mam
    Do u have insecticides and talbros in ur portfio and have u bought for long or short term ....??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. DOLLY Ma'am always recommend the stock only when she hold that, as per her ethics.

      Delete
  12. Agreed good business and good business man is the key. Even if you invest at a bit higher price is OK.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Hello madam,
    What is the short term and long term expected return?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. 25-30% in short term and 300-500% in long term

      Delete
    2. Hello Mam, what is your mail ID. I saw it once on blog but unable to find it now.

      Delete
  14. Madam, sent my portfolio to your mail. Awaiting for your reply

    ReplyDelete
  15. Madam xpro india is reporting losses every quarter but opening factory at new location.I feel xpro india is not able to reach break even point till now.share value of the stock is also decreasing day by day.Is there anything wrong with xpro india or they will able to reach break even point within what time frame?

    ReplyDelete
  16. Hello Mam,

    Thanks for excellent auto stock when I was looking for one but couldn't find the same at good valuation. Just one question, this company has been pretty old, but stock has started moving in last one year and price has doubled. What is the most important turning point in its fortunes, when we have MNCs like BOSC and others having manufacturing already in India. May be you expalined in articile but it was not coming veyr clear to me.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thousands of parts required for one vehicle. it is sourced from different specialized auto ancillary. Bosch is having specialization in fuel systems

      Delete
    2. Thanks Mam. Agree. Went through management conf call transcript and Q3 results over the weekend. Good traction on cards.

      Delete
  17. Mam I have surana solar at 40% loss (Rs.45k) and SKM at loss 32%(32k). Shall I sell these at loss now and buy TCI. Then after TCI demerger shall I keep xps and sell TCI and buy again Surana solar and SKM or mold tek packaging.

    ReplyDelete
  18. Can you please comment upon competition from big players like bosch, munjal or like . Is it possible for them to entry in gaskets market ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to understand the importance of head gasket. If any head gasket will fail in new vehicle than it may cause serious damage to engine. It will also dent the image of OEMs like Maruti, Honda, Hero moto and Bajaj. Due to this reason any company without proven technology and track record will not get entry. Quality and trust are most important than cost. For example no company will prefer 100 rupees cheaper gasket which is having chance of failure only 0.1%. No one compromise at the cost brand image and loss of customers trust.

      Delete
    2. This comment has been removed by the author.

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  19. good pick in talbros. 1.fail to understand why such a good business has flat sales and profit in last 5 years. Absolutely no growth. Any specific reason
    2. Also are they over dependant on 3-4 customers as 40% of their business is concentrated.

    ReplyDelete
  20. Thanks mam for this good potiential stock
    Is meghmani organics still a good buy
    Any good stock in chemical sector
    Thanks again mam

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It was good buy around 20. it can give 15-20% consistent return per year

      Delete
  21. As mam premier explosives is a high pe stock ..is this worth holding for long term say 3-5 years ?

    ReplyDelete
  22. Madam why your stocks are not hitting upper circuit after recommendation as it used to happen earlier

    ReplyDelete
  23. Dolly mam, I see interest coverage ratio is low and the stock has a low Altman z score for talbros. How do these low numbers impact the stock if any?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Earlier gasket business was only revenue / profit generating and during last 3 -4 years company has set up 3 JVs companies. JVs has recently crossed the break even point. From this year it will start showing good profit. Due to this reason last 4-5 years revenue was flat and auto sector was not performing well.

      Delete
  24. Mam, Whtether Alakali Metal (533029), Speciality chemical company
    a value buy at CMP.

    ReplyDelete
  25. Thanks for your valuable guidance like me small investor.I have gic housing 100 shares at the rate 120.IT is better to sell gic housing and to buy talbros.give me your valuable guidance.

    ReplyDelete
  26. Mam , HIMADRI CHEMICALS & INDUSTRIES LTD a value buy at CMP?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Meghmani is much better option than above stock.

      Delete
  27. If jk agri clocks say 250 cr sales what net profit and eps will it generate can you give me some statical calculation please

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully we will see above target within 2 years. It is enough to take it near to four digit mark.

      Delete
  28. Again explain jk agri is in XC group is that a risky bet or not

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Due to low volume it is in XC group. It belongs to JK Group, nothing to worry.

      Delete
  29. Hi Mam,

    I'm planing to enter Lincoln Pharmaceuticals. Valuation looks cheap, especially after Tanzania issue. I was trying to understand the amount of loss the company may have to bare because of this but couldn't find any details. Would you have them? Please share.

    Also, please let me know if its a good stock to enter now.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to wait for annual results to see the actual impact of ban by Tanzania drug authority.

      Delete
  30. Madam shall I still hold Sripipes before results

    ReplyDelete
  31. Hi mam, your view on VTM Ltd @ 29, will it give multi fold return in 2 years if we buy it below 30??
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  32. For the last three years both topline and bottomline is not growing. Your views on this maam ?? Thank you...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Earlier gasket business was only revenue / profit generating and during last 3 -4 years company has set up 3 JVs companies. JVs has recently crossed the break even point. From this year it will start showing good profit. Due to this reason last 4-5 years revenue was flat and auto sector was not performing well.

      Small growth can be seen in consolidated results of last 3-4 year. It was early stage for JVs to setup the plant and develop the business,

      Delete
  33. Dear mam,

    Is it good to buy Talbros today?
    It's price is around 122.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nothing has changed from yesterday to today except 8 % gain, if your target was only 8% than you can leave it

      Delete
  34. Mam,I am holding 4000shares of Donear at 21 Rs.Can i sell all and buy Talbro Auto and insecticides.As i have no fresh cash.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can hold the same, not necessary to buy all stocks. you can buy next stock on availability of fund

      Delete
  35. Mam, Navin Fluorine is posting good numbers Every quarter. I missed it. Any other stock that you will suggest to invest in now for long term in area of Specialty Chemicals ?

    ReplyDelete
  36. Mam what is top line and bottom line. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
  37. mam when is dhunseri and jk agri results

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Date is not confirmed but it will be before end of this month

      Delete
  38. Madam,
    What is your view on Deccan Gold Mines and Tirupati Sarjan?

    ReplyDelete
  39. Dear Madam,I currently hold Sri Kalahasthi pipes @273 - quite a high buy price i believe- .
    Can you please advice what is the scope for appreciation with a 1-2 year time frame?

    thank you very much

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Even 15-20% return is good on above price. If any stock bought at lower level than it will give peace of mind during market correction and better chances of getting higher return.

      Delete
    2. thank you for your response,madam.Hoping for decent gains to reinvest into the market.

      Delete
  40. Mam, what is your view about yearly results of surana? Will it be good enough to give momentum as it is falling consistently? When are the results?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. most of the results will be out before end of this month.

      Delete
  41. Hello ma'am..today in technocraft money control site it is stated that..tiil has allowed promoter group to sell 1.03% equity share capital on stock exchange to meet MPS requirement..what does it mean ma'am ?? And also Can u plz advice on the share price movement of tiil..as it is moving rangebound..thank u ma'am

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It mandatory to bring down promoters' holding up to 75%. Definitely they will sell at higher price, need to hold this stock patiently. Several good things are on the way to reward the investors in future.

      Delete
  42. Hello mam..
    If u have to choose one only one i know ur every stock is good in its feild but out of dhunseri , tiil, tci,trlbros...wich one u will choose..
    Thank u

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. it depends upon holding period, sector of interest, return expectation. you have missed JK Agri in above list

      Delete
    2. Thnk u for reply mam
      So u like jk agri more ?? :-)

      Delete
    3. No, other all are also have similar potential for me. You have to decide according to your holding period, sector of interest, return expectation.

      Delete
  43. Hello Mam,

    can I enter NOCIL @55 for long term for 3 to 5 years, what % of return can we expect?

    ReplyDelete
  44. Madam,
    I am holding TIIL,Donear,TCI out of your picks..I missed insecticides Ind...Pls suggest one pick from Cement sector..also can you suggest one out of Vishnu Chemicals, Ashok Alco Chemicals and Kakatiya Cements for 1 year period if you are tracking anyone of those....thanks in advance..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Wait for some market correction to add. It is better to avoid chasing any stock at higher price. Few month ago Vishnu chem was trading below 200 and Thirumalai chem was below 150 that was best time to add it. Market will always provide good opportunity to buy good stocks at lower level but need courage to add in heavy falling market.

      Clariant Chem is better stock from same sector.

      Delete
  45. Mam I have surana solar at 40% loss (Rs.45k) and SKM at loss 32%(32k). Shall I sell these at loss now and buy TCI. Then after TCI demerger shall I keep xps and sell TCI and buy again Surana solar and SKM or mold tek packaging.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is too early to sell Surana Solar because I have clearly mentioned in the blog that FY 16 -17 is turnaround year for solar industry.

      http://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2016/01/surana-solar-sunrise-sector-sunny-days.html

      You can sell SKM and buy JK Agri (around 380) or Waterbase (around 90) to cover your loss in next 3-4 months.

      Delete
    2. I totally agree with you mam, but what I meant is by this way we can accumulate more xps shares and again come back to Surana in just 3-4 months. Your suggestion please

      Delete
    3. Waterbase, JK Agri, Talbros, TCI , TIIL are good option for short term ( 3-4 months)

      Delete
  46. Dear madam, crude is slowley moving in upside and nilkamal is going down, ple advice what I have to do, hold or sell. If crude will go slowly up, nilkamal will go low.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nilkamal already moved from 400 to 1600 in last one year, It will consolidate for some time and we should not expect similar return. Now 15 -20% per year is fair enough.

      Delete
  47. Hi mam, your view on IVP Ltd @ CMP ?
    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  48. Dear Mam, what is the reasonable PE to buy speciality chemical stocks. Your views on Dai Ichi and Thirumalai. You have suggested Clariant in earlier queries, please let know what is the % return expected in next couple of years given that it's mcap is already 1500 crs

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Different P/E for different sub groups of chemical sector. Clariant chem is one of the most stable and established company in chemical sector. It has completed buyback offer at 950 in October 2015. It is giving very good opportunity to invest around 650 for long term investment. Chasing any stock at higher price is not advisable for new investors. It was good opportunity to add Thirumalai chem in February below 150 but most of the people missed due to fear of further fall.

      Delete
  49. Hi, Your views on Emmbi Industries? Apart from good fundamentals, recently they got recognition as R&D center from Ministry of Science and Tech. This gives them considerable tax benefits and they applied for many patents as well. Looks like a solid player from technical textile space? Thanks!!

    ReplyDelete
  50. I have the Account of my and my wife at only one broker now my cumulative portfolio goes near to sixty lacs should I open account to another broker also I mean at one broker will it be ok if portfolio crosses crore or one shall go for another broker as well you have portfolio of more than say 100 cr than is that ok to keep in different accounts with one broker or better go for more than one broker
    Please guide us in this matter in detail my email is hareshusadadiya@gmail.com
    If you feel can give guidance at my email or on this blog as well

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. One account is sufficient. If you want to change the broker to get better service than you can change it. Different accounts linked to same PAN will not benefit to save any taxes.

      Delete
  51. Even if you don't refer to Mam's 100 cr, she will help you.

    ReplyDelete
  52. Mam when we choose a broker, do we keep the funds in demat form with the broker, or with a bank. It is the first time I will open trading account. Which is a good bank and broker. please help me.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Money will remain in your bank account, you have to transfer it online while stock purchase. After selling the stocks it will go back again in your bank account. You can choose any broker with bank like ICICIDIRECT,HDFCSECURITY,AXISDIRECT etc

      Delete
  53. Hello Mam, if we buy 500 shares in one lot and we want to sell 100 shares from this lot, is it allowed, or we have to sell all 500 shares at same time. Thanks mam.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It coming under Futures & Options to buy the stocks in lots.

      Delete
  54. Good afternoon madam !! Can we buy a shareon BSE and Sell at NSE.This question arose because at times there is a substantial difference in rates on the 2 exchanges ? Madam I wrnt overboard on Surana Solar ?.Wud it be prudent to reduce some holding of Surana by booking loss and then investing in some other stock like TCI or Talbros or any othet stock at current price.Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. it is not allowed to sell stock on same day bought on different exchanges.

      It is too early to sell Surana Solar because I have clearly mentioned in the blog that FY 16 -17 is turnaround year for solar industry. Frequently shuffling the stocks is not advisable just by seeing the price movement for few months.

      http://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2016/01/surana-solar-sunrise-sector-sunny-days.html

      Delete
  55. If any stock is undervalue with respect to pe than is it necessary that it will gain it's value in future

    Again low mcap and high sales is good but any conclusion for that I mean say sales shall be 4 times or two times likewise to mcap guide in that with respect to the face value as well
    Explain ROE how to see this factor for value picking

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is no fixed rule but any stock picked at low market capital, good products with increasing demand in future, good investor friendly promoters are sufficient to take investment decisions. Once business start generating revenue and profit than all stock related statistics will improve within year. Most of the multi- baggar stocks are having similar history.

      Delete
  56. Thanks so much for your enlighting reply.I'll hold Surana.Coming to my previous query.Can we buy on one exchange and sell at another exchange after a few days ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Waterbase, JK Agri, Talbros, TCI , TIIL are good option for short term ( 3-4 months)

      Delete
  57. Hi mam
    I just wanna say thanks to u ...no one gives advice ,picks free of cost ..u being a good big investor is always helpi g us out and clearing our queries
    Thnks to u

    ReplyDelete
  58. Hello madam
    Can tci xps list at 300 or above ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mam,Insecticides got notices forTax assessment.Hope there is nothing fishy.your comment pls

      Delete
  59. Hi Mam, can we expect 300-400% returns for Clariant from CMP in 2-3 years ?
    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  60. Madam your view on Nitin spinners results ? It was expected to give good results due to expansion and reforms . However it were only satisfactory

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good sock for long term investment. Benefit of expansion will come once business will start growing. Hopefully it will show better performance coming quarters.

      Delete
  61. Hello Mam, your views on Garware-Wall ropes @ CMP 355? Thank you!!

    ReplyDelete
  62. Dolly Mam, 1) textiles sector is quite in limelight now a days ! Please share your valuable opinion on Himatsingka Seide for long term investment horizon !!
    2) Do you believe that commodities like steel and crude are in gradual recovery mode ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sorry not tracking Himatsingka Seide.

      Yes, steel and crude oil are recovering but it will take time pick up the pace.

      Delete
  63. You mentioned some stocks above good for short term 3 to 4 months does that mean after that all these stocks waterbase jkagri tiil tci talbros not good please clarify again it is good to keep any stock for one year at least else huge tax is there if I am not wrong than it is 17 percent plus brokerage so total say 20 percent and hence any stock if it gives say 40 to 50 percent in short term than will be good else we are earning for government and brokers only
    Please you give us less number of stocks not Necessary each month say in a year only five or six but all multi bagger else all people in this blog will not learn investment theory but they will go for shuffling stocks each month and by year end will make loss only
    How far I know in stock market only they will gain who holds
    Ya if in some cases if stock move double or say 40 to 50 percent in less than a year period than its ok but less than that is not advisable
    Ya if someone doing in black and not paying tax it's ok but that will not help for long time
    Mam kindly give the investment knowledge to all of us and not the trading else majority of people in this blog will become gambler and in gambling only the people will loose and not the broker or the government

    Correct me if I am wrong

    We can share also the stocks we have I am giving the one today it's Singer India all on this blog do survey and research of it I feel within two years time it will be 400 plus

    ReplyDelete
  64. Your views on dewan housing ma'am?? It looks undervalued compared to its peers. Any reason for undervaluation ma'am?? Thank you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it is better than other but I am not tracking it strictly.

      Delete
  65. maam if u don't mind...can u tell in which quarter you are expecting a massive turnaround for kothari?i have 2000shares @ 25...as there is not much price reversal after the recent marketfall and the volumes are low :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Demand of PIB is improving. Company will show better performance in coming quarters. Need to hold this stock at least for 2 years.

      Delete
  66. Mam,Insecticides got notices forTax assessment.Hope there is nothing fishy.your comment pls

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is old case related to tax and commissioner of income tax department has preferred to income tax appellate tribunal. Earlier CIT has given decision in favour of the Company.

      Delete
  67. MAdam Ji

    Your views on kRBL

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  68. Hi mam,
    Waterbase came down to 87 levels,can I buy few quantity at this level? Or can we expect 80 level in this falling market

    ReplyDelete
  69. Mam will the price for Dhunseri Tea correct after Q4 results. Will the yearly results come on the same day as Q4 results.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. May not be on the same date but most probably in the last week of this month

      Delete
  70. Madam,

    If i Buy TCI, can i still get TCI XPS stocks now?

    ReplyDelete
  71. Mam what is dividend yield and how to calculate it. Thank you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. % of dividend received on every 100 rupees investment

      Delete
    2. Thank you very much mam.

      Delete
  72. Dear Mam, thank you very much for all your stock recommendations. It is a great help to all of us, and sooner or later we are all going to reap huge benefits. Thanks also for your very valuable advice.

    ReplyDelete
  73. Mam on previous blog u hv mentioned to book profit in insecticide above 500.
    I just want to understand... Why u chosen Aug for booking profit above 500. Do u see correction in stock after Aug and what will be the reason of correction. Pls clarify my doubt. Tnx.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to read it again, It for short term investors

      Delete
  74. Thanks madam for your guidance on Sripipe

    ReplyDelete
  75. I put down some general comment but can't see that mam

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Generally I reply long and multiple questions during weekend.

      Delete
  76. Sir, your views on vidhi dyestuff, majesco and onmobile.

    ReplyDelete
  77. Mam, any company you like in water management?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ion Exchange (India) was good option but it already gone up

      Delete
  78. Hi Mam, Is sudarshan chemicals a good option in specialty chemical space? there is a huge difference in Sales to market cap and company's performance is also steadily improving. Please let me know if its a good option to enter at a price below Rs.100 ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, you can enter around 85 - 90 during market correction.

      Delete
  79. Madam,

    What are the effects of buyback offer.
    How a company will be effect by buy back
    Why companys buying their own shares
    From our portfolio what are the effects to TIIL ?
    Please throw some lights on Buy back madam ji


    Thanx

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. EPS and dividend payout will increase.

      It is to utilize free cash reserve to give benefit to investors and promoters.

      Ultimately it will boost the stock price.

      Delete
  80. Hello mam

    I used to hear comments from market advisors that "stock is delisting story" and observed that these stocks goes up. I wonder how delisting helps investors. Could u please clear my doubt

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Delisting is more beneficial for promoter than investors. Investors will get some premium price benefits of delisting offer, generally it is 30 -50%

      Delete
  81. Hello Mam, I have 1000 chemfab @90. Looks like this year they may show better profits. Do you have any expected target for this year. Thank you so much for your valuable time and help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We can expect return around 15% until company will get approval for capacity expansion.

      It is low beta stock and less prone to move with market fluctuation. It will give the chance (cash) to buy high beta stocks during deep market fluctuation.

      Delete
  82. Hello mam..is it good price to buy tci tommorow ??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ma'am has already said several times that it is a good stock to buy at current levels..moreover it is trading just above 5% from recommended price by ma'am... Then there is no point in asking the same question again..it is ur choice to decide...everyone plzz don't make ma'am answer the same questions several times

      Delete
    2. Thnks for reply..i cme to know abt mams nlog yesterday only so i asked the ques. Without refering previous msgs..

      Delete
    3. Hi new blog reader, welcome to Dolly mam's blog. She answers questions with great dignity and respect.

      Delete
  83. Mam I bought 1000 shares of xpro India ltd should I sell or hold? Because day to day share price is decreasing

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to hold it and it can be added more below 40. Hopefully company will start giving positive results in coming quarters.

      Delete
  84. Mam - XPRO REUSLT is out and there is no sign of improvement in performance. Fully year loss has been TRIPLED compare previous year loss. Mam on approximate basis how many quarter more it will take to post profit !!!! Also it has a huge debt which is biggest concern.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hopefully company will start giving positive results in coming quarters. Company has submitted below note on the year end result.

      3. Sales during the quarter reflected the improved sentiments in consumer durable markets, stemming from positive economic policies, although non-urban market remained dull on account ol drought conditions. The slow growth seen in recent months has given rise to expectations of a retum to market stability and sustained market confidence.

      4. The import-substitute products of the Company's highly sophisticated BOPP Dielectric (Capacitor) Film Unit located at Barjora, Distt, Bankura, (West Bengal) have been well received and the unit has achieved substantial capacity utilisation in the quarter. Following representations, the govemment has in end- February has corrected the inverted duty structure, and full impact would be realised only in subsequent quarters. The results reflect the interest and depreciation burden during the stabilisation and volume build-up phase.

      Delete
  85. Sure but please keep and reply as well again that comment was more aligned to other people who visit this blog


    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It depend upon availability of time, week end days are more convenient for me to reply emails and comments with multiple inquiries.

      Delete
  86. MAdam JI,

    why Higher face value like rs.10 , 5 is prefered tha rs 1 ? What is the importance in face value ?

    Thanks

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It increasing number of shares, reducing EPS and dividend%

      Delete
  87. mam I invested in SUNITI CHEMICALS long back .. should I hold on to the stock ?

    ReplyDelete
  88. Dear Ms. Khanna - please suggest which of the following are the most appropriate to be added at the current levels - Huhtamaki, Asian granito, Meghmani, Insecticide, nitin spinners and pondy oxides.

    ReplyDelete
  89. Why share market fall down

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. U didn't ask this question when share market is UP?

      Delete
    2. Reason for fall is just opposite to rise. Mostly it follow the global market sentiments, poor results from sensex top companies, political instability, change in policy etc.

      Delete
  90. Mam - do u think kaumtam paper is good for long term investment say for 3-4 years ?

    ReplyDelete
  91. Mam I am having 400 shares of surana at 38rs....which is very high from your recommended price...so mam can u please guess what % of returns can be expected from my buying price of 38? Thank you mam

    ReplyDelete
  92. hi mam,i am holding morepen labs @ rs10 since 1.5 yr,kindly let me know if i should continue holding it for 1-2 yr or book profit and add more of tiil and tci at current levels. thankyou and regards.

    ReplyDelete
  93. Dolly Mam, your valuable opinion on Snowman Logistics' future prospects and current valuation please !! Can we consider it investment worthy for 2-3 years time horizon ??

    ReplyDelete
  94. madam,

    year end results refers - it is 4th qtr results only (or) seperately year on year result submitted by company ?

    Thanks madam

    ReplyDelete
  95. Maa'm ,What is the maximum portfolio allocation can be made on Talbros Auto.I have no other stocks from the automobile and engg sector.Thanks.
    Warm Regards,Deep

    ReplyDelete
  96. Mam Til Ltd is value buy at this level? as i am already holding since at 472 level.

    ReplyDelete
  97. Madam Ji,
    it is always invest in low risk companies - is well said
    what are the risk factors we know one is debit .Likewise name few other important risk factors look for.It will be helpful to all

    Thank you madam for your kind advice.



    ReplyDelete
  98. Maam ,On which EPS one should calculate PE of a share ,like for Talbros EPS is 8.08 and Cash EPS is 14.59.Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  99. Dear Dolly maam yesterday I bought NIIT Ltd 500shares @ 80rs....is it a good price to enter in to that stock for 2yrs?

    ReplyDelete
  100. I have 2500 waterbase @135 cmp.how much time i have to wait for profit

    ReplyDelete
  101. respected mam,
    1. can we expect the share dtil and jk agri to cross 10000rs in 10-15 years

    2. is there any other company under 500rs to give 10-20 fold return in 10 years

    thanks mam for ur effort

    ReplyDelete
  102. respected mam,

    whats ur view on financial tech and indian oil ltd as they are very good dividend paying companies

    ReplyDelete
  103. Respected mam,
    rather than book value, debts, reserves, net sales, net profit, eps, cash and bank....which other things we have to give priority in balance sheet

    ReplyDelete