Friday, October 25, 2019

Diwali Greetings - Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals


Dear Blog Members,



May the divine light of Diwali bring lot of joy, peace and prosperity to you and your family



Last 18 months were very tough for investors. We have also limited our activity but now time has come to move ahead with market by leaving all the negative behind.  



Deepak Fertilisers & Petrochemicals Corporation Ltd (DFPCL)





Corporate film

https://youtu.be/HBr2R7U4Wt8


https://youtu.be/iK_T8t__fU0


DFPCL is multi-product Indian conglomerate with four business verticals —industrial chemicals, agribusiness, specialty chemical and value added real estate.  Over the period of last four decades it has established a prime position in manufacturing of ammonia, isopropyl alcohol, methanol, nitric acid, low-density prilled ammonium nitrate, specialty fertilisers, farming diagnostics and solutions, nitro-phosphate fertilizers in its state-of-the-art plants operating with world class technology.




The value added real estate is India's 1st revolutionary concept retail destination for Home Interiors & Design. DFPCL is having market leadership position in Speciality Fertilisers, Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN) and Isopropyl Alcohol (IPA).



The Company has manufacturing facilities in Taloja – Maharashtra, Srikakulam – A.P., Panipat – Haryana and Dahej – Gujarat. The Company has adopted some of the global state-of-the-art technologies that enable it to manufacture and supply high quality products that meet global standards.


Products / Services and Application







Investment Rationale



DFPCL has developed a unique business model where synergies and diversities can be mutually inherent, allowing the Company to build its financial strength, generate free cash flow and invest in growth, both in India and globally.


DFPCL has expanded its portfolio in the agri-business segment and moved from bulk fertilisers to specialties /customised products. Company is developing customized products for specific crop and soil. 



It has gained the reputation of being the total nutrient management services provider to the Indian farmers through its unique initiative - Mahadhan Saarthi. it helps the farmers by providing farming solutions including diagnostic and advisory services. It also allows farmers to market their produce in domestic and international markets. This initiative by the company ensures higher yields and profitability to the farmer. Government's continuous thrust on rural & infrastructure development along with an ambitious goal to double farmers' income by 2022 will augur well for the company. 




DFPCL is one of India’s largest and most reputed manufacturers of Nitro Phosphate fertilisers and speciality fertilisers like Sulphur Bentonite. It has gained the reputation of being the sole manufacturer of 24:24:0 in India and amongst market leaders for water solubles, specialty fertilisers and Bentonite Sulphur.


In Chemicals, the Company is moving up the value chain from bulk chemical commodities to developing industry specific product grades. The company is the sole producer of IPA in the domestic market and caters to 85-90% of the market demand through its manufacturing capacity as well as imports. DFPCL is also the leading manufacturer of concentrated nitric acid (CNA) in the domestic market. It is one of the very few companies in the world with US FDA / Pharmacopoeia certification for these products, making it the supplier of choice for the Indian pharmaceutical industry.




DFPCL is having a strong and direct relationship with over 500 Industrial customers in India and globally. Further, DFPCL is having strong distribution network of over 80 channel partners across India and it exports its products to over 50 countries globally.


DFPCL has diversified business product portfolio comprising of fertilisers and industrial chemicals and the strong market position held in the industrial chemicals business with leadership in ammonium nitrate (TAN), nitric acid and IPA. It gives high financial flexibility in case of slump in any one business vertical.




DFPCL is one of the largest producers of Technical Ammonium Nitrate (TAN) in the world and the only producer of explosive grade low density prilled AN in India and is on its path towards becoming a global player. Company has successfully entered into Mining Services and Consultation to expand the value chain.




DFPCL is better placed among its competitors and enjoys the advantage of largest single-location manufacturer of Dilute Nitric Acid (DNA). The company has the advantage of its strong customer relationships and its domestic geographical presence and this provides the superiority among its peers.

DFPCL has laid its own 43 km gas pipeline from the coastal fall point Uran to its plant located at Taloja.



It has built India’s first true Lifestyle Centre, Creaticity - a family destination with offerings ranges from home, fashion, lifestyle, food and entertainment. 




DFPCL has hired global consulting firm McKinsey & Company in September 2016 for corporate rejig. Since than it has started transforming itself from  commodity to specialties and value added customised products. 


The company has ability to change its product mix in response to changes in market conditions. It is a reflection of its operating flexibility which partially mitigates the risks associated with cyclicality. It has helped DFPCL to maintain stability in its operating profits despite considerable changes in its operating environment.


DFPCL is going through major  expansion, company has excellent track record to complete the key projects in stipulated timeline. In the recent past, it has already completed and  stabilize the commercial production of nitric acid plant at new plant in Dahej Gujarat and  NPK (Nitrogen, Phosphorous, Potassium) complex fertilisers facility at Taloja which would result in healthy increase in revenues and profits in coming quarters.  


Promoters C K Mehta / S C Mehta are having very vast experience in chemical industry and proven successful track record. The management keep the control and evaluating the strength of balance sheet regularly. Most of capex is funded through debt and equity along with some strategic investors. The current capex is backed by International Finance Corporation (IFC)


Conclusion



DFPCL has dominant market position in all business verticals. Nitro -chem industry is growing at a steady pace which augurs well for the company with a clear emerging demand supply gap in the market. Domestic demand outlook for most of the company products will remain strong and it will be driven from agri, industrial, mining and infrastructure sector. Company is on strong footing for long-term sustainable growth and leadership in chemicals business.

In recent market correction it corrected more than 70% without any change in fundamental of the company. It is very good investment opportunity at cmp Rs 102 for both mid  term and long term ( 2 year to 5 years ). It can be bought + / - 10% from cmp with 10-20 % of portfolio allocation.





287 comments:

  1. Dear Maam,
    Wish You a Very Happy Diwali.

    Thank You for your post.

    Is this company related to Deepak Nitrite.

    Also your views on Deepak Nitrite Results??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes it is also CK Mehta group company. Deepak and Sailesh Mehta are brothers

      Delete
    2. Very Happy Diwali Ma'am.As per your repeated advice in earlier posts I have taken Deepak Fertilizers now I shall add more .
      Festivities Greetings and best wishes to all wish bright Samvat ahead .

      Delete
    3. Yes it can be bought at CMP for long-term investment

      Delete
  2. Hi Mam,

    Can you share a list of blog suggested stocks which we can accumulate or Hold with the price range. As you can see lot of people or repeatedly asking the same questions. Some of us are just holding the blog suggested stocks. Now we want to accumulate few stocks which are available in huge discount. our only concern is which stocks to accumulate and at what price?

    ReplyDelete
  3. wish mam and blog members a happy deepavali and may we all see good times

    ReplyDelete
  4. Thank you Mam. Happy deepavali to you and your family.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Thank you Mam :) happy Diwali. Hope our portfolios go up by next Diwali! I believe we will be able to take back the investment at 100% in a handful of blog suggested companies by next Diwali.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes there is very much possible to get a good return from cmp

      Delete
  6. Madamji, wish you, your family and all your blog followers a very happy and blessed Deepawali.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Wish you a very happy Diwali..
    Would like to know about.heritage food..my buying is at 321/- what is the reason for downfall.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good company you can continue to hold it. Its correction is in line with market and sector correction in small and MidCap stocks. It will also start recovering with improvement in results in coming quarters

      Delete
  8. Mam, Happy and prosperous Dewali to you and your family member.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Dear Mam and Blog members
    Wish you and your family a happy, healthy and prosperous Deepavali !!!

    ReplyDelete
  10. Hello Mam, Sir and blog members, wish you all a Very Happy Dhanteras and a Very Happy Diwali.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Happy Diwali to all the members. Now it is nice to get Diwali Gift from Dolly madam

    ReplyDelete
  12. Thanks mam ! Happy and prosperous Deepawali to you , your family and all blog members .rgds Deepak

    ReplyDelete
  13. Very Happy and Joyous Deepawali to all.
    Wish for a bright days ahead.
    Thank You all for educative inputs.
    Madam ji ! My bestest wishes with sincere gratitude.God Bless us.

    ReplyDelete
  14. Hello mam... Happy and prosperous deepawali to you and all our blog members...

    ReplyDelete
  15. Wow...thanks for the recommendation ma'am...wish you Happy Diwali..may God give good health and wealth to you and your family.

    ReplyDelete
  16. Wish u happy Diwali medam to u and family members...

    ReplyDelete
  17. Thanks a lot maam for recommending the stock as promised. Wish you happy Deepavali to you and all our blog members. Kindly let us know the return expectation from Deepak Fertilizers and Petrochemicals in short and long term?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very high growth stock. it has market leadership position in all business verticals. Company is transforming itself from commodity products to specialty products in all verticals with on going huge expansion. There will be significant expansion in the margin and it will reflect in the results of coming quarters. It is expected to give 100 to 500% return in next 1 to 5 years from cmp

      Delete
    2. Note - Even dividend yield for DFPCL will be higher than bank interest rate in the future

      Delete
  18. Thank you for your new recommendations n wishing you a very happy Diwali.

    Please can you share your view regards to tata sponge ( now Tata steel long)

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock, you can keep adding on every further correction for long-term investment

      Delete
  19. Deepak fertilizer income coming down consistantly, why mam? is it d right time to invest in this share mam?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It was strategic decision of the company to reduce the trading of commodity chemicals and bulk fertiliser for moving towards differentiated fertilisers and specialty chemicals. During transition phase there is decline in revenue, there will be significant improvement in margin and profit in coming quarters. You can find the details in page number 23 in the recent presentation of company

      https://www.bseindia.com/xml-data/corpfiling/AttachHis/53fb7c69-e497-43e5-ad60-0112ecb8be4f.pdf

      Delete
  20. Madam,
    Wish you Happy Deepavali..
    Let us all have delightful years ahead..
    Regards

    ReplyDelete
  21. Dear Ma'am

    Wish you and your family, a very Happy Diwali !!

    Regards,
    Sushil

    ReplyDelete
  22. Hi Dolly Madam, Can you please let me know your views on Akshar Chemicals and Bodal Chemicals? Can we add at CMP?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are good stock, you can keep adding on every further correction for long-term investment only

      Delete
  23. Dear Ma'am Happy Diwali to you and your family and also members of this blog. Compare to Deepak Fertilizer, Akshar Chem is looking very strong on fundamental basis, especially interm of debt. So, what is rational behind selecting Deepak Fertlizer.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There is huge difference between size and scale of these companies. Deepak fertiliser is having very diversified product portfolio, in the long run it can give much better portfolio stability and growth.

      Delete
  24. Ma'am

    Wish you and your family, a very Happy Diwali !!

    ReplyDelete
  25. Man,
    Both Deepak fertilizer and Deepak nitrite in same business and product portfolio, is there any difference in business model of both.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both companies are having different portfolio but from same CK Mehta group. Now run separately by his son Deepak Mehta and Sailesh Mehta

      Delete
  26. Hello madam,

    Happy deepavali to you, Ur family and all blog members.

    Madam,
    Deepak fertilizer debt is quite high. What is your analysis on the same

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is not accumulated debt due to losses but due to expansion Capex. Company is generating enough cash flow to serve the debt timely

      Delete
  27. Dear Ma'am your view regards to tata sponge ( now Tata steel long) and AkaharChem

    Regards

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are very good stock, it can be bought on every further correction for long-term investment

      Delete
  28. Madam namaste happy Diwali to you and your family my question is this can I am holding Shree Pushkar chemicals 1000 shares can I hold or sell and purchase of Deepak fertilizers and also I wanted to know the debt equity ratio of Deepak fertilizers.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold Shree Pushkar chemicals and follow the investment strategy for further action if required.

      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Net debt / equity ratio for Deepak fertiliser = 1.26

      Delete
  29. Hello,
    Wish you and your family a happy, healthy and prosperous Deepavali !!!

    ReplyDelete
  30. दिवाली की हार्दिक शुभकामनाये ,
    Respected madam,
    इसी मंगल कामना के साथ आप सभी को एक बार फिर से दिवाली की मंगल हार्दिक शुभकामनाये, आप सभी के जीवन में हर पल मंगल हो ऐसी हम कामना करते है.
    " आओ अपने प्यारे से जीवन में प्यार के दिये जलाये

    दुसरो को इस प्यार के रिश्ते में जोड़े और उनके जीवन में खुशिया लाये "
    माँ लक्ष्मी जी सदा निवास करे आपके द्वार

    आपके जीवन में हो खुशिया अपरम्पार

    इस दिवाली की हमारी शुभकामनाये आप करे स्वीकार.

    Regards drvivek patil

    ReplyDelete
  31. Wish a Happy and prosperous deepavali to you and to our blog members...

    ReplyDelete
  32. Dear Mam,
    Debt of the company seems on the higher side. Your view on that please.

    ReplyDelete
  33. Hi Ma'am, Belated Diwali wishes. Please let us know your view on ppap automatives. Thank You.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Most of the auto and auto ancillary stocks were beaten down very severely due to slump in auto sales. Further shift toward BS 5 norms will affect the auto sales further in coming quarters. Not very positive at this stage

      Delete
  34. Happy deewali to Madam & to all blog readers.

    ReplyDelete
  35. Wishing u and your family a very happy Diwali and prosperous New year.

    ReplyDelete
  36. Hi Mam,
    Thanks for your recommendations.
    Have a wonderful year filled with peace, prosperity and happiness.
    Happy Diwali Wishes to you and your family members.
    Thank you!

    ReplyDelete
  37. Mam, few well known investors have said in interviews that stocks which have corrected 80-90% from their peak never come back to their previous highs..what is your opinion on this?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is very normal trend that several stock corrected above 75% and then regain previous valuation after market correction. Just have a look on JSW steel, Tata motors, kiri Tata steel etc

      Delete
    2. Thanks Mam for clarification.

      Delete
  38. Madam,
    Can you suggest one good stock from infra as modi government is going to expense huge in ifra.

    ReplyDelete
  39. You view for Gold in longer term is appreciated mam..

    ReplyDelete
  40. Dear mam, kindly reply ASAP;

    i had dmat account with BMA wealth creators and unfortunately NSE has suspended the broker.



    i have 60% holding on pool account of BMA and 40% on DP account.

    what i have on DP i do not need to worry but pls tell me what will happen to holding on pool?

    How much % possibility of i getting everything back?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You will get everything back into your DP / Demat account. Pool account stocks will be transferred back into your DP / Demat account

      Delete
    2. Thanks alot mam, until that happens is kind of deep worry

      Delete
  41. Madam your below reply made my day and incrrased my conviction for Deepak Fertilizer:

    "It is very high growth stock. it has market leadership position in all business verticals. Company is transforming itself from commodity products to specialty products in all verticals with on going huge expansion. There will be significant expansion in the margin and it will reflect in the results of coming quarters. It is expected to give 100 to 500% return in next 1 to 5 years from cmp

    Note - Even dividend yield for DFPCL will be higher than bank interest rate in the future"

    Madam it can be added at CMP correct Na madam??


    Madam your views on Polyplex Corp (467) and Pertronet LNG (277) please.

    Thanks
    Nirav S. Karia

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes you can buy Deepak fertiliser Deepak fertiliser within 10% from suggested price 102

      Not tracking other stocks

      Delete
  42. Holding Alkali metal @ 57 INR and Xpro India @ 51 INR. May I exit from these and buy Deepa fertilizer.

    Thanks in advance

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to follow investment strategy to take further action on alkali metal and Xpro


      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Delete
  43. Mam,
    I hold Pennar Industry @38, can I accumulate at cmp and also pls advise whether it's right time to enter into Sunflag @cmp?
    Regards
    Gopinath VST

    ReplyDelete
  44. Respected Mam/Sir, please share your views on -

    1. NOCIL (@91):is it good to hold it for long and for what target?

    2. Nitin Spinners: I'm holding it since the time you have recommend it on blog and my avg price is 81. Debt is a big concern for company so for investors. Since most of the good businesses are available in current scenario, do you suggest to swap it with some other stock or do we need to hold it? Asking since I have given 20% allocation in this stock and did not buy much at lower levels because of this reason.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold NOCIL with expected return around 10 to 15% per year

      Major Capex or industrial growth is not possible without debt. Debt is not bad if it is paid on timely and taken with good intention. Reliance Industry has grown multifold in last three decade and today it is trading with highest market capital in India just have a look on its debt.

      Has the reliance grown in this size without debt?

      Better to follow investment strategy to limit the risk on investment


      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Delete
  45. where can we see that some company expand their production capacity?
    any website ,can you share with us?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I’m not aware of any such website but most of the news are available on economic / financial websites in India

      Delete
    2. http://bit.ly/whats-included

      May be that will help you. Ill share if i come across any more new once !

      Delete
  46. Respected Madam,

    Please share your views on JK Agri, which is under LC since last few sessions.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is good stock for long-term investment but seasonal in nature

      Delete
  47. Hello mam, my aunt is having many number of IOC shares she got from husband as he was working in IOC. She has not sold the shares till now to buy anything else. But now, since retail sales of petrol and diesel is being made open to other companies also, will it drastically affect the profitability of IOC? Should she sell some shares of IOC and buy some other good companies. Thank you madam in advance.. God bless u..

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Exposer in one stock or one sector is always very risky. Better to invest some amount in other sector stocks

      Delete
  48. Hi madam,
    Am holding alkali metals 2000 shares @35/- per share. Good to hold or better to exit..?
    Last quarter result is good.

    Regards,
    Venkatesh

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Need to follow investment strategy to take further action on alkali metal


      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Delete
  49. Amidst all the hype Orient electric ( not adjusted for split) has doubled. Recommended price 99 cmp 196 plus Orient paper free of cost

    ReplyDelete
  50. Mam, Hope you are doing good. I went through the balance sheet and company explaination on the reduction in revenues and way forward. It looks promising. Tried analyzing on the below points, however would need your guidance on them. Please help

    1. Expected increase in revenue compared with Q120 in next 2 years.
    2. % of contribution to revenues in Chemical Segments from new plant
    3. Is the increased Debt manageable Vis-a-Vis the revenue increase
    4. EPS increase expected in coming 3 years

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Company is moving from commodity / bulk product to value added branded products in all verticals. At present company has 6000 crore turnover, only 5% net margin will translate into 300 crores net profit or EPS Rs 30
      So possibilities are huge even at present sale turnover.

      Delete
  51. Hi maam, i am holding Dhunshree tea since 2 years, would u recommend me to switch IF YES kindly advice if i can switch to deepak fertilizers or increase my allocation to TPL PLASTECH/SHREE PUSHKAR / PENNAR IND/ OR SUNFLAG, as all are under 20% as of now.i am lossing heavily in sintex plastic as my allocation was 25% as i was over optimestic about this company and got carried away.thanks and regards.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Even if you sell Sintex plastic at CMP you will not get any value so better to keep all the shares as it is.

      Better to wait for Q2 result and some price appreciation in Dhunseri Tea then take the decision accordingly.

      Need to follow the investment strategy to limit the risk on your investment

      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Delete
  52. Dear Madam, Sintex Plastics have confirmed to bse on 25th Oct that they hv rec'd €155m thru stake sale of their subsidy.
    In Last 3 days..huge volume (3 to 4m /day) traction happening at LC.
    Pls do advise us whether these are the sign of recovery. If not, Kindly request you to share exact status of Sintex.
    Wr
    Gajendrakumar
    Ho

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Almost whole investment eroded in Sintex plastic so there is no option but to keep all the shares as it is without giving much attention.

      https://dolly-bestpicks.blogspot.com/2018/05/review-of-investment-strategy.html

      Delete
  53. Respected Mam, Thanks a lot for the new recommendation. Is the debt manageable for the company(3032cr and 1.26x to equity)? I know all of us worried after seeing what happened with the sintex plastic where debt was the major concern. SPTL is 20% in my portfolio and lost 97% of it's value

    ReplyDelete
  54. Maam i am little bit confused by ur Reply
    Sometimes u r telling to hold with patience and sometimes u r imdicating 30% stop loss. Few days b4 you are telling to accumulate Nitin. Now ur comments relate to Stop loss. Please guide

    ReplyDelete
  55. Hi Mam,
    Hope you are doing well!
    Your kind views on Lasa Supergenerics Ltd, IG Petro Chemicals and Asian Granito.
    Thanks in advance!

    ReplyDelete
  56. Hi Mam, Added Deepak fertilizers to my portfolio. I am holding Butterfly Gandhimathi. Results are improving. Can I hold it for long term? Also, is it fine to add more at CMP? Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  57. Hi Ma'am, please share your view on Prakash industries.

    ReplyDelete
  58. your view on thirumalai chemicals after sep 19 results is it buy on dips , the company has recently started commercial production

    ReplyDelete
  59. Respected sir,

    Greetings for the Diwali and New year...

    Thank you very much for your selfless service and help to small investors.

    I am regular follower of your blog and also purchased stocks as per following portfolio.

    (1) Bharat Gears (portfolio allocation of 7.5% @ average price of 132/share)
    (2) Deepak Nitrate (18% @ 283/share)
    (3) Ganesh Housing (6.5% @ 58/share)
    (4) GP Petro (6.5% @ 60/share)
    (5) Nitin (6.5% @ 76/share)
    (6) NR Agrwal (6.5% @ 270/share)
    (7) Rain Ind ( 8.6% @ 107/share)
    (8) Sintex Plast (8.6% @ 20/share)
    (9) TPL Plastech (5.2% @ 135/share)
    Remaining other 2/3 shares...

    Request to advise for -
    (1) I want to average (Almost same amount as that invested). But confused, for which co to be averaged or which proportion to be increased, Please help me.
    (2) What is your view for Deepak nitrate for further average (Obviously within 20% and as per your investment strategy), Can I average it at this price?
    (3) What is your views for GP Petro, Ganesh Housing, Nitin Spinner, Bharat Gears and TPL Plast? (As it is almost 2 years passed after your recommendation)

    I am a long term investor (5++ Years and also regular averaging) with enough patience.

    Thank you very much in advance for your kind help

    Regards,
    Raxit Shah

    ReplyDelete
  60. Hi Ma'am, please provide your view on Sri kalahasti pipes stock.

    ReplyDelete
  61. Mam, with the profit earned in stocks can we take fresh investment of 2 lakhs in Sintex Plastics. Considering it as write off

    ReplyDelete
  62. Hello mam...if possible please make a review about earlier blog recommended stocks.most of our blog followers still holding the stocks which you posted earlier.we all know mkt move like zig Zag manner, but if you review about the stocks that is final word for us.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mam/Sir, please do so, we all are eagerly waiting for this. Thanks in advance for all your help and guidance.

      Delete
  63. Hi ma'am, plz share your views on visaka results and can it be bought at cmp?

    ReplyDelete
  64. Mam please comment on NOCIL results. Also please suggest if SOBHA, and VISAKA Ind can be added at CMP. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  65. Good Morning Madam ji.
    My query is on 2 blog suggested stock
    1. Kesoram I got 4000 shares averaged at 95 per share today it is at 63+
    2.Nitin Spinner at 124 ( from the time recommended ) 2000 shares.Should I add further in Nitin as it is now trading at 56?
    Nitin gave dividends too Madam ji .
    Need your help on these 2 having since 2017.
    Meanwhile I sold Orient Electric and reinvested in equity again . Orient Papers I continue to hold.
    Deepak Nitrate I sold and now invested in Deepak Fertilizers.
    I am quite satisfied Madam ji with deep gratitude always.
    God Bless.STPL 11000 shares at average of 27 I have written off for the time being :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Meenakshi pai ji..Im no one to guide you..but i want to share what i have learnt from sir and market. Keep the winning stocks in your portfolio and sell the loosing once. See if quarterly results are good/bad. Orient electric is a stock which will continue to grow like havells and deepak nitrite is like a moat ..no other player in india selling acetone and phenol useful in backward integration for itself aswell.so keep both stocks in portfolio for long term at least till no one else is into that product !

      Delete
    2. Thank You so much Vineeth ji .I totally agree what you stated appreciate.
      By trading / averaging I have kesoram at 56 4000 number of shares
      Deepak fertilizer 4000 at 90.
      Orient Electric and Deepak Nitrate gave good returns ....18 months were too long and I did not have fresh funds to invest but I will get back them soon.
      Feels good when fellow blog members do take interest and are so helpful in advise... Can't ask for more.Thanks again.Thanks.

      Delete
  66. Dear Madam,

    In the past you posted some stock by which we were able to get stock of their subsidiary company free of cost. Hope such stocks will be recommended in future also which will help small investors.

    ReplyDelete
  67. Mam,

    Karnataka bank ltd, is good for investment, because its giving more than 4% dividend.

    But when I check the debt equity ratio from screenr, it shows 12.41 is it correct?

    Plz share your views if you follow the stock.

    ReplyDelete
  68. Dear Madam,

    Can you please give your views on CARE Ratings.

    ReplyDelete
  69. Hello mam some our blog members r selling their shares without achieving,(Deepak nitrite) 100% target.@ present mkt situation what's your view about that

    ReplyDelete
  70. Again very worst result posted by gati...what to do mam???shall i close the position or hold as it is.

    ReplyDelete
  71. Mam, could you please suggest one good stock which will take benefit from ban on single use plastic. Company which works on jute or jute bags.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Any company can produce jute bags - so there is no competitive advantage and entry barrier. I think we shouldn't buy those kind of companies. Just my thought process!

      Delete
  72. Mam i have kesoram @110, do you recommend averaging it to recover losses

    ReplyDelete
  73. Madam,
    Please guide on talbros autos

    ReplyDelete
  74. Hi Mam,

    Can i add shreepushkar, Ganesh housing and sunflag at CMP. I have allocated less than 10% for these shares

    ReplyDelete
  75. Sir what would be the current value of all plants and property of Deepak fertilizer

    ReplyDelete
  76. Hi maam, just for the purpose of learning can BOOK VALUE ,EPS,P/E AND DIVIDENT YEILD can be the used as criteria for stock picking apart from management/company product and future growth, also i see some companies like hdil/ sintex plastics, have high book value but yet on the verge of bankruptcy, and some company like ABFRL/DEEPAK NITRITE 's book value is 1/3 of the CMP yet they command high value.also if u can advice if there is any book or course one can get hands on to learn how to read a balance sheet effectively to analize company peformance apart from experience in the market to guage a company future prospects.thankyou and regards.

    ReplyDelete
  77. View avadh sugar longterm

    ReplyDelete
  78. dear mam
    whats your view on kesoram now? demerger is approved so shall we buy some at this price to average? after demerger do you think now it will start moving up?

    rgs
    rajesh

    ReplyDelete
  79. Dear Madam, Your views about Nitin Spinner & TPL Plastech Sep'19 Qtr Results...
    Wr
    Gajendrakumar

    ReplyDelete
  80. Mam, Rain and Nitin Spinners results are out today, what are your views on the same.

    ReplyDelete
  81. Hi dolly mam: how do you read nitin spinners results? Bottom line is 0 inspite of 30% increase in sales.

    ReplyDelete
  82. Mam,

    What is your view on Nitin Spinners result? Though topline has increased even more drastically..all expenses have increased..it is almost on the verge of slipping into red !!!!

    ReplyDelete
  83. Hi maam, as you had suggested to wait for DTIL Results ,kindly let me know if i should continue to hold it or switch to deepak fertilizers, my purchase price for DTIL is rs 188. Pls advice.

    ReplyDelete
  84. Madam, company is working in losses, it is showing profit based on sale of proceeds from its share in subsidiary, please comment.

    ReplyDelete
  85. Respected madam, How do you see the results for Pennar Industires. Can we buy pennar considering they have a plan for buy back at 45(CMP 28)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Actually they are not buying at 45. They will buy till maximum price of 45/- investing about 40 cr. They can buy at cmp also. Which means they may buy at 28 or 29 or 30 or if same day it may fall to 22 or what ever price they may get. Only advantage is no of shares from market will be reduced. So eps will increase and share capital will decrease. If they buy at lower price the more no of shares they will get.

      Delete
  86. How do you see pennar, Kcp,nitin,sunflag, deepak fert.,gp petro ....and rest of the stocks's results. I am adding all the stocks whenever i get the downfall. I have been consistently adding almost everything on the block keeping the % within the limits. Is it OK or should i leave few stocks which are not likely to deliver as expected in future.

    ReplyDelete
  87. Mam, is the news positive for Sunflag? Can we increase allocation upto 20% at CMP?

    https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/steel-companies-hike-prices-by-rs-500-750-a-tonne-for-the-first-time-this-fiscal/article29971892.ece

    ReplyDelete
  88. How do you see nitin spinners results?

    ReplyDelete
  89. Good morning mam,
    Your valuable feedback on the following stocks:

    1. ANjani cement
    2. Kanpur plast
    3. Sree leathers
    4. Deepak Nitrate
    5. KRBL
    6. Indian hume pipe
    7. Bodal chemicals

    ReplyDelete
  90. May I know the reasons to fall Syntex Plastic and Nitin Spinners? is there any chances to recover. I'm in huge loss (10Lac). My portfolio is down by 52%, can it be recovered?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have an update to share in nitin spinners. Cotton prices have reduced to an extend were co can have good margins and so export realizations will be good also demand is picking up. Plant utilization is above 90% and the long term debt taken will be cleared near by 2027. Generally payback period of investment / expansion is 7 years for textile business. So this is a long term story for slow and steady returns.

      Delete
  91. Hi mam
    Do you track saksoft? Its a small cap IT company potential to become a multibagger

    ReplyDelete
  92. Mam there is no update in the group since long, hope all is well. God bless us all!!

    ReplyDelete
  93. Respected Madam,

    JK Agri is well within buying range. Should we buy /hold or Exit.

    ReplyDelete
  94. Hello Mam,

    https://in.tradingview.com/chart/BAJAJELEC/UbKWPR24-BAJAJ-ELECTRICALS-1D-NSE-LONG/

    Please check above link related with BAJAJ ELECTRICALS. Request you to share your fundamental view.

    Thanks in advance.

    Arvind Bagade.

    Technical Analysis only for Educational Purpose to all lovely blog members.

    ReplyDelete
  95. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  96. Mam,
    Greetings, Can you pls advise which of your 2018 recommended stocks can be accumulated after the recent Q2 results...
    thanks and regards

    ReplyDelete
  97. Ya sir plz recomend 1 more stock before closure of this year.

    ReplyDelete
  98. Allcargo said to eyeing controlling stake in Gati; courier co stock up 5%
    The move will see Allcargo acquiring a controlling stake, post which it is likely to make an open offer to Gati's shareholders
    https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/allcargo-said-to-eyeing-controlling-stake-in-gati-courier-co-stock-up-5-4698611.html

    ReplyDelete
  99. Hi maam, its been a while the blog has been updated, i wanted to suggest that since the blog is not updated frequently like before, i would request if you could give a date as to when the blog will be updated next. I am sure most of us keep checking this blog almost 3-4 times a day to read your valuable comments.thanks

    ReplyDelete
  100. Hello mam last few weeks are mam also not active in our blog.only large cap companies and selected mid cap stocks are showing good sign of recovery.everybody lost confidence in small and midcap market especially block suggested suggested stocks. There is no sign of improvement in our economy soon but our government is trying hard hard to recover the situation.

    ReplyDelete
  101. So mam, where should we be going now... if you check all your recommended stocks are going down only except Deepak Nitrate

    ReplyDelete
  102. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  103. This blog is the confidence for many new investors..

    Yes, agree most of us are in loss.. but we are in a hope of recovering.

    We have a hope because of the constant guidance we were receiving from you through this blog.

    Please don't let this blog to die..

    ReplyDelete
  104. Dear Blog Members,

    I unable to reply any of the comments for more than one month due to unavoidable circumstances. Now we will continue to maintain the blog as usual on daily basis. Sorry for inconvenience and thank you for your patience.

    God Bless you

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thank you for your integrity madam. We all respect your personal time.

      Delete
  105. Hi Mam,

    Thanks for new suggestion Deepak Fertilizer.
    May we know the difference / benefits between Deepak Fertilizer and Shree Pushkar?
    Both of these recommended, so we are hoping that both one would be good.
    Could we pick Deepak Fertilizer over Shree Pushkar considering growth prospect?

    Thanks Many for your time and help for us

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Deepak fertilisers is bigger in scale and much diversified product portfolio.

      Delete
  106. Dear Madam ji!
    Thank you for your guidance.
    God Bless you!!

    ReplyDelete
  107. Can you pls analyze nitin spinners results? Sales increased 30% but bottom line is 0 now. What is its future mam pls?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Higher raw material prices have impacted the bottom line. Company will perform much better once the demand will improve in next few years

      Delete
  108. Dear Madam, Pls do share ur view about Nitin Spinners and TPL plastech Q2 results...
    Wr

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both companies have posted average results. It is mainly due to slowdown in their respective sector and higher raw material prices have impacted the bottom line.

      Delete
  109. Madam, Ur views on Yes Bank.. Am holding it... Can I accumulate Yes Bank.
    Wr

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can buy it at CMP for long-term investment only

      Delete
  110. Mam i have kesoram @110, do you recommend averaging it to recover losses

    Mam much has changed in last month too, please recommend which stocks can be added for shot term(1year) to recover some losses

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can continue to hold Kesoram for better returns in future.

      We will go for next stock in month of Jan 2020

      Delete
  111. madam is their any new tock for rest of this year .

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We will go for next stock in the month of January 2020

      Delete
  112. Respected Madam,

    Has JK Agri Generic Bottommed out. Should we buy it now?

    Thanks for your help.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You can start buying it in small quantities at CMP for long-term investment

      Delete
    2. Sir how is nath bio-geans..it shows all q positive results .

      Delete
    3. Good to see you back with your reply Madamji! You are a light house of hope for us the blog members. 2019 indeed one great learning time..lucky to have you as constant source of Confidence.
      Wish you all wellness.
      Meenakshi

      Delete
    4. madamji is their any change in the fundamentals of jk agri genetics , can we buy for next 4 yrs for multibagger returns , going continiously dn why??

      Delete
    5. There is no any change in fundamental of JK Agri, price correction is due to weak performance of agri sector. You can start buying in small quantities for long-term investment

      Delete
  113. Hi madam, your views on visaka industries and Everest industries result . can they be added at CMP?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both are good stock and corrected more than expectation due to sluggish demand of building material products. The stocks will perform well in future with revival of demand.

      Delete
  114. Respected Madam, Hope you are doing well!

    i have read a article in ET. It says that "The 22 smallcap turnaround stories of Q2 that market is rewarding instantly". It contains Sintex Plastic and Sintex Industries. Is it right time to accumulate both the shares for long term basis. Kindly advice. thank you! https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/news/the-22-smallcap-turnaround-stories-of-q2-that-market-is-rewarding-instantly/articleshow/72485544.cms

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Sintex Plastic is still leading brand in its segment, hopefully sooner or later it will perform. At this price we will not get anything, It is not advisable for any fresh investment but you can keep existing shares as it is.

      Delete
  115. Mam, Your views on steel/metals for near term. Good time to accumulate sunflag?

    ReplyDelete
  116. Can we start buying Ganesh housing at CMP ?

    ReplyDelete
  117. Dear Madam, do you advise to book partial profit in Deepak Nitrite at this point in time.

    My buy price is 234.

    ReplyDelete
  118. Dear Maam, please give your vies on Apollo Tricoat. It has performed very well in past 2 quarters n results are execellent.

    ReplyDelete
  119. Mam please comment recent developments in gati . Thanks

    ReplyDelete
  120. Mam, I have 20% allocation in Nitin Spinners at 81, can I hold it as it is or it is better to swap with any other better option. Also please suggest on Ganesh Housing prospects as well. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  121. Good morning mam,
    Your valuable feedback on the following stocks:

    1. ANjani cement
    2. Kanpur plast
    3. All cargo
    4. Deepak Nitrate
    5. KRBL
    6. Indian hume pipe
    7. Bodal chemicals

    ReplyDelete
  122. Can we start fresh investment in Sintex plastic for 2 lakhs 10% of my investment with profit earned in stocks. I want to keep it for a span of 3-5 years as a write off with high risk

    ReplyDelete
  123. In continuation..can I add more..or say

    Can I buy at current price kesoram?

    ReplyDelete
  124. Good to see you back on the blog mam/sir. It has given a lot of zeal to all of us. Rgds Deepak

    ReplyDelete
  125. Any long term midcap stocks for 3-5 yrs horizon...just 4-5 names plz...thanks

    ReplyDelete
  126. Can I buy hdfc amc hdfc life and team at current level for long term

    ReplyDelete
  127. Res madamji, why technocraft ind is going dn and dn continiously ?? is their is any fundamentals are change . can it give similar multifold returns in future or not .i it strong buy at cmp waiting thanks

    ReplyDelete
  128. dear madam, my portfolio
    jub ind -44% (2.5L invested)
    gati . -48% (3L)
    SPTL . -97% (2.5L)
    Nitin . -61% (2.7L)
    kesoram -46% (2.5L)
    ganesh housing . -76% (2.5L)
    Depak Nit +61%(3L)
    kcp -50%(2.5L)
    overall . -43% (21.2L invested)

    i only invested in blog suggested stocks from 2 years..plz throw some light

    i am very happy for seeing u again after long break

    ReplyDelete
  129. Dear madam, How far this is true and applicable in the context of India? “If you invested in a very low cost index funds - where you don’t put the money in at one time, but average in over 10 years- You’ll do better than 90% of people who start investing at the same time”. - Warrant Buffet

    Do you suggest us to invest certain amount also in index funds?

    ReplyDelete
  130. Sir what would be the current value of all plants and property of Deepak fertilizer

    ReplyDelete
  131. Hello Madam,

    Where do we find the raw material prices.. for example raw materials consumed by Deepak fertilizers

    ReplyDelete
  132. Mam, please can you share your opinion on 20Microns?
    It is consistently growing, reporting profits, reducing debt?
    Do you see this trend to continue with good prospects?
    Thanks
    Jay

    ReplyDelete
  133. Dear mam,
    Whats your view on tata global breverages

    ReplyDelete
  134. Hello Madam, I'm following the blog from the end of 2016 and I could see Deepak Nitrite , ABFRL and Orient paper are almost trading at there life time high, and these are the only stocks which have not beaten much during the tough time also.

    madam, what I would like to learn from you is - what's so special about them and how they were able to sustain the stock price when everything was going down?

    ReplyDelete
  135. Madam
    Water base is continuously up nowadays.would you recommend to buy at this level

    Thanx

    ReplyDelete